The contest between IFK Värnamo and Landskrona BoIS is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 33 % and 37 %, while a draw is 29 %. The expected total goals is 2.5, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14 % chance. IFK Värnamo, playing at home against a similarly strong opponent, averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Landskrona BoIS, on the road, averages 1.07 goals scored and 1.4 conceded against comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.7 % with a 6 % edge), Under 6.5 (98.5 % with a 4 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.4 % with a 3 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.1 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (96.4 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.8 % with a 6 % edge), and Away under 3.5 goals (95.6 % with a 3 % edge). Both sides have recently drawn 1-1 matches, underscoring the tight nature of this fixture.
Results analysis
The 1-1 draw stunned fans, as the pre-match favourite, Landskrona BoIS, had been tipped to win with a 37 % chance. The model’s call was wrong, and the match finished as a stalemate. The home side, IFK Varnamo, remained unbeaten in their last five, while Landskrona came off a draw, keeping the suspense alive. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 (99.5 %) and Under 6.5 (98.5 %) were correct, as were Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.7 %) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.1 %). Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.4 %) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.8 %) also proved accurate, as did Home under 3.5 goals (96.4 %) and Away under 3.5 goals (95.6 %).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
IFK Varnamo win✗ Miss
33.5%
Avg Implied 40.4% · @ 2.28
Edge
-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.35
Dafabet
2.33
Betano
2.32
SBO
2.32
1xBet
2.31
Draw✓ Hit
29.3%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.37
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.55
BetVictor
3.50
Pinnacle
3.48
Dafabet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.40
Landskrona BoIS win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied 32.3% · @ 2.85
Edge
+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.98
1xBet
2.89
Marathonbet
2.88
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
IFK Varnamo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
2.20
1.14
1.64
1.50
2.69
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
3.50
0.00
5.00
1.80
3.20
vs Similar (24)
1.29
1.88
1.23
1.38
1.36
2.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Landskrona BoIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Landskrona BoIS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.33
1.36
1.21
1.06
1.44
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
1.27
1.19
1.42
1.08
1.14
1.29
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Varnamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.2%
@ 1.20-4.6%
Under 1.5
26.8%
@ 4.18+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.44
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.4%
@ 1.66-9.9%
Under 2.5
53.6%
@ 2.14+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.69
Pinnacle
1.69
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Under
Betfair
2.25
10Bet
2.20
SBO
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Betano
2.15
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.9%
@ 2.59-10.8%
Under 3.5
75.1%
@ 1.44+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.70
Pinnacle
2.68
10Bet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
888Sport
2.63
Under
10Bet
1.48
Betfair
1.47
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.8%
@ 1.55-6.9%
No
47.2%
@ 2.29+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Unibet
1.53
No
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.32
888Sport
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.0%@ 6.45+7.1%
0-0
9.2%@ 12.07+5.5%
0-1
9.1%@ 10.59+4.9%
1-0
8.5%@ 9.29+3.7%
1-2
8.3%@ 9.54+3.6%
2-1
7.8%@ 8.43+2.5%
0-2
6.8%@ 15.21+3.8%
2-0
6.0%@ 11.96+2.3%
IFK Varnamo goals ↓
Landskrona BoIS goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
9.1%
6.8%
2.9%
1.0%
1
8.5%
14%
8.3%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.0%
7.8%
5.1%
2.2%
0.7%
3
2.4%
3.2%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IFK Varnamo goals (down), columns = Landskrona BoIS goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
IFK Varnamo is 0.43 points worse than Landskrona BoIS in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 1.48).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
IFK Varnamo is 0.10 goals worse than Landskrona BoIS in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
IFK Varnamo is 0.76 goals worse than Landskrona BoIS in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 1.05).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
IFK Varnamo is 3.2 percentage points worse than Landskrona BoIS in terms of average possession (53% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
IFK Varnamo
For 4.1 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 12.8 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Landskrona BoIS
For 5.1 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 14.4 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IFK Varnamo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
12.0
9.7
2.2
2.6
1.9
22.4
22.1
22.7
vs Stronger (18)
11.4
13.2
9.7
3.0
3.0
3.0
22.9
21.6
24.1
vs Similar (31)
10.4
11.0
9.8
1.8
2.4
1.3
21.6
22.7
20.5
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
63%
72%
53%
26%
33%
19%
59%
57%
60%
% under line
37%
28%
47%
74%
67%
81%
41%
43%
40%
This opponent (Landskrona BoIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Landskrona BoIS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.2
9.9
1.7
2.0
1.4
26.0
26.9
25.0
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
10.9
11.7
9.9
1.7
2.1
1.3
26.3
26.9
25.3
vs Weaker (6