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Hobro vs Middelfart Result & Analysis

Date: 30/05/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 3-2
Hobro
Hobro
Vs
46%
26%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Middelfart
Middelfart
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hobro winâś“ Hit
46.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Middelfart winâś— Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

HobroHobro

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W20W01L60W12L10W11D33D03L10WA·MID21/03A·B 903/04H·AAL10/04A·MID18/04H·HB 22/04A·AAR26/04A·AAL01/05H·B 908/05H·AAR14/05A·HB 24/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.301.071.711.620.94
vs Stronger (1)1.004.001.004.00--
vs Similar (27)1.221.301.081.541.361.07
vs Weaker (2)3.500.00--3.500.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Middelfart) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddelfartMiddelfart

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L25L02L06L15L12L01L31W04L24LH·HOB21/03H·AAL04/04A·HB 10/04H·HOB18/04A·AAR22/04A·B 926/04H·AAR01/05A·AAL08/05H·HB 16/05H·B 923/05
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.102.501.062.501.142.50
vs Stronger (19)0.952.680.912.361.003.12
vs Similar (11)1.362.181.402.801.331.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %3% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.3%
Under 1.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.9%
Under 2.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.5%
Under 3.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.6%
No
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
Hobro goals ↓
Middelfart goals →
01234
06.0%5.3%4.1%1.8%0.6%
17.4%12%7.1%3.1%1.0%
27.3%9.4%6.1%2.6%0.8%
34.2%5.4%3.5%1.5%0.5%
41.8%2.3%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hobro goals (down), columns = Middelfart goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lyngby
1.88
AC Horsens
1.69
Esbjerg
1.62
Hillerød
1.56
Aalborg
1.44
Hvidovre
1.44
Aarhus Fremad
1.38
Hobro
1.31
HB Koge
1.25
Kolding IF
1.19
B 93
1.16
Middelfart
0.47
Hobro is 0.84 points better than Middelfart in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 0.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lyngby
2.16
Aarhus Fremad
1.62
Aalborg
1.56
Esbjerg
1.41
B 93
1.38
Hvidovre
1.34
Hillerød
1.31
AC Horsens
1.31
HB Koge
1.31
Hobro
1.25
Kolding IF
1.16
Middelfart
1.00
Hobro is 0.25 goals better than Middelfart in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
AC Horsens
0.84
Lyngby
1.12
Aarhus Fremad
1.16
Hvidovre
1.22
Kolding IF
1.25
Hobro
1.34
Hillerød
1.34
Esbjerg
1.34
Aalborg
1.47
HB Koge
1.50
B 93
1.81
Middelfart
2.41
Hobro is 1.06 goals better than Middelfart in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 2.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HobroHobro

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L30W01L10W01L22D01L10WA·MID21/03A·B 903/04H·AAL10/04A·MID18/04H·HB 22/04A·AAR26/04A·AAL01/05H·B 908/05H·AAR14/05A·HB 24/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.500.710.620.56
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (27)0.480.670.540.690.430.64
vs Weaker (2)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Middelfart) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddelfartMiddelfart

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W00D03L13L11D00D10W03L22DH·HOB21/03H·AAL04/04A·HB 10/04H·HOB18/04A·AAR22/04A·B 926/04H·AAR01/05A·AAL08/05H·HB 16/05H·B 923/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.970.621.000.710.93
vs Stronger (19)0.471.000.450.910.501.12
vs Similar (11)1.000.911.001.201.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hobro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middelfart over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middelfart over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middelfart over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HobroHobro

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W00D30W11D00D10W11D02L00DA·MID21/03A·B 903/04H·AAL10/04A·MID18/04H·HB 22/04A·AAR26/04A·AAL01/05H·B 908/05H·AAR14/05A·HB 24/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.670.571.001.000.38
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (27)0.740.630.540.850.930.43
vs Weaker (2)1.500.00--1.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Middelfart) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddelfartMiddelfart

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D05L02L03L02L01L01L21W01L02LH·HOB21/03H·AAL04/04A·HB 10/04H·HOB18/04A·AAR22/04A·B 926/04H·AAR01/05A·AAL08/05H·HB 16/05H·B 923/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.530.441.500.431.57
vs Stronger (19)0.471.680.451.450.502.00
vs Similar (11)0.361.270.401.600.331.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hobro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middelfart over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middelfart over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middelfart over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.3%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (8)
€5m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
HOB wins
1
Draws
1
MID wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hobro vs Middelfart · H/A from HOB
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26AMiddelfart Vs HOB0-6
21/03/26AMiddelfart Vs HOB0-1
27/07/25HHOB Vs Middelfart0-0
10/09/24AMiddelfart Vs HOB3-2

HobroHobro

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26AHB Koge Vs HOB0-1
14/05/26HHOB Vs Aarhus Fremad0-3
08/05/26HHOB Vs B 933-3
01/05/26AAalborg Vs HOB1-1
26/04/26AAarhus Fremad Vs HOB0-1
22/04/26HHOB Vs HB Koge1-2
18/04/26AMiddelfart Vs HOB0-6
10/04/26HHOB Vs Aalborg0-1
03/04/26AB 93 Vs HOB0-2
21/03/26AMiddelfart Vs HOB0-1

MiddelfartMiddelfart

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26HMID Vs B 932-4
16/05/26HMID Vs HB Koge0-4
08/05/26AAalborg Vs MID1-3
01/05/26HMID Vs Aarhus Fremad0-1
26/04/26AB 93 Vs MID2-1
22/04/26AAarhus Fremad Vs MID5-1
18/04/26HMID Vs Hobro0-6
10/04/26AHB Koge Vs MID2-0
04/04/26HMID Vs Aalborg2-5
21/03/26HMID Vs Hobro0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLW1.30
HomeWLLDL1.09
AwayWWWDW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%26%41%
AVG goals2.522.522.52
Over 1.5 %72%65%78%
Over 2.5 %40%48%33%
Over 3.5 %22%30%15%
Scored1.181.041.30
Conceded1.341.481.22
BTTS44%52%37%
Clean Sheet32%30%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Middelfart
Middelfart
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL0.64
HomeLLLLL0.60
AwayLLLLW0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%10%19%
AVG goals3.313.253.38
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %69%70%69%
Over 3.5 %47%45%50%
Scored1.061.051.06
Conceded2.252.202.31
BTTS61%60%62%
Clean Sheet8%10%6%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LyngbyLyngby3260
56%
1.9
6936+33
3.3
91%
69%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3552.21.1
-
2AC HorsensAC Horsens3254
47%
1.7
4227+15
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.30.8
-
3EsbjergEsbjerg3252
47%
1.6
4543+2
2.8
75%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.41.3
-
4HillerødHillerød3250
41%
1.6
4243-1
2.7
81%
59%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
5HvidovreHvidovre3246
34%
1.4
4339+4
2.6
81%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.2
-
6AalborgAalborg3246
38%
1.4
5047+3
3.0
78%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2261.61.5
-
7Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad3244
34%
1.4
5237+15
2.8
72%
53%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.2
-
8HobroHobro3242
34%
1.3
4043-3
2.6
72%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.21.3
-
9HB KogeHB Koge3240
34%
1.2
4248-6
2.8
81%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.31.5
-
10Kolding IFKolding IF3238
31%
1.2
3740-3
2.4
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.21.2
-
11B 93B 933237
31%
1.2
4458-14
3.2
81%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
12MiddelfartMiddelfart3215
9%
0.5
3277-45
3.4
78%
72%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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