The clash between Hradec Králové and Plzeň sits on a razor-thin edge, with the model favouring a home win. The probability spread shows a 37% chance for Hradec Králové, 29% for a draw, and 34% for Plzeň. The average goal count is 2.7, with the most likely total being two goals, a 26% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 13.6% probability.
Hradec Králové, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Plzeň, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.86 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. Both sides have shown recent form that keeps the outcome uncertain: Hradec Králové are coming off a 0-2 loss, while Plzeň return from a 1-1 draw.
The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Under 6.5 (98.1% with a 2% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.7% with a 5% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (95.1% with a 1% edge), Under 5.5 (94.7% with a 4% edge), Under 4.5 (87.0% with a 4% edge), Over 19.5 fouls (86.8%), and Away under 2.5 goals (85.8% with a 6% edge).
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hradec Králové win
35.9%
Avg Implied 32.4% · @ 2.86
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.20
1xBet
2.99
Marathonbet
2.97
Unibet
2.95
William Hil
2.88
Draw
28.5%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.39
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.60
Dafabet
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Plzen win
35.6%
Avg Implied 40.3% · @ 2.30
Edge
-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.52
10Bet
2.44
Dafabet
2.41
William Hil
2.30
888Sport
2.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hradec Králové
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.93
1.40
0.73
0.73
1.13
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
1.70
1.20
1.40
0.80
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.10
0.55
1.50
0.40
0.70
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Plzen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plzen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.17
1.94
0.94
1.14
1.43
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.67
2.50
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (19)
2.00
1.26
2.08
1.00
1.86
1.71
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.6%
@ 1.24+1.0%
Under 1.5
24.4%
@ 3.65-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.22
Under
Betano
3.85
888Sport
3.80
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.68
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
49.6%
@ 1.81-2.4%
Under 2.5
50.4%
@ 1.96+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.98
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Under
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.00
888Sport
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.7%
@ 2.97-3.6%
Under 3.5
72.3%
@ 1.35+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.35
Bet365
3.00
Betano
3.00
10Bet
2.95
888Sport
2.90
Under
Betano
1.42
888Sport
1.36
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Both teams to score
Yes
55.3%
@ 1.64-1.1%
No
44.7%
@ 2.12+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.75
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
888Sport
1.62
William Hil
1.62
No
888Sport
2.20
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%@ 6.32+6.6%
2-1
8.2%@ 9.44+3.5%
0-0
8.2%@ 10.71+4.1%
1-2
8.2%@ 8.61+3.0%
1-0
8.1%@ 9.22+3.3%
0-1
8.1%@ 8.46+2.8%
2-0
6.2%@ 14.12+3.1%
0-2
6.2%@ 11.36+2.2%
Hradec Králové goals ↓
Plzen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
8.1%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
1
8.1%
14%
8.2%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.2%
8.2%
5.5%
2.4%
0.8%
3
2.8%
3.7%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.9%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hradec Králové goals (down), columns = Plzen goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Hradec Králové is 0.20 points better than Plzen in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Hradec Králové is 1.40 goals worse than Plzen in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Hradec Králové is 1.40 goals better than Plzen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Hradec Králové is 4.8 percentage points worse than Plzen in terms of average possession (54% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hradec Králové
For 4.4 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Plzen
For 5.3 · Against 3.0 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 13.1 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hradec Králové
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.7
9.8
3.2
3.8
2.6
22.8
23.0
22.6
vs Stronger (14)
11.2
13.2
9.2
3.5
3.7
3.3
20.9
21.0
20.8
vs Similar (35)
9.2
8.4
10.1
3.1
3.8
2.5
23.5
23.7
23.3
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
45%
55%
38%
58%
19%
59%
55%
64%
% under line
50%
55%
45%
62%
42%
81%
41%
45%
36%
This opponent (Plzen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plzen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.8
8.5
5.0
5.8
4.2
26.5
27.2
25.7
vs Stronger (5)
9.8
11.0
8.0
7.4
8.0
6.5
26.8
30.7
21.0
vs Similar (13)
9.8
11.0
9.1
6.2
7.4
5.4
28.5
31.4
26.8
vs Weaker (32)
8.8
9.3
8.1
4.2
5.0
3.2
25.5
25.3
25.8
% over line
46%
52%
38%
70%
72%
68%
80%
80%
81%
% under line
54%
48%
62%
30%
28%
32%
20%
20%
19%
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
11.0
Zbrojovka Brno
10.4
Slovácko
10.2
Bohemians 1905
10.2
Slovan Liberec
10.0
Sparta Praha
9.9
Baník Ostrava
9.9
Pardubice
9.9
Hradec Králové
9.7
FK Jablonec
9.7
Plzen
9.4
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.3
Teplice
9.0
Artis
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plzen
5.5
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Sparta Praha
4.8
Pardubice
4.4
Teplice
4.4
Slavia Praha
4.3
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Slovácko
4.0
Zlin
3.9
Bohemians 1905
3.8
Hradec Králové
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.5
Artis
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.8
Zlin
28.6
Teplice
28.4
Slavia Praha
26.9
Slovácko
26.7
Sigma Olomouc
26.6
FK Jablonec
26.6
Artis
26.5
Plzen
26.3
Pardubice
25.5
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Sparta Praha
24.7
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Bohemians 1905
23.1
Hradec Králové
22.7
Zbrojovka Brno
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.7%
@ 1.82-2.1%
Under 9.5
51.3%
@ 1.88+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.88
Unibet
1.81
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.92
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Unibet
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.1%
Under 3.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.1%
Under 21.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hradec Králové or Draw
64.4%
Avg Implied 59.4% · @ 1.58
Edge
+5.0%
36%
29%
36%
covers Hradec Králové + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
William Hil
1.57
888Sport
1.57
Hradec Králové or Plzen
71.5%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.28
Edge
-1.8%
36%
29%
36%
covers Hradec Králové + Plzen
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Draw or Plzen
64.1%
Avg Implied 67.3% · @ 1.40
Edge
-3.2%
36%
29%
36%
covers Draw + Plzen
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
888Sport
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.36
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5
Over
73.6%
@ 1.30+2.1%
Under
26.4%
@ 3.25-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Under
10Bet
3.50
Betano
3.45
888Sport
3.30
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.24
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5
Over
38.5%
@ 2.46+0.7%
Under
61.5%
@ 1.50-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.75
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.47
888Sport
2.40
Under
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.57
888Sport
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5
Over
15.0%
@ 5.71-1.2%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.11+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
5.85
Marathonbet
5.85
888Sport
5.75
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Hradec Králové over/under 3.5
Over
4.6%
@ 15.08-1.7%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.03+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
888Sport
17.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Plzen over/under 0.5
Over
73.4%
@ 1.23-2.1%
Under
26.6%
@ 3.80+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.05
888Sport
3.90
10Bet
3.60
Betano
3.50
Plzen over/under 1.5
Over
38.2%
@ 2.12-5.6%
Under
61.8%
@ 1.65+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.23
10Bet
2.20
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.08
Under
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
888Sport
1.67
Betano
1.62
Plzen over/under 2.5
Over
14.9%
@ 4.52-5.6%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.17+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.55
Marathonbet
4.40
888Sport
4.40
Under
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Plzen over/under 3.5
Over
4.6%
@ 10.25-4.7%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.05+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hradec Králové, so a minus line means Hradec Králové give that many goals of a start and Plzen receive them. At -1, Hradec Králové must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hradec Králové win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hradec Králové)
Hradec Králové -2
5.9%
@ 17.00+0.5%
Draw -2
10.8%
@ 10.00+1.5%
Plzen +2
83.3%
@ 1.09-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
17.00
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
1.09
Handicap -1 (Hradec Králové)
Hradec Králové -1
16.7%
@ 6.05+1.8%
Draw -1
19.2%
@ 4.54-0.7%
Plzen +1
64.1%
@ 1.38-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.25
Marathonbet
5.95
10Bet
5.00
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.70
Unibet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Away
10Bet
1.48
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Handicap +1 (Hradec Králové)
Hradec Králové +1
64.4%
@ 1.60+8.4%
Draw +1
19.1%
@ 3.91-3.9%
Plzen -1
16.5%
@ 4.28-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.59
Unibet
1.58
10Bet
1.50
Draw
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Unibet
3.65
Away
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Bet365
4.00
Handicap +2 (Hradec Králové)
Hradec Králové +2
83.5%
@ 1.18+8.1%
Draw +2
10.7%
@ 6.18-3.7%
Plzen -2
5.8%
@ 8.73-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Draw
Marathonbet
6.55
Unibet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Away
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.70
Bet365
8.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hradec Králové
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.33
0.60
0.27
0.33
0.40
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.20
0.70
0.20
0.30
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Plzen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plzen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
0.94
0.31
0.79
0.86
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.62
0.00
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (19)
1.16
0.53
1.08
0.25
1.29
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.5%
@ 1.34+1.2%
Under 0.5
29.5%
@ 3.04-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.25
10Bet
3.10
Betano
3.00
Marathonbet
2.95
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.6%
@ 2.61-0.9%
Under 1.5
65.4%
@ 1.44+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.80
Betano
2.70
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.59
1xBet
2.59
Under
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.3%
@ 6.28-3.5%
Under 2.5
88.7%
@ 1.09+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.15
1xBet
6.15
Betano
6.10
William Hil
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.6%
@ 2.08+3.3%
Under
52.4%
@ 1.66-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Betano
2.05
10Bet
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Unibet
1.57
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.7%
@ 6.67-0.2%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.08+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.40
Marathonbet
7.40
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.5%
@ 16.50-3.3%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Plzen over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.4%
@ 1.95-2.1%
Under
54.6%
@ 1.76+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Unibet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Under
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Unibet
1.70
Plzen over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.2%
@ 5.81-5.8%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.10+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Plzen over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
@ 15.25-4.9%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hradec Králové
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.80
0.47
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.10
0.80
1.00
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.35
0.80
0.20
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Plzen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plzen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
1.00
0.62
0.36
0.57
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.12
0.50
0.00
0.17
0.17
vs Weaker (19)
0.84
0.74
1.00
0.75
0.57
0.71
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.1%
@ 1.20+0.7%
Under 0.5
21.9%
@ 4.10-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
888Sport
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.4%
@ 1.99-2.3%
Under 1.5
55.6%
@ 1.74+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.15
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Betano
1.95
Under
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
888Sport
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.2%
@ 4.02-5.8%
Under 2.5
82.8%
@ 1.20+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
William Hil
4.00
888Sport
4.00
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.98
Under
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.7%
@ 1.75+0.7%
Under
46.3%
@ 1.97-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Under
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.9%
@ 4.76+0.4%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.16-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.15
Marathonbet
5.15
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.2%
@ 11.25-4.1%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.03+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Plzen over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.3%
@ 1.67-6.3%
Under
50.7%
@ 2.09+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.61
Under
1xBet
2.15
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Plzen over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.4%
@ 4.20-5.7%
Under
83.6%
@ 1.19+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.10
Betano
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Plzen over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
@ 10.62-5.9%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.03+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.9%
Under 6.5
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.1%
Away under 3.5 goals
95.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
-
-
+4.7%
Home under 3.5 goals
95.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+1.7%
Under 5.5
94.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
+3.5%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
+5.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.09
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+3.5%
Under 4.5
86.9%
1.12
Betano
1.16
888Sport
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
+3.9%
Over 19.5 fouls
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+0.2%
Away under 2.5 goals
85.1%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
+5.6%
Home under 2.5 goals
85.0%
1.11
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.08
+1.2%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.6%
1.19
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
10Bet
1.17
-
+5.7%
Home +2 handicap
83.5%
1.18
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
+8.1%
Away +2 handicap
83.3%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-2.0%
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.8%
1.20
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
+5.8%
Over 2.5 cards
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.16
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-0.4%
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.1%
1.20
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
+0.7%
Over 1.5
75.6%
1.24
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.22
+1.0%
Over 21.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
74.5%
1.30
Unibet
1.34
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+4.7%
Home over 0.5 goals
73.6%
1.30
Unibet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.28
+2.1%
Away over 0.5 goals
73.4%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.20
-2.1%
Under 5.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
72.3%
1.35
Betano
1.42
888Sport
1.36
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
+3.6%
Home or Away
71.5%
1.28
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
-1.8%
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.5%
1.34
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
+1.2%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hradec Králové
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
František Čech20%
M. van Buren17%
Vladimír Darida17%
T. Slončík17%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
D. Trubač0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
D. Horák0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
A. Umar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Dancák33%
Filip Čihák33%
Elione Neto33%
M. Valenta20%
František Čech20%
A. Umar20%
Vladimír Darida17%
D. Trubač17%
D. Horák17%
M. van Buren0%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
A. Vlkanova0%
A. Zadražil0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
T. Slončík0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
D. Horák17%
J. Uhrinčať17%
M. van Buren0%
Vladimír Darida0%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
D. Trubač0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
František Čech0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
T. Slončík0%
A. Umar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. van Buren33%
Vladimír Darida33%
D. Horák33%
T. Slončík33%
D. Trubač17%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
František Čech0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
A. Umar0%
Plzen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christophe Kabongo50%
Matěj Vydra33%
Tomáš Ladra33%
Dávid Krčík33%
Patrik Hrošovský25%
Denis Višinský25%
Sampson Dweh25%
Lukáš Červ0%
Cheick Souaré0%
Filip Prebsl0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Merchas Doski0%
Amar Memić0%
Stefan Pirgić0%
Alexandr Sojka0%
Karel Spáčil0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sampson Dweh50%
Matěj Vydra33%
Merchas Doski33%
Lukáš Červ25%
Christophe Kabongo25%
Stefan Pirgić25%
Patrik Hrošovský0%
Tomáš Ladra0%
Cheick Souaré0%
Filip Prebsl0%
Dávid Krčík0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Denis Višinský0%
Amar Memić0%
Alexandr Sojka0%
Karel Spáčil0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cheick Souaré33%
Alexandr Sojka33%
Patrik Hrošovský25%
Amar Memić25%
Matěj Vydra0%
Tomáš Ladra0%
Lukáš Červ0%
Filip Prebsl0%
Dávid Krčík0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Merchas Doski0%
Christophe Kabongo0%
Denis Višinský0%
Sampson Dweh0%
Stefan Pirgić0%
Karel Spáčil0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matěj Vydra33%
Patrik Hrošovský0%
Tomáš Ladra0%
Lukáš Červ0%
Cheick Souaré0%
Filip Prebsl0%
Dávid Krčík0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Merchas Doski0%
Christophe Kabongo0%
Denis Višinský0%
Sampson Dweh0%
Amar Memić0%
Stefan Pirgić0%
Alexandr Sojka0%
Karel Spáčil0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Hradec Králové's squad is €43m less valuable than Plzen's (€14m vs €57m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Hradec Králové's attack is €11m less valuable than Plzen's (€4m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Hradec Králové's midfield is €19m less valuable than Plzen's (€3m vs €22m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Hradec Králové's defence is €13m less valuable than Plzen's (€7m vs €20m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Zbrojovka Brno
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
Teplice
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
Bohemians 1905
Artis
Slovácko
Pardubice
Zlin