This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.39
1.17
1.67
1.00
1.11
1.33
vs Stronger (12)
1.17
1.00
1.25
0.25
1.12
1.38
vs Similar (6)
1.83
1.50
2.00
1.60
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
28% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
59.8%
Under 1.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.4%
@ 2.82-1.8%
Under 2.5
68.6%
@ 1.40+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.7%
Under 3.5
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.2%
No
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.3%
1-1
14.7%
0-1
13.8%
1-0 ✓
11.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
Huesca goals ↓
Racing Ferrol goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
14%
8.2%
2.9%
0.8%
1
11%
15%
7.2%
2.6%
0.7%
2
5.5%
5.9%
3.2%
1.2%
0.3%
3
1.6%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Huesca goals (down), columns = Racing Ferrol goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leganes
1.76
Valladolid
1.71
Espanyol
1.65
Eibar
1.64
Oviedo
1.54
Racing Santander
1.52
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Burgos
1.40
Levante
1.40
Elche
1.40
Racing Ferrol
1.40
Tenerife
1.33
FC Cartagena
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Albacete
1.21
Eldense
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Mirandes
1.17
Amorebieta
1.07
Alcorcon
1.05
Villarreal II
1.02
FC Andorra
1.02
Huesca is 0.24 points worse than Racing Ferrol in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eibar
1.64
Racing Santander
1.50
Espanyol
1.35
Leganes
1.33
Oviedo
1.26
Burgos
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Albacete
1.19
Levante
1.17
Racing Ferrol
1.17
Sporting Gijon
1.16
Mirandes
1.12
Eldense
1.10
Elche
1.02
Zaragoza
1.00
Villarreal II
0.98
Tenerife
0.90
Amorebieta
0.88
FC Cartagena
0.88
Huesca
0.86
FC Andorra
0.79
Alcorcon
0.76
Huesca is 0.31 goals worse than Racing Ferrol in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leganes
0.64
Huesca
0.79
Valladolid
0.86
Oviedo
0.89
Espanyol
0.89
Tenerife
0.98
Sporting Gijon
0.98
Zaragoza
1.00
Levante
1.07
Elche
1.10
Eibar
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.21
Racing Ferrol
1.24
Amorebieta
1.26
FC Andorra
1.26
Alcorcon
1.26
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Eldense
1.33
Albacete
1.33
Villarreal II
1.48
Huesca is 0.45 goals better than Racing Ferrol in terms of goals conceded per game (0.79 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
63%
Elche
58%
Valladolid
56%
Eibar
55%
Oviedo
54%
Sporting Gijon
54%
Levante
52%
Racing Ferrol
52%
Espanyol
51%
Zaragoza
50%
Villarreal II
50%
Tenerife
50%
Albacete
49%
Racing Santander
47%
Burgos
47%
Amorebieta
46%
Leganes
46%
Eldense
45%
Huesca
45%
Mirandes
45%
FC Cartagena
44%
Alcorcon
42%
Huesca is 7.4 percentage points worse than Racing Ferrol in terms of average possession (45% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Huesca
For 4.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 14.5 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Racing Ferrol
For 3.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Huesca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.2
9.3
2.2
2.6
1.8
27.0
27.0
27.0
vs Stronger (11)
10.0
6.5
13.5
2.4
1.7
3.5
31.5
31.0
32.0
vs Similar (38)
9.1
10.0
8.1
2.2
3.0
1.6
25.7
25.9
25.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
33%
33%
33%
30%
32%
28%
94%
100%
89%
% under line
67%
67%
67%
70%
68%
72%
6%
0%
11%
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (18)
8.1
8.8
7.4
3.8
3.9
3.8
25.2
26.7
23.8
vs Stronger (12)
7.7
7.2
7.9
3.8
4.0
3.8
25.3
27.5
24.2
vs Similar (6)
9.0
10.0
4.0
3.8
3.8
4.0
25.0
26.0
20.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
22%
33%
11%
61%
56%
67%
61%
78%
44%
% under line
78%
67%
89%
39%
44%
33%
39%
22%
56%
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mirandes
10.2
Huesca
10.2
Espanyol
10.1
Valladolid
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.9
Levante
9.9
Burgos
9.5
Amorebieta
9.4
Elche
9.4
Racing Santander
9.4
Zaragoza
9.2
Eldense
9.2
Villarreal II
9.2
Eibar
9.1
FC Cartagena
9.0
Oviedo
8.9
Tenerife
8.9
Alcorcon
8.8
Leganes
8.7
Albacete
8.3
Racing Ferrol
8.1
FC Andorra
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Espanyol
5.9
Levante
5.7
Racing Santander
5.7
Huesca
5.4
Elche
5.3
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Tenerife
5.1
Oviedo
5.1
Mirandes
5.1
Leganes
5.1
Zaragoza
5.1
FC Cartagena
5.0
Valladolid
5.0
Albacete
4.9
Villarreal II
4.7
Eibar
4.7
Alcorcon
4.5
Burgos
4.5
FC Andorra
4.4
Amorebieta
4.3
Racing Ferrol
3.8
Eldense
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
31.3
Leganes
29.1
Albacete
27.6
FC Cartagena
27.5
Elche
27.5
Oviedo
27.4
Huesca
27.3
Valladolid
27.1
Espanyol
27.0
Tenerife
27.0
Eldense
26.8
Zaragoza
26.4
Alcorcon
26.0
Levante
25.9
Amorebieta
25.5
Racing Ferrol
25.2
Villarreal II
25.0
Mirandes
24.8
FC Andorra
24.8
Eibar
24.5
Burgos
23.9
Sporting Gijon
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
36.8%
Under 9.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.2%
Under 3.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.9%
Under 21.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Huesca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.33
0.27
0.33
0.47
0.33
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.33
0.00
0.33
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.44
0.33
0.33
0.78
0.56
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
0.42
0.25
0.00
0.88
0.62
vs Similar (6)
0.33
0.50
0.40
0.60
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
61% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Huesca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Huesca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.57
0.33
0.73
0.27
0.40
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.50
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (24)
0.33
0.58
0.33
0.75
0.33
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.72
1.33
0.67
0.33
0.78
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.58
1.00
0.25
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (6)
1.50
1.00
1.60
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
44% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Huesca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Huesca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez22%
Samuel Obeng16%
Ignasi Vilarrasa10%
Javi Martínez8%
Alex Balboa8%
Miguel Loureiro8%
Iker Kortajarena7%
Kento Hashimoto6%
Hugo Vallejo6%
Oscar Sielva6%
Jorge Pulido5%
Javi Mier4%
Juanjo Nieto3%
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Aboubakary Kanté0%
Iván Martos0%
Álvaro Fernández0%
Carlos Gutiérrez0%
Gerard Valentín0%
Jovanny Bolívar0%
Enzo Lombardo0%
Rubén Pulido0%
Rafael Tresaco0%
Jérémy Blasco0%
Manu Rico0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rubén Pulido57%
Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez33%
Oscar Sielva31%
Gerard Valentín28%
Iker Kortajarena25%
Juanjo Nieto24%
Jorge Pulido22%
Aboubakary Kanté20%
Iván Martos20%
Miguel Loureiro20%
Manu Rico20%
Javi Martínez18%
Jovanny Bolívar16%
Alex Balboa15%
Jérémy Blasco13%
Kento Hashimoto13%
Javi Mier12%
Samuel Obeng11%
Álvaro Fernández7%
Joaquín Muñoz6%
Hugo Vallejo3%
Ignasi Vilarrasa2%
Carlos Gutiérrez0%
Enzo Lombardo0%
Rafael Tresaco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joaquín Muñoz11%
Ignasi Vilarrasa10%
Hugo Vallejo9%
Oscar Sielva8%
Jorge Pulido5%
Iker Kortajarena4%
Juanjo Nieto3%
Javi Martínez3%
Samuel Obeng3%
Kento Hashimoto0%
Aboubakary Kanté0%
Javi Mier0%
Iván Martos0%
Álvaro Fernández0%
Carlos Gutiérrez0%
Gerard Valentín0%
Miguel Loureiro0%
Jovanny Bolívar0%
Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez0%
Enzo Lombardo0%
Rubén Pulido0%
Rafael Tresaco0%
Jérémy Blasco0%
Alex Balboa0%
Manu Rico0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ignasi Vilarrasa8%
Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez6%
Javi Martínez5%
Iván Martos4%
Gerard Valentín3%
Hugo Vallejo3%
Joaquín Muñoz3%
Jorge Pulido3%
Samuel Obeng3%
Kento Hashimoto0%
Aboubakary Kanté0%
Javi Mier0%
Álvaro Fernández0%
Carlos Gutiérrez0%
Miguel Loureiro0%
Jovanny Bolívar0%
Juanjo Nieto0%
Enzo Lombardo0%
Rubén Pulido0%
Oscar Sielva0%
Rafael Tresaco0%
Jérémy Blasco0%
Alex Balboa0%
Iker Kortajarena0%
Manu Rico0%
Racing Ferrol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nico Serrano29%
Álvaro Giménez24%
Iker Losada21%
Carlos Vicente19%
Josep Señé17%
Álvaro Vadillo12%
Heber Pena Picos11%
Óscar Pinchi9%
Sabin Merino8%
Jon Garcia5%
Manu Justo5%
Alex López3%
Julián Delmás0%
Ander Cantero0%
Nacho Sánchez0%
Francisco De La Manzanara0%
Moises Delgado0%
Chuca0%
Álex Martín0%
Jesús Bernal0%
Enrique Clemente0%
David Castro0%
Sergio Cubero0%
Brais Martínez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Moises Delgado27%
Álvaro Vadillo25%
Jon Garcia24%
David Castro24%
Óscar Pinchi18%
Jesús Bernal17%
Brais Martínez17%
Sergio Cubero15%
Alex López12%
Álex Martín12%
Heber Pena Picos11%
Álvaro Giménez11%
Josep Señé10%
Enrique Clemente10%
Carlos Vicente10%
Nacho Sánchez8%
Nico Serrano7%
Francisco De La Manzanara7%
Sabin Merino6%
Julián Delmás5%
Manu Justo5%
Ander Cantero2%
Chuca0%
Iker Losada0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Heber Pena Picos22%
Carlos Vicente19%
Iker Losada14%
Nico Serrano14%
Álvaro Giménez11%
Óscar Pinchi9%
Nacho Sánchez8%
Jon Garcia5%
Jesús Bernal5%
Josep Señé3%
Sergio Cubero3%
David Castro3%
Alex López0%
Álvaro Vadillo0%
Julián Delmás0%
Ander Cantero0%
Sabin Merino0%
Francisco De La Manzanara0%
Moises Delgado0%
Chuca0%
Álex Martín0%
Manu Justo0%
Enrique Clemente0%
Brais Martínez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nico Serrano29%
Carlos Vicente19%
Iker Losada17%
Álvaro Giménez13%
Heber Pena Picos8%
Alex López6%
Sabin Merino6%
Nacho Sánchez4%
Sergio Cubero3%
Jon Garcia3%
Álvaro Vadillo0%
Julián Delmás0%
Ander Cantero0%
Francisco De La Manzanara0%
Moises Delgado0%
Chuca0%
Josep Señé0%
Óscar Pinchi0%
Álex Martín0%
Manu Justo0%
Jesús Bernal0%
Enrique Clemente0%
David Castro0%
Brais Martínez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Espanyol
Leganes
Eibar
Valladolid
Oviedo
Sporting Gijon
Racing Santander
Levante
Burgos
Elche
Tenerife
Zaragoza
Albacete
FC Cartagena
Eldense
Mirandes
Amorebieta
Alcorcon
FC Andorra
Villarreal II