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hodd vs Sandnes ULF Result & Analysis

Date: 27/09/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 1-1
hodd
hodd
Vs
33%
31%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sandnes ULF
Sandnes ULF
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

hodd win✗ Miss
33.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF win✗ Miss
36.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

hoddhodd

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L01L03L12L20W10W01L21W01L22DA·KRI01/07H·KFU08/07A·MJO05/08A·BRY13/08H·SKE19/08A·KFU23/08A·FRE27/08H·KON02/09A·ASA17/09H·JER23/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.301.000.911.001.67
vs Stronger (6)1.170.671.001.001.330.33
vs Similar (17)0.941.531.000.880.892.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %22% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandnes ULF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-533D50W12L20W20W10W10W03L12L11DH·ASA01/07A·RAN08/07H·SOG06/08H·MOS13/08A·JER19/08A·KRI23/08H·MJO27/08A·BRY03/09H·KFU16/09A·RAU24/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.471.441.691.501.21
vs Stronger (9)1.002.110.802.001.252.25
vs Similar (21)1.671.191.731.551.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.0%
Under 1.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.3%
Under 2.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.8%
Under 3.5
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.7%
No
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.5%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
hodd goals ↓
Sandnes ULF goals →
01234
011%10%7.0%2.8%0.8%
19.7%15%7.9%3.2%0.9%
26.2%7.5%4.5%1.8%0.5%
32.4%2.8%1.7%0.7%0.2%
40.7%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = hodd goals (down), columns = Sandnes ULF goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fredrikstad
2.13
KFUM Oslo
1.93
Kristiansund BK
1.69
Kongsvinger
1.68
Bryne
1.50
Start
1.48
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.33
Moss
1.27
Raufoss
1.27
Asane
1.23
Mjondalen
1.23
Sandnes ULF
1.23
hodd
1.10
jerv
1.03
Skeid
0.47
hodd is 0.13 points worse than Sandnes ULF in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kristiansund BK
1.91
Kongsvinger
1.77
KFUM Oslo
1.70
Fredrikstad
1.67
Start
1.58
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.40
Bryne
1.38
Asane
1.37
jerv
1.33
Mjondalen
1.30
Moss
1.23
Ranheim
1.20
Raufoss
1.17
hodd
0.97
Skeid
0.80
hodd is 0.43 goals worse than Sandnes ULF in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fredrikstad
0.77
KFUM Oslo
1.03
Bryne
1.16
Raufoss
1.20
Start
1.26
hodd
1.27
Kristiansund BK
1.28
Moss
1.33
Kongsvinger
1.39
Mjondalen
1.40
Asane
1.47
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.50
Ranheim
1.77
jerv
1.97
Skeid
2.07
hodd is 0.23 goals better than Sandnes ULF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

hoddhodd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L01L10W10W01L21W01L11DA·KRI01/07H·KFU08/07A·MJO05/08A·BRY13/08H·SKE19/08A·KFU23/08A·FRE27/08H·KON02/09A·ASA17/09H·JER23/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.520.430.640.360.420.50
vs Stronger (6)1.000.501.000.671.000.33
vs Similar (17)0.350.410.500.250.220.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandnes ULF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W40W00D10W10W10W10W03L11D00DH·ASA01/07A·RAN08/07H·SOG06/08H·MOS13/08A·JER19/08A·KRI23/08H·MJO27/08A·BRY03/09H·KFU16/09A·RAU24/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.730.690.500.861.00
vs Stronger (9)0.671.220.600.600.752.00
vs Similar (21)0.810.520.730.450.900.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
hodd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

hoddhodd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D02L11D10W00D00D00D00D11DA·KRI01/07H·KFU08/07A·MJO05/08A·BRY13/08H·SKE19/08A·KFU23/08A·FRE27/08H·KON02/09A·ASA17/09H·JER23/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.480.870.360.550.581.17
vs Stronger (6)0.170.170.000.330.330.00
vs Similar (17)0.591.120.500.620.671.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %48% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandnes ULF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W12L10W10W00D00D00D01L11DH·ASA01/07A·RAN08/07H·SOG06/08H·MOS13/08A·JER19/08A·KRI23/08H·MJO27/08A·BRY03/09H·KFU16/09A·RAU24/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.751.190.640.21
vs Stronger (9)0.330.890.201.400.500.25
vs Similar (21)0.860.671.001.090.700.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
hodd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (25)
€15m
KB (21)
€13m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
hodd and Sandnes ULF have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
hodd and Sandnes ULF have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
hodd and Sandnes ULF have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
hodd and Sandnes ULF have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
HOD wins
0
Draws
0
SU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

hodd vs Sandnes ULF · H/A from HOD
DateH/AGameScore
11/06/23ASandnes ULF Vs HOD1-3

hoddhodd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/23HHOD Vs jerv2-2
17/09/23AAsane Vs HOD1-0
02/09/23HHOD Vs Kongsvinger2-1
27/08/23AFredrikstad Vs HOD1-0
23/08/23AKFUM Oslo Vs HOD0-1
19/08/23HHOD Vs Skeid2-0
13/08/23ABryne Vs HOD2-1
05/08/23AMjondalen Vs HOD3-0
08/07/23HHOD Vs KFUM Oslo0-1
01/07/23AKristiansund BK Vs HOD4-0

Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/23ARaufoss Vs SU1-1
16/09/23HSU Vs KFUM Oslo1-2
03/09/23ABryne Vs SU3-0
27/08/23HSU Vs Mjondalen1-0
23/08/23AKristiansund BK Vs SU0-1
19/08/23Ajerv Vs SU0-2
13/08/23HSU Vs Moss2-0
06/08/23HSU Vs Sogndal1-2
08/07/23ARanheim Vs SU0-5
01/07/23HSU Vs Asane3-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

hodd
hodd
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.04
HomeLLWWD1.27
AwayLLWLL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%27%25%
AVG goals2.301.912.67
Over 1.5 %65%64%67%
Over 2.5 %43%27%58%
Over 3.5 %17%9%25%
Scored1.001.001.00
Conceded1.300.911.67
BTTS48%55%42%
Clean Sheet22%27%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Sandnes ULF
Sandnes ULF
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.30
HomeDLWWL1.08
AwayWWWLD1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%27%46%
AVG goals3.203.462.92
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %64%65%62%
Over 3.5 %42%50%33%
Scored1.601.691.50
Conceded1.601.771.42
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet28%31%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FredrikstadFredrikstad3064
60%
2.1
5023+27
2.4
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.70.8
-
2KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3058
57%
1.9
5131+20
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.71.0
-
3Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK3254
47%
1.7
6141+20
3.2
88%
56%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5431.91.3
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3152
52%
1.7
5543+12
3.2
94%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.81.4
-
5BryneBryne3248
44%
1.5
4437+7
2.5
75%
59%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.2
-
6StartStart3146
39%
1.5
4939+10
2.8
81%
65%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.61.3
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4545+0
3.0
83%
63%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.51.5
-
8RanheimRanheim3040
40%
1.3
3653-17
3.0
73%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.8
-
9RaufossRaufoss3038
33%
1.3
3536-1
2.4
63%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.2
-
10MossMoss3038
33%
1.3
3740-3
2.6
73%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.3
-
11Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3037
33%
1.2
4245-3
2.9
77%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
12AsaneAsane3037
30%
1.2
4144-3
2.8
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.41.5
-
13MjondalenMjondalen3037
33%
1.2
3942-3
2.7
77%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
14hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
2938-9
2.2
63%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.3
-
15jervjerv3031
27%
1.0
4059-19
3.3
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
16SkeidSkeid3014
10%
0.5
2462-38
2.9
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
Norway: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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