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hodd vs Egersund Result & Analysis

Date: 30/07/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 1-0
hodd
hodd
Vs
37%
25%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Egersund
Egersund
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

hodd win✓ Hit
37.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Egersund win✗ Miss
37.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

hoddhodd

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W21W02L31W11D22D13L16L31W22DA·LYN04/05H·SOG11/05A·AAL16/05H·ODD25/05A·SKE30/05H·LIL14/06A·MOS18/06A·RAU21/06H·MJO28/06A·ASA26/07
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.501.501.361.121.62
vs Stronger (7)1.001.571.252.000.671.00
vs Similar (22)1.181.501.601.100.831.83
vs Weaker (1)6.001.00--6.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L13L02L01L34L31W22D42W22D05LA·STA16/05H·SAR20/05H·SOG25/05A·LIL31/05H·RAN15/06A·STA18/06H·KON21/06A·MOS28/06H·AAL22/07H·LYN26/07
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.801.802.201.801.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.482.091.542.231.401.90
vs Weaker (7)2.860.863.502.002.600.40
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.2%
Under 1.5
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.5%
Under 2.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.3%
Under 3.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.1%
No
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
5.4%
1-0 ✓
5.4%
0-2
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
hodd goals ↓
Egersund goals →
01234
05.0%5.4%5.2%2.8%1.1%
15.4%11%8.3%4.5%1.8%
25.2%8.3%6.7%3.6%1.5%
32.8%4.5%3.6%1.9%0.8%
41.1%1.8%1.5%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = hodd goals (down), columns = Egersund goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lillestrom
2.67
Brattvåg
2.25
Start
1.83
Kongsvinger
1.77
Egersund
1.75
Aalesund
1.69
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Sogndal
1.43
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Mjondalen
0.83
Skeid
0.50
Grorud
0.00
hodd is 0.65 points worse than Egersund in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lillestrom
2.90
Kongsvinger
2.10
Start
1.93
Aalesund
1.91
Brattvåg
1.75
Egersund
1.72
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
Mjondalen
1.20
Skeid
1.17
hodd
1.13
Grorud
0.50
hodd is 0.59 goals worse than Egersund in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 1.72).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lillestrom
0.60
Brattvåg
1.00
Start
1.17
Lyn
1.23
Aalesund
1.25
Egersund
1.28
Kongsvinger
1.48
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Grorud
2.00
Moss
2.12
Skeid
2.20
Mjondalen
2.37
hodd is 0.45 goals worse than Egersund in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

hoddhodd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D20W01L20W02L13L30W12LA·LYN04/05H·SOG11/05A·AAL16/05H·ODD25/05A·SKE30/05H·LIL14/06A·MOS18/06A·RAU21/06H·MJO28/06A·ASA26/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.771.000.570.560.94
vs Stronger (7)0.570.571.000.750.000.33
vs Similar (22)0.730.861.000.500.501.17
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L01L01L21W01L10W21W00D01LA·STA16/05H·SAR20/05H·SOG25/05A·LIL31/05H·RAN15/06A·STA18/06H·KON21/06A·MOS28/06H·AAL22/07H·LYN26/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.770.730.930.930.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.650.780.620.850.700.70
vs Weaker (7)1.430.711.501.501.400.40
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
hodd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

hoddhodd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D02L11D10W02L11D03L01L10WA·LYN04/05H·SOG11/05A·AAL16/05H·ODD25/05A·SKE30/05H·LIL14/06A·MOS18/06A·RAU21/06H·MJO28/06A·ASA26/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.500.790.560.69
vs Stronger (7)0.431.000.251.250.670.67
vs Similar (22)0.450.640.600.600.330.67
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L01L00D13L30W12L21W22D04LA·STA16/05H·SAR20/05H·SOG25/05A·LIL31/05H·RAN15/06A·STA18/06H·KON21/06A·MOS28/06H·AAL22/07H·LYN26/07
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.031.071.270.870.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.831.300.921.380.701.20
vs Weaker (7)1.430.142.000.501.200.00
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
hodd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
hodd's squad is €1m less valuable than Egersund's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (9)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
hodd and Egersund have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
hodd and Egersund have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
hodd and Egersund have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
HOD wins
0
Draws
0
EGE wins

Head-to-head

hodd vs Egersund · H/A from HOD
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

hoddhodd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/25AAsane Vs HOD2-2
28/06/25HHOD Vs Mjondalen3-1
21/06/25ARaufoss Vs HOD6-1
18/06/25AMoss Vs HOD3-1
14/06/25HHOD Vs Lillestrom2-2
30/05/25ASkeid Vs HOD1-1
25/05/25HHOD Vs ODD Ballklubb3-1
16/05/25AAalesund Vs HOD2-0
11/05/25HHOD Vs Sogndal2-1
04/05/25ALyn Vs HOD0-1

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/25HEGE Vs Lyn0-5
22/07/25HEGE Vs Aalesund2-2
28/06/25AMoss Vs EGE2-4
21/06/25HEGE Vs Kongsvinger2-2
18/06/25AStabaek Vs EGE1-3
15/06/25HEGE Vs Ranheim3-4
31/05/25ALillestrom Vs EGE1-0
25/05/25HEGE Vs Sogndal0-2
20/05/25HEGE Vs Sarpsborg 08 FF1-3
16/05/25AStart Vs EGE2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

hodd
hodd
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWD1.20
HomeLWWDW1.39
AwayLDLLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%35%27%
AVG goals2.612.352.85
Over 1.5 %71%70%73%
Over 2.5 %49%43%54%
Over 3.5 %29%26%31%
Scored1.181.221.15
Conceded1.431.131.69
BTTS57%61%54%
Clean Sheet18%17%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Egersund
Egersund
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDL1.50
HomeLLDDL1.28
AwayDLLWW1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%36%52%
AVG goals3.683.563.80
Over 1.5 %88%92%84%
Over 2.5 %72%68%76%
Over 3.5 %52%56%48%
Scored1.861.602.12
Conceded1.821.961.68
BTTS72%72%72%
Clean Sheet12%4%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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