The encounter between IF Brommapojkarna and IF Elfsborg is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win chances sit at 34% and 37% respectively, while a draw is 29%. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly low-scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 with a 13.8% probability. Brommapojkarna, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, whereas Elfsborg, on the road, averages only 0.7 scored and 1.8 conceded. Recent form adds nuance: Brommapojkarna come off a defeat, while Elfsborg remain unbeaten in their last five. The model’s selections highlight a very high likelihood of low-scoring outcomes: Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.9%) and Away under 3.5 goals (95.4%). All figures are expressed as percentages.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
IF Brommapojkarna win
34.1%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.34
Edge
+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.42
Dafabet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Draw
28.9%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.49
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.65
Unibet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.55
IF Elfsborg win
37.0%
Avg Implied 45.5% · @ 2.05
Edge
-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Dafabet
2.07
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
IF Brommapojkarna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.53
1.36
1.50
1.25
1.56
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.88
0.75
1.75
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.45
1.41
1.60
1.40
1.33
1.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Elfsborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IF Elfsborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.27
1.80
1.13
1.07
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.23
1.50
1.67
1.25
0.70
1.80
vs Weaker (8)
2.00
0.62
2.33
0.67
1.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Brommapojkarna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.6%
@ 1.22-1.5%
Under 1.5
25.4%
@ 3.88+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.05
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.95
BetVictor
3.80
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.3%
@ 1.75-5.6%
Under 2.5
51.7%
@ 2.04+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.79
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
Betfair
1.75
Bet365
1.75
Under
10Bet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.06
Betfair
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Betano
2.05
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.5%
@ 2.80-6.7%
Under 3.5
73.5%
@ 1.39+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Pinnacle
2.85
Unibet
2.80
Betano
2.77
Under
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Both teams to score
Yes
54.2%
@ 1.61-3.1%
No
45.8%
@ 2.16+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
No
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%@ 6.33+6.7%
0-0
8.7%@ 11.03+4.6%
0-1
8.6%@ 8.04+3.0%
1-2
8.4%@ 7.96+2.7%
1-0
8.2%@ 10.63+3.9%
2-1
8.0%@ 10.58+3.7%
0-2
6.6%@ 10.04+2.1%
2-0
6.0%@ 17.18+3.4%
IF Brommapojkarna goals ↓
IF Elfsborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
8.6%
6.6%
2.9%
1.0%
1
8.2%
14%
8.4%
3.7%
1.2%
2
6.0%
8.0%
5.3%
2.4%
0.8%
3
2.5%
3.4%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IF Brommapojkarna goals (down), columns = IF Elfsborg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.84
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Malmo FF
1.53
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.11
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
IF Brommapojkarna is 0.37 points worse than IF Elfsborg in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.26
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.33
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
IF Brommapojkarna and IF Elfsborg are level in goals scored per game (both 1.42).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.00
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.61
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
IF Brommapojkarna is 0.63 goals worse than IF Elfsborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
56%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
IF Brommapojkarna is 0.8 percentage points worse than IF Elfsborg in terms of average possession (47% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
IF Brommapojkarna
For 4.5 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 14.1 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IF Elfsborg
For 4.3 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IF Brommapojkarna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.3
10.3
3.4
3.9
3.0
24.6
24.6
24.5
vs Stronger (14)
9.8
10.0
9.7
3.5
4.3
2.9
26.5
25.8
27.1
vs Similar (36)
10.5
10.4
10.6
3.4
3.8
3.0
23.8
24.1
23.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
59%
57%
38%
52%
26%
76%
77%
74%
% under line
42%
41%
43%
62%
48%
74%
24%
23%
26%
This opponent (IF Elfsborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IF Elfsborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.7
10.4
3.2
3.2
3.2
24.3
23.3
25.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
10.1
9.5
10.7
3.6
3.5
3.7
24.4
23.1
25.8
vs Weaker (13)
9.9
10.5
9.4
2.2
2.4
2.1
24.1
24.0
24.2
% over line
53%
52%
55%
42%
48%
36%
80%
74%
86%
% under line
47%
48%
45%
58%
52%
64%
20%
26%
14%
This opponent (IF Brommapojkarna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.6
Sirius
11.1
Orgryte IS
10.7
BK Hacken
10.7
IF Brommapojkarna
10.7
Gais
10.4
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Degerfors IF
10.3
Djurgardens IF
10.2
Halmstad
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.2
IF Elfsborg
10.0
Vasteras SK FK
9.9
Hammarby FF
9.9
Mjallby AIF
9.8
Malmo FF
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.2
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Malmo FF
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Mjallby AIF
3.7
Gais
3.7
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Halmstad
3.5
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Djurgardens IF
25.7
Malmo FF
25.7
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Sirius
25.4
Degerfors IF
25.4
Mjallby AIF
25.1
Vasteras SK FK
25.1
Gais
25.0
IF Brommapojkarna
24.6
BK Hacken
24.4
Hammarby FF
24.4
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
24.1
Kalmar FF
23.6
Halmstad
23.3
Orgryte IS
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.4%
@ 1.74+2.1%
Under 9.5
44.6%
@ 1.99-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.61
Under
Unibet
2.12
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
46.3%
Under 3.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.4%
Under 21.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
IF Brommapojkarna or Draw
63.0%
Avg Implied 54.0% · @ 1.73
Edge
+9.0%
34%
29%
37%
covers IF Brommapojkarna + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.78
Unibet
1.75
SBO
1.75
1xBet
1.73
William Hil
1.73
IF Brommapojkarna or IF Elfsborg
71.1%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.26
Edge
-2.9%
34%
29%
37%
covers IF Brommapojkarna + IF Elfsborg
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Draw or IF Elfsborg
65.9%
Avg Implied 71.9% · @ 1.30
Edge
-6.0%
34%
29%
37%
covers Draw + IF Elfsborg
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 0.5
Over
72.0%
@ 1.33+2.2%
Under
28.0%
@ 3.07-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Unibet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.17
10Bet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.04
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 1.5
Over
36.3%
@ 2.62+0.8%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.44-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.73
Marathonbet
2.68
Unibet
2.65
BetVictor
2.63
Betfair
2.63
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Betfair
1.44
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 2.5
Over
13.6%
@ 6.36-1.0%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.09+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.60
BetVictor
6.50
1xBet
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
@ 14.75-2.5%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
IF Elfsborg over/under 0.5
Over
73.6%
@ 1.18-5.1%
Under
26.4%
@ 4.35+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.35
10Bet
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
IF Elfsborg over/under 1.5
Over
38.5%
@ 1.91-10.3%
Under
61.5%
@ 1.82+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.94
Betano
1.93
BetVictor
1.93
10Bet
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Unibet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.82
IF Elfsborg over/under 2.5
Over
15.1%
@ 3.86-9.0%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.22+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Pinnacle
3.88
Under
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
IF Elfsborg over/under 3.5
Over
4.6%
@ 8.88-5.9%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.04+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Marathonbet
8.70
1xBet
8.50
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to IF Brommapojkarna, so a minus line means IF Brommapojkarna give that many goals of a start and IF Elfsborg receive them. At -1, IF Brommapojkarna must win by two or more to land; a one-goal IF Brommapojkarna win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (IF Brommapojkarna)
IF Brommapojkarna -2
5.3%
@ 19.00+0.3%
Draw -2
10.2%
@ 10.00+0.7%
IF Elfsborg +2
84.6%
@ 1.10-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
19.00
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
1.10
Handicap -1 (IF Brommapojkarna)
IF Brommapojkarna -1
15.4%
@ 6.85+2.3%
Draw -1
18.7%
@ 5.06+1.0%
IF Elfsborg +1
65.9%
@ 1.29-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
10Bet
6.50
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.10
Unibet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Away
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Unibet
1.26
Handicap +1 (IF Brommapojkarna)
IF Brommapojkarna +1
63.0%
@ 1.73+11.4%
Draw +1
19.7%
@ 3.77-4.0%
IF Elfsborg -1
17.3%
@ 3.62-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.79
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Betfair
1.67
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
3.55
Away
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.58
Unibet
3.30
Handicap +2 (IF Brommapojkarna)
IF Brommapojkarna +2
82.7%
@ 1.23+9.6%
Draw +2
11.2%
@ 5.76-4.4%
IF Elfsborg -2
6.2%
@ 7.93-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.10
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.40
Unibet
6.75
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IF Brommapojkarna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.67
0.43
0.64
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.88
0.25
0.25
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.59
0.50
0.80
0.42
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Elfsborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IF Elfsborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.53
0.53
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.59
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.70
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.38
0.67
0.67
0.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Brommapojkarna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.2%
@ 1.33-1.8%
Under 0.5
31.8%
@ 3.10+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.35
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.25
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.5%
@ 2.54-4.0%
Under 1.5
67.5%
@ 1.46+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.60
Marathonbet
2.56
1xBet
2.56
Under
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Unibet
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.2%
@ 6.24-4.7%
Under 2.5
89.8%
@ 1.09+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.8%
@ 2.21+0.7%
Under
57.2%
@ 1.60-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Unibet
2.18
Under
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.58
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.2%
@ 7.22-1.6%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.06+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.8%
@ 19.25-3.2%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
IF Elfsborg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.9%
@ 1.79-6.0%
Under
54.1%
@ 1.93+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.74
Under
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
Unibet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.87
IF Elfsborg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.1%
@ 5.14-7.0%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.14+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Betano
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
IF Elfsborg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.8%
@ 12.00-4.1%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IF Brommapojkarna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.87
0.93
0.86
0.81
0.88
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (22)
1.00
0.82
1.10
0.60
0.92
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Elfsborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IF Elfsborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.73
1.27
0.60
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.91
1.17
0.75
0.30
1.10
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
0.25
1.67
0.00
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Brommapojkarna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.1%
@ 1.19-2.8%
Under 0.5
24.9%
@ 4.22+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Betano
4.25
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.3%
@ 1.94-12.8%
Under 1.5
64.7%
@ 1.79+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Unibet
1.92
Under
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Unibet
1.76
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.4%
@ 3.93-8.2%
Under 2.5
84.6%
@ 1.21+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.92
Betano
3.80
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.5%
@ 1.84+0.1%
Under
49.5%
@ 1.86-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.85
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.80
Under
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.8%
@ 5.19-1.0%
Under
83.2%
@ 1.12+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.40
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.6%
@ 12.75-3.8%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
IF Elfsborg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.1%
@ 1.54-9.1%
Under
48.9%
@ 2.33+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Under
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.34
10Bet
2.30
IF Elfsborg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.3%
@ 3.60-10.4%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.24+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.64
Betano
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
IF Elfsborg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.2%
@ 9.18-6.8%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.03+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+6.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+2.5%
Away under 3.5 goals
95.4%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
+5.9%
Under 5.5
95.1%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
BetVictor
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
+4.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+4.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.14
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+7.0%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+1.6%
Under 4.5
87.7%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.12
+5.4%
Home under 2.5 goals
86.4%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
+1.0%
Under 5.5 cards
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
84.9%
1.22
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+9.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.7%
1.24
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
-
+10.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.6%
1.21
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
+8.2%
Away +2 handicap
84.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-1.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.12
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+1.0%
Home +2 handicap
82.7%
1.23
Unibet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
+9.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.1%
1.19
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-2.8%
Over 1.5
74.6%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
-1.5%
Away over 0.5 goals
73.6%
1.18
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-5.1%
Under 3.5
73.5%
1.39
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.38
+6.7%
Under 4.5 cards
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
72.0%
1.33
Betano
1.36
Unibet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
+2.2%
Home or Away
71.1%
1.26
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-2.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
IF Brommapojkarna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mads Hansen40%
Oliver Berg19%
Lukas Björklund18%
Andreas Troelsen16%
Sion Oppong14%
Anton Kurochkin12%
Simon Strand12%
Alex Timossi Andersson11%
Obilor Denzel Okeke10%
David Isso9%
Kamilcan Sever8%
Kaare Barslund6%
Oliver Zandén5%
Kevin Ackermann0%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali0%
Rasmus Örqvist0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Mohamed Wael Derbali0%
Jordan Simpson0%
Elton Hedstrom0%
Leo Cavallius0%
Oskar Cotton0%
Atle Wahlund0%
Bidemi Amole0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Timossi Andersson33%
Atle Wahlund33%
Jordan Simpson27%
Oliver Berg25%
Wilmer Odefalk25%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali22%
Lukas Björklund18%
Kevin Ackermann17%
Mohamed Wael Derbali14%
Mads Hansen13%
Oliver Zandén11%
Kamilcan Sever8%
Simon Strand6%
Kaare Barslund6%
Leo Cavallius6%
Rasmus Örqvist0%
Obilor Denzel Okeke0%
Andreas Troelsen0%
Anton Kurochkin0%
Elton Hedstrom0%
Oskar Cotton0%
Sion Oppong0%
David Isso0%
Bidemi Amole0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mads Hansen40%
Oliver Berg31%
Anton Kurochkin25%
Oliver Zandén11%
Rasmus Örqvist10%
Oskar Cotton9%
David Isso9%
Kamilcan Sever8%
Sion Oppong7%
Kevin Ackermann0%
Simon Strand0%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Obilor Denzel Okeke0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Lukas Björklund0%
Mohamed Wael Derbali0%
Andreas Troelsen0%
Jordan Simpson0%
Kaare Barslund0%
Elton Hedstrom0%
Leo Cavallius0%
Atle Wahlund0%
Bidemi Amole0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mads Hansen27%
Oliver Berg12%
David Isso9%
Sion Oppong7%
Oliver Zandén5%
Kevin Ackermann0%
Simon Strand0%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Rasmus Örqvist0%
Obilor Denzel Okeke0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Lukas Björklund0%
Mohamed Wael Derbali0%
Andreas Troelsen0%
Jordan Simpson0%
Kaare Barslund0%
Anton Kurochkin0%
Elton Hedstrom0%
Leo Cavallius0%
Kamilcan Sever0%
Oskar Cotton0%
Atle Wahlund0%
Bidemi Amole0%
IF Elfsborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leo Östman26%
Ari Sigurpálsson25%
Arbër Zeneli19%
Julius Magnusson17%
Frederik Ihler14%
Momoh Ibrahim Kamara13%
Taylor Silverholt8%
Niklas Hult6%
Simon Olsson6%
Simon Hedlund0%
Rasmus Wikström0%
Per Frick0%
Thomas Isherwood0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Sebastian Holmén0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Buhari Ibrahim0%
Julius Beck0%
Altti Hellemaa0%
Gottfrid Rapp0%
Rufai Mohammed0%
Frode Aronsson0%
Ozor Victor Okeke0%
Sven Ossian Nordvall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sebastian Holmén27%
Altti Hellemaa20%
Rasmus Wikström18%
Julius Magnusson17%
Simon Olsson17%
Frederik Ihler14%
Julius Beck13%
Arbër Zeneli12%
Niklas Hult11%
Taylor Silverholt8%
Momoh Ibrahim Kamara7%
Ari Sigurpálsson6%
Thomas Isherwood5%
Isak Pettersson5%
Leo Östman5%
Simon Hedlund0%
Per Frick0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Buhari Ibrahim0%
Gottfrid Rapp0%
Rufai Mohammed0%
Frode Aronsson0%
Ozor Victor Okeke0%
Sven Ossian Nordvall0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Momoh Ibrahim Kamara20%
Julius Magnusson17%
Taylor Silverholt15%
Julius Beck13%
Arbër Zeneli12%
Niklas Hult11%
Frederik Ihler7%
Rufai Mohammed7%
Simon Hedlund6%
Simon Olsson6%
Thomas Isherwood5%
Rasmus Wikström0%
Per Frick0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Sebastian Holmén0%
Ari Sigurpálsson0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Buhari Ibrahim0%
Altti Hellemaa0%
Gottfrid Rapp0%
Leo Östman0%
Frode Aronsson0%
Ozor Victor Okeke0%
Sven Ossian Nordvall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Momoh Ibrahim Kamara33%
Julius Magnusson11%
Taylor Silverholt8%
Niklas Hult6%
Simon Hedlund0%
Arbër Zeneli0%
Rasmus Wikström0%
Simon Olsson0%
Per Frick0%
Thomas Isherwood0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Sebastian Holmén0%
Ari Sigurpálsson0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Frederik Ihler0%
Buhari Ibrahim0%
Julius Beck0%
Altti Hellemaa0%
Gottfrid Rapp0%
Rufai Mohammed0%
Leo Östman0%
Frode Aronsson0%
Ozor Victor Okeke0%
Sven Ossian Nordvall0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
IF Brommapojkarna's squad is €8m less valuable than IF Elfsborg's (€9m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
IF Brommapojkarna's attack is €2m less valuable than IF Elfsborg's (€3m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
IF Brommapojkarna's midfield is €2m less valuable than IF Elfsborg's (€2m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
IF Brommapojkarna's defence is €4m less valuable than IF Elfsborg's (€4m vs €7m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Sirius
Hammarby FF
Djurgardens IF
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad