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Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF Prediction & Stats

Date: 24/10/2026
Time: 12:00
Hobro
Hobro
Vs
57%
24%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model favours a Hobro win, with a 57% chance of triumph, 24% for a draw and 19% for Vendsyssel FF. The expected total of goals is three, but the most likely total is two, with a 23% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, at 11.2%. Hobro, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 1.33 goals scored and concedes 2.0, while Vendsyssel FF, on the road to a stronger opponent, scores 1.33 and concedes 1.53. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.7%), Under 6.5 (96.6%), Home +2 handicap (92.5%), Under 5.5 (91.5%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (86.7%) and Home over 0.5 goals (85.7%). Hobro’s recent form shows a loss before a three-game winning streak for Vendsyssel FF, setting the stage for a tight contest.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hobro win
56.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF win
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HobroHobro

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L10W32W12L21W04L10W21W21W13LH·AAR14/05A·HB 24/05H·MID30/05H·AAR26/07A·VEN02/08H·VEN05/08H·AB 08/08A·ESB15/08H·AAL21/08A·HIL30/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.431.191.751.641.07
vs Stronger (1)1.004.001.004.00--
vs Similar (23)1.221.391.171.501.271.27
vs Weaker (6)2.171.171.332.003.000.33
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L11D22D12L40W11D03L10W21W20WA·HIL22/05H·AAL06/08A·HVI25/07H·HOB02/08A·HOB05/08A·FC 09/08H·AB 16/08H·HIL20/08A·FUG25/08A·ESB30/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.331.071.131.331.53
vs Stronger (29)1.241.281.141.001.331.53
vs Similar (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.3%
Under 1.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.0%
Under 2.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
35.6%
Under 3.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
Hobro goals ↓
Vendsyssel FF goals →
01234
05.9%4.2%2.8%1.0%0.3%
18.5%11%5.5%1.9%0.5%
29.3%9.9%5.3%1.9%0.5%
36.0%6.4%3.4%1.2%0.3%
42.9%3.1%1.7%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hobro goals (down), columns = Vendsyssel FF goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
Hobro is 0.67 points better than Vendsyssel FF in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
Hobro is 0.33 goals better than Vendsyssel FF in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
Hobro and Vendsyssel FF are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hobro or Draw
80.6%
Avg Implied -
57%
24%
19%
covers Hobro + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hobro or Vendsyssel FF
76.1%
Avg Implied -
57%
24%
19%
covers Hobro + Vendsyssel FF
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Vendsyssel FF
43.2%
Avg Implied -
57%
24%
19%
covers Draw + Vendsyssel FF
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hobro over/under 0.5
Over
85.7%
Under
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5
Over
57.9%
Under
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5
Over
30.9%
Under
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 3.5
Over
13.3%
Under
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5
Over
65.6%
Under
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5
Over
28.9%
Under
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5
Over
9.3%
Under
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 3.5
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Hobro, so a minus line means Hobro give that many goals of a start and Vendsyssel FF receive them. At -1, Hobro must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hobro win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hobro)
Hobro -2
16.5%
Draw -2
17.7%
Vendsyssel FF +2
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Hobro)
Hobro -1
34.2%
Draw -1
22.6%
Vendsyssel FF +1
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Hobro)
Hobro +1
80.6%
Draw +1
11.9%
Vendsyssel FF -1
7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Hobro)
Hobro +2
92.5%
Draw +2
5.3%
Vendsyssel FF -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HobroHobro

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W30W12L21W03L00D00D10W02LH·AAR14/05A·HB 24/05H·MID30/05H·AAR26/07A·VEN02/08H·VEN05/08H·AB 08/08A·ESB15/08H·AAL21/08A·HIL30/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.620.880.710.57
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (23)0.480.740.580.830.360.64
vs Weaker (6)1.500.671.001.002.000.33
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D02L12L30W10W03L10W20W10WA·HIL22/05H·AAL06/08A·HVI25/07H·HOB02/08A·HOB05/08A·FC 09/08H·AB 16/08H·HIL20/08A·FUG25/08A·ESB30/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.530.600.670.93
vs Stronger (29)0.620.690.570.430.670.93
vs Similar (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hobro over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HobroHobro

