This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.97
0.94
0.75
1.07
1.21
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
1.25
1.00
1.00
0.83
1.50
vs Similar (18)
1.06
0.78
0.90
0.60
1.25
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.7%
Under 2.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.6%
Under 3.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.1%
No
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.1%
2-1 ✓
8.0%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
Huesca goals ↓
Leganes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
8.1%
6.5%
3.0%
1.0%
1
7.6%
13%
8.5%
3.9%
1.4%
2
5.8%
8.0%
5.6%
2.6%
0.9%
3
2.5%
3.5%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.8%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Huesca goals (down), columns = Leganes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.29
Atletico Madrid
2.00
Real Madrid
1.79
Valencia
1.61
Getafe
1.55
Sevilla
1.55
Espanyol
1.39
Athletic Club
1.39
Real Sociedad
1.32
Alaves
1.32
Real Betis
1.32
Eibar
1.24
Leganes
1.18
Villarreal
1.16
Levante
1.16
Celta Vigo
1.08
Valladolid
1.08
Girona
0.97
Huesca
0.87
Rayo Vallecano
0.84
Huesca is 0.32 points worse than Leganes in terms of average points per game (0.87 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.37
Real Madrid
1.66
Sevilla
1.63
Levante
1.55
Atletico Madrid
1.45
Celta Vigo
1.39
Valencia
1.34
Villarreal
1.29
Espanyol
1.26
Getafe
1.26
Eibar
1.21
Real Sociedad
1.18
Real Betis
1.16
Huesca
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Athletic Club
1.08
Alaves
1.03
Girona
0.97
Leganes
0.97
Valladolid
0.84
Huesca is 0.16 goals better than Leganes in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Atletico Madrid
0.76
Getafe
0.92
Valencia
0.92
Barcelona
0.95
Leganes
1.13
Athletic Club
1.18
Real Sociedad
1.21
Real Madrid
1.21
Sevilla
1.24
Espanyol
1.32
Eibar
1.32
Alaves
1.32
Valladolid
1.34
Real Betis
1.37
Villarreal
1.37
Girona
1.39
Celta Vigo
1.63
Huesca
1.71
Levante
1.74
Rayo Vallecano
1.84
Huesca is 0.58 goals worse than Leganes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 1.13).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Huesca
For 3.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 14.4 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leganes
For 3.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.0 · Against 11.2 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Huesca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.2
9.5
5.7
6.0
5.5
27.2
27.9
26.6
vs Stronger (33)
10.2
10.6
9.8
5.8
5.9
5.7
27.8
28.1
27.6
vs Similar (16)
9.2
9.2
9.2
5.6
6.2
5.0
25.9
27.6
24.1
vs Weaker (1)
6.0
-
6.0
5.0
-
5.0
29.0
-
29.0
% over line
54%
58%
50%
80%
88%
73%
80%
79%
81%
% under line
46%
42%
50%
20%
12%
27%
20%
21%
19%
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.4
8.0
5.2
5.4
5.0
25.6
25.2
26.0
vs Stronger (26)
7.8
7.8
7.7
4.8
5.5
4.3
24.9
24.9
24.9
vs Similar (24)
8.8
8.9
8.6
5.6
5.3
6.0
26.2
25.4
27.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
28%
31%
25%
68%
73%
62%
80%
81%
79%
% under line
72%
69%
75%
32%
27%
38%
20%
19%
21%
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sevilla
10.8
Levante
10.3
Valladolid
10.3
Atletico Madrid
10.2
Eibar
10.1
Villarreal
10.1
Real Madrid
9.9
Barcelona
9.9
Real Betis
9.8
Huesca
9.8
Rayo Vallecano
9.8
Alaves
9.8
Espanyol
9.7
Real Sociedad
9.6
Celta Vigo
9.5
Valencia
9.5
Girona
9.1
Getafe
8.6
Athletic Club
8.6
Leganes
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Getafe
6.4
Levante
6.0
Athletic Club
5.9
Huesca
5.7
Real Betis
5.7
Sevilla
5.6
Girona
5.6
Valladolid
5.6
Villarreal
5.5
Atletico Madrid
5.5
Valencia
5.4
Leganes
5.2
Alaves
5.2
Espanyol
5.1
Rayo Vallecano
4.9
Barcelona
4.9
Real Sociedad
4.9
Real Madrid
4.7
Celta Vigo
4.5
Eibar
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Getafe
30.7
Girona
29.0
Alaves
28.6
Espanyol
28.4
Valladolid
28.2
Athletic Club
27.8
Real Sociedad
27.3
Huesca
27.2
Rayo Vallecano
27.2
Real Betis
27.0
Valencia
26.8
Levante
26.7
Sevilla
26.7
Real Madrid
26.3
Atletico Madrid
25.8
Villarreal
25.7
Leganes
25.6
Barcelona
25.5
Eibar
25.1
Celta Vigo
25.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
44.0%
Under 9.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
80.8%
Under 3.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.7%
Under 21.5
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Huesca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.70
0.33
0.80
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (26)
0.35
0.77
0.31
0.92
0.38
0.62
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.40
0.44
0.50
0.36
0.29
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.33
0.17
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.44
0.30
0.50
0.38
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Huesca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Huesca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.87
1.07
0.93
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (26)
0.73
0.96
0.85
1.08
0.62
0.85
vs Similar (4)
1.25
0.25
2.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.50
0.25
0.71
0.93
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.92
0.33
0.50
0.50
1.33
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.33
0.60
0.10
0.88
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Huesca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Huesca · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordi Escobar25%
Oscar Sielva17%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba17%
Enol Rodríguez14%
Iker Kortajarena12%
Sergi Enrich11%
Álvaro Carrillo9%
Daniel Luna9%
Jorge Pulido8%
Javi Mier8%
Liberto Beltrán7%
Daniel Ojeda7%
Ángel Pérez5%
Francisco Portillo2%
Jaime Seoane0%
Julio Alonso0%
Dani Jiménez0%
Ignacio Laquintana0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Jordi Martín0%
Iñigo Sebastián Magana0%
Toni Abad0%
Álejandro Cantero0%
Sergio Arribas0%
Hugo Perez0%
Michael Agbekpornu0%
Rodrigo Abajas0%
Manu Rico0%
Daní Martin0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Javi Mier31%
Sergio Arribas31%
Jordi Martín28%
Jorge Pulido27%
Iñigo Sebastián Magana26%
Oscar Sielva25%
Hugo Perez25%
Julio Alonso23%
Daní Martin20%
Jesús Álvarez19%
Jordi Escobar19%
Rodrigo Abajas18%
Daniel Ojeda17%
Jaime Seoane17%
Ángel Pérez16%
Álvaro Carrillo15%
Liberto Beltrán15%
Ignacio Laquintana14%
Daniel Luna12%
Sergi Enrich11%
Manu Rico11%
Toni Abad11%
Francisco Portillo10%
Michael Agbekpornu10%
Iker Kortajarena8%
Dani Jiménez5%
Enol Rodríguez3%
Álejandro Cantero0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jaime Seoane17%
Oscar Sielva14%
Iker Kortajarena12%
Ángel Pérez11%
Álvaro Carrillo9%
Sergio Arribas8%
Francisco Portillo8%
Daniel Ojeda7%
Jordi Martín6%
Jorge Pulido5%
Toni Abad4%
Iñigo Sebastián Magana3%
Enol Rodríguez3%
Julio Alonso0%
Javi Mier0%
Dani Jiménez0%
Sergi Enrich0%
Ignacio Laquintana0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Liberto Beltrán0%
Jordi Escobar0%
Álejandro Cantero0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Hugo Perez0%
Daniel Luna0%
Michael Agbekpornu0%
Rodrigo Abajas0%
Manu Rico0%
Daní Martin0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordi Escobar12%
Enol Rodríguez9%
Liberto Beltrán7%
Daniel Ojeda7%
Ángel Pérez5%
Francisco Portillo5%
Iker Kortajarena4%
Daniel Luna3%
Sergi Enrich3%
Oscar Sielva3%
Jorge Pulido3%
Jaime Seoane0%
Julio Alonso0%
Javi Mier0%
Dani Jiménez0%
Ignacio Laquintana0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Jordi Martín0%
Iñigo Sebastián Magana0%
Toni Abad0%
Álejandro Cantero0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Álvaro Carrillo0%
Sergio Arribas0%
Hugo Perez0%
Michael Agbekpornu0%
Rodrigo Abajas0%
Manu Rico0%
Daní Martin0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
Leganes · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Miguel Atienza33%
Ismael Gharbi33%
Naim García33%
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Ignasi Miquel0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Álex Millán0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Marvel0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ignasi Miquel33%
Álex Millán33%
Marvel33%
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Miguel Atienza0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Naim García0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Naim García33%
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Ignasi Miquel0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Miguel Atienza0%
Álex Millán0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Marvel0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Ignasi Miquel0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Miguel Atienza0%
Álex Millán0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Naim García0%
Marvel0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RV (23)
€76m
ALA (25)
€68m
LEG (26)
€30m
VAL (29)
€26m
EIB (24)
€15m
HUE (21)
€5m
Huesca's squad is €25m less valuable than Leganes's (€5m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
RV (10)
€30m
ALA (8)
€24m
LEG (11)
€14m
VAL (11)
€10m
EIB (8)
€7m
HUE (9)
€2m
Huesca's attack is €12m less valuable than Leganes's (€2m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
RV (4)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
EIB (6)
€3m
HUE (4)
€1m
Huesca's midfield is €6m less valuable than Leganes's (€1m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
VAL (12)
€10m
LEG (10)
€8m
EIB (10)
€5m
HUE (8)
€2m
Huesca's defence is €7m less valuable than Leganes's (€2m vs €8m).
Spain: La Liga 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →