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IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS Result & Analysis

Date: 16/02/2025
Time: 14:15
Final 3-1
IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg
Vs
82%
13%
6%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS
Sweden: Svenska Cupen
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The Pythia model crowns IF Elfsborg the clear favourite, assigning an 82% chance of victory. Their recent unbeaten run of five games, highlighted by a 2-0 win over Degerfors IF, fuels the high confidence, while Orgryte IS, fresh from a defeat, shows a weaker form. The model’s pick is a home win, and it expects a high-scoring affair with an average of 3.7 goals, centring on the 3-goal total that carries a 21% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 10.9% chance.

Elfsborg’s home form indicates they will score and concede well against Orgryte’s away side, whose away scoring and conceding against this tier of opposition is modest. The suggested selections are all weighted heavily: Away under 3.5 goals 99.3%, Home +2 handicap 98.4%, Under 7.5 96.5%, Away under 2.5 goals 96.2%, Home over 0.5 goals 94.9%, Home or Draw 94.3%, Home +1 handicap 94.3%, and Under 6.5 91.8%. The probabilities for the match outcome are 82% for a home win, 13% for a draw, and 6% for an away win.

Results analysis

The match saw IF Elfsborg extend their unbeaten run, beating Orgryte IS 3-1 to secure a home win. The Pythia model had picked a home victory with an 82% probability, and it was correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: the away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.3%, home +2 handicap at 98.4%, under 7.5 at 96.5%, away under 2.5 goals at 96.2%, home over 0.5 goals at 94.9%, home or draw at 94.3%, home +1 handicap at 94.3%, and under 6.5 at 91.8%. The most likely scoreline was 3-0, but the actual 3-1 result still fell within the model’s predicted range.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

IF Elfsborg win✓ Hit
81.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
12.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS win✗ Miss
5.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-534L12L50W10W11D00D03L10W10W03LA·GAL23/10A·AIK27/10A·ESK30/10H·VAS02/11H·SC 07/11A·IFK10/11A·ATH28/11H·QAR12/12H·NIC23/01A·TOT30/01← AllsvenskanSvenska Cupen →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.231.400.801.531.67
vs Stronger (7)1.142.001.000.331.253.25
vs Similar (20)1.501.151.500.921.501.50
vs Weaker (3)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Orgryte ISOrgryte IS

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W32W21W11D33D01L42W11D21W21WA·IK 01/09A·GEF15/09H·LAN19/09A·UTS24/09H·VAR28/09A·TRE06/10H·SAN18/10A·GIF26/10H·OST04/11A·HEL09/11← SuperettanSvenska Cupen →
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.402.071.501.381.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.751.432.151.541.401.33
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Elfsborg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%117%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.0%
Under 1.5
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.6%
Under 2.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.7%
Under 3.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-0
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
3-1 ✓
7.9%
1-0
6.8%
1-1
5.9%
4-1
5.9%
IF Elfsborg goals ↓
Orgryte IS goals →
01234
03.0%1.3%0.7%0.2%0.0%
16.8%5.9%2.0%0.5%0.1%
211%8.0%2.9%0.7%0.1%
311%7.9%2.9%0.7%0.1%
48.1%5.9%2.2%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IF Elfsborg goals (down), columns = Orgryte IS goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IFK Goteborg
2.67
Stockholm Internazionale
2.40
Mjallby AIF
2.40
BK Hacken
2.29
Osters IF
2.25
Halmstad
2.25
Gais
2.25
Vasteras SK FK
2.25
Sirius
2.25
IF Elfsborg
2.20
Trelleborg
2.20
IFK Norrkoping
2.17
Hammarby FF
2.00
IF Brommapojkarna
2.00
Enskede
2.00
AIK Stockholm
2.00
Torslanda
2.00
Malmo FF
1.86
Degerfors IF
1.75
Djurgardens IF
1.75
Täby
1.50
Orgryte IS
1.50
Angelholms FF
1.50
IFK Hässleholm
1.50
Sandviken
1.50
Falkenbergs FF
1.50
IFK Östersund
1.50
Eskilsminne
1.50
Tvååker
1.50
Utsikten
1.50
FBK Karlstad
1.50
Årsunda
1.50
IF Karlstad
1.50
Kubikenborg
1.50
Landskrona BoIS
1.50
Kalmar FF
1.50
Piteå
1.50
Nyköping
1.50
Herrestads
1.50
Järfälla
1.50
Berga
1.50
Sollentuna
1.50
Tord
1.50
Smedby
1.50
Trollhättan
1.50
Stocksund
1.50
Ariana
1.50
Götaholm
1.50
Oddevold
1.00
Tidaholms GoIF
1.00
Karlberg
1.00
Ostersunds FK
1.00
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.00
Balkan
1.00
Vasalund
1.00
Viggbyholms IK
1.00
Nacka Iliria
1.00
Borens
1.00
Helsingborg
0.75
Skövde AIK
0.75
Gefle IF
0.75
IFK Varnamo
0.75
Orebro SK
0.75
Haga
0.50
Gute
0.50
Huddinge
0.50
Jonkopings Sodra
0.50
Simrishamn
0.50
IK brage
0.50
Zenith
0.00
Landvetter IS
0.00
Gottne
0.00
Dalkurd FF
0.00
Kristianopels
0.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.00
Arlanda
0.00
Timmernabbens
0.00
Stegeborgs
0.00
Korsnäs
0.00
Onsala
0.00
Lödde
0.00
Vänersborgs IF
0.00
Åstorp
0.00
Forward
0.00
Torns
0.00
Franke
0.00
Brålanda
0.00
IFK Eskilstuna
0.00
Skellefteå
0.00
Jönköpings BK
0.00
Sunnersta
0.00
Haninge
0.00
Hudiksvall
0.00
Gauthiod
0.00
Styrsö
0.00
IFK Skövde
0.00
IF Elfsborg is 0.70 points better than Orgryte IS in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FBK Karlstad
3.50
Trollhättan
3.50
Mjallby AIF
3.40
Djurgardens IF
3.25
Berga
3.00
IFK Goteborg
2.83
AIK Stockholm
2.75
IF Karlstad
2.50
Nyköping
2.50
Sollentuna
2.50
Gais
2.50
Vasteras SK FK
2.50
Smedby
2.50
Hammarby FF
2.40
IFK Norrkoping
2.33
IF Brommapojkarna
2.25
Degerfors IF
2.00
Gottne
2.00
IFK Hässleholm
2.00
Stegeborgs
2.00
Falkenbergs FF
2.00
Tvååker
2.00
Kubikenborg
2.00
Kalmar FF
2.00
IF Elfsborg
2.00
Halmstad
2.00
Brålanda
2.00
Malmo FF
2.00
Trelleborg
2.00
Nacka Iliria
2.00
Borens
2.00
Torslanda
2.00
Gauthiod
2.00
Götaholm
2.00
BK Hacken
1.86
Stockholm Internazionale
1.80
Osters IF
1.75
Skövde AIK
1.75
IFK Varnamo
1.75
Sirius
1.75
Orgryte IS
1.50
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.50
Orebro SK
1.50
Piteå
1.50
Stocksund
1.50
Ariana
1.50
Utsikten
1.25
Landskrona BoIS
1.25
Täby
1.00
Oddevold
1.00
Dalkurd FF
1.00
Kristianopels
1.00
Helsingborg
1.00
Tidaholms GoIF
1.00
Haga
1.00
Karlberg
1.00
Angelholms FF
1.00
Timmernabbens
1.00
Ostersunds FK
1.00
Sandviken
1.00
Gute
1.00
Korsnäs
1.00
Onsala
1.00
Huddinge
1.00
Enskede
1.00
Eskilsminne
1.00
Jonkopings Sodra
1.00
Årsunda
1.00
Balkan
1.00
Simrishamn
1.00
Vasalund
1.00
Järfälla
1.00
Viggbyholms IK
1.00
Tord
1.00
IFK Eskilstuna
1.00
Skellefteå
1.00
Gefle IF
0.50
IFK Östersund
0.50
Herrestads
0.50
IK brage
0.50
Zenith
0.00
Landvetter IS
0.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.00
Arlanda
0.00
Lödde
0.00
Vänersborgs IF
0.00
Åstorp
0.00
Forward
0.00
Torns
0.00
Franke
0.00
Jönköpings BK
0.00
Sunnersta
0.00
Haninge
0.00
Hudiksvall
0.00
Styrsö
0.00
IFK Skövde
0.00
IF Elfsborg is 0.50 goals better than Orgryte IS in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
IF Brommapojkarna
0.25
Mjallby AIF
0.40
IF Elfsborg
0.40
Enskede
0.50
BK Hacken
0.71
Malmo FF
0.71
AIK Stockholm
0.75
Halmstad
0.75
Stockholm Internazionale
0.80
IFK Goteborg
0.83
Täby
1.00
Osters IF
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
1.00
Tidaholms GoIF
1.00
Arlanda
1.00
Ostersunds FK
1.00
Falkenbergs FF
1.00
Vänersborgs IF
1.00
Balkan
1.00
Vasalund
1.00
Herrestads
1.00
Viggbyholms IK
1.00
Tord
1.00
Smedby
1.00
Sunnersta
1.00
Ariana
1.00
Hudiksvall
1.00
IFK Skövde
1.00
Trelleborg
1.20
Degerfors IF
1.25
Oddevold
1.25
Kalmar FF
1.25
Vasteras SK FK
1.25
IK brage
1.25
Sirius
1.25
IFK Norrkoping
1.33
Hammarby FF
1.40
Karlberg
1.40
Huddinge
1.50
Tvååker
1.50
Jonkopings Sodra
1.50
FBK Karlstad
1.50
Berga
1.50
Sollentuna
1.50
Gais
1.50
Torslanda
1.50
Helsingborg
1.75
Sandviken
1.75
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.75
Landskrona BoIS
1.75
Djurgardens IF
1.75
Orgryte IS
2.00
Haga
2.00
Angelholms FF
2.00
Gute
2.00
Korsnäs
2.00
Onsala
2.00
Åstorp
2.00
Simrishamn
2.00
Torns
2.00
Franke
2.00
Piteå
2.00
Nacka Iliria
2.00
Borens
2.00
IFK Eskilstuna
2.00
Skellefteå
2.00
Trollhättan
2.00
Skövde AIK
2.25
Utsikten
2.25
IFK Östersund
2.50
Eskilsminne
2.50
IF Karlstad
2.50
IFK Varnamo
2.50
Orebro SK
2.50
Götaholm
2.50
Zenith
3.00
Gottne
3.00
Kristianopels
3.00
IFK Hässleholm
3.00
Gefle IF
3.00
Lödde
3.00
Årsunda
3.00
Nyköping
3.00
Järfälla
3.00
Gauthiod
3.00
Stocksund
3.50
Landvetter IS
4.00
Stegeborgs
4.00
Brålanda
4.00
Jönköpings BK
4.00
Haninge
4.00
Kubikenborg
4.50
Dalkurd FF
5.00
Timmernabbens
5.00
Forward
5.00
Styrsö
5.00
IF Elfsborg is 1.60 goals better than Orgryte IS in terms of goals conceded per game (0.40 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
IF Elfsborg or Draw✓ Hit
94.3%
Avg Implied -
82%
13%
6%
covers IF Elfsborg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
IF Elfsborg or Orgryte IS✓ Hit
87.4%
Avg Implied -
82%
13%
6%
covers IF Elfsborg + Orgryte IS
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Orgryte IS✗ Miss
18.2%
Avg Implied -
82%
13%
6%
covers Draw + Orgryte IS
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
IF Elfsborg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
94.9%
Under
5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IF Elfsborg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
79.7%
Under
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IF Elfsborg over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
57.2%
Under
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IF Elfsborg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
34.7%
Under
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
51.8%
Under
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
16.7%
Under
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to IF Elfsborg, so a minus line means IF Elfsborg give that many goals of a start and Orgryte IS receive them. At -1, IF Elfsborg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal IF Elfsborg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (IF Elfsborg)Actual: Draw
IF Elfsborg -2
42.3%
Draw -2
21.2%
Orgryte IS +2
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (IF Elfsborg)Actual: IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg -1
63.6%
Draw -1
18.2%
Orgryte IS +1
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (IF Elfsborg)Actual: IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg +1
94.3%
Draw +1
4.1%
Orgryte IS -1
1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (IF Elfsborg)Actual: IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg +2
98.4%
Draw +2
1.3%
Orgryte IS -2
0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L20W10W00D00D02L00D00D00DA·GAL23/10A·AIK27/10A·ESK30/10H·VAS02/11H·SC 07/11A·IFK10/11A·ATH28/11H·QAR12/12H·NIC23/01A·TOT30/01← AllsvenskanSvenska Cupen →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.570.670.270.730.87
vs Stronger (7)0.290.860.330.000.251.50
vs Similar (20)0.800.550.750.330.880.88
vs Weaker (3)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Orgryte ISOrgryte IS

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W22D11D00D30W01L20W00D01L21WA·IK 01/09A·GEF15/09H·LAN19/09A·UTS24/09H·VAR28/09A·TRE06/10H·SAN18/10A·GIF26/10H·OST04/11A·HEL09/11← SuperettanSvenska Cupen →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.571.070.430.750.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.930.611.080.460.800.73
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Elfsborg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IF Elfsborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IF Elfsborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IF Elfsborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W11D30W00D11D00D01L10W10W03LA·GAL23/10A·AIK27/10A·ESK30/10H·VAS02/11H·SC 07/11A·IFK10/11A·ATH28/11H·QAR12/12H·NIC23/01A·TOT30/01← AllsvenskanSvenska Cupen →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.670.730.530.800.80
vs Stronger (7)0.861.140.670.331.001.75
vs Similar (20)0.700.600.750.580.620.62
vs Weaker (3)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Orgryte ISOrgryte IS

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W11D03L00D22D11D20W00DA·IK 01/09A·GEF15/09H·LAN19/09A·UTS24/09H·VAR28/09A·TRE06/10H·SAN18/10A·GIF26/10H·OST04/11A·HEL09/11← SuperettanSvenska Cupen →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.831.001.070.620.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.820.821.081.080.600.60
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Elfsborg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IF Elfsborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IF Elfsborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IF Elfsborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 3.5 goals99.3%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap98.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.596.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals96.2%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals94.9%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw94.3%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap94.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.591.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.589.0%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away87.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals83.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.582.9%-------✓ Hit
Home win81.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.4%--------
Home over 1.5 goals79.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.0%--------
Under 5.5 cards73.4%--------
Under 25.5 fouls73.2%--------
Over 8.5 corners72.7%--------
Over 2.571.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

IF Elfsborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michael Baidoo36%
Simon Hedlund22%
Emil Holten21%
Per Frick15%
Arbër Zeneli15%
Eggert Aron Guðmundsson12%
Johan Larsson12%
Ahmed Qasem11%
Jalal Abdullai10%
Noah Söderberg10%
Rami Kaib8%
Timothy Ouma7%
Terry Yegbe7%
Sebastian Holmén6%
Gustav Henriksson4%
Besfort Zeneli3%
Niklas Hult3%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Andre Boman0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Dion Krasniqi0%
Buhari Ibrahim0%
Camil Jebara0%
Gottfrid Rapp0%
Ludvig Richtner0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jalal Abdullai28%
Camil Jebara25%
Buhari Ibrahim23%
Sebastian Holmén23%
Timothy Ouma21%
Niklas Hult18%
Johan Larsson18%
Per Frick15%
Andri Fannar Baldursson15%
Ahmed Qasem14%
Terry Yegbe13%
Rami Kaib12%
Noah Söderberg10%
Michael Baidoo9%
Simon Hedlund8%
Besfort Zeneli6%
Jens Jakob Thomasen6%
Gustav Henriksson4%
Arbër Zeneli3%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Emil Holten0%
Andre Boman0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Eggert Aron Guðmundsson0%
Dion Krasniqi0%
Gottfrid Rapp0%
Ludvig Richtner0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Hedlund19%
Besfort Zeneli16%
Arbër Zeneli15%
Michael Baidoo12%
Noah Söderberg10%
Niklas Hult9%
Gottfrid Rapp9%
Ahmed Qasem9%
Andri Fannar Baldursson7%
Timothy Ouma7%
Jens Jakob Thomasen6%
Buhari Ibrahim5%
Rami Kaib4%
Terry Yegbe3%
Sebastian Holmén3%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Emil Holten0%
Johan Larsson0%
Andre Boman0%
Gustav Henriksson0%
Per Frick0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Eggert Aron Guðmundsson0%
Dion Krasniqi0%
Camil Jebara0%
Jalal Abdullai0%
Ludvig Richtner0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michael Baidoo12%
Arbër Zeneli12%
Jalal Abdullai10%
Noah Söderberg10%
Ahmed Qasem9%
Niklas Hult0%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Simon Hedlund0%
Emil Holten0%
Johan Larsson0%
Andre Boman0%
Gustav Henriksson0%
Rami Kaib0%
Per Frick0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Sebastian Holmén0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Eggert Aron Guðmundsson0%
Dion Krasniqi0%
Buhari Ibrahim0%
Camil Jebara0%
Gottfrid Rapp0%
Timothy Ouma0%
Besfort Zeneli0%
Terry Yegbe0%
Ludvig Richtner0%
Orgryte IS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edi Sylisufaj57%
Noah Christoffersson27%
Jonathan Azulay25%
Tobias Sana20%
Viktor Lundberg18%
William Kenndal17%
William Svensson15%
Anton Andreasson14%
Aydarus Abukar8%
Amel Mujanić7%
Isak Dahlqvist7%
Mikael Dyrestam0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Daniel Paulson0%
Nicklas Bärkroth0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Christoffer Styffe0%
Charlie Vindehall0%
Linus Tagesson0%
Filip Trpčevski0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoulaye Faye31%
Viktor Lundberg27%
Amel Mujanić20%
Isak Dahlqvist20%
Jonathan Azulay19%
Mikael Dyrestam17%
William Kenndal17%
William Svensson15%
Tobias Sana10%
Erion Sadiku10%
Aydarus Abukar8%
Charlie Vindehall7%
Hampus Gustafsson6%
Daniel Paulson0%
Noah Christoffersson0%
Anton Andreasson0%
Nicklas Bärkroth0%
Edi Sylisufaj0%
Christoffer Styffe0%
Linus Tagesson0%
Filip Trpčevski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Paulson38%
Linus Tagesson33%
Filip Trpčevski25%
Tobias Sana20%
Amel Mujanić13%
Isak Dahlqvist13%
Mikael Dyrestam8%
William Svensson8%
Aydarus Abukar8%
Anton Andreasson7%
Noah Christoffersson7%
Erion Sadiku0%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Viktor Lundberg0%
Nicklas Bärkroth0%
Edi Sylisufaj0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Christoffer Styffe0%
William Kenndal0%
Charlie Vindehall0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edi Sylisufaj57%
Amel Mujanić40%
Tobias Sana20%
Noah Christoffersson13%
Isak Dahlqvist13%
Daniel Paulson12%
Mikael Dyrestam8%
Aydarus Abukar8%
Anton Andreasson7%
Erion Sadiku0%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Viktor Lundberg0%
Nicklas Bärkroth0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Christoffer Styffe0%
William Kenndal0%
Charlie Vindehall0%
Linus Tagesson0%
William Svensson0%
Filip Trpčevski0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IN (25)
€9m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
DI (23)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
IF Elfsborg's squad is €9m more valuable than Orgryte IS's (€17m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
DI (5)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
IF Elfsborg's attack is €3m more valuable than Orgryte IS's (€5m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
IN (8)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
HAL (4)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
IF Elfsborg's midfield is €2m more valuable than Orgryte IS's (€4m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
IN (9)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
IF Elfsborg's defence is €3m more valuable than Orgryte IS's (€7m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
IE wins
0
Draws
0
OI wins

Head-to-head

IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS · H/A from IE
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/01/25ATottenham Vs IE3-0
23/01/25HIE Vs Nice1-0
12/12/24HIE Vs Qarabag1-0
28/11/24AAthletic Club Vs IE3-0
10/11/24AIFK Varnamo Vs IE0-0
07/11/24HIE Vs SC Braga1-1
02/11/24HIE Vs Vasteras SK FK1-0
30/10/24AEskilsminne Vs IE0-5
27/10/24AAIK Stockholm Vs IE2-1
23/10/24AGalatasaray Vs IE4-3

Orgryte ISOrgryte IS

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/24AHelsingborg Vs OI1-2
04/11/24HOI Vs Ostersunds FK2-1
26/10/24AGIF Sundsvall Vs OI1-1
18/10/24HOI Vs Sandviken4-2
06/10/24ATrelleborg Vs OI1-0
28/09/24HOI Vs Varbergs BoIS FC3-3
24/09/24AUtsikten Vs OI1-1
19/09/24HOI Vs Landskrona BoIS2-1
15/09/24AGefle IF Vs OI2-3
01/09/24AIK brage Vs OI0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg
Sweden: Svenska Cupen
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.62
HomeLWDWW2.08
AwayLWDLL1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%62%35%
AVG goals3.022.713.31
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.701.881.54
Conceded1.320.831.77
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet34%46%23%
Corners11.0911.4310.77
Cards4.214.354.08
Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS
Sweden: Svenska Cupen
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWW1.42
HomeLWDWW1.32
AwayWDLDW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%36%44%
AVG goals2.923.242.60
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %58%72%44%
Over 3.5 %32%36%28%
Scored1.461.601.32
Conceded1.461.641.28
BTTS64%72%56%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Corners11.3511.1111.62
Cards3.793.893.69

🏆 17. League Table

IF Elfsborg plays in Sweden - Allsvenskan
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Malmo FFMalmo FF3065
63%
2.2
6725+42
3.1
77%
63%
43%
11.3
57%
3.5
45%
22.7
53%
35
1211122.20.8
62%
2Hammarby FFHammarby FF3054
53%
1.8
4825+23
2.4
73%
57%
13%
11.0
57%
3.7
45%
24.3
70%
35
1311101.60.8
59%
3AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm3054
57%
1.8
4641+5
2.9
70%
50%
27%
9.5
53%
3.8
52%
24.1
70%
21
8761.51.4
50%
4Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF3053
53%
1.8
4535+10
2.7
83%
47%
23%
9.6
43%
3.7
57%
26.7
73%
27
81461.51.2
50%
5Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF3050
47%
1.7
4435+9
2.6
83%
57%
20%
11.1
67%
3.5
53%
25.7
77%
26
71181.51.2
51%
6GaisGais3048
47%
1.6
3634+2
2.3
70%
50%
20%
10.9
67%
4.3
63%
24.9
63%
13
5351.21.1
43%
7IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg3045
43%
1.5
5244+8
3.2
80%
67%
40%
11.5
60%
3.7
45%
25.2
73%
17
5471.71.5
42%
8BK HackenBK Hacken3042
40%
1.4
5451+3
3.5
87%
73%
43%
12.0
73%
3.6
50%
24.1
63%
16
6371.81.7
57%
9SiriusSirius3041
40%
1.4
4746+1
3.1
83%
60%
37%
11.4
73%
3.6
55%
24.6
73%
28
18541.61.5
53%
10IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo3235
25%
1.1
3342-9
2.3
72%
41%
25%
11.1
66%
3.5
44%
23.3
59%
5
2121.01.3
48%
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna3034
27%
1.1
4653-7
3.3
90%
63%
37%
11.3
67%
2.7
28%
21.4
40%
9
3241.51.8
47%
12IFK NorrkopingIFK Norrkoping3034
30%
1.1
3657-21
3.1
83%
60%
30%
11.0
63%
3.7
57%
25.8
83%
9
3331.21.9
47%
13HalmstadHalmstad3033
33%
1.1
3250-18
2.7
63%
50%
37%
9.6
47%
3.2
40%
21.9
37%
8
4131.11.7
37%
14IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg3031
23%
1.0
3343-10
2.5
70%
37%
20%
11.5
60%
3.8
53%
27.3
87%
18
8361.11.4
49%
15Kalmar FFKalmar FF3030
27%
1.0
3858-20
3.2
87%
67%
43%
9.8
47%
3.1
33%
24.3
80%
10
4231.31.9
50%
16Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK3023
20%
0.8
2643-17
2.3
73%
47%
10%
11.5
70%
2.9
28%
21.9
60%
10
3340.91.4
53%
17Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
10.0
100%
6.5
100%
23.0
100%
6
2221.01.5
57%
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
Orgryte IS plays in Sweden - Superettan
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Degerfors IFDegerfors IF3055
50%
1.8
5028+22
2.6
87%
47%
23%
10.0
57%
3.3
36%
21.3
36%
6
1331.70.9
47%
2Osters IFOsters IF3054
50%
1.8
5531+24
2.9
77%
50%
30%
11.4
64%
4.0
57%
27.6
86%
5
2221.81.0
58%
3Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS3049
47%
1.6
4634+12
2.7
73%
53%
27%
9.8
62%
3.2
38%
23.7
69%
6
2221.51.1
64%
4HelsingborgHelsingborg3047
43%
1.6
4134+7
2.5
67%
57%
30%
10.7
73%
3.5
53%
24.0
73%
7
2221.41.1
48%
5Orgryte ISOrgryte IS3044
40%
1.5
5043+7
3.1
83%
60%
37%
10.9
65%
2.9
29%
19.5
29%
8
2241.71.4
47%
6SandvikenSandviken3043
40%
1.4
4941+8
3.0
80%
67%
47%
9.0
45%
3.7
55%
25.0
73%
4
1121.61.4
61%
7TrelleborgTrelleborg3042
40%
1.4
3338-5
2.4
63%
43%
23%
12.0
83%
3.5
42%
22.5
58%
0
0001.11.3
48%
8IK brageIK brage3041
37%
1.4
3129+2
2.0
63%
33%
7%
11.6
100%
3.3
29%
24.1
71%
5
1121.01.0
55%
9UtsiktenUtsikten3041
37%
1.4
3938+1
2.6
70%
47%
27%
11.5
73%
5.3
87%
28.0
87%
0
0001.31.3
46%
10Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC3039
33%
1.3
4644+2
3.0
77%
57%
37%
10.7
67%
4.0
58%
24.0
67%
6
2221.51.5
40%
11Orebro SKOrebro SK3039
33%
1.3
3736+1
2.4
67%
50%
30%
10.4
57%
3.9
50%
24.1
64%
5
1131.21.2
51%
12Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK3238
31%
1.2
3546-11
2.5
72%
44%
22%
9.4
36%
3.6
64%
24.6
71%
4
1221.11.4
51%
13GIF SundsvallGIF Sundsvall3237
31%
1.2
3142-11
2.3
69%
47%
19%
9.9
60%
3.9
47%
22.7
47%
4
1121.01.3
50%
14OddevoldOddevold3036
27%
1.2
3447-13
2.7
83%
63%
23%
9.5
54%
3.6
38%
20.2
46%
5
1131.11.6
43%
15Gefle IFGefle IF3032
27%
1.1
3754-17
3.0
77%
63%
43%
7.8
33%
4.4
56%
26.9
78%
0
0001.21.8
46%
16Skövde AIKSkövde AIK3025
17%
0.8
2652-26
2.6
73%
40%
37%
9.5
43%
3.9
50%
24.7
64%
0
0000.91.7
47%
17Stockholm InternazionaleStockholm Internazionale23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
10.0
100%
5.0
100%
31.0
100%
0
0001.01.0
43%
18LundLund20
0%
0.0
25-3
3.5
100%
50%
50%
2.0
0%
5.0
100%
27.0
100%
0
0001.02.5
56%
Sweden: Superettan 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →

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