Huddersfield are the clear favourites, with a 60% chance of victory, 23% for a draw and 17% for Peterboro to win. The model projects an average of 3.1 goals, but the most likely total is 2, with a 23% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 10.6% chance. Huddersfield, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, have been scoring 1.85 goals and conceding 1.23 on average. Peterboro, on the road, average 1.0 goal scored and 1.71 conceded versus comparable teams. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.0%), Under 6.5 (96.2%), Home +2 handicap (93.7%), Away under 2.5 goals (91.5%), Under 5.5 (90.7%), Home over 0.5 goals (87.3%) and Home under 3.5 goals (84.6%). Huddersfield’s unbeaten run of five games, ending with a 2-1 win over Cambridge, contrasts with Peterboro’s recent 0-4 loss to Blackpool, suggesting a tighter contest but still favouring the home side.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Huddersfield win
65.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Peterboro win
14.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis
Huddersfield
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.23
2.00
1.13
1.27
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.50
1.32
1.93
1.21
1.07
1.43
vs Weaker (2)
3.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Peterboro
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.60
1.92
1.38
1.24
1.76
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
1.33
0.00
1.00
3.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
1.48
1.63
2.08
1.42
1.00
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Huddersfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61.9%
Under 2.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.6%
Under 3.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
Huddersfield goals ↓
Peterboro goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
3.1%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
1
8.2%
9.7%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
2
10%
9.8%
4.8%
1.5%
0.4%
3
7.6%
7.3%
3.5%
1.1%
0.3%
4
4.2%
4.1%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Huddersfield goals (down), columns = Peterboro goals (across).
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đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Huddersfield is 0.30 points better than Peterboro in terms of average points per game (1.46 vs 1.15).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Huddersfield is 0.22 goals better than Peterboro in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.39).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Huddersfield is 0.09 goals better than Peterboro in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Huddersfield is 5.4 percentage points worse than Peterboro in terms of average possession (50% vs 55%).
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Huddersfield or Draw
85.8%
Avg Implied -
65%
21%
14%
covers Huddersfield + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Huddersfield or Peterboro
79.2%
Avg Implied -
65%
21%
14%
covers Huddersfield + Peterboro
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Peterboro
35.0%
Avg Implied -
65%
21%
14%
covers Draw + Peterboro
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Huddersfield over/under 0.5
Over
89.2%
Under
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huddersfield over/under 1.5
Over
65.2%
Under
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huddersfield over/under 2.5
Over
38.5%
Under
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huddersfield over/under 3.5
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterboro over/under 0.5
Over
62.0%
Under
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterboro over/under 1.5
Over
25.2%
Under
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterboro over/under 2.5
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterboro over/under 3.5
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Huddersfield, so a minus line means Huddersfield give that many goals of a start and Peterboro receive them. At -1, Huddersfield must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Huddersfield win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Huddersfield)
Huddersfield -2
23.0%
Draw -2
19.7%
Peterboro +2
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Huddersfield)
Huddersfield -1
42.7%
Draw -1
22.3%
Peterboro +1
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Huddersfield)
Huddersfield +1
85.8%
Draw +1
9.2%
Peterboro -1
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Huddersfield)
Huddersfield +2
95.0%
Draw +2
3.7%
Peterboro -2
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Huddersfield
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.80
0.60
0.47
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.46
0.71
0.64
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Peterboro
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.62
0.46
0.47
0.76
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.63
0.67
0.42
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Huddersfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Huddersfield over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huddersfield over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huddersfield over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterboro over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterboro over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterboro over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Huddersfield
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.80
1.20
0.53
0.80
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.93
0.86
1.21
0.57
0.64
1.14
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Peterboro
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.97
1.31
0.92
0.76
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.96
1.00
1.42
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Huddersfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Huddersfield over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huddersfield over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huddersfield over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterboro over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterboro over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterboro over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Huddersfield
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Taylor75%
B. Radulović33%
R. Balker25%
D. Kasumu0%
Ashley Fletcher0%
Ryan Ledson0%
M. Wallace0%
M. Harness0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
D. Sanches Fernandes0%
I. Bowat0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
D. Kasumu33%
M. Wallace33%
B. Radulović33%
Ryan Ledson25%
Ashley Fletcher0%
M. Harness0%
R. Balker0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
J. Taylor0%
D. Sanches Fernandes0%
I. Bowat0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Ledson50%
B. Radulović33%
D. Sanches Fernandes25%
D. Kasumu0%
Ashley Fletcher0%
M. Wallace0%
M. Harness0%
R. Balker0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
J. Taylor0%
I. Bowat0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Taylor75%
D. Sanches Fernandes50%
Ashley Fletcher25%
Ryan Ledson25%
M. Harness25%
I. Bowat25%
D. Kasumu0%
M. Wallace0%
R. Balker0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
B. Radulović0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
Peterboro
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
H. Leonard60%
B. Woods20%
Harrison Jones20%
Bolu Shofowoke20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Carl Johnston0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
D. Okagbue0%
Brandon Khela0%
Ethan Williams0%
James Dornelly0%
Harley Mills0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Carl Johnston25%
Brandon Khela25%
James Dornelly25%
H. Leonard20%
Harrison Jones20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
D. Okagbue0%
B. Woods0%
Ethan Williams0%
Harley Mills0%
Bolu Shofowoke0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
B. Woods20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Carl Johnston0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
H. Leonard0%
D. Okagbue0%
Brandon Khela0%
Harrison Jones0%
Ethan Williams0%
James Dornelly0%
Harley Mills0%
Bolu Shofowoke0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
H. Leonard40%
Brandon Khela25%
Ethan Williams25%
Harrison Jones20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Carl Johnston0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
D. Okagbue0%
B. Woods0%
James Dornelly0%
Harley Mills0%
Bolu Shofowoke0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Huddersfield's squad is €9m more valuable than Peterboro's (€16m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Huddersfield and Peterboro have a similar attack value (both €4m).
đź§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Huddersfield's midfield is €3m more valuable than Peterboro's (€4m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Huddersfield's defence is €5m more valuable than Peterboro's (€8m vs €3m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →