This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.73
1.00
1.93
1.47
1.53
vs Stronger (22)
1.18
1.82
1.09
2.09
1.27
1.55
vs Similar (8)
1.38
1.50
0.75
1.50
2.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.9%
@ 1.61+1.3%
Under 2.5
40.1%
@ 2.28-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.6%
Under 3.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.2%
No
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2 ✓
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
Holstein Kiel goals ↓
Wehen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
5.7%
5.2%
2.6%
1.0%
1
6.0%
12%
8.2%
4.2%
1.6%
2
5.6%
8.6%
6.5%
3.3%
1.3%
3
3.0%
4.5%
3.4%
1.7%
0.7%
4
1.2%
1.8%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Holstein Kiel goals (down), columns = Wehen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arminia Bielefeld
2.00
VfB Stuttgart
1.71
1. FC Heidenheim
1.62
Hamburger SV
1.59
SV Darmstadt 98
1.53
Hannover 96
1.41
Erzgebirge Aue
1.38
VfL Bochum
1.35
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.26
SV Sandhausen
1.26
Regensburg
1.26
VfL Osnabrück
1.18
FC St. Pauli
1.15
Karlsruher SC
1.09
1. FC Nürnberg
1.09
Wehen
1.00
Dynamo Dresden
0.94
Holstein Kiel is 0.26 points better than Wehen in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Arminia Bielefeld
1.91
Hamburger SV
1.82
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
Hannover 96
1.59
Holstein Kiel
1.56
VfL Bochum
1.56
Regensburg
1.47
SV Darmstadt 98
1.41
VfL Osnabrück
1.35
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.35
Erzgebirge Aue
1.35
Karlsruher SC
1.32
Wehen
1.32
1. FC Heidenheim
1.32
1. FC Nürnberg
1.32
SV Sandhausen
1.26
FC St. Pauli
1.21
Dynamo Dresden
0.94
Holstein Kiel is 0.24 goals better than Wehen in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arminia Bielefeld
0.88
1. FC Heidenheim
1.06
VfB Stuttgart
1.21
SV Darmstadt 98
1.26
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.32
SV Sandhausen
1.32
Hamburger SV
1.35
VfL Osnabrück
1.41
Erzgebirge Aue
1.41
Hannover 96
1.44
FC St. Pauli
1.47
VfL Bochum
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.65
Holstein Kiel
1.65
Regensburg
1.65
Dynamo Dresden
1.71
1. FC Nürnberg
1.71
Wehen
1.91
Holstein Kiel is 0.26 goals better than Wehen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 1.91).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Holstein Kiel
For 5.6 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 12.0 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
W
Wehen
For 6.2 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 11.4 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Holstein Kiel
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
11.2
11.8
3.9
4.0
3.8
24.3
25.3
23.3
vs Stronger (5)
9.8
10.3
9.0
5.0
4.3
6.0
22.8
24.3
20.5
vs Similar (31)
11.6
11.0
12.1
3.6
3.9
3.3
24.6
25.6
23.8
vs Weaker (14)
12.0
12.1
11.9
4.1
3.9
4.3
24.2
25.3
23.1
% over line
58%
54%
62%
52%
54%
50%
70%
79%
62%
% under line
42%
46%
38%
48%
46%
50%
30%
21%
38%
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (30)
10.2
10.2
10.2
4.6
4.6
4.6
24.5
25.0
23.9
vs Stronger (22)
10.9
10.8
11.0
4.1
4.2
4.1
23.2
23.4
23.1
vs Similar (8)
8.2
8.5
8.0
5.9
5.8
6.0
27.9
29.5
26.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
60%
47%
73%
73%
73%
73%
73%
73%
% under line
47%
40%
53%
27%
27%
27%
27%
27%
27%
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Holstein Kiel
11.5
Regensburg
11.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.9
SV Sandhausen
10.8
VfL Bochum
10.6
Karlsruher SC
10.5
SV Darmstadt 98
10.5
1. FC Heidenheim
10.4
1. FC Nürnberg
10.4
VfB Stuttgart
10.3
Wehen
10.2
Hannover 96
10.1
FC St. Pauli
10.1
Hamburger SV
10.1
Erzgebirge Aue
9.7
VfL Osnabrück
9.7
Arminia Bielefeld
9.6
Dynamo Dresden
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Erzgebirge Aue
5.3
VfL Osnabrück
5.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.7
Wehen
4.6
SV Sandhausen
4.6
Karlsruher SC
4.5
Regensburg
4.5
Dynamo Dresden
4.4
VfB Stuttgart
4.2
SV Darmstadt 98
4.2
VfL Bochum
4.2
Hannover 96
4.0
1. FC Nürnberg
4.0
FC St. Pauli
3.9
Holstein Kiel
3.9
Arminia Bielefeld
3.8
Hamburger SV
3.7
1. FC Heidenheim
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Regensburg
28.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
27.8
VfL Osnabrück
27.2
Dynamo Dresden
27.1
SV Sandhausen
26.9
VfL Bochum
26.9
Erzgebirge Aue
26.3
SV Darmstadt 98
25.7
Hannover 96
25.5
Karlsruher SC
25.3
FC St. Pauli
24.9
Wehen
24.5
Holstein Kiel
24.3
VfB Stuttgart
24.0
1. FC Heidenheim
24.0
Hamburger SV
23.9
1. FC Nürnberg
23.6
Arminia Bielefeld
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.1%
Under 9.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.4%
Under 3.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
68.1%
Under 21.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Holstein Kiel
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
0.71
0.64
0.81
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.67
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
0.62
0.75
0.75
1.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.53
1.00
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (22)
0.64
0.77
0.55
1.09
0.73
0.45
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.88
0.50
0.75
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Holstein Kiel over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Holstein Kiel
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.00
0.64
0.86
1.00
1.12
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.83
0.62
0.50
0.80
1.10
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
1.38
0.50
1.25
1.25
1.50
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.93
0.47
0.93
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (22)
0.55
1.05
0.55
1.00
0.55
1.09
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.62
0.25
0.75
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Holstein Kiel over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Holstein Kiel · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Phil Harres75%
Guillermo Balzi50%
Jonas Therkelsen25%
Ivan Nekić0%
Timon Weiner0%
Jonas Meffert0%
David Zec0%
Faride Alidou0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Hiroki Sekine0%
Leon Parduzi0%
Kasper Davidsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kasper Davidsen75%
Ivan Nekić50%
Jonas Therkelsen50%
Hiroki Sekine50%
Timon Weiner33%
Leon Parduzi33%
Jonas Meffert25%
Guillermo Balzi25%
David Zec0%
Faride Alidou0%
Phil Harres0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Phil Harres50%
Adrián Kaprálik50%
Ivan Nekić0%
Timon Weiner0%
Jonas Meffert0%
David Zec0%
Faride Alidou0%
Guillermo Balzi0%
Jonas Therkelsen0%
Hiroki Sekine0%
Leon Parduzi0%
Kasper Davidsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Phil Harres75%
Guillermo Balzi25%
Ivan Nekić0%
Timon Weiner0%
Jonas Meffert0%
David Zec0%
Faride Alidou0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Jonas Therkelsen0%
Hiroki Sekine0%
Leon Parduzi0%
Kasper Davidsen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
VfB Stuttgart
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
SV Darmstadt 98
Hannover 96
Erzgebirge Aue
VfL Bochum
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Sandhausen
VfL Osnabrück
FC St. Pauli
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Nürnberg
Dynamo Dresden