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hodd vs Aalesund Result & Analysis

Date: 24/04/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 1-0
hodd
hodd
Vs
39%
31%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aalesund
Aalesund
Norway: NM Cupen
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

hodd win✓ Hit
39.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aalesund win✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

hoddhodd

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L22D11D03L01L22D10W21W00D61WA·ASA17/09H·JER23/09H·SAN27/09A·MOS01/10H·KRI07/10H·SOG21/10A·RAU29/10H·STA05/11A·RAN12/11A·VOL11/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.301.071.071.191.50
vs Stronger (6)1.170.671.001.001.330.33
vs Similar (23)0.911.481.091.090.751.83
vs Weaker (1)6.001.00--6.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AalesundAalesund

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-616L03L01L04L14L11D31W20W03L13LA·HAU28/10H·SAN06/11A·BOD12/11H·VIK26/11A·ODD03/12H·STA01/04A·STA06/04A·SPJ10/04H·LYN15/04A·EGE20/04
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.300.931.801.072.80
vs Stronger (8)1.252.621.502.751.002.50
vs Similar (21)0.862.290.731.451.003.20
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.2%
Under 1.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.3%
Under 2.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.2%
Under 3.5
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.8%
No
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.8%
1-0 ✓
11.5%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
hodd goals ↓
Aalesund goals →
01234
012%9.5%5.6%1.9%0.5%
111%15%6.9%2.4%0.6%
27.8%8.1%4.2%1.4%0.4%
33.2%3.3%1.7%0.6%0.2%
41.0%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = hodd goals (down), columns = Aalesund goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molde
2.71
Ham-Kam
2.50
Viking
2.50
Stromsgodset
2.50
Sandnes ULF
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Stabaek
2.40
Tromso
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.25
Bryne
2.25
Raufoss
2.25
Eidsvold
2.25
Fredrikstad
2.14
Rosenborg
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Brann
2.00
Lillestrom
2.00
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Asane
2.00
hodd
2.00
Ranheim
2.00
Egersund
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Levanger
2.00
Arendal
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Kjelsås
2.00
Råde
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Alta
2.00
Valerenga
1.80
Sogndal
1.67
Aalesund
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Strommen
1.50
Moss
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Elverum
1.50
Bærum
1.50
Fløya
1.50
Fram
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.50
Træff
1.50
Vard
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Melhus
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Hønefoss
1.50
Eik-Tønsberg
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Sotra
1.00
Djerv
1.00
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Torvastad
0.50
Askøy
0.50
Stord
0.50
Sandefjord
0.00
Brattvåg
0.00
Grorud
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Førde
0.00
Brodd
0.00
Eide
0.00
Fjøra
0.00
Gjelleråsen
0.00
Heming
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Åskollen
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sarpsborg
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Asker
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Express
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Lyngbø
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Volda
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Lørenskog
0.00
Flint
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Rana
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Follo
0.00
Nardo
0.00
Os
0.00
Sandviken (Norway)
0.00
Madla
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Fana
0.00
Mjølner
0.00
Senja
0.00
Surnadal
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Bossekop
0.00
Hei
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Toten
0.00
hodd is 0.50 points better than Aalesund in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
5.00
Alta
5.00
Bryne
4.75
Stromsgodset
4.25
Brann
4.00
Lillestrom
4.00
Tromso
4.00
Strommen
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Sandviken (Norway)
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Viking
3.75
Stabaek
3.60
Ham-Kam
3.50
Raufoss
3.50
Bodo/Glimt
3.33
Sandnes ULF
3.17
Rosenborg
3.00
Asane
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Ranheim
3.00
Træff
3.00
Bjarg
3.00
Askøy
3.00
Tromsdalen Uil
3.00
Hønefoss
3.00
Madla
3.00
Fredrikstad
2.71
hodd
2.67
ODD Ballklubb
2.67
Molde
2.57
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Vard
2.50
Strindheim
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Moss
2.00
Førde
2.00
Fjøra
2.00
Gjelleråsen
2.00
Trygg/Lade
2.00
Torvastad
2.00
Eidsvold
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Nardo
2.00
Stord
2.00
KFUM Oslo
1.83
Valerenga
1.80
Arendal
1.67
Kjelsås
1.67
Levanger
1.60
Lyn
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Råde
1.33
Aalesund
1.00
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Grorud
1.00
jerv
1.00
Brodd
1.00
Åskollen
1.00
Sarpsborg
1.00
Express
1.00
Lyngbø
1.00
Volda
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Fløya
1.00
Fram
1.00
Melhus
1.00
Lørenskog
1.00
Notodden
1.00
Follo
1.00
Mjølner
1.00
Senja
1.00
Surnadal
1.00
Bossekop
1.00
Toten
1.00
Flekkerøy
0.50
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Sandefjord
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Eide
0.00
Heming
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Asker
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Flint
0.00
Rana
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Os
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Fana
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Hei
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Ullern
0.00
hodd is 1.67 goals better than Aalesund in terms of goals scored per game (2.67 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tromso
0.00
Valerenga
0.40
Aalesund
0.50
Mjondalen
0.50
Flekkerøy
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.57
Rosenborg
0.67
Arendal
0.67
Råde
0.67
Molde
0.71
Stromsgodset
0.75
Lysekloster
0.75
Levanger
0.80
KFUM Oslo
0.83
Sandefjord
1.00
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Ranheim
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Moss
1.00
Skeid
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Frøya
1.00
Junkeren
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Skjervøy
1.00
Byåsen
1.00
Hei
1.00
Ham-Kam
1.25
Viking
1.25
Bryne
1.25
Raufoss
1.25
Brann
1.33
Bodo/Glimt
1.33
Asane
1.33
hodd
1.33
Kjelsås
1.33
Alta
1.33
Stabaek
1.40
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Træff
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.67
Sogndal
1.67
Kristiansund BK
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Brattvåg
2.00
Frigg
2.00
Heming
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Randesund
2.00
Årvoll
2.00
Asker
2.00
Express
2.00
Gamle Oslo
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Fram
2.00
Strindheim
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Lørenskog
2.00
Notodden
2.00
Kvik Halden
2.00
Os
2.00
Fana
2.00
Mjølner
2.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
2.00
Ullern
2.00
Lillestrom
2.20
Torvastad
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Bærum
2.50
Melhus
2.50
Oppsal
2.50
Eik-Tønsberg
2.50
Grorud
3.00
Union Carl Berner
3.00
Brodd
3.00
Tiller
3.00
Trygg/Lade
3.00
Ørn Horten
3.00
Åskollen
3.00
Sprint-Jeløy
3.00
Rana
3.00
Follo
3.00
Bossekop
3.00
Toten
3.00
Strommen
3.50
Fløya
3.50
Vard
3.50
Bjarg
3.50
Gjelleråsen
4.00
Mandalskameratene
4.00
Mosjøen
4.00
Nardo
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Stord
4.00
Askøy
4.50
Eide
5.00
Fjøra
5.00
Ridabu
5.00
Sarpsborg
5.00
Varhaug
5.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
5.00
Madla
5.00
Surnadal
5.00
Brønnøysund
6.00
Førde
6.00
Sortland
6.00
Sverresborg
6.00
Volda
6.00
Flint
6.00
Sandviken (Norway)
6.00
Senja
6.00
Bjørkelangen
7.00
Hallingdal
7.00
Lyngbø
7.00
Nybergsund
8.00
Skreia
8.00
Drøbak / Frogn
10.00
Forus og Gausel
10.00
Kirkenes
11.00
hodd is 0.83 goals worse than Aalesund in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 0.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
hodd or Draw✓ Hit
70.2%
Avg Implied -
39%
31%
30%
covers hodd + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
hodd or Aalesund✓ Hit
68.8%
Avg Implied -
39%
31%
30%
covers hodd + Aalesund
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Aalesund✗ Miss
61.0%
Avg Implied -
39%
31%
30%
covers Draw + Aalesund
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
hodd over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.5%
Under
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.5%
Under
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
64.5%
Under
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
27.7%
Under
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.7%
Under
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to hodd, so a minus line means hodd give that many goals of a start and Aalesund receive them. At -1, hodd must win by two or more to land; a one-goal hodd win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (hodd)Actual: Aalesund
hodd -2
5.9%
Draw -2
11.7%
Aalesund +2
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (hodd)Actual: Draw
hodd -1
17.6%
Draw -1
21.4%
Aalesund +1
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (hodd)Actual: hodd
hodd +1
70.2%
Draw +1
18.0%
Aalesund -1
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (hodd)Actual: hodd
hodd +2
88.2%
Draw +2
8.4%
Aalesund -2
3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

