Huddersfield are tipped to edge Notts County at home, a result the model deems most likely. The match is expected to see 2.9 goals on average, with the single most probable scoreline 1-1 at 12.2%. Huddersfield, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, have averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.23 conceded, while Notts County, on the road, have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.57 conceded. The probabilities for the match outcome are 48% for a Huddersfield win, 26% for a draw and 26% for a Notts County win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Under 6.5 (97.0% with a 2% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (96.5%), Under 5.5 (92.2% with a 1% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (90.4% with a 3% edge), Home +2 handicap (88.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (87.5%) and Under 4.5 (82.6%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Huddersfield win
49.8%
Avg Implied 56.5% · @ 1.65
Edge
-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.70
William Hil
1.67
Betfair
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.66
Draw
25.9%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.85
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.07
Dafabet
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Betfair
3.90
Marathonbet
3.90
Notts County win
24.4%
Avg Implied 19.4% · @ 4.80
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
5.20
Unibet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Huddersfield
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.23
2.00
1.13
1.27
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.50
1.32
1.93
1.21
1.07
1.43
vs Weaker (2)
3.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Notts County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Notts County
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.07
1.93
0.93
1.33
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
1.29
1.24
1.33
1.00
1.25
1.50
vs Weaker (11)
2.27
0.82
3.20
0.80
1.50
0.83
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Huddersfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.7%
@ 1.25+5.3%
Under 1.5
20.3%
@ 3.63-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.83
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
3.65
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.5%
@ 1.81+3.6%
Under 2.5
44.5%
@ 1.95-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.87
Betano
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.01
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
SBO
1.97
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.1%
@ 2.97+1.9%
Under 3.5
66.9%
@ 1.35-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Unibet
3.05
Pinnacle
3.01
Betano
3.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.37
BetVictor
1.37
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Both teams to score
Yes
57.8%
@ 1.78+5.8%
No
42.2%
@ 1.93-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.82
Betfair
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.79
10Bet
1.77
No
Betfair
2.00
BetVictor
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Bet365
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 6.79+5.6%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.48+3.7%
1-0
8.4%@ 6.66+1.7%
2-0
8.3%@ 7.43+2.3%
0-0
6.6%@ 10.79+2.4%
1-2
6.5%@ 14.04+3.3%
2-2
5.6%@ 14.16+2.5%
3-1
5.6%@ 12.10+1.9%
Huddersfield goals ↓
Notts County goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
5.3%
3.7%
1.4%
0.4%
1
8.4%
12%
6.5%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.3%
9.7%
5.6%
2.2%
0.6%
3
4.8%
5.6%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.1%
2.4%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Huddersfield goals (down), columns = Notts County goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Huddersfield is 0.29 points better than Notts County in terms of average points per game (1.46 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Huddersfield is 0.49 goals better than Notts County in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Huddersfield is 0.15 goals better than Notts County in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.54).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Huddersfield
For 4.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.5 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Notts County
For 4.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 14.2 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Huddersfield
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.5
9.8
3.9
3.7
4.0
24.2
24.0
24.4
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
6.0
13.0
1.5
0.0
3.0
14.5
14.0
15.0
vs Similar (45)
10.2
10.7
9.8
4.0
3.8
4.1
24.9
25.1
24.7
vs Weaker (3)
10.0
11.0
8.0
3.7
4.0
3.0
20.0
17.5
25.0
% over line
55%
62%
48%
58%
58%
58%
69%
67%
72%
% under line
45%
38%
52%
42%
42%
42%
31%
33%
28%
This opponent (Notts County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Notts County
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.0
9.8
4.4
4.2
4.7
24.8
25.0
24.6
vs Stronger (2)
7.5
8.0
7.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
25.0
26.0
24.0
vs Similar (28)
8.7
8.0
9.3
4.6
4.1
5.1
26.4
26.8
26.1
vs Weaker (20)
10.6
10.4
10.8
4.3
4.5
4.1
22.5
22.5
22.5
% over line
50%
46%
54%
66%
62%
69%
76%
75%
77%
% under line
50%
54%
46%
34%
38%
31%
24%
25%
23%
This opponent (Huddersfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.7
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.2
Leicester
11.0
Blackpool
10.6
Wigan
10.6
Luton
10.4
Burton
10.4
Bradford
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Huddersfield
10.2
Bromley
10.2
AFC Wimbledon
10.1
Wycombe
10.1
Peterboro
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Stockport
9.8
Mansfield
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
Cambridge
9.0
Stevenage
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.8
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.2
Leyton Orient
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Blackpool
3.9
Doncaster
3.8
Bromley
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Mansfield
3.8
Luton
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Wycombe
3.6
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Barnsley
3.6
Oxford
3.5
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Stockport
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.1
Cambridge
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.8
Plymouth
24.5
Bradford
24.4
Huddersfield
24.4
Stevenage
24.4
Luton
23.9
Leyton Orient
23.7
Wigan
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Peterboro
23.2
Milton Keynes Dons
23.1
Blackpool
23.1
Doncaster
22.8
Reading
22.7
Burton
22.5
Oxford
22.4
Cambridge
22.4
Mansfield
22.3
Sheffield Weds
22.1
Leicester
22.0
Bromley
21.9
Wycombe
21.3
Stockport
20.8
Barnsley
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.9%
@ 1.63+0.4%
Under 9.5
43.1%
@ 2.12-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Under
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
10Bet
2.05
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.5%
Under 3.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.4%
Under 21.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Huddersfield or Draw
75.6%
Avg Implied 80.2% · @ 1.16
Edge
-4.6%
50%
26%
24%
covers Huddersfield + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Huddersfield or Notts County
74.1%
Avg Implied 76.3% · @ 1.22
Edge
-2.1%
50%
26%
24%
covers Huddersfield + Notts County
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Draw or Notts County
50.2%
Avg Implied 43.5% · @ 2.14
Edge
+6.7%
50%
26%
24%
covers Draw + Notts County
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.17
BetVictor
2.15
Bet365
2.15
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Huddersfield over/under 0.5
Over
82.5%
@ 1.13+0.6%
Under
17.5%
@ 5.11-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
1xBet
5.20
Unibet
4.80
Huddersfield over/under 1.5
Over
51.9%
@ 1.73-2.0%
Under
48.1%
@ 2.02+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.07
BetVictor
2.05
Betano
2.02
Huddersfield over/under 2.5
Over
25.3%
@ 3.26-3.2%
Under
74.7%
@ 1.30+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.32
Betfair
3.30
BetVictor
3.25
Under
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Huddersfield over/under 3.5
Over
9.9%
@ 7.40-2.7%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.07+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.30
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Notts County over/under 0.5
Over
68.7%
@ 1.53+8.0%
Under
31.3%
@ 2.36-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.54
BetVictor
1.53
Bet365
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.46
Betfair
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Bet365
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Notts County over/under 1.5
Over
32.4%
@ 3.57+6.4%
Under
67.6%
@ 1.25-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.66
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.64
BetVictor
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Under
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
Notts County over/under 2.5
Over
11.3%
@ 9.55+1.5%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.04-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
9.60
Marathonbet
9.60
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Notts County over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
@ 20.75-1.6%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Huddersfield, so a minus line means Huddersfield give that many goals of a start and Notts County receive them. At -1, Huddersfield must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Huddersfield win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Huddersfield)
Huddersfield -2
12.3%
@ 5.46-4.1%
Draw -2
15.5%
@ 4.62-3.8%
Notts County +2
72.2%
@ 1.39+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.05
Draw
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Away
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Handicap -1 (Huddersfield)
Huddersfield -1
27.8%
@ 2.74-4.7%
Draw -1
22.0%
@ 3.48-3.6%
Notts County +1
50.2%
@ 2.12+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.85
Betfair
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Unibet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.64
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.40
Unibet
3.30
Away
Marathonbet
2.17
Unibet
2.14
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Handicap +1 (Huddersfield)
Huddersfield +1
75.6%
@ 1.16-1.0%
Draw +1
14.3%
@ 5.98-0.5%
Notts County -1
10.0%
@ 10.38+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.10
Marathonbet
4.33
Away
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
12.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.50
Handicap +2 (Huddersfield)
Huddersfield +2
90.0%
@ 1.03-1.3%
Draw +2
6.9%
@ 15.50+0.8%
Notts County -2
3.1%
@ 35.00+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
14.00
Away
Betfair
36.00
Bet365
34.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Huddersfield
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.80
0.60
0.47
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.46
0.71
0.64
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Notts County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Notts County
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
1.00
0.53
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.71
0.89
0.56
0.25
0.88
vs Weaker (11)
1.00
0.36
1.40
0.60
0.67
0.17
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Huddersfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.3%
@ 1.33+2.5%
Under 0.5
27.7%
@ 3.07-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.17
William Hil
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.6%
@ 2.60+2.1%
Under 1.5
62.4%
@ 1.44-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.75
Pinnacle
2.68
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Under
10Bet
1.48
BetVictor
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Betano
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.6%
@ 6.41+0.1%
Under 2.5
85.4%
@ 1.09-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Betano
6.00
Under
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Huddersfield over/under 0.5 HT
Over
53.9%
@ 1.68-1.4%
Under
46.1%
@ 2.07+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.15
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
2.08
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Huddersfield over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.2%
@ 4.29-4.3%
Under
82.8%
@ 1.18+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.35
10Bet
4.00
Under
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Huddersfield over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.6%
@ 9.88-4.8%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.02+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Notts County over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.2%
@ 2.63+8.0%
Under
56.8%
@ 1.43-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.79
Betano
2.70
1xBet
2.61
Marathonbet
2.61
Unibet
2.60
Under
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Notts County over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.1%
@ 9.36-0.8%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.03+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
10.20
10Bet
8.50
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Notts County over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Huddersfield
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.80
1.20
0.53
0.80
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.93
0.86
1.21
0.57
0.64
1.14
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Notts County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Notts County
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.53
0.93
0.40
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.53
0.44
0.44
1.00
0.62
vs Weaker (11)
1.27
0.45
1.80
0.20
0.83
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Huddersfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.5%
@ 1.21+3.0%
Under 0.5
20.5%
@ 3.95-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Under
Betano
4.05
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.98
William Hil
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.2%
@ 2.02+3.0%
Under 1.5
50.8%
@ 1.74-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Under
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.9%
@ 4.16-2.4%
Under 2.5
80.1%
@ 1.20+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Huddersfield over/under 0.5 2H
Over
60.5%
@ 1.49-1.8%
Under
39.5%
@ 2.47+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.53
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.48
10Bet
2.38
Huddersfield over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.2%
@ 3.25-6.3%
Under
77.8%
@ 1.29+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.55
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
10Bet
1.25
Huddersfield over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.4%
@ 8.27-4.8%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.05+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
9.00
1xBet
8.70
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Notts County over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.4%
@ 2.20+5.3%
Under
52.6%
@ 1.60-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Under
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Notts County over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.8%
@ 7.12-0.2%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.06+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Notts County over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.7%
@ 19.25-2.3%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.01+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.3%
Under 6.5
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+1.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.6%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+4.8%
Under 5.5
92.6%
1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
+1.1%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+0.8%
Home under 3.5 goals
90.1%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
-
+2.7%
Home +2 handicap
90.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
-1.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
88.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-1.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.2%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
+0.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.4%
1.09
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-0.1%
Under 4.5
83.1%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
-0.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.8%
1.18
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+4.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
82.5%
1.13
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
+0.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.20
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+2.4%
Over 1.5
79.7%
1.25
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+5.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.21
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
+3.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.8%
1.29
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
10Bet
1.25
-
+6.3%
Under 5.5 cards
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
75.6%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
-4.6%
Home +1 handicap
75.6%
1.16
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
-
-1.0%
Home under 2.5 goals
74.7%
1.30
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
+3.2%
Home or Away
74.1%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
-2.1%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.3%
1.33
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
+2.5%
Away +2 handicap
72.2%
1.39
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
+7.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Huddersfield
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Taylor75%
B. Radulović33%
R. Balker25%
D. Kasumu0%
Ashley Fletcher0%
Ryan Ledson0%
M. Wallace0%
M. Harness0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
D. Sanches Fernandes0%
I. Bowat0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
D. Kasumu33%
M. Wallace33%
B. Radulović33%
Ryan Ledson25%
Ashley Fletcher0%
M. Harness0%
R. Balker0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
J. Taylor0%
D. Sanches Fernandes0%
I. Bowat0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Ledson50%
B. Radulović33%
D. Sanches Fernandes25%
D. Kasumu0%
Ashley Fletcher0%
M. Wallace0%
M. Harness0%
R. Balker0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
J. Taylor0%
I. Bowat0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Taylor75%
D. Sanches Fernandes50%
Ashley Fletcher25%
Ryan Ledson25%
M. Harness25%
I. Bowat25%
D. Kasumu0%
M. Wallace0%
R. Balker0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
B. Radulović0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
Notts County
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
C. Roberts50%
Oliver Cooper50%
Luka Smyth33%
J. Gibbons0%
J. Belshaw0%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar0%
J. Bedeau0%
Conor Grant0%
N. Tsaroulla0%
J. Evans0%
Lucas Ness0%
D. Lipsiuc0%
H. Mustapha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
D. Lipsiuc50%
Luka Smyth33%
H. Mustapha33%
J. Gibbons25%
J. Bedeau25%
Oliver Cooper25%
J. Evans25%
C. Roberts0%
J. Belshaw0%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar0%
Conor Grant0%
N. Tsaroulla0%
Lucas Ness0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
N. Tsaroulla75%
C. Roberts25%
J. Gibbons0%
J. Belshaw0%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar0%
J. Bedeau0%
Conor Grant0%
Oliver Cooper0%
J. Evans0%
Lucas Ness0%
D. Lipsiuc0%
Luka Smyth0%
H. Mustapha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luka Smyth67%
H. Mustapha33%
Conor Grant25%
C. Roberts0%
J. Gibbons0%
J. Belshaw0%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar0%
J. Bedeau0%
Oliver Cooper0%
N. Tsaroulla0%
J. Evans0%
Lucas Ness0%
D. Lipsiuc0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Huddersfield's squad is €9m more valuable than Notts County's (€16m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Huddersfield's attack is €1m more valuable than Notts County's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Huddersfield's midfield is €2m more valuable than Notts County's (€4m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Huddersfield's defence is €6m more valuable than Notts County's (€8m vs €2m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Sheffield Weds
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe