FC Fredericia are the clear favourites, a 65 % chance of victory that the model rates highly because the team’s away form - 1.44 goals scored and 1.67 conceded against similar opposition - outmatches Hvidovre’s 1.5 scored and 1.58 conceded at home. The prediction favours an away win, with a 14 % home win, 21 % draw, and 65 % away win probability. The expected total is 3.1 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 0-2 for FC Fredericia, a 10.6 % chance. Hvidovre’s recent draw and FC Fredericia’s unbeaten streak add weight to the model’s pick. Suggested selections include Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.1 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (98.5 % with an 8 % edge), Under 7.5 (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.3 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.9 % with a 6 % edge), Under 6.5 (95.9 % with a 4 % edge), Away +2 handicap (95.3 %), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.5 % with a 5 % edge).
Results analysis
The upset came early as Hvidovre edged FC Fredericia 2-1, overturning the model’s favourite, an away win at 65%. The pre-match pick was wrong, but the team’s home form - coming off a win - proved decisive. The final score matched the model’s most likely 3-goal outcome, though the actual total was 3, not the predicted 3.1. The model’s selections all hit: Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8%, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.5%, Under 7.5 at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.5%, Under 6.5 at 95.9%, Away +2 handicap at 95.3%, and Home under 2.5 goals at 93.2%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage and no other figures were repeated.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hvidovre win✓ Hit
13.7%
Avg Implied 30.0% · @ 3.07
Edge
-16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.21
1xBet
3.15
Unibet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.14
BetVictor
3.10
Draw✗ Miss
20.8%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.49
Edge
-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.69
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.60
Betano
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
FC Fredericia win✗ Miss
65.5%
Avg Implied 43.5% · @ 2.12
Edge
+22.0%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.16
Unibet
2.16
Betano
2.15
Dafabet
2.15
Superbet
2.15
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hvidovre
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.17
1.50
1.64
1.31
0.75
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.41
1.11
1.50
1.58
1.33
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Fredericia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Fredericia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.80
1.25
1.88
1.86
1.71
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
2.71
1.00
3.00
1.75
2.50
vs Similar (19)
1.32
1.74
1.18
1.82
1.50
1.62
vs Weaker (4)
2.75
0.50
2.00
0.50
3.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Hvidovre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.0%
@ 1.20+5.3%
Under 1.5
17.0%
@ 4.17-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.40
1xBet
4.15
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.7%
@ 1.67+4.7%
Under 2.5
39.3%
@ 2.12-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.75
Unibet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.17
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.4%
@ 2.63+3.2%
Under 3.5
61.6%
@ 1.43-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.88
Unibet
2.80
Betfair
2.70
Betano
2.65
BetVictor
2.63
Under
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Betano
1.44
Betfair
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.8%
@ 1.55-4.8%
No
45.2%
@ 2.29+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Unibet
1.57
Superbet
1.56
William Hil
1.55
No
Betfair
2.38
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.31
William Hil
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
10.6%@ 10.66+6.5%
1-2
9.8%@ 7.87+4.3%
1-1
9.8%@ 6.33+2.9%
0-1
8.7%@ 8.57+3.6%
0-3
7.8%@ 18.32+5.4%
1-3
7.2%@ 13.87+4.1%
0-0
5.2%@ 11.88+1.5%
2-2
4.6%@ 10.81+0.5%
Hvidovre goals ↓
FC Fredericia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
8.7%
11%
7.8%
4.3%
1
3.1%
9.8%
9.8%
7.2%
4.0%
2
1.9%
4.1%
4.6%
3.4%
1.9%
3
0.6%
1.3%
1.4%
1.0%
0.6%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hvidovre goals (down), columns = FC Fredericia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
Hvidovre is 0.83 points better than FC Fredericia in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
Hvidovre is 0.17 goals better than FC Fredericia in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
Hvidovre is 0.17 goals worse than FC Fredericia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hvidovre or Draw✓ Hit
34.5%
Avg Implied 56.1% · @ 1.66
Edge
-21.6%
14%
21%
65%
covers Hvidovre + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
SBO
1.67
Hvidovre or FC Fredericia✓ Hit
79.2%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.26
Edge
+5.1%
14%
21%
65%
covers Hvidovre + FC Fredericia
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Draw or FC Fredericia✗ Miss
86.3%
Avg Implied 69.8% · @ 1.33
Edge
+16.5%
14%
21%
65%
covers Draw + FC Fredericia
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hvidovre over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
60.6%
@ 1.29-11.3%
Under
39.4%
@ 3.29+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.57
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.34
BetVictor
3.30
Hvidovre over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
23.9%
@ 2.43-14.4%
Under
76.1%
@ 1.51+14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Unibet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.46
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.42
Under
Pinnacle
1.54
BetVictor
1.53
Betfair
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Hvidovre over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 5.56-9.9%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.11+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.75
1xBet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.55
Betfair
5.50
Under
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Hvidovre over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 13.33-5.6%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.02+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
FC Fredericia over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
89.0%
@ 1.18+10.7%
Under
11.0%
@ 4.29-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Under
1xBet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.20
FC Fredericia over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
64.7%
@ 1.91+16.2%
Under
35.3%
@ 1.80-16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.83
Betfair
1.83
FC Fredericia over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
38.0%
@ 3.87+14.0%
Under
62.0%
@ 1.22-14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Pinnacle
3.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
FC Fredericia over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
18.2%
@ 8.94+7.7%
Under
81.8%
@ 1.05-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
9.30
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.30
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hvidovre, so a minus line means Hvidovre give that many goals of a start and FC Fredericia receive them. At -1, Hvidovre must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hvidovre win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hvidovre)Actual: FC Fredericia
Hvidovre -2
1.2%
@ 14.00-5.3%
Draw -2
3.5%
@ 8.50-7.2%
FC Fredericia +2
95.3%
@ 1.10+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
8.00
Away
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Handicap -1 (Hvidovre)Actual: Draw
Hvidovre -1
4.7%
@ 6.21-9.7%
Draw -1
9.0%
@ 4.76-9.8%
FC Fredericia +1
86.3%
@ 1.34+19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.25
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.20
Superbet
5.85
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Superbet
4.85
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Away
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Unibet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Handicap +1 (Hvidovre)Actual: Hvidovre
Hvidovre +1
34.5%
@ 1.66-19.1%
Draw +1
22.5%
@ 3.84-0.7%
FC Fredericia -1
43.0%
@ 3.84+19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.96
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Away
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.80
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Handicap +2 (Hvidovre)Actual: Hvidovre
Hvidovre +2
57.0%
@ 1.20-17.2%
Draw +2
19.9%
@ 6.04+5.1%
FC Fredericia -2
23.0%
@ 8.10+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.15
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.80
Unibet
5.75
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hvidovre
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.79
0.50
0.50
0.31
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.41
0.75
0.50
0.47
0.33
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Fredericia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Fredericia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.93
0.69
1.00
0.86
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.14
0.67
1.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.95
0.82
1.00
0.75
0.88
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Hvidovre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.4%
@ 1.31+0.7%
Under 0.5
28.6%
@ 3.16-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Under
BetVictor
3.30
William Hil
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
1xBet
3.16
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.6%
@ 2.44-3.4%
Under 1.5
65.4%
@ 1.49+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Unibet
2.48
William Hil
2.45
Under
Pinnacle
1.54
BetVictor
1.52
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.2%
@ 5.73-4.0%
Under 2.5
87.8%
@ 1.10+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
6.00
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
5.50
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hvidovre over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
39.1%
@ 2.08-5.5%
Under
60.9%
@ 1.67+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Under
1xBet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.70
Superbet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Hvidovre over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 6.76-4.4%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.08+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Hvidovre over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 20.17-3.5%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
FC Fredericia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
51.2%
@ 1.81-0.0%
Under
48.8%
@ 1.90+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.82
Unibet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
2.01
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.87
FC Fredericia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.3%
@ 5.03-3.1%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.13+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.00
Betano
5.00
Superbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
FC Fredericia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 13.58-3.4%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hvidovre
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.71
1.14
0.81
0.44
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.81
0.70
0.75
1.08
0.87
0.40
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Fredericia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Fredericia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.87
0.56
0.88
1.00
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.57
0.33
1.67
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.79
0.36
0.82
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Hvidovre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.5%
@ 1.18+0.9%
Under 0.5
20.5%
@ 4.31-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Under
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.4%
@ 1.89-4.8%
Under 1.5
55.6%
@ 1.83+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Under
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.88
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.82
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.5%
@ 3.70-6.5%
Under 2.5
81.5%
@ 1.23+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.75
William Hil
3.75
Betano
3.65
1xBet
3.52
Under
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hvidovre over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.5%
@ 1.76-7.1%
Under
54.5%
@ 1.96+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Under
1xBet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
10Bet
1.91
Hvidovre over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
13.1%
@ 4.76-6.3%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.15+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Superbet
4.70
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Hvidovre over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 13.42-4.9%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.02+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
FC Fredericia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
55.9%
@ 1.56-3.5%
Under
44.1%
@ 2.29+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.51
Under
1xBet
2.40
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.22
10Bet
2.20
FC Fredericia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
24.8%
@ 3.65-0.6%
Under
75.2%
@ 1.24+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.95
Superbet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.55
Betano
3.55
1xBet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.20
FC Fredericia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.7%
@ 9.41-1.2%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.03+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
9.40
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
95.3%
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
+12.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
93.2%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
+9.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
91.3%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.7%
1.08
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
89.0%
1.18
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
+10.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.8%
1.10
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.11
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.9%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
+6.3%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
86.3%
1.33
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
+16.5%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
86.3%
1.34
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Unibet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
+19.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
84.7%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.0%
1.20
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
81.8%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-7.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.5%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.18
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
79.2%
1.26
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
79.1%
1.16
Pinnacle
1.19
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.16
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
76.1%
1.51
Pinnacle
1.54
BetVictor
1.53
Betfair
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
+14.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
75.2%
1.24
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.20
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.4%
1.31
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
+0.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hvidovre · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Thomsen20%
Lirim Qamili18%
Mads Kaalund14%
Christian Jakobsen13%
Andreas Smed12%
Simon Makienok11%
Jeffrey Adjei-Broni4%
Magnus Fredslund4%
Matti Lund Nielsen0%
Marco Ramkilde0%
Adrian Kappenberger0%
Jonas Gemmer0%
Nikolaj Geertsen0%
Mathias Gehrt0%
Filip Đukić0%
Malte Kiilerich0%
Daniel Stenderup0%
Martin Spelmann0%
Matti Olsen0%
Philip Rejnhold0%
Thomas Jorgensen0%
Marcus Lindberg0%
Ahmed Iljazovski0%
Marc Nielsen0%
Mathias Andreasen0%
Magnus Petersen0%
Marius Papuga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Philip Rejnhold38%
Jonas Gemmer33%
Nikolaj Geertsen30%
Ahmed Iljazovski21%
Martin Spelmann19%
Christian Jakobsen17%
Magnus Fredslund15%
Lirim Qamili14%
Marcus Lindberg14%
Marc Nielsen14%
Matti Olsen14%
Tobias Thomsen13%
Jeffrey Adjei-Broni13%
Malte Kiilerich11%
Filip Đukić8%
Andreas Smed8%
Mathias Andreasen7%
Thomas Jorgensen7%
Simon Makienok5%
Matti Lund Nielsen0%
Marco Ramkilde0%
Adrian Kappenberger0%
Mads Kaalund0%
Mathias Gehrt0%
Daniel Stenderup0%
Magnus Petersen0%
Marius Papuga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Magnus Fredslund15%
Christian Jakobsen10%
Marc Nielsen10%
Marcus Lindberg7%
Ahmed Iljazovski7%
Tobias Thomsen7%
Simon Makienok5%
Jeffrey Adjei-Broni4%
Andreas Smed4%
Jonas Gemmer4%
Lirim Qamili4%
Matti Lund Nielsen0%
Marco Ramkilde0%
Adrian Kappenberger0%
Nikolaj Geertsen0%
Mads Kaalund0%
Mathias Gehrt0%
Filip Đukić0%
Malte Kiilerich0%
Daniel Stenderup0%
Martin Spelmann0%
Matti Olsen0%
Philip Rejnhold0%
Thomas Jorgensen0%
Mathias Andreasen0%
Magnus Petersen0%
Marius Papuga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tobias Thomsen27%
Lirim Qamili21%
Andreas Smed8%
Thomas Jorgensen7%
Simon Makienok5%
Magnus Fredslund4%
Martin Spelmann4%
Christian Jakobsen3%
Matti Lund Nielsen0%
Marco Ramkilde0%
Adrian Kappenberger0%
Jonas Gemmer0%
Nikolaj Geertsen0%
Mads Kaalund0%
Mathias Gehrt0%
Filip Đukić0%
Malte Kiilerich0%
Daniel Stenderup0%
Matti Olsen0%
Philip Rejnhold0%
Marcus Lindberg0%
Ahmed Iljazovski0%
Marc Nielsen0%
Mathias Andreasen0%
Magnus Petersen0%
Marius Papuga0%
Jeffrey Adjei-Broni0%
FC Fredericia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Friday Etim29%
Oscar Buch27%
Sofus Johannesen27%
Jonatan Lindekilde24%
Agon Mucolli19%
Gustav Marcussen14%
Felix Winther11%
Svenn Crone10%
Patrick Egelund7%
Anders Dahl6%
Emilio Simonsen5%
William Madsen5%
Eskild Dall4%
Jeppe Kudsk4%
Jakob Jessen3%
Moses Opondo0%
Andreas Pyndt0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Daniel Kristjansson0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Daniel Haarbo0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Adam Nygaard0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Haarbo33%
Jeppe Kudsk26%
Emilio Simonsen25%
Friday Etim21%
Svenn Crone20%
Felix Winther19%
Moses Opondo12%
Oscar Buch9%
Eskild Dall9%
Andreas Pyndt7%
Adam Nygaard7%
Agon Mucolli6%
Daniel Kristjansson6%
Jakob Jessen6%
William Madsen5%
Sofus Johannesen5%
Gustav Marcussen3%
Frederik Rieper3%
Patrick Egelund0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Anders Dahl0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Jonatan Lindekilde0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Kristjansson19%
Emilio Simonsen15%
Jakob Jessen12%
Jonatan Lindekilde12%
Andreas Pyndt11%
Sofus Johannesen9%
Eskild Dall9%
Felix Winther7%
Friday Etim7%
Gustav Marcussen7%
Patrick Egelund7%
Agon Mucolli6%
Moses Opondo6%
Anders Dahl6%
William Madsen5%
Oscar Buch5%
Adam Nygaard4%
Svenn Crone0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Daniel Haarbo0%
Jeppe Kudsk0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Friday Etim43%
Oscar Buch23%
Sofus Johannesen23%
Jonatan Lindekilde18%
Agon Mucolli12%
Emilio Simonsen10%
Felix Winther4%
Moses Opondo0%
Patrick Egelund0%
Andreas Pyndt0%
Svenn Crone0%
Gustav Marcussen0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Anders Dahl0%
Eskild Dall0%
William Madsen0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Daniel Kristjansson0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Daniel Haarbo0%
Jeppe Kudsk0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Jakob Jessen0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Adam Nygaard0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
Hvidovre's squad is €3m less valuable than FC Fredericia's (€5m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
Hvidovre and FC Fredericia have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Hvidovre's midfield is €1m less valuable than FC Fredericia's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
Hvidovre's defence is €1m less valuable than FC Fredericia's (€2m vs €3m).
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vejle
Hobro
Aarhus Fremad
Vendsyssel FF
Aalborg
AB Copenhagen
Kolding IF
Hillerød
Esbjerg
HB Koge