Hradec Králové enter the match after a defeat, their recent five results reading LDDLW, while Sparta Praha also come off a loss, their last five a mixed LWWLL. The model predicts an away win with a 39% chance, a draw at 31% and a home win at 30%. The expected total of goals is 2.3, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 28%. The single scoreline the model favours is 1-1, carrying a 14.5% probability. Hradec Králové, playing at home against a stronger side, average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, whereas Sparta Praha, on the road against a weaker opponent, average 1.55 scored and 0.73 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.0% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.1% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.6% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1% with an 8% edge), Under 5.5 (96.9% with a 6% edge) and Away under 3.5 goals (96.2% with a 7% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hradec Králové win
30.2%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.31
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Dafabet
3.35
1xBet
3.35
Betano
3.30
Draw
30.7%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.38
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.45
Dafabet
3.45
1xBet
3.45
Sparta Praha win
39.1%
Avg Implied 44.7% · @ 2.07
Edge
-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.16
Betano
2.12
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.06
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hradec Králové
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.93
1.40
0.73
0.73
1.13
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
1.70
1.20
1.40
0.80
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.10
0.55
1.50
0.40
0.70
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.13
2.33
1.20
1.27
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.50
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (22)
2.27
0.82
3.00
0.91
1.55
0.73
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
68.7%
@ 1.25-5.8%
Under 1.5
31.3%
@ 3.63+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Under
Marathonbet
3.76
1xBet
3.72
Unibet
3.65
Betano
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
40.9%
@ 1.83-10.3%
Under 2.5
59.1%
@ 1.92+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.87
Betfair
1.85
BetVictor
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Under
Marathonbet
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Unibet
1.90
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.5%
@ 3.03-10.2%
Under 3.5
79.5%
@ 1.34+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Betano
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Unibet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Both teams to score
Yes
48.2%
@ 1.67-7.3%
No
51.8%
@ 2.07+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.75
William Hil
1.73
BetVictor
1.67
Unibet
1.65
Betano
1.65
No
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.11
10Bet
2.10
BetVictor
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%@ 6.28+7.4%
0-0
11.1%@ 10.36+6.9%
0-1
11.0%@ 7.63+5.2%
1-0
9.2%@ 10.00+4.8%
1-2
8.2%@ 8.00+2.7%
0-2
7.7%@ 9.92+3.2%
2-1
7.0%@ 10.61+2.8%
2-0
5.6%@ 16.08+2.9%
Hradec Králové goals ↓
Sparta Praha goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
11%
7.7%
3.2%
1.0%
1
9.2%
14%
8.2%
3.4%
1.1%
2
5.6%
7.0%
4.4%
1.8%
0.6%
3
2.0%
2.5%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hradec Králové goals (down), columns = Sparta Praha goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Hradec Králové is 0.10 points worse than Sparta Praha in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Hradec Králové is 1.20 goals worse than Sparta Praha in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Hradec Králové is 0.67 goals better than Sparta Praha in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Hradec Králové is 11.2 percentage points worse than Sparta Praha in terms of average possession (54% vs 65%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hradec Králové
For 4.4 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sparta Praha
For 6.9 · Against 4.6 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 14.6 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hradec Králové
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.7
9.8
3.2
3.9
2.6
22.8
23.0
22.6
vs Stronger (13)
11.2
13.2
9.2
3.8
4.3
3.3
20.9
21.0
20.8
vs Similar (36)
9.2
8.4
10.1
3.1
3.8
2.5
23.5
23.6
23.3
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
49%
43%
55%
38%
58%
19%
60%
57%
64%
% under line
51%
57%
45%
62%
42%
81%
40%
43%
36%
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.5
4.0
4.3
3.6
25.0
23.6
26.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
11.2
12.0
10.0
3.8
3.9
3.7
26.4
25.0
28.4
vs Weaker (36)
9.4
9.5
9.3
4.0
4.5
3.6
24.4
23.0
25.9
% over line
44%
46%
43%
52%
50%
54%
73%
54%
95%
% under line
56%
54%
57%
48%
50%
46%
27%
46%
5%
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
11.0
Zbrojovka Brno
10.4
Slovácko
10.2
Bohemians 1905
10.2
Slovan Liberec
10.0
Sparta Praha
9.9
Baník Ostrava
9.9
Pardubice
9.9
Hradec Králové
9.7
FK Jablonec
9.7
Plzen
9.4
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.3
Teplice
9.0
Artis
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plzen
5.5
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Sparta Praha
4.8
Pardubice
4.4
Teplice
4.4
Slavia Praha
4.3
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Slovácko
4.0
Zlin
3.9
Bohemians 1905
3.8
Hradec Králové
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.5
Artis
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.8
Zlin
28.6
Teplice
28.4
Slavia Praha
26.9
Slovácko
26.7
Sigma Olomouc
26.6
FK Jablonec
26.6
Artis
26.5
Plzen
26.3
Pardubice
25.5
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Sparta Praha
24.7
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Bohemians 1905
23.1
Hradec Králové
22.7
Zbrojovka Brno
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.7%
@ 1.93+3.8%
Under 9.5
48.3%
@ 1.77-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.98
10Bet
1.90
Unibet
1.76
Under
Unibet
1.92
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.70
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.1%
Under 3.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.6%
Under 21.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hradec Králové or Draw
60.9%
Avg Implied 55.1% · @ 1.70
Edge
+5.8%
30%
31%
39%
covers Hradec Králové + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.71
Hradec Králové or Sparta Praha
69.3%
Avg Implied 73.0% · @ 1.28
Edge
-3.7%
30%
31%
39%
covers Hradec Králové + Sparta Praha
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Draw or Sparta Praha
69.8%
Avg Implied 71.9% · @ 1.30
Edge
-2.1%
30%
31%
39%
covers Draw + Sparta Praha
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5
Over
65.7%
@ 1.35-2.9%
Under
34.3%
@ 2.94+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Under
Betano
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
1xBet
2.98
10Bet
2.95
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5
Over
29.0%
@ 2.73-5.0%
Under
71.0%
@ 1.40+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Marathonbet
2.73
Under
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5
Over
9.3%
@ 6.87-4.2%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.07+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.10
BetVictor
7.00
1xBet
6.90
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Hradec Králové over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
@ 16.12-3.6%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5
Over
71.4%
@ 1.20-6.2%
Under
28.6%
@ 4.14+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Under
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.40
BetVictor
4.10
Unibet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5
Over
35.6%
@ 2.01-10.7%
Under
64.4%
@ 1.73+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
BetVictor
2.05
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.78
Unibet
1.76
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5
Over
13.2%
@ 4.21-8.8%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.19+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.40
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.15
Under
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Sparta Praha over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
@ 10.00-5.6%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.04+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
1xBet
9.60
Betfair
9.50
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hradec Králové, so a minus line means Hradec Králové give that many goals of a start and Sparta Praha receive them. At -1, Hradec Králové must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hradec Králové win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hradec Králové)
Hradec Králové -2
3.6%
@ 19.00-1.2%
Draw -2
8.6%
@ 10.00-0.7%
Sparta Praha +2
87.8%
@ 1.08+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
19.00
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
1.08
Handicap -1 (Hradec Králové)
Hradec Králové -1
12.2%
@ 6.97-0.7%
Draw -1
18.0%
@ 4.94-0.2%
Sparta Praha +1
69.8%
@ 1.30+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.40
Unibet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Draw
Marathonbet
5.25
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.75
Away
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Handicap +1 (Hradec Králové)
Hradec Králové +1
60.9%
@ 1.69+8.2%
Draw +1
21.2%
@ 3.77-2.3%
Sparta Praha -1
17.9%
@ 3.75-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.62
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
3.55
Away
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.58
Unibet
3.45
Handicap +2 (Hradec Králové)
Hradec Králové +2
82.1%
@ 1.22+8.2%
Draw +2
11.7%
@ 5.99-3.3%
Sparta Praha -2
6.1%
@ 8.20-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.15
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
5.30
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
9.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Unibet
7.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hradec Králové
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.33
0.60
0.27
0.33
0.40
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.20
0.70
0.20
0.30
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
1.13
0.60
0.33
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.12
0.62
0.00
0.75
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (22)
0.95
0.41
1.55
0.55
0.36
0.27
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.9%
@ 1.35+0.4%
Under 0.5
31.1%
@ 2.94-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.38
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.20
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.99
1xBet
2.98
William Hil
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.7%
@ 2.67-2.1%
Under 1.5
67.3%
@ 1.42+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.77
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.75
10Bet
2.65
Under
Betano
1.45
Unibet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
BetVictor
1.43
1xBet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.2%
@ 6.69-3.7%
Under 2.5
89.8%
@ 1.08+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
William Hil
7.00
1xBet
6.45
Marathonbet
6.40
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.5%
@ 2.26+1.7%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.56-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
Unibet
2.23
Under
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.1%
@ 7.95+0.3%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.05-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.70
1xBet
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
@ 12.50-5.5%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.5%
@ 1.84-4.7%
Under
54.5%
@ 1.85+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Unibet
1.79
Under
Unibet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.1%
@ 5.31-6.4%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.13+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.8%
@ 13.00-5.5%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hradec Králové
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.80
0.47
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.10
0.80
1.00
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.35
0.80
0.20
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.67
1.20
0.60
0.93
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.38
1.38
0.50
1.25
0.25
1.50
vs Weaker (22)
1.32
0.41
1.45
0.36
1.18
0.45
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.3%
@ 1.20-0.6%
Under 0.5
23.7%
@ 4.02+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Betano
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.4%
@ 2.01-5.9%
Under 1.5
59.6%
@ 1.73+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Under
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Unibet
1.68
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.3%
@ 4.25-6.5%
Under 2.5
84.7%
@ 1.19+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.5%
@ 1.84-2.8%
Under
52.5%
@ 1.86+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
Betano
1.83
10Bet
1.77
Under
10Bet
1.93
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.80
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.1%
@ 5.35-2.2%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.12+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
5.60
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.4%
@ 13.00-3.8%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.8%
@ 1.61-9.0%
Under
51.2%
@ 2.20+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Under
Betano
2.25
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.15
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.1%
@ 3.87-7.8%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.22+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.82
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.0%
@ 9.25-7.2%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.04+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.0%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.5%
Home under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+7.2%
Under 5.5
96.9%
1.03
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
BetVictor
1.02
-
+5.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.8%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
+5.6%
Under 4.5
91.4%
1.10
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+7.2%
Home under 2.5 goals
90.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
+4.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.05
+3.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.13
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+6.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-0.3%
Away +2 handicap
87.8%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+1.9%
Away under 2.5 goals
86.8%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
+8.8%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.12
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-
+2.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.7%
1.19
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
+6.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.9%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
-
+7.8%
Home +2 handicap
82.1%
1.22
Unibet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
-
+8.2%
Over 2.5 cards
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
79.5%
1.34
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
+10.2%
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.3%
1.20
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
-0.6%
Under 5.5 cards
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
71.9%
1.28
Unibet
1.37
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.22
-
-
+0.5%
Away over 0.5 goals
71.4%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Unibet
1.19
-6.2%
Home under 1.5 goals
71.0%
1.40
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
+5.0%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hradec Králové
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
František Čech20%
M. van Buren17%
Vladimír Darida17%
T. Slončík17%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
D. Trubač0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
D. Horák0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
A. Umar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Dancák33%
Filip Čihák33%
Elione Neto33%
M. Valenta20%
František Čech20%
A. Umar20%
Vladimír Darida17%
D. Trubač17%
D. Horák17%
M. van Buren0%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
A. Vlkanova0%
A. Zadražil0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
T. Slončík0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
D. Horák17%
J. Uhrinčať17%
M. van Buren0%
Vladimír Darida0%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
D. Trubač0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
František Čech0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
T. Slončík0%
A. Umar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. van Buren33%
Vladimír Darida33%
D. Horák33%
T. Slončík33%
D. Trubač17%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
František Čech0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
A. Umar0%
Sparta Praha
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
John Mercado43%
Adam Karabec29%
Matěj Ryneš29%
Andy Irving17%
Jonatan Braut Brunes17%
Josimar Alcócer14%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Haraslín0%
Roman Macek0%
Santiago Eneme0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
Matyáš Vojta0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Dominik Hollý0%
Martin Suchomel0%
Adam Ševinský0%
Garang Kuol0%
Ebrima Singhateh0%
Hugo Sochurek0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Hollý67%
Adam Karabec29%
Matěj Ryneš29%
Jaroslav Zelený20%
Roman Macek20%
Josimar Alcócer14%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Haraslín0%
Andy Irving0%
Jonatan Braut Brunes0%
Santiago Eneme0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
John Mercado0%
Matyáš Vojta0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Martin Suchomel0%
Adam Ševinský0%
Garang Kuol0%
Ebrima Singhateh0%
Hugo Sochurek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jaroslav Zelený20%
Andy Irving17%
Martin Suchomel17%
Matěj Ryneš14%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Haraslín0%
Roman Macek0%
Jonatan Braut Brunes0%
Santiago Eneme0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
Adam Karabec0%
John Mercado0%
Matyáš Vojta0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Dominik Hollý0%
Josimar Alcócer0%
Adam Ševinský0%
Garang Kuol0%
Ebrima Singhateh0%
Hugo Sochurek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lukáš Haraslín33%
Ebrima Singhateh25%
Jonatan Braut Brunes17%
Adam Karabec14%
John Mercado14%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Roman Macek0%
Andy Irving0%
Santiago Eneme0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
Matyáš Vojta0%
Matěj Ryneš0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Dominik Hollý0%
Martin Suchomel0%
Josimar Alcócer0%
Adam Ševinský0%
Garang Kuol0%
Hugo Sochurek0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Hradec Králové's squad is €78m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€14m vs €92m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Hradec Králové's attack is €39m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€4m vs €43m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Hradec Králové's midfield is €24m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€3m vs €27m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Hradec Králové's defence is €15m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€7m vs €22m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Zbrojovka Brno
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
Teplice
Baník Ostrava
Bohemians 1905
Plzen
Artis
Slovácko
Pardubice
Zlin