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hodd vs Lyn Result & Analysis

Date: 29/09/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 0-1
hodd
hodd
Vs
24%
25%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lyn
Lyn
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

hodd win✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lyn win✓ Hit
51.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

hoddhodd

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L12L02L20W11D11D33D24L21W21WA·RAN02/08A·SOG06/08H·STA10/08A·FØR13/08H·SKE17/08A·MJO23/08A·BRA27/08H·RAU30/08A·ODD13/09H·MOS20/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.631.381.461.591.76
vs Stronger (6)1.332.001.002.331.671.67
vs Similar (22)1.321.641.501.201.172.00
vs Weaker (2)4.000.50--4.000.50
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LynLyn

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W21W31W11D32W20W00D10W21WA·RAU02/08A·ASA06/08H·RAN10/08A·NOR13/08H·EGE19/08A·SKE23/08A·FOL27/08H·ODD31/08A·MJO14/09H·SOG21/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.071.071.332.130.80
vs Stronger (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
vs Similar (24)1.331.080.921.311.820.82
vs Weaker (5)2.601.202.001.503.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.7%
Under 1.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.0%
Under 2.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.6%
Under 3.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.3%
0-1 ✓
8.2%
2-1
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
hodd goals ↓
Lyn goals →
01234
06.2%8.2%8.3%5.0%2.2%
14.9%12%9.7%5.8%2.6%
23.5%6.3%5.7%3.4%1.5%
31.4%2.5%2.2%1.3%0.6%
40.4%0.7%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = hodd goals (down), columns = Lyn goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lillestrom
2.67
Brattvåg
2.25
Start
1.83
Kongsvinger
1.77
Egersund
1.75
Aalesund
1.69
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Sogndal
1.43
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Mjondalen
0.83
Skeid
0.50
Grorud
0.00
hodd is 0.47 points worse than Lyn in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lillestrom
2.90
Kongsvinger
2.10
Start
1.93
Aalesund
1.91
Brattvåg
1.75
Egersund
1.72
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
Mjondalen
1.20
Skeid
1.17
hodd
1.13
Grorud
0.50
hodd is 0.47 goals worse than Lyn in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 1.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lillestrom
0.60
Brattvåg
1.00
Start
1.17
Lyn
1.23
Aalesund
1.25
Egersund
1.28
Kongsvinger
1.48
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Grorud
2.00
Moss
2.12
Skeid
2.20
Mjondalen
2.37
hodd is 0.50 goals worse than Lyn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

hoddhodd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D10W01L10W20W12L21W10WA·RAN02/08A·SOG06/08H·STA10/08A·FØR13/08H·SKE17/08A·MJO23/08A·BRA27/08H·RAU30/08A·ODD13/09H·MOS20/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.670.770.460.880.82
vs Stronger (6)0.670.330.670.670.670.00
vs Similar (22)0.770.820.800.400.751.17
vs Weaker (2)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LynLyn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D11D11D12L10W00D10W11DA·RAU02/08A·ASA06/08H·RAN10/08A·NOR13/08H·EGE19/08A·SKE23/08A·FOL27/08H·ODD31/08A·MJO14/09H·SOG21/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.400.730.730.40
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.500.540.380.770.640.27
vs Weaker (5)0.800.800.500.501.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
hodd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

hoddhodd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W02L10W10W01L13L12L00D11DA·RAN02/08A·SOG06/08H·STA10/08A·FØR13/08H·SKE17/08A·MJO23/08A·BRA27/08H·RAU30/08A·ODD13/09H·MOS20/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.970.621.000.710.94
vs Stronger (6)0.671.670.331.671.001.67
vs Similar (22)0.550.820.700.800.420.83
vs Weaker (2)2.000.50--2.000.50
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LynLyn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W10W20W00D20W10W00D00D10WA·RAU02/08A·ASA06/08H·RAN10/08A·NOR13/08H·EGE19/08A·SKE23/08A·FOL27/08H·ODD31/08A·MJO14/09H·SOG21/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.500.670.601.400.40
vs Stronger (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.830.540.540.541.180.55
vs Weaker (5)1.800.401.501.002.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
hodd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
hodd and Lyn have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (9)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
hodd and Lyn have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
hodd's midfield is €1m less valuable than Lyn's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
hodd and Lyn have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
HOD wins
0
Draws
0
LYN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

hodd vs Lyn · H/A from HOD
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/25ALyn Vs HOD0-1

hoddhodd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25HHOD Vs Moss2-1
13/09/25AODD Ballklubb Vs HOD1-2
30/08/25HHOD Vs Raufoss2-4
27/08/25ABrattvåg Vs HOD3-3
23/08/25AMjondalen Vs HOD1-1
17/08/25HHOD Vs Skeid1-1
13/08/25AFørde Vs HOD0-2
10/08/25HHOD Vs Start0-2
06/08/25ASogndal Vs HOD2-1
02/08/25ARanheim Vs HOD2-1

LynLyn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25HLYN Vs Sogndal2-1
14/09/25AMjondalen Vs LYN0-1
31/08/25HLYN Vs ODD Ballklubb0-0
27/08/25AFollo Vs LYN0-2
23/08/25ASkeid Vs LYN2-3
19/08/25HLYN Vs Egersund1-1
13/08/25ANordstrand Vs LYN1-3
10/08/25HLYN Vs Ranheim2-1
06/08/25AAsane Vs LYN0-2
02/08/25ARaufoss Vs LYN0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

hodd
hodd
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWW1.26
HomeWLDLW1.39
AwayLWDDW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%39%30%
AVG goals2.782.652.89
Over 1.5 %76%74%78%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %30%30%30%
Scored1.261.301.22
Conceded1.521.351.67
BTTS60%61%59%
Clean Sheet16%13%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Lyn
Lyn
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.66
HomeDWDDW1.33
AwayWWWWW1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%33%62%
AVG goals2.922.673.15
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored1.721.422.00
Conceded1.201.251.15
BTTS64%71%58%
Clean Sheet24%12%35%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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