hoddhodd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D01L02L00D11D00D21W00D30WA·ASA17/09H·JER23/09H·SAN27/09A·MOS01/10H·KRI07/10H·SOG21/10A·RAU29/10H·STA05/11A·RAN12/11A·VOL11/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.710.500.500.50
vs Stronger (6)1.000.501.000.671.000.33
vs Similar (23)0.390.520.640.450.170.58
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AalesundAalesund

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D01L02L12L00D20W10W01L12LA·HAU28/10H·SAN06/11A·BOD12/11H·VIK26/11A·ODD03/12H·STA01/04A·STA06/04A·SPJ10/04H·LYN15/04A·EGE20/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.930.400.600.671.27
vs Stronger (8)0.621.000.750.750.501.25
vs Similar (21)0.480.950.270.550.701.40
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
hodd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

hoddhodd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D10W01L01L11D10W00D00D31WA·ASA17/09H·JER23/09H·SAN27/09A·MOS01/10H·KRI07/10H·SOG21/10A·RAU29/10H·STA05/11A·RAN12/11A·VOL11/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.360.570.691.00
vs Stronger (6)0.170.170.000.330.330.00
vs Similar (23)0.520.960.450.640.581.25
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AalesundAalesund

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L03L00D02L02L11D11D10W02L01LA·HAU28/10H·SAN06/11A·BOD12/11H·VIK26/11A·ODD03/12H·STA01/04A·STA06/04A·SPJ10/04H·LYN15/04A·EGE20/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.370.531.200.401.53
vs Stronger (8)0.621.620.752.000.501.25
vs Similar (21)0.381.330.450.910.301.80
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
hodd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.597.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.592.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals91.3%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap88.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals87.5%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap82.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.580.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals72.3%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals70.5%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw70.2%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap70.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aalesund · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Haagensen Reed38%
Kristian Lonebu31%
Mathias Christensen29%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch29%
Henrik Melland21%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl11%
Ivan Djantou9%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen6%
Uba Charles6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ólafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Hakon Butli Hammer0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Marius Andresen0%
Ulrik Syversen0%
Simen Haram0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson36%
Mathias Christensen29%
Marius Andresen27%
Marcus Haagensen Reed25%
Aleksander Kjelsen23%
Kristoffer Klaesson18%
Emil Engqvist18%
Philip Sandvik Aukland17%
Henrik Melland14%
Ólafur Guðmundsson13%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen12%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl11%
Ulrik Syversen11%
Elias Heggland Myrlid8%
Simen Haram8%
Hakon Butli Hammer6%
Uba Charles6%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch6%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Luca Podlech0%
Ivan Djantou0%
Kristian Lonebu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch24%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl22%
Uba Charles18%
Hakon Butli Hammer12%
Marcus Haagensen Reed12%
Mathias Christensen12%
Ulrik Syversen11%
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson9%
Marius Andresen9%
Ivan Djantou9%
Henrik Melland7%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen6%
Kristian Lonebu6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ólafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Simen Haram0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marcus Haagensen Reed38%
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson27%
Henrik Melland14%
Mathias Christensen12%
Marius Andresen9%
Kristian Lonebu6%
Uba Charles6%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ólafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen0%
Hakon Butli Hammer0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Ulrik Syversen0%
Simen Haram0%
Ivan Djantou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
hodd's squad is €10m less valuable than Aalesund's (€3m vs €13m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
hodd's attack is €4m less valuable than Aalesund's (€1m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
hodd's midfield is €3m less valuable than Aalesund's (€1m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
HAU (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
hodd's defence is €3m less valuable than Aalesund's (€1m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
HOD wins
0
Draws
0
AAL wins

Head-to-head

hodd vs Aalesund · H/A from HOD
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

hoddhodd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/24AVolda Vs HOD1-6
12/11/23ARanheim Vs HOD0-0
05/11/23HHOD Vs Start2-1
29/10/23ARaufoss Vs HOD0-1
21/10/23HHOD Vs Sogndal2-2
07/10/23HHOD Vs Kristiansund BK0-1
01/10/23AMoss Vs HOD3-0
27/09/23HHOD Vs Sandnes ULF1-1
23/09/23HHOD Vs jerv2-2
17/09/23AAsane Vs HOD1-0

AalesundAalesund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/24AEgersund Vs AAL3-1
15/04/24HAAL Vs Lyn0-3
10/04/24ASpjelkavik Vs AAL0-2
06/04/24AStart Vs AAL1-3
01/04/24HAAL Vs Stabaek1-1
03/12/23AODD Ballklubb Vs AAL4-1
26/11/23HAAL Vs Viking0-4
12/11/23ABodo/Glimt Vs AAL1-0
06/11/23HAAL Vs Sandefjord0-3
28/10/23AHaugesund Vs AAL6-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

hodd
hodd
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDW1.16
HomeDDLDW1.27
AwayLLWDW1.06
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%27%31%
AVG goals2.392.072.69
Over 1.5 %65%67%62%
Over 2.5 %45%33%56%
Over 3.5 %19%13%25%
Scored1.131.071.19
Conceded1.261.001.50
BTTS48%60%38%
Clean Sheet23%20%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Aalesund
Aalesund
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL0.86
HomeWLLDL1.08
AwayLLWWL0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals3.042.563.52
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %68%56%80%
Over 3.5 %40%24%56%
Scored0.900.920.88
Conceded2.141.642.64
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet14%20%8%
Corners11.1310.5711.73
Cards3.303.353.25

🏆 17. League Table

Aalesund plays in Norway - 1. Division
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ValerengaValerenga3069
70%
2.3
8231+51
3.8
97%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6552.71.0
-
2BryneBryne3058
60%
1.9
5029+21
2.6
63%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.71.0
-
3MossMoss3156
55%
1.8
5743+14
3.2
74%
61%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.4
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3348
36%
1.5
5255-3
3.2
85%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.61.7
-
5LynLyn3147
39%
1.5
5741+16
3.2
84%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.81.3
-
6EgersundEgersund3147
45%
1.5
5858+0
3.7
94%
77%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.91.9
-
7StabaekStabaek3042
40%
1.4
5759-2
3.9
90%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.92.0
-
8RaufossRaufoss3041
37%
1.4
3435-1
2.3
70%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.2
-
9AalesundAalesund3040
40%
1.3
4549-4
3.1
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.51.6
-
10RanheimRanheim3039
33%
1.3
4846+2
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.5
-
11AsaneAsane3037
33%
1.2
4652-6
3.3
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.51.7
-
12StartStart3035
30%
1.2
4557-12
3.4
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.51.9
-
13SogndalSogndal3034
30%
1.1
3440-6
2.5
73%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.3
-
14MjondalenMjondalen3032
27%
1.1
3850-12
2.9
73%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
15LevangerLevanger3029
20%
1.0
4751-4
3.3
83%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3017
13%
0.6
2680-54
3.5
83%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.92.7
-
Norway: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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