This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
2.00
1.25
2.00
2.00
2.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
2.00
0.67
2.33
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
2.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
0% (-27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.4%
Under 2.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
8.0%
0-0 ✓
7.7%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
5.7%
Hradec Králové goals ↓
Baník Ostrava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
7.4%
5.7%
2.5%
0.8%
1
8.0%
13%
8.0%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.5%
8.6%
5.7%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.0%
4.0%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.1%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hradec Králové goals (down), columns = Baník Ostrava goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.23
Sparta Praha
2.23
Plzen
1.74
Bohemians 1905
1.49
Slovácko
1.43
Sigma Olomouc
1.37
Hradec Králové
1.32
Slovan Liberec
1.29
Teplice
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
FK Jablonec
1.14
Pardubice
1.11
Zlin
1.03
Zbrojovka Brno
0.94
Příbram
0.50
Vyškov
0.50
Hradec Králové is 0.12 points better than Baník Ostrava in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.80
Sparta Praha
2.17
Plzen
1.71
Bohemians 1905
1.60
Sigma Olomouc
1.51
Baník Ostrava
1.51
Slovan Liberec
1.50
FK Jablonec
1.40
Teplice
1.29
Mlada Boleslav
1.22
Zlin
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
Zbrojovka Brno
1.17
Hradec Králové
1.15
Slovácko
1.14
Pardubice
1.08
Příbram
0.00
Vyškov
0.00
Hradec Králové is 0.37 goals worse than Baník Ostrava in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.51).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vyškov
0.50
Slavia Praha
0.89
Sparta Praha
0.94
Příbram
1.00
Plzen
1.09
Slovácko
1.31
Sigma Olomouc
1.34
Hradec Králové
1.35
Mlada Boleslav
1.38
Baník Ostrava
1.43
Slovan Liberec
1.44
Zlin
1.62
Bohemians 1905
1.66
Pardubice
1.70
FK Jablonec
1.80
Zbrojovka Brno
1.83
České Budějovice
1.88
Teplice
1.91
Hradec Králové is 0.08 goals better than Baník Ostrava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Slavia Praha
61%
České Budějovice
56%
Sigma Olomouc
55%
Mlada Boleslav
53%
Sparta Praha
53%
Zbrojovka Brno
52%
Pardubice
51%
Baník Ostrava
50%
FK Jablonec
50%
Plzen
50%
Slovan Liberec
48%
Slovácko
48%
Vyškov
47%
Teplice
46%
Zlin
44%
Bohemians 1905
44%
Hradec Králové
39%
Hradec Králové is 11.3 percentage points worse than Baník Ostrava in terms of average possession (39% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hradec Králové
For 4.2 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 11.8 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Baník Ostrava
For 6.5 · Against 3.8 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 11.2 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hradec Králové
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (6)
8.8
11.0
6.7
5.7
5.0
6.3
26.8
18.7
35.0
vs Stronger (2)
11.0
11.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
18.5
18.5
-
vs Similar (4)
7.8
11.0
6.7
6.5
7.0
6.3
31.0
19.0
35.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
83%
67%
100%
50%
0%
100%
% under line
50%
0%
100%
17%
33%
0%
50%
100%
0%
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (6)
10.3
10.5
10.0
5.7
5.2
6.5
25.0
25.2
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
11.0
11.3
10.0
6.2
5.7
8.0
25.2
26.3
22.0
vs Weaker (2)
9.0
8.0
10.0
4.5
4.0
5.0
24.5
22.0
27.0
% over line
83%
75%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
17%
25%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sparta Praha
11.4
Pardubice
11.3
Slovan Liberec
11.1
Sigma Olomouc
10.8
Plzen
10.8
Zbrojovka Brno
10.8
Baník Ostrava
10.3
Teplice
10.0
Slovácko
9.9
Zlin
9.3
Slavia Praha
9.2
FK Jablonec
9.0
České Budějovice
8.9
Hradec Králové
8.8
Mlada Boleslav
8.3
Bohemians 1905
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FK Jablonec
6.4
Sparta Praha
6.1
Sigma Olomouc
5.8
Baník Ostrava
5.7
Hradec Králové
5.7
Teplice
5.6
Slavia Praha
5.4
Bohemians 1905
5.3
Slovácko
5.0
Slovan Liberec
4.9
Plzen
4.8
Zlin
4.7
Pardubice
4.7
Mlada Boleslav
4.4
České Budějovice
4.3
Zbrojovka Brno
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mlada Boleslav
28.8
Teplice
27.9
FK Jablonec
27.1
Slovácko
26.9
Hradec Králové
26.8
Bohemians 1905
26.3
Zlin
26.1
Baník Ostrava
25.0
Sigma Olomouc
25.0
Slovan Liberec
24.4
Plzen
24.1
Slavia Praha
24.0
Pardubice
23.5
Zbrojovka Brno
22.4
Sparta Praha
21.9
České Budějovice
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.5%
Under 9.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.6%
Under 3.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.2%
Under 21.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hradec Králové
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.25
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.50
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.50
3.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hradec Králové
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.17
0.25
1.50
1.50
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.50
0.33
1.67
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hradec Králové · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
František Čech20%
M. van Buren17%
Vladimír Darida17%
T. Slončík17%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
D. Trubač0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
D. Horák0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
A. Umar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Dancák33%
Filip Čihák33%
Elione Neto33%
M. Valenta20%
František Čech20%
A. Umar20%
Vladimír Darida17%
D. Trubač17%
D. Horák17%
M. van Buren0%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
A. Vlkanova0%
A. Zadražil0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
T. Slončík0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
D. Horák17%
J. Uhrinčať17%
M. van Buren0%
Vladimír Darida0%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
D. Trubač0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
František Čech0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
T. Slončík0%
A. Umar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. van Buren33%
Vladimír Darida33%
D. Horák33%
T. Slončík33%
D. Trubač17%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
František Čech0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
A. Umar0%
Baník Ostrava · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Kohút33%
Václav Jurečka25%
Matěj Chaluš25%
Jiri Micek20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Filip Kubala0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Roan Nogha0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matěj Chaluš25%
Filip Kubala25%
Roan Nogha20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Michal Kohút0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Filip Kubala25%
Artúr Musák25%
Roan Nogha20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Michal Kohút0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michal Kohút33%
Dantaye Gilbert20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Filip Kubala0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Roan Nogha0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
Hradec Králové's squad is €5m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€14m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Hradec Králové's attack is €1m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€4m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Hradec Králové's midfield is €4m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€3m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Hradec Králové and Baník Ostrava have a similar defence value (both €7m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
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Sparta Praha
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