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D02L00D00D01L10W21W11D11DH·AAR14/05A·HB 24/05H·MID30/05H·AAR26/07A·VEN02/08H·VEN05/08H·AB 08/08A·ESB15/08H·AAL21/08A·HIL30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.560.880.930.50
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (23)0.740.650.580.670.910.64
vs Weaker (6)0.670.500.331.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D20W00D10W01L00D00D01L10WA·HIL22/05H·AAL06/08A·HVI25/07H·HOB02/08A·HOB05/08A·FC 09/08H·AB 16/08H·HIL20/08A·FUG25/08A·ESB30/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.530.530.670.60
vs Stronger (29)0.620.590.570.570.670.60
vs Similar (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hobro over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.8%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.7%-------
Under 6.596.6%-------
Home +2 handicap92.5%-------
Under 5.591.5%-------
Away under 2.5 goals90.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals86.7%-------
Home over 0.5 goals85.7%-------
Under 4.581.3%-------
Over 1.581.3%-------
Home or Draw80.6%-------
Home +1 handicap80.6%-------
Home or Away76.1%-------
Away under 1.5 goals71.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
Hobro's squad is €6m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€7m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
Hobro's attack is €1m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€2m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Hobro's midfield is €2m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€2m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
Hobro's defence is €3m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€3m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
HOB wins
0
Draws
3
VF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF · H/A from HOB
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/26HHOB Vs Vendsyssel FF0-4
02/08/26AVendsyssel FF Vs HOB1-2
16/05/25AVendsyssel FF Vs HOB2-0
16/04/25HHOB Vs Vendsyssel FF3-1
21/02/25HHOB Vs Vendsyssel FF1-0
21/08/24AVendsyssel FF Vs HOB0-3
13/05/24HHOB Vs Vendsyssel FF4-1
28/04/24AVendsyssel FF Vs HOB3-1

HobroHobro

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AHillerød Vs HOB3-1
21/08/26HHOB Vs Aalborg2-1
15/08/26AEsbjerg Vs HOB1-2
08/08/26HHOB Vs AB Copenhagen1-0
05/08/26HHOB Vs Vendsyssel FF0-4
02/08/26AVendsyssel FF Vs HOB1-2
26/07/26HHOB Vs Aarhus Fremad1-2
30/05/26HHOB Vs Middelfart3-2
24/05/26AHB Koge Vs HOB0-1
14/05/26HHOB Vs Aarhus Fremad0-3

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AEsbjerg Vs VF0-2
25/08/26AFuglebakken KFUM Vs VF1-2
20/08/26HVF Vs Hillerød1-0
16/08/26HVF Vs AB Copenhagen0-3
09/08/26AFC Fredericia Vs VF1-1
05/08/26AHobro Vs VF0-4
02/08/26HVF Vs Hobro1-2
25/07/26AHvidovre Vs VF2-2
06/08/25HVF Vs Aalborg1-1
22/05/25AHillerød Vs VF3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.48
HomeWLLWW1.21
AwayDWWWL1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%33%50%
AVG goals2.782.792.77
Over 1.5 %78%71%85%
Over 2.5 %52%58%46%
Over 3.5 %26%33%19%
Scored1.341.171.50
Conceded1.441.621.27
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet30%25%35%
Corners---
Cards---
Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.10
HomeWDLLW1.08
AwayDWDWW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.842.643.04
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %36%24%48%
Scored1.201.081.32
Conceded1.641.561.72
BTTS56%44%68%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle614
67%
2.3
1610+6
4.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3242.71.7
-
2HvidovreHvidovre614
67%
2.3
105+5
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.8
-
3HobroHobro612
67%
2.0
98+1
2.8
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.51.3
-
4FC FredericiaFC Fredericia69
33%
1.5
94+5
2.2
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.50.7
-
5Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad69
33%
1.5
75+2
2.0
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.20.8
-
6Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF68
33%
1.3
78-1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
7AalborgAalborg68
33%
1.3
57-2
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2260.81.2
-
8AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen66
17%
1.0
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.2
-
9Kolding IFKolding IF66
17%
1.0
89-1
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.31.5
-
10HillerødHillerød64
17%
0.7
1012-2
3.7
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.72.0
-
11EsbjergEsbjerg64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.32.2
-
12HB KogeHB Koge62
0%
0.3
312-9
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1220.52.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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