IFK Norrköping’s recent 2-game winning streak and a 3-1 triumph over United Nordic set a positive tone for the home side, while Ljungskile SK return from a defeat and a 0-1 loss to IFK Värnamo. The model favours a home win, assigning a 60% chance to that outcome, a 25% chance of a draw and a 15% chance of an away victory. The expected total goals sit at 2.6, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for IFK Norrköping, with a 12.5% probability. Home form shows IFK Norrköping scoring 0.0 goals on average at home against weaker opposition and conceding 1.0, whereas Ljungskile SK, playing away against stronger opponents, averages 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals (99.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.8%), Under 6.5 goals (98.4%), Away under 1.5 HT goals (95.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.4%) and Under 5.5 goals (95.3%) with an 8% edge.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
IFK Norrkoping win
60.4%
Avg Implied 63.1% · @ 1.46
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.55
SBO
1.50
Dafabet
1.49
Bet365
1.48
Betano
1.47
Draw
24.7%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.43
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.92
Betfair
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
BetVictor
4.60
Dafabet
4.50
Ljungskile SK win
14.8%
Avg Implied 16.0% · @ 5.76
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
6.50
Pinnacle
6.46
Marathonbet
6.25
1xBet
6.09
BetVictor
6.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
IFK Norrkoping
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.93
1.93
0.57
1.38
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.69
0.92
2.08
0.54
1.31
1.31
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ljungskile SK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ljungskile SK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.27
1.27
1.45
1.27
1.09
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
1.67
1.00
2.00
4.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.17
1.28
1.33
1.33
1.00
1.22
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
18% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.0%
@ 1.13-8.3%
Under 1.5
26.0%
@ 5.27+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Pinnacle
5.71
Marathonbet
5.45
BetVictor
5.25
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.8%
@ 1.48-15.1%
Under 2.5
52.2%
@ 2.50+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
BetVictor
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Betfair
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.73
Bet365
2.70
Betfair
2.63
Marathonbet
2.56
Betano
2.50
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.1%
@ 2.23-16.0%
Under 3.5
73.9%
@ 1.62+16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.38
Superbet
2.37
1xBet
2.33
Unibet
2.23
Betfair
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Both teams to score
Yes
46.5%
@ 1.61-10.8%
No
53.5%
@ 2.16+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.62
No
Betfair
2.30
Marathonbet
2.22
Betano
2.20
William Hil
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.5%@ 8.55+7.3%
2-0
12.2%@ 7.97+6.6%
1-1
11.7%@ 8.29+6.4%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.45+3.6%
0-0
8.6%@ 14.89+5.6%
3-0
7.3%@ 10.70+3.2%
3-1
5.8%@ 9.86+1.2%
0-1
4.9%@ 18.33+2.4%
IFK Norrkoping goals ↓
Ljungskile SK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
4.9%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
1
13%
12%
4.2%
1.1%
0.2%
2
12%
9.6%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
3
7.3%
5.8%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
4
3.3%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IFK Norrkoping goals (down), columns = Ljungskile SK goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
IFK Norrkoping is 1.10 points better than Ljungskile SK in terms of average points per game (2.24 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
IFK Norrkoping is 0.67 goals better than Ljungskile SK in terms of goals scored per game (1.95 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
IFK Norrkoping is 0.71 goals better than Ljungskile SK in terms of goals conceded per game (0.62 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
IFK Norrkoping is 5.0 percentage points better than Ljungskile SK in terms of average possession (55% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
IFK Norrkoping
For 4.0 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 12.8 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ljungskile SK
For 5.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 12.6 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IFK Norrkoping
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
12.2
9.9
2.8
2.9
2.8
28.0
29.3
26.5
vs Stronger (5)
11.8
13.7
9.0
4.6
5.3
3.5
26.2
24.7
28.5
vs Similar (40)
10.9
11.9
10.1
3.0
2.6
3.3
28.3
30.5
26.2
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
65%
81%
50%
42%
42%
42%
93%
93%
93%
% under line
35%
19%
50%
58%
58%
58%
7%
7%
7%
This opponent (Ljungskile SK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ljungskile SK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (22)
10.2
8.8
11.6
2.0
1.8
2.1
26.6
25.0
27.7
vs Stronger (3)
16.0
-
16.0
0.3
0.0
1.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
9.6
8.8
10.5
2.3
2.2
2.4
26.6
25.0
27.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
60%
60%
27%
27%
27%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
40%
40%
40%
73%
73%
73%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
10.9
Helsingborg
10.3
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.2
Ljungskile SK
10.2
United Nordic
10.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Orebro SK
9.4
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Ljungskile SK
3.9
Osters IF
3.9
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Landskrona BoIS
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Ostersunds FK
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.9
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.2
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
IK brage
24.1
Orebro SK
24.0
Helsingborg
24.0
Landskrona BoIS
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.9
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.4%
@ 1.73+5.7%
Under 9.5
40.6%
@ 2.00-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.75
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Under
Unibet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.01
Pinnacle
2.01
10Bet
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
47.5%
Under 3.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.0%
Under 21.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
IFK Norrkoping or Draw
85.2%
Avg Implied 83.6% · @ 1.12
Edge
+1.6%
60%
25%
15%
covers IFK Norrkoping + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Betfair
1.13
IFK Norrkoping or Ljungskile SK
75.3%
Avg Implied 79.7% · @ 1.17
Edge
-4.4%
60%
25%
15%
covers IFK Norrkoping + Ljungskile SK
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Draw or Ljungskile SK
39.6%
Avg Implied 36.7% · @ 2.55
Edge
+2.8%
60%
25%
15%
covers Draw + Ljungskile SK
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.70
Marathonbet
2.68
Betano
2.65
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.62
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
IFK Norrkoping over/under 0.5
Over
83.5%
@ 1.07-3.3%
Under
16.5%
@ 7.06+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Under
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.60
Betfair
7.50
BetVictor
7.00
Betano
6.70
IFK Norrkoping over/under 1.5
Over
53.7%
@ 1.44-11.0%
Under
46.3%
@ 2.64+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.96
Marathonbet
2.81
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.67
Unibet
2.63
IFK Norrkoping over/under 2.5
Over
26.9%
@ 2.37-12.3%
Under
73.1%
@ 1.53+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.62
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.42
10Bet
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.53
IFK Norrkoping over/under 3.5
Over
10.9%
@ 4.59-9.4%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.17+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Under
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Ljungskile SK over/under 0.5
Over
54.4%
@ 1.47-8.9%
Under
45.6%
@ 2.53+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Unibet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.73
Betfair
2.63
Superbet
2.57
Marathonbet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Ljungskile SK over/under 1.5
Over
18.6%
@ 3.28-9.8%
Under
81.4%
@ 1.30+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.48
10Bet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Under
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Ljungskile SK over/under 2.5
Over
4.5%
@ 8.83-6.1%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.05+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.20
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.20
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
Ljungskile SK over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
@ 20.50-3.9%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to IFK Norrkoping, so a minus line means IFK Norrkoping give that many goals of a start and Ljungskile SK receive them. At -1, IFK Norrkoping must win by two or more to land; a one-goal IFK Norrkoping win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (IFK Norrkoping)
IFK Norrkoping -2
16.7%
@ 3.85-6.6%
Draw -2
19.1%
@ 4.38-1.4%
Ljungskile SK +2
64.2%
@ 1.60+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.58
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Away
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Unibet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Handicap -1 (IFK Norrkoping)
IFK Norrkoping -1
35.8%
@ 2.15-5.6%
Draw -1
24.6%
@ 3.67+0.3%
Ljungskile SK +1
39.6%
@ 2.60+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Unibet
2.14
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Draw
Marathonbet
3.84
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Away
Marathonbet
2.68
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.62
Unibet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Handicap +1 (IFK Norrkoping)
IFK Norrkoping +1
85.2%
@ 1.11+6.7%
Draw +1
10.1%
@ 6.60-3.1%
Ljungskile SK -1
4.7%
@ 10.58-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
7.50
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
12.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Handicap +2 (IFK Norrkoping)
IFK Norrkoping +2
95.3%
@ 1.04+3.7%
Draw +2
3.6%
@ 17.00-2.0%
Ljungskile SK -2
1.0%
@ 34.00-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
34.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IFK Norrkoping
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.40
1.29
0.14
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.04
0.38
1.38
0.08
0.69
0.69
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Ljungskile SK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ljungskile SK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.73
0.36
0.27
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.44
0.44
0.56
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
64% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.7%
@ 1.24-1.7%
Under 0.5
27.3%
@ 3.61+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.68
BetVictor
3.60
William Hil
3.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.6%
@ 2.17-5.1%
Under 1.5
62.4%
@ 1.62+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.27
Superbet
2.22
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Betano
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Unibet
1.64
Betano
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.2%
@ 4.89-6.7%
Under 2.5
87.8%
@ 1.14+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.25
1xBet
5.15
William Hil
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.85
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IFK Norrkoping over/under 0.5 HT
Over
62.1%
@ 1.49-0.0%
Under
37.9%
@ 2.45+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.65
Unibet
2.48
10Bet
2.45
1xBet
2.42
Betano
2.40
IFK Norrkoping over/under 1.5 HT
Over
22.4%
@ 3.30-5.5%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.28+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
IFK Norrkoping over/under 2.5 HT
Over
6.0%
@ 8.13-5.3%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.04+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.20
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Ljungskile SK over/under 0.5 HT
Over
27.0%
@ 2.51-9.9%
Under
73.0%
@ 1.47+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.63
10Bet
2.55
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
Under
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Ljungskile SK over/under 1.5 HT
Over
4.1%
@ 9.04-6.1%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.03+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
9.60
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Ljungskile SK over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IFK Norrkoping
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.64
0.43
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.54
0.69
0.46
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ljungskile SK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ljungskile SK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.82
0.77
0.73
0.73
0.91
0.82
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
0.00
0.50
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.83
0.89
0.78
0.67
0.89
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
41% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.8%
@ 1.14-3.6%
Under 0.5
22.2%
@ 4.97+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Under
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.90
Superbet
4.65
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.2%
@ 1.73-11.3%
Under 1.5
57.8%
@ 1.99+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.74
Unibet
1.68
Under
Marathonbet
2.14
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.01
Unibet
2.00
Superbet
1.92
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.6%
@ 3.22-10.1%
Under 2.5
81.4%
@ 1.30+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.40
William Hil
3.40
1xBet
3.22
Marathonbet
2.94
Under
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IFK Norrkoping over/under 0.5 2H
Over
66.6%
@ 1.32-3.1%
Under
33.4%
@ 3.05+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.31
Under
Betano
3.15
1xBet
3.00
10Bet
3.00
IFK Norrkoping over/under 1.5 2H
Over
28.9%
@ 2.54-7.7%
Under
71.1%
@ 1.46+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.80
1xBet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.41
Betano
2.37
Under
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.39
IFK Norrkoping over/under 2.5 2H
Over
9.0%
@ 5.70-7.3%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.10+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.10
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Ljungskile SK over/under 0.5 2H
Over
30.8%
@ 2.07-13.8%
Under
69.2%
@ 1.67+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
Superbet
2.05
Betano
2.02
Under
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Ljungskile SK over/under 1.5 2H
Over
6.0%
@ 6.72-7.7%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.07+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.30
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Ljungskile SK over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.1%
@ 18.25-4.2%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.5%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.2%
Under 6.5
98.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+5.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
95.9%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+6.1%
Away under 2.5 goals
95.5%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
+6.1%
Home +2 handicap
95.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
Under 5.5
95.2%
1.08
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Pinnacle
1.10
10Bet
1.08
+8.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
94.0%
1.07
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
+7.7%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+5.3%
Over 19.5 fouls
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.0%
1.10
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-
-
+7.3%
Home under 3.5 goals
89.1%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.17
+9.4%
Under 4.5
88.0%
1.23
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
+12.4%
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.8%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+6.7%
Home or Draw
85.2%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Betfair
1.13
+1.6%
Home +1 handicap
85.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
-
-
+6.7%
Under 5.5 cards
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
83.5%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
-3.3%
Away under 1.5 goals
81.4%
1.30
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
+9.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.4%
1.30
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
+10.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.8%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
-3.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.6%
1.28
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
-
+5.5%
Home or Away
75.3%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
Betfair
1.17
-4.4%
Over 1.5
74.0%
1.13
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
Betfair
1.13
-8.3%
Under 3.5
73.9%
1.62
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.65
+16.0%
Home under 2.5 goals
73.1%
1.53
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.53
+12.3%
Away under 0.5 HT goals
73.0%
1.47
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
+9.9%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.7%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
-1.7%
Over 23.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
71.3%
1.40
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Unibet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
+5.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
71.1%
1.46
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.39
+7.7%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
IFK Norrkoping
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christoffer Nyman60%
Ryan Nelson60%
Albert Aleksanjan33%
Tim Prica20%
Elias Jemal20%
Filip Dagerstål0%
Anton Eriksson0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Moutaz Neffati0%
Leo Lif0%
Noel Sernelius0%
Ture Sandberg0%
Theo Krantz0%
Axel Brönner0%
Viggo Fälth0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tim Prica20%
Christoffer Nyman20%
Ryan Nelson20%
Elias Jemal20%
Axel Brönner20%
Filip Dagerstål0%
Anton Eriksson0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Moutaz Neffati0%
Leo Lif0%
Noel Sernelius0%
Ture Sandberg0%
Theo Krantz0%
Albert Aleksanjan0%
Viggo Fälth0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Noel Sernelius80%
Ture Sandberg25%
Ryan Nelson20%
Anton Eriksson20%
Elias Jemal20%
Tim Prica0%
Filip Dagerstål0%
Christoffer Nyman0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Moutaz Neffati0%
Leo Lif0%
Theo Krantz0%
Axel Brönner0%
Albert Aleksanjan0%
Viggo Fälth0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ryan Nelson40%
Moutaz Neffati33%
Albert Aleksanjan33%
Tim Prica20%
Christoffer Nyman20%
Filip Dagerstål0%
Anton Eriksson0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Elias Jemal0%
Leo Lif0%
Noel Sernelius0%
Ture Sandberg0%
Theo Krantz0%
Axel Brönner0%
Viggo Fälth0%
Ljungskile SK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mehmet Uzel33%
Jonathan Liljedahl33%
Isaac Shears25%
Gideon Mensah20%
Filip Ambroz20%
Lukas Lindholm Corner20%
Daniel Ljung0%
David Frisk0%
William Nilsson0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Alfons Boren0%
Ivan Marić0%
Emilio Reljanovic0%
Hugo Borstam0%
Daniel Lagerlöf0%
Shakur Omar0%
Lukas Eriksson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Lagerlöf40%
William Nilsson33%
Daniel Ljung25%
Isaac Shears25%
Gideon Mensah20%
Lukas Lindholm Corner20%
Issaka Seidu20%
Ivan Marić20%
David Frisk0%
Filip Ambroz0%
Mehmet Uzel0%
Alfons Boren0%
Jonathan Liljedahl0%
Emilio Reljanovic0%
Hugo Borstam0%
Shakur Omar0%
Lukas Eriksson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Ljung25%
Filip Ambroz20%
Lukas Lindholm Corner20%
Daniel Lagerlöf20%
Lukas Eriksson20%
Gideon Mensah0%
David Frisk0%
Isaac Shears0%
William Nilsson0%
Mehmet Uzel0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Alfons Boren0%
Ivan Marić0%
Jonathan Liljedahl0%
Emilio Reljanovic0%
Hugo Borstam0%
Shakur Omar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Isaac Shears50%
Lukas Lindholm Corner40%
Gideon Mensah20%
Daniel Lagerlöf20%
Daniel Ljung0%
David Frisk0%
Filip Ambroz0%
William Nilsson0%
Mehmet Uzel0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Alfons Boren0%
Ivan Marić0%
Jonathan Liljedahl0%
Emilio Reljanovic0%
Hugo Borstam0%
Shakur Omar0%
Lukas Eriksson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
IFK Norrkoping's squad is €6m more valuable than Ljungskile SK's (€9m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
IFK Norrkoping's attack is €2m more valuable than Ljungskile SK's (€3m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
IFK Norrkoping's midfield is €2m more valuable than Ljungskile SK's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
IFK Norrkoping's defence is €2m more valuable than Ljungskile SK's (€3m vs €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Helsingborg
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall