IFK Norrköping’s recent five-game winning streak fuels confidence at home, while Falkenbergs FF return from a win but have struggled defensively away, conceding 1.82 goals on average. The model projects a high-scoring encounter, with an expected 3.2 goals and a 22% chance of exactly three goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 10.2% probability, and the favored outcome is a home win, with a 60% chance of victory, 22% for a draw and 18% for an away win. IFK Norrköping average 2.22 goals scored and 0.44 conceded at home against similar opposition; Falkenbergs FF average 2.27 goals scored and 1.82 conceded on the road. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.5% with a 7% edge), Under 7.5 (98.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5% with a 2% edge), Under 6.5 (95.4% with a 2% edge), Away under 1.5 HT goals (94.0% with a 5% edge), Home +2 handicap (93.2% with a 3% edge) and Home under 2.5 HT goals (92.1% with a 3% edge).
Results analysis
The 5-game winning streak for IFK Norrköping continued as they edged Falkenbergs FF 2-1, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win. The favourite, chosen with a 60 % probability, proved correct. The model’s selections performed strongly: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.2 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.5 %, Under 7.5 at 98.3 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.5 %, Under 6.5 at 95.4 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 94.0 %, Home +2 handicap at 93.2 %, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 92.1 %. All picks settled as predicted, underscoring the model’s accuracy in both result and goal-related markets.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
IFK Norrkoping win✓ Hit
60.1%
Avg Implied 59.7% · @ 1.54
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.58
888Sport
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
Draw✗ Miss
22.2%
Avg Implied 22.2% · @ 4.15
Edge
-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.42
Betfair
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Dafabet
4.30
1xBet
4.25
Falkenbergs FF win✗ Miss
17.7%
Avg Implied 18.1% · @ 5.09
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.39
Marathonbet
5.25
10Bet
5.25
BetVictor
5.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
IFK Norrkoping
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.00
1.79
0.64
1.25
1.31
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.60
0.96
2.08
0.50
1.15
1.38
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkenbergs FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Falkenbergs FF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.43
1.71
1.00
2.00
1.81
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
1.88
1.60
1.75
1.17
2.00
2.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.75
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.0%
@ 1.16+3.5%
Under 1.5
16.0%
@ 4.78-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Under
Pinnacle
5.13
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.4%
@ 1.53+1.8%
Under 2.5
37.6%
@ 2.35-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.55
Under
Unibet
2.50
Betfair
2.45
Pinnacle
2.45
10Bet
2.40
Bet365
2.35
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.1%
@ 2.34+0.2%
Under 3.5
59.9%
@ 1.56-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.45
10Bet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.39
Bet365
2.38
888Sport
2.38
Under
Unibet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.59
1xBet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.4%
@ 1.60+1.6%
No
40.6%
@ 2.19-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.60
No
Unibet
2.38
William Hil
2.20
Betfair
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
888Sport
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%@ 7.83+4.6%
2-1 ✓
9.9%@ 7.43+3.9%
2-0
9.1%@ 8.21+3.7%
1-0
7.6%@ 8.40+2.3%
3-1
7.0%@ 10.55+2.8%
3-0
6.4%@ 11.39+2.5%
2-2
5.4%@ 13.12+2.0%
1-2
5.1%@ 14.53+2.0%
IFK Norrkoping goals ↓
Falkenbergs FF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
3.4%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
1
7.6%
10%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
2
9.1%
9.9%
5.4%
2.0%
0.5%
3
6.4%
7.0%
3.8%
1.4%
0.4%
4
3.4%
3.7%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IFK Norrkoping goals (down), columns = Falkenbergs FF goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
IFK Norrkoping is 0.43 points better than Falkenbergs FF in terms of average points per game (2.24 vs 1.81).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
IFK Norrkoping and Falkenbergs FF are level in goals scored per game (both 1.95).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
IFK Norrkoping is 0.81 goals better than Falkenbergs FF in terms of goals conceded per game (0.62 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
IFK Norrkoping is 4.7 percentage points better than Falkenbergs FF in terms of average possession (55% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
IFK Norrkoping
For 4.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 12.8 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Falkenbergs FF
For 4.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 0.7 · Total 1.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 12.2 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IFK Norrkoping
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
12.3
9.5
3.0
3.1
2.9
27.7
28.9
26.4
vs Stronger (6)
11.3
13.7
9.0
4.8
5.3
4.3
26.0
24.7
27.3
vs Similar (39)
10.8
12.0
9.6
3.1
2.9
3.3
28.1
29.9
26.2
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
63%
82%
44%
44%
46%
42%
94%
94%
93%
% under line
37%
18%
56%
56%
54%
58%
6%
6%
7%
This opponent (Falkenbergs FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Falkenbergs FF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.8
9.3
0.9
0.9
0.9
22.1
20.3
24.0
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
8.9
8.6
9.3
1.0
0.9
1.1
23.2
21.0
25.3
vs Weaker (9)
10.0
11.0
9.0
0.4
0.5
0.4
16.0
16.0
16.0
% over line
40%
50%
30%
10%
12%
8%
57%
43%
71%
% under line
60%
50%
70%
90%
88%
92%
43%
57%
29%
This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
11.0
Helsingborg
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.3
Ljungskile SK
10.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Orebro SK
9.4
United Nordic
9.1
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Landskrona BoIS
4.0
Osters IF
3.9
Ljungskile SK
3.8
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
Ostersunds FK
3.4
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.7
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.0
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.2
IK brage
24.1
Landskrona BoIS
23.9
Orebro SK
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.8
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.4%
@ 2.04+3.1%
Under 9.5
51.6%
@ 1.69-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.09
Marathonbet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Under
Unibet
1.79
Superbet
1.74
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
34.7%
Under 3.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
81.0%
Under 21.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
IFK Norrkoping or Draw✓ Hit
82.3%
Avg Implied 81.9% · @ 1.14
Edge
+0.4%
60%
22%
18%
covers IFK Norrkoping + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Unibet
1.15
BetVictor
1.15
10Bet
1.15
IFK Norrkoping or Falkenbergs FF✓ Hit
77.8%
Avg Implied 78.4% · @ 1.19
Edge
-0.5%
60%
22%
18%
covers IFK Norrkoping + Falkenbergs FF
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Draw or Falkenbergs FF✗ Miss
39.9%
Avg Implied 39.8% · @ 2.35
Edge
+0.1%
60%
22%
18%
covers Draw + Falkenbergs FF
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.42
BetVictor
2.38
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.36
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
IFK Norrkoping over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.1%
@ 1.09+2.5%
Under
11.9%
@ 6.47-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
888Sport
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Under
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.55
BetVictor
6.50
888Sport
6.50
IFK Norrkoping over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
62.7%
@ 1.50+0.7%
Under
37.3%
@ 2.45-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.57
Unibet
2.48
1xBet
2.45
BetVictor
2.45
IFK Norrkoping over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
35.8%
@ 2.57-0.3%
Under
64.2%
@ 1.45+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.63
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.61
Under
1xBet
1.47
Unibet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
IFK Norrkoping over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.6%
@ 5.00-2.0%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.14+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
888Sport
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Falkenbergs FF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.4%
@ 1.43+1.7%
Under
33.6%
@ 2.62-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Betfair
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Under
Unibet
2.88
Pinnacle
2.72
888Sport
2.63
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.62
Falkenbergs FF over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.7%
@ 3.13-0.1%
Under
70.3%
@ 1.33+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.28
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Under
Unibet
1.41
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Falkenbergs FF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.8%
@ 8.16-1.7%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.05+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
888Sport
8.50
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.00
1xBet
7.90
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Falkenbergs FF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 22.33-1.8%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Bet365
26.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to IFK Norrkoping, so a minus line means IFK Norrkoping give that many goals of a start and Falkenbergs FF receive them. At -1, IFK Norrkoping must win by two or more to land; a one-goal IFK Norrkoping win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Falkenbergs FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Falkenbergs FF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
0.71
0.43
1.00
1.12
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.84
0.67
0.50
1.08
1.15
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.7%
@ 1.26-0.9%
Under 0.5
27.3%
@ 3.51+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
William Hil
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.8%
@ 2.23-2.9%
Under 1.5
61.2%
@ 1.59+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.35
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Under
Unibet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.63
10Bet
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.3%
@ 5.09-1.9%
Under 2.5
83.7%
@ 1.13+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
4.85
Under
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IFK Norrkoping over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
55.9%
@ 1.52-5.0%
Under
44.1%
@ 2.38+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
Unibet
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.55
10Bet
2.40
Unibet
2.38
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.32
IFK Norrkoping over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
26.4%
@ 3.56+0.5%
Under
73.6%
@ 1.25-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.64
Betano
3.60
10Bet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
IFK Norrkoping over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 8.80-2.6%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.03+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Falkenbergs FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.0%
@ 2.42-3.4%
Under
65.0%
@ 1.51+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
Betano
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.43
1xBet
2.40
Under
Unibet
1.58
10Bet
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
Falkenbergs FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.0%
@ 8.35-5.1%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.04+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.10
1xBet
8.80
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Falkenbergs FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IFK Norrkoping
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.64
0.43
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.52
0.75
0.42
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkenbergs FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Falkenbergs FF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.63
1.00
0.57
1.00
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
1.00
0.76
1.08
0.67
0.92
0.85
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
83.1%
@ 1.15+2.7%
Under 0.5
16.9%
@ 4.72-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.65
Betano
4.55
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
50.1%
@ 1.75-2.7%
Under 1.5
49.9%
@ 1.97+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Under
Unibet
2.06
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.92
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.5%
@ 3.30-3.5%
Under 2.5
75.5%
@ 1.28+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.16
1xBet
3.16
Under
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IFK Norrkoping over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
71.4%
@ 1.36+3.5%
Under
28.6%
@ 2.88-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Betano
1.36
Under
Betano
2.90
1xBet
2.85
IFK Norrkoping over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
29.2%
@ 2.66-5.6%
Under
70.8%
@ 1.42+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.77
1xBet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.62
Betano
2.60
Under
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.39
IFK Norrkoping over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.1%
@ 6.15-2.9%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.08+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.70
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.06
Falkenbergs FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
35.6%
@ 2.04-9.7%
Under
64.4%
@ 1.69+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.03
Betano
2.02
Under
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
Falkenbergs FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.5%
@ 6.18-6.5%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.09+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.55
1xBet
6.40
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Falkenbergs FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 10.50-7.4%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.02+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.5%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.5%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
90.2%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
89.3%
1.06
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.08
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
88.1%
1.09
Betano
1.11
888Sport
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
87.9%
1.08
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.0%
1.16
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.7%
1.13
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
83.4%
1.14
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.14
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.1%
1.15
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
82.3%
1.14
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Unibet
1.15
BetVictor
1.15
10Bet
1.15
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
82.3%
1.15
Unibet
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.8%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
77.8%
1.21
Unibet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.5%
1.28
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.7%
1.24
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
-
+0.8%
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
73.6%
1.25
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
-
-0.5%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.7%
1.26
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
71.4%
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
+3.5%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
70.8%
1.42
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.39
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.3%
1.33
Unibet
1.41
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+0.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
IFK Norrkoping
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christoffer Nyman60%
Ryan Nelson60%
Albert Aleksanjan33%
Tim Prica20%
Elias Jemal20%
Filip Dagerstål0%
Anton Eriksson0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Moutaz Neffati0%
Leo Lif0%
Noel Sernelius0%
Ture Sandberg0%
Theo Krantz0%
Axel Brönner0%
Viggo Fälth0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tim Prica20%
Christoffer Nyman20%
Ryan Nelson20%
Elias Jemal20%
Axel Brönner20%
Filip Dagerstål0%
Anton Eriksson0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Moutaz Neffati0%
Leo Lif0%
Noel Sernelius0%
Ture Sandberg0%
Theo Krantz0%
Albert Aleksanjan0%
Viggo Fälth0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Noel Sernelius80%
Ture Sandberg25%
Ryan Nelson20%
Anton Eriksson20%
Elias Jemal20%
Tim Prica0%
Filip Dagerstål0%
Christoffer Nyman0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Moutaz Neffati0%
Leo Lif0%
Theo Krantz0%
Axel Brönner0%
Albert Aleksanjan0%
Viggo Fälth0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ryan Nelson40%
Moutaz Neffati33%
Albert Aleksanjan33%
Tim Prica20%
Christoffer Nyman20%
Filip Dagerstål0%
Anton Eriksson0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Elias Jemal0%
Leo Lif0%
Noel Sernelius0%
Ture Sandberg0%
Theo Krantz0%
Axel Brönner0%
Viggo Fälth0%
Falkenbergs FF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oskar Lindberg33%
Albin Andersson33%
Melker Nilsson0%
Noel Hansson0%
Godwin Aguda0%
Tim Stalheden0%
Linus Borgström0%
Gustav Lillienberg0%
Hampus Kallstrom0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Godwin Aguda67%
Noel Hansson33%
Melker Nilsson0%
Oskar Lindberg0%
Tim Stalheden0%
Linus Borgström0%
Gustav Lillienberg0%
Hampus Kallstrom0%
Albin Andersson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Melker Nilsson67%
Albin Andersson33%
Noel Hansson0%
Godwin Aguda0%
Oskar Lindberg0%
Tim Stalheden0%
Linus Borgström0%
Gustav Lillienberg0%
Hampus Kallstrom0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Melker Nilsson0%
Noel Hansson0%
Godwin Aguda0%
Oskar Lindberg0%
Tim Stalheden0%
Linus Borgström0%
Gustav Lillienberg0%
Hampus Kallstrom0%
Albin Andersson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
IFK Norrkoping's squad is €4m more valuable than Falkenbergs FF's (€9m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
IFK Norrkoping's attack is €1m more valuable than Falkenbergs FF's (€3m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
IFK Norrkoping's midfield is €2m more valuable than Falkenbergs FF's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
IFK Norrkoping and Falkenbergs FF have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall