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Hobro vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 2-1
Hobro
Hobro
Vs
30%
27%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aalborg
Aalborg
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Aalborg are likely to emerge victorious in this match, with a narrow win expected as the overall shape of the game. Aalborg's recent form note suggests they're coming off a draw, but they've also had a few wins in their last five matches. Hobro, on the other hand, have been on a 2-game winning run, but their home scoring and conceding stats indicate they might struggle against a similar-strength opponent.

The model favours an away win with a 43% probability, while a home win is possible with a 30% chance and a draw with a 27% chance. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1 with a 12.9% probability.

Aalborg's away form isn't particularly strong, scoring an average of 0.8 goals and conceding 1.8. Meanwhile, Hobro's home form shows they score 1.07 goals and concede 1.57. The model's selection for over 1.5 goals has an 78.2% probability.

The model's suggested picks include over 1.5 goals, with a 78.2% probability. Aalborg to win has a 43% chance, while Hobro to win has a 30% chance and a draw has a 27% chance.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Hobro snatched a 2-1 win, ending their four-game winning streak against Aalborg. The pre-match favourite, Away win, had a 43 % chance, but the model was wrong. All of the model’s selections hit: Under 7.5 goals (99.2 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.4 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.6 %), Under 6.5 (97.5 %), Home under 3.5 goals (96.1 %), Under 5.5 (93.4 %), Away under 3.5 goals (92.8 %) and Away under 1.5 HT goals (90.9 %). The match finished 2-1 in favour of the home side, contradicting the predicted away victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hobro win✓ Hit
29.9%
Avg Implied 39.4% · @ 2.34
Edge
-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.52
SBO
2.43
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.35
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.38
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.63
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.44
1xBet
3.44
BetVictor
3.40
Aalborg win✗ Miss
42.8%
Avg Implied 33.4% · @ 2.76
Edge
+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
2.88
Superbet
2.87
Dafabet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.85

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HobroHobro

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D33D03L10W32W12L21W04L10W21WA·AAL01/05H·B 908/05H·AAR14/05A·HB 24/05H·MID30/05H·AAR26/07A·VEN02/08H·VEN05/08H·AB 08/08A·ESB15/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.431.131.801.601.07
vs Stronger (1)1.004.001.004.00--
vs Similar (23)1.171.391.091.551.251.25
vs Weaker (6)2.171.171.332.003.000.33
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AalborgAalborg

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D13L11D05L10W10W21W31W11D03LH·HOB01/05H·MID08/05A·B 915/05A·AAR22/05H·HB 30/05H·HIL24/07A·AAR31/07A·HOL04/08H·KOL09/08H·FC 14/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.471.591.471.541.46
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (25)1.401.401.571.361.181.45
vs Weaker (4)3.001.502.501.503.501.50
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.2%
@ 1.22+2.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
@ 3.86-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.12
Betfair
4.10
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.90
BetVictor
3.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.2%
@ 1.74-0.3%
Under 2.5
46.8%
@ 2.01+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
Betfair
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
Bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.0%
@ 2.79-2.3%
Under 3.5
69.0%
@ 1.39+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.91
888Sport
2.90
BetVictor
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.85
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.6%
@ 1.59-0.5%
No
42.4%
@ 2.20+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
BetVictor
1.60
888Sport
1.60
No
Bet365
2.25
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.20
888Sport
2.20
10Bet
2.20

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%@ 6.18+5.8%
1-2
9.1%@ 9.06+4.2%
0-1
8.2%@ 9.43+3.5%
2-1 ✓
7.4%@ 8.40+2.2%
0-2
7.2%@ 13.18+3.9%
0-0
7.2%@ 10.75+3.1%
1-0
6.4%@ 8.58+1.3%
2-2
5.7%@ 10.81+1.7%
Hobro goals ↓
Aalborg goals →
01234
07.2%8.2%7.2%3.7%1.4%
16.4%13%9.1%4.7%1.8%
24.8%7.4%5.7%3.0%1.1%
32.0%3.1%2.4%1.2%0.5%
40.6%1.0%0.8%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hobro goals (down), columns = Aalborg goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
Hobro is 0.67 points better than Aalborg in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
Hobro is 0.67 goals better than Aalborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
Hobro is 0.17 goals worse than Aalborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hobro or Draw✓ Hit
57.2%
Avg Implied 66.3% · @ 1.40
Edge
-9.1%
30%
27%
43%
covers Hobro + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.45
SBO
1.41
Bet365
1.40
888Sport
1.40
Hobro or Aalborg✓ Hit
72.7%
Avg Implied 72.8% · @ 1.28
Edge
-0.1%
30%
27%
43%
covers Hobro + Aalborg
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Draw or Aalborg✗ Miss
70.1%
Avg Implied 61.0% · @ 1.52
Edge
+9.2%
30%
27%
43%
covers Draw + Aalborg
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.56
BetVictor
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
1xBet
1.54

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hobro over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.6%
@ 1.22-4.1%
Under
28.4%
@ 3.83+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Unibet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.11
BetVictor
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
888Sport
3.90
Hobro over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.9%
@ 2.11-8.2%
Under
64.1%
@ 1.66+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.16
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Under
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.68
Hobro over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.4%
@ 4.49-7.3%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.17+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.75
888Sport
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Hobro over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 10.59-5.0%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.04+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
888Sport
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
9.70
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Aalborg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.7%
@ 1.27+5.8%
Under
21.3%
@ 3.42-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.29
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Betano
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Pinnacle
3.57
Betano
3.45
Superbet
3.40
Aalborg over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.8%
@ 2.33+6.0%
Under
54.2%
@ 1.54-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.45
888Sport
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.35
Under
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.54
Aalborg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.3%
@ 5.24+2.6%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.13-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
888Sport
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Aalborg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 12.50-0.4%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.03+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
888Sport
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Hobro, so a minus line means Hobro give that many goals of a start and Aalborg receive them. At -1, Hobro must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hobro win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hobro)Actual: Aalborg
Hobro -2
4.4%
@ 9.52-5.0%
Draw -2
8.8%
@ 6.72-4.6%
Aalborg +2
86.8%
@ 1.16+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
9.50
Marathonbet
8.60
Superbet
8.50
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Superbet
6.20
Away
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Handicap -1 (Hobro)Actual: Draw
Hobro -1
13.2%
@ 4.41-7.2%
Draw -1
16.7%
@ 4.08-5.3%
Aalborg +1
70.1%
@ 1.56+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Away
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.58
Unibet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
Betfair
1.53
Handicap +1 (Hobro)Actual: Hobro
Hobro +1
57.2%
@ 1.43-5.3%
Draw +1
20.8%
@ 4.42+0.6%
Aalborg -1
22.1%
@ 5.13+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.40
Unibet
4.35
Betfair
4.20
Away
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.40
Superbet
5.35
Marathonbet
5.30
10Bet
4.75
Handicap +2 (Hobro)Actual: Hobro
Hobro +2
77.9%
@ 1.12-1.0%
Draw +2
13.2%
@ 6.88+0.4%
Aalborg -2
8.8%
@ 10.62+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Superbet
12.00
Bet365
12.00
Unibet
11.50
Betfair
11.00
Marathonbet
6.60

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HobroHobro

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L22D01L10W30W12L21W03L00D00DA·AAL01/05H·B 908/05H·AAR14/05A·HB 24/05H·MID30/05H·AAR26/07A·VEN02/08H·VEN05/08H·AB 08/08A·ESB15/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.770.600.930.730.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (23)0.480.780.550.910.420.67
vs Weaker (6)1.500.671.001.002.000.33
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AalborgAalborg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W01L11D01L10W00D10W10W10W00DH·HOB01/05H·MID08/05A·B 915/05A·AAR22/05H·HB 30/05H·HIL24/07A·AAR31/07A·HOL04/08H·KOL09/08H·FC 14/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.650.350.460.77
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (25)0.640.520.790.360.450.73
vs Weaker (4)0.250.750.000.500.501.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.4%
@ 1.32-2.8%
Under 0.5
32.6%
@ 3.12+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.30
10Bet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.9%
@ 2.54-2.6%
Under 1.5
66.1%
@ 1.46+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.63
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.60
BetVictor
2.60
1xBet
2.53
Under
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.5%
@ 5.92-4.1%
Under 2.5
88.5%
@ 1.09+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
William Hil
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.09

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hobro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.6%
@ 1.92+0.2%
Under
51.4%
@ 1.80-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.96
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Hobro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.4%
@ 5.72-2.8%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.11+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.80
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.40
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Hobro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 15.75-3.7%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Aalborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.7%
@ 2.03-4.9%
Under
59.3%
@ 1.70+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.08
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Unibet
2.02
Under
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.74
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
Aalborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 6.31-5.6%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.09+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.65
Superbet
6.30
Betano
6.10
10Bet
5.50
Under
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Aalborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 17.33-3.9%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HobroHobro

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D02L00D02L00D00D01L10W21WA·AAL01/05H·B 908/05H·AAR14/05A·HB 24/05H·MID30/05H·AAR26/07A·VEN02/08H·VEN05/08H·AB 08/08A·ESB15/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.530.870.870.47
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (23)0.700.610.550.640.830.58
vs Weaker (6)0.670.500.331.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AalborgAalborg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L12L00D04L00D10W11D21W01L03LH·HOB01/05H·MID08/05A·B 915/05A·AAR22/05H·HB 30/05H·HIL24/07A·AAR31/07A·HOL04/08H·KOL09/08H·FC 14/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.930.941.121.080.69
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (25)0.760.880.791.000.730.73
vs Weaker (4)2.750.752.501.003.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hobro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.4%1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
---+3.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.6%1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
--+3.7%✓ Hit
Under 6.597.5%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
--+2.8%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.1%1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+5.0%✓ Hit
Under 5.593.4%1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.04
+3.1%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals92.8%1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
+0.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.9%1.09
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
+5.6%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals88.5%1.09
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.09
+4.1%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap86.8%1.16
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+9.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals86.6%1.17
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
888Sport
1.18
+7.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals86.6%1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
+2.8%✓ Hit
Under 4.584.7%1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
+2.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals79.7%1.13
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Betfair
1.13
-2.6%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals78.7%1.27
888Sport
1.29
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Betano
1.28
+5.8%✓ Hit
Over 1.578.2%1.22
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+2.2%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap77.9%1.12
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-1.0%✓ Hit
Home or Away72.7%1.28
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
-0.1%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals71.6%1.22
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Unibet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
-4.1%✓ Hit
Draw or Away70.1%1.52
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.56
BetVictor
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
1xBet
1.54
+9.2%✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap70.1%1.56
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.58
Unibet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
Betfair
1.53
+12.5%✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aalborg · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Malthe Højholt33%
Mathias Jørgensen25%
John Iredale21%
Nicklas Helenius19%
Aaron Seydel17%
Kasper Jørgensen13%
Melker Widell11%
Mads Bomholt10%
Oliver Ross7%
Bjarne Pudel5%
Andres Jasson3%
Jubril Adedeji0%
Andreas Bruus0%
Lars Kramer0%
Oumar Diakhité0%
Diego Caballo0%
Vincent Müller0%
Kelvin John0%
Isak Hansen Aarøen0%
Marc Nielsen0%
Mylian Jimenez0%
Elison Makolli0%
Travis Hernes0%
Sebastian Otoa0%
Nóel Atli Arnórsson0%
Kasper Davidsen0%
Valdemar Møller Damgaard0%
Amar Diagne0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oumar Diakhité31%
Bjarne Pudel29%
Mylian Jimenez26%
Kasper Davidsen22%
Melker Widell19%
Lars Kramer17%
Marc Nielsen17%
Andres Jasson16%
Kasper Jørgensen13%
Jubril Adedeji12%
Andreas Bruus10%
Oliver Ross10%
Travis Hernes8%
Isak Hansen Aarøen7%
Mads Bomholt7%
Nóel Atli Arnórsson6%
Kelvin John4%
Vincent Müller3%
Malthe Højholt0%
Nicklas Helenius0%
Aaron Seydel0%
Diego Caballo0%
Mathias Jørgensen0%
John Iredale0%
Elison Makolli0%
Sebastian Otoa0%
Valdemar Møller Damgaard0%
Amar Diagne0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicklas Helenius19%
Mathias Jørgensen16%
Nóel Atli Arnórsson12%
Melker Widell11%
Sebastian Otoa10%
Andres Jasson10%
Kasper Jørgensen7%
Bjarne Pudel5%
Kelvin John4%
Mylian Jimenez4%
Kasper Davidsen4%
Lars Kramer3%
Oliver Ross3%
Malthe Højholt0%
Jubril Adedeji0%
Andreas Bruus0%
Aaron Seydel0%
Oumar Diakhité0%
Diego Caballo0%
Vincent Müller0%
John Iredale0%
Isak Hansen Aarøen0%
Marc Nielsen0%
Elison Makolli0%
Travis Hernes0%
Mads Bomholt0%
Valdemar Møller Damgaard0%
Amar Diagne0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathias Jørgensen31%
Kasper Jørgensen17%
Melker Widell15%
Jubril Adedeji12%
John Iredale7%
Oliver Ross7%
Mylian Jimenez4%
Andres Jasson3%
Malthe Højholt0%
Nicklas Helenius0%
Andreas Bruus0%
Aaron Seydel0%
Lars Kramer0%
Oumar Diakhité0%
Diego Caballo0%
Vincent Müller0%
Kelvin John0%
Bjarne Pudel0%
Isak Hansen Aarøen0%
Marc Nielsen0%
Elison Makolli0%
Travis Hernes0%
Sebastian Otoa0%
Nóel Atli Arnórsson0%
Mads Bomholt0%
Kasper Davidsen0%
Valdemar Møller Damgaard0%
Amar Diagne0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
Hobro's squad is €4m less valuable than Aalborg's (€7m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
Hobro and Aalborg have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Hobro and Aalborg have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
Hobro's defence is €3m less valuable than Aalborg's (€3m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
HOB wins
2
Draws
2
AAL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hobro vs Aalborg · H/A from HOB
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/26AAalborg Vs HOB1-1
10/04/26HHOB Vs Aalborg0-1
14/03/26HHOB Vs Aalborg1-0
01/08/25AAalborg Vs HOB1-1
05/05/24AAalborg Vs HOB2-3
12/04/24HHOB Vs Aalborg2-1
26/11/23AAalborg Vs HOB1-2
24/08/23HHOB Vs Aalborg1-2

HobroHobro

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26AEsbjerg Vs HOB1-2
08/08/26HHOB Vs AB Copenhagen1-0
05/08/26HHOB Vs Vendsyssel FF0-4
02/08/26AVendsyssel FF Vs HOB1-2
26/07/26HHOB Vs Aarhus Fremad1-2
30/05/26HHOB Vs Middelfart3-2
24/05/26AHB Koge Vs HOB0-1
14/05/26HHOB Vs Aarhus Fremad0-3
08/05/26HHOB Vs B 933-3
01/05/26AAalborg Vs HOB1-1

AalborgAalborg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/26HAAL Vs FC Fredericia0-3
09/08/26HAAL Vs Kolding IF1-1
04/08/26AHolstebro Vs AAL1-3
31/07/26AAarhus Fremad Vs AAL1-2
24/07/26HAAL Vs Hillerød1-0
30/05/26HAAL Vs HB Koge1-0
22/05/26AAarhus Fremad Vs AAL5-0
15/05/26AB 93 Vs AAL1-1
08/05/26HAAL Vs Middelfart1-3
01/05/26HAAL Vs Hobro1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.44
HomeLWLLW1.12
AwayWDWWW1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%29%50%
AVG goals2.682.672.69
Over 1.5 %76%67%85%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %24%33%15%
Scored1.281.081.46
Conceded1.401.581.23
BTTS46%50%42%
Clean Sheet32%29%35%
Corners---
Cards---
Aalborg
Aalborg
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.26
HomeLWWDL1.32
AwayDDLWW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals3.183.163.20
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %62%64%60%
Over 3.5 %46%44%48%
Scored1.501.521.48
Conceded1.681.641.72
BTTS60%52%68%
Clean Sheet16%20%12%
Corners9.9011.408.40
Cards2.902.803.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle614
67%
2.3
1610+6
4.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3242.71.7
-
2HvidovreHvidovre614
67%
2.3
105+5
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.8
-
3HobroHobro612
67%
2.0
98+1
2.8
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.51.3
-
4FC FredericiaFC Fredericia69
33%
1.5
94+5
2.2
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.50.7
-
5Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad69
33%
1.5
75+2
2.0
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.20.8
-
6Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF68
33%
1.3
78-1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
7AalborgAalborg68
33%
1.3
57-2
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2260.81.2
-
8AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen66
17%
1.0
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.2
-
9Kolding IFKolding IF66
17%
1.0
89-1
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.31.5
-
10HillerødHillerød64
17%
0.7
1012-2
3.7
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.72.0
-
11EsbjergEsbjerg64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.32.2
-
12HB KogeHB Koge62
0%
0.3
312-9
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1220.52.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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