This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.57
0.67
1.73
0.87
1.40
vs Stronger (20)
0.70
1.80
0.80
2.00
0.60
1.60
vs Similar (9)
0.67
1.11
0.40
1.20
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.2%
Under 1.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.5%
@ 2.60+4.5%
Under 2.5
59.5%
@ 1.46-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.1%
Under 3.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.4%
No
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.1%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.7%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.9%
3-1 ✓
4.6%
Huesca goals ↓
Racing Ferrol goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
6.6%
3.0%
0.8%
0.2%
1
14%
13%
4.6%
1.2%
0.2%
2
12%
9.0%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
5.9%
4.6%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.3%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Huesca goals (down), columns = Racing Ferrol goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Levante
1.88
Elche
1.83
Oviedo
1.78
Mirandes
1.78
Racing Santander
1.64
Almeria
1.59
Granada CF
1.55
Huesca
1.52
Eibar
1.38
Albacete
1.38
Sporting Gijon
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Cordoba
1.31
Cadiz
1.31
Malaga
1.26
Castellón
1.26
Deportivo La Coruna
1.26
Zaragoza
1.21
Eldense
1.07
Tenerife
0.86
Racing Ferrol
0.71
FC Cartagena
0.55
Huesca is 0.81 points better than Racing Ferrol in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 0.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almeria
1.68
Levante
1.64
Racing Santander
1.57
Castellón
1.55
Granada CF
1.55
Mirandes
1.48
Elche
1.40
Cordoba
1.40
Huesca
1.38
Sporting Gijon
1.36
Albacete
1.36
Zaragoza
1.33
Deportivo La Coruna
1.33
Oviedo
1.33
Cadiz
1.31
Eibar
1.05
Eldense
1.05
Malaga
1.00
Burgos
0.98
Tenerife
0.83
FC Cartagena
0.79
Racing Ferrol
0.52
Huesca is 0.86 goals better than Racing Ferrol in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 0.52).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Elche
0.81
Eibar
0.98
Levante
1.00
Oviedo
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Malaga
1.10
Burgos
1.14
Huesca
1.17
Cadiz
1.26
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Deportivo La Coruna
1.29
Granada CF
1.29
Tenerife
1.31
Racing Santander
1.32
Almeria
1.32
Albacete
1.36
Castellón
1.50
Zaragoza
1.50
Eldense
1.50
Cordoba
1.50
Racing Ferrol
1.52
FC Cartagena
1.86
Huesca is 0.36 goals better than Racing Ferrol in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.52).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Elche
62%
Castellón
57%
Cordoba
56%
Deportivo La Coruna
54%
Almeria
53%
Malaga
52%
Racing Santander
52%
Oviedo
52%
Granada CF
51%
Zaragoza
51%
Eibar
50%
Sporting Gijon
50%
Levante
49%
Burgos
49%
Tenerife
48%
Cadiz
48%
Racing Ferrol
48%
Eldense
46%
Mirandes
45%
Huesca
44%
Albacete
43%
FC Cartagena
40%
Huesca is 3.9 percentage points worse than Racing Ferrol in terms of average possession (44% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Huesca
For 5.0 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 10.9 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Racing Ferrol
For 3.7 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 12.7 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Huesca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.3
8.9
4.6
4.6
4.6
23.6
21.7
25.3
vs Stronger (12)
8.6
10.0
7.9
3.7
1.8
5.0
24.4
22.0
25.7
vs Similar (37)
9.9
10.4
9.3
5.0
5.3
4.6
23.4
21.7
25.2
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
45%
59%
32%
66%
61%
70%
51%
36%
64%
% under line
55%
41%
68%
34%
39%
30%
49%
64%
36%
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.8
9.0
4.2
4.8
3.6
26.2
27.3
25.0
vs Stronger (32)
9.2
8.7
9.9
4.6
5.1
4.1
26.6
27.9
25.1
vs Similar (17)
8.2
8.9
7.7
3.8
4.3
3.4
25.3
25.9
24.9
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
45%
46%
43%
64%
76%
52%
81%
83%
78%
% under line
55%
54%
57%
36%
24%
48%
19%
17%
22%
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Deportivo La Coruna
10.6
Oviedo
9.8
Huesca
9.7
Granada CF
9.7
Racing Santander
9.6
Levante
9.5
Eldense
9.5
Cordoba
9.5
Burgos
9.4
Eibar
9.4
Almeria
9.3
Albacete
9.3
Castellón
9.2
Zaragoza
9.2
Malaga
9.1
Tenerife
9.1
Sporting Gijon
9.1
Mirandes
9.1
Racing Ferrol
9.0
FC Cartagena
9.0
Cadiz
8.8
Elche
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.2
Zaragoza
5.9
Malaga
5.8
Cadiz
5.6
Elche
5.5
Granada CF
5.4
Almeria
5.2
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Cordoba
5.2
Mirandes
5.2
Tenerife
5.0
Oviedo
5.0
Burgos
4.9
Eibar
4.8
Huesca
4.8
Albacete
4.7
Eldense
4.6
Racing Ferrol
4.5
FC Cartagena
4.3
Deportivo La Coruna
4.3
Levante
4.3
Castellón
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cadiz
29.4
Racing Santander
29.3
Cordoba
29.3
Malaga
28.9
Elche
28.0
Tenerife
27.6
Granada CF
27.2
Zaragoza
27.1
Oviedo
27.0
Almeria
26.5
Racing Ferrol
26.0
Castellón
25.8
Mirandes
25.7
Eldense
25.6
Levante
25.4
Deportivo La Coruna
24.4
Sporting Gijon
24.3
FC Cartagena
23.8
Albacete
23.7
Burgos
23.4
Huesca
23.4
Eibar
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.5%
Under 9.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
69.1%
Under 3.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
69.3%
Under 21.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Huesca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.37
0.86
0.36
0.31
0.38
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.17
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.43
0.92
0.33
0.18
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.63
0.13
0.67
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (20)
0.35
0.80
0.10
0.90
0.60
0.70
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.33
0.20
0.20
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Huesca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Huesca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.40
0.86
0.57
0.69
0.25
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.39
0.92
0.50
0.64
0.27
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.93
0.53
1.07
0.27
0.80
vs Stronger (20)
0.35
1.00
0.70
1.10
0.00
0.90
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.78
0.20
1.00
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Huesca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Huesca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrick Soko32%
Joaquín Muñoz22%
Oscar Sielva17%
Sergi Enrich16%
Willy Chatiliez14%
Iker Kortajarena10%
Miguel Loureiro9%
Hugo Vallejo7%
Jordi Martín6%
Jorge Pulido5%
Javier Pérez Mateo5%
Javi Mier5%
Rubén Pulido4%
Diego González4%
Iker Unzueta4%
Javier Hernandez4%
Jérémy Blasco3%
Gerard Valentín3%
Ignasi Vilarrasa2%
Juan Pérez0%
Dani Jiménez0%
Moises Delgado0%
Toni Abad0%
Adrián Pereda0%
Ayman Arguigue0%
Axel Bejarano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oscar Sielva36%
Jorge Pulido32%
Javier Hernandez26%
Gerard Valentín26%
Miguel Loureiro25%
Rubén Pulido24%
Javi Mier23%
Javier Pérez Mateo19%
Joaquín Muñoz16%
Jordi Martín16%
Diego González16%
Toni Abad12%
Ayman Arguigue11%
Patrick Soko11%
Dani Jiménez9%
Iker Unzueta7%
Iker Kortajarena7%
Hugo Vallejo7%
Ignasi Vilarrasa7%
Jérémy Blasco6%
Sergi Enrich5%
Juan Pérez0%
Moises Delgado0%
Adrián Pereda0%
Willy Chatiliez0%
Axel Bejarano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ignasi Vilarrasa19%
Willy Chatiliez14%
Patrick Soko11%
Gerard Valentín10%
Iker Kortajarena10%
Diego González8%
Hugo Vallejo7%
Joaquín Muñoz5%
Javier Pérez Mateo5%
Iker Unzueta4%
Javier Hernandez4%
Jordi Martín3%
Miguel Loureiro3%
Oscar Sielva3%
Jorge Pulido3%
Juan Pérez0%
Javi Mier0%
Dani Jiménez0%
Sergi Enrich0%
Moises Delgado0%
Rubén Pulido0%
Toni Abad0%
Jérémy Blasco0%
Adrián Pereda0%
Ayman Arguigue0%
Axel Bejarano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Soko34%
Oscar Sielva6%
Sergi Enrich5%
Javier Pérez Mateo5%
Javier Hernandez4%
Hugo Vallejo4%
Joaquín Muñoz3%
Jorge Pulido3%
Gerard Valentín3%
Iker Kortajarena2%
Juan Pérez0%
Javi Mier0%
Dani Jiménez0%
Miguel Loureiro0%
Moises Delgado0%
Ignasi Vilarrasa0%
Rubén Pulido0%
Iker Unzueta0%
Jordi Martín0%
Toni Abad0%
Diego González0%
Jérémy Blasco0%
Adrián Pereda0%
Ayman Arguigue0%
Willy Chatiliez0%
Axel Bejarano0%
Racing Ferrol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álvaro Giménez13%
Eneko Jauregi13%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara8%
Nacho Sánchez7%
Bebé6%
Luis Perea6%
Josep Señé5%
Josué Dorrio5%
Aitor Buñuel3%
Christian Borrego3%
Aleksa Puric3%
Alex López0%
Emanuel Insua0%
Róber0%
Manu Vallejo0%
Julián Delmás0%
Naldo0%
Erick Cabaco0%
Francisco De La Manzanara0%
Yoel Rodríguez0%
Moises Delgado0%
Heber Pena Picos0%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez0%
David Castro0%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán0%
Raúl Blanco0%
Brais Martínez0%
Naim García0%
David Carballo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Naldo32%
Aleksa Puric32%
David Castro31%
Erick Cabaco25%
Francisco De La Manzanara25%
Róber21%
Josep Señé20%
Moises Delgado19%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara12%
Christian Borrego11%
Álvaro Giménez11%
Nacho Sánchez10%
Aitor Buñuel10%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán10%
Emanuel Insua9%
Eneko Jauregi8%
Julián Delmás6%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez6%
Naim García6%
Brais Martínez5%
Josué Dorrio5%
Alex López0%
Luis Perea0%
Manu Vallejo0%
Yoel Rodríguez0%
Bebé0%
Heber Pena Picos0%
Raúl Blanco0%
David Carballo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josep Señé7%
Josué Dorrio7%
Heber Pena Picos6%
Naim García6%
Róber4%
Francisco De La Manzanara4%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara4%
Aitor Buñuel3%
Naldo3%
Christian Borrego3%
Álvaro Giménez3%
Alex López0%
Emanuel Insua0%
Luis Perea0%
Manu Vallejo0%
Julián Delmás0%
Nacho Sánchez0%
Erick Cabaco0%
Yoel Rodríguez0%
Moises Delgado0%
Bebé0%
Eneko Jauregi0%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez0%
David Castro0%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán0%
Raúl Blanco0%
Brais Martínez0%
Aleksa Puric0%
David Carballo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bebé19%
Álvaro Giménez8%
Raúl Blanco7%
Luis Perea6%
Aleksa Puric5%
Josué Dorrio5%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara4%
Nacho Sánchez3%
Eneko Jauregi3%
Josep Señé2%
Alex López0%
Emanuel Insua0%
Róber0%
Manu Vallejo0%
Julián Delmás0%
Naldo0%
Erick Cabaco0%
Francisco De La Manzanara0%
Yoel Rodríguez0%
Moises Delgado0%
Aitor Buñuel0%
Heber Pena Picos0%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez0%
David Castro0%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán0%
Christian Borrego0%
Brais Martínez0%
Naim García0%
David Carballo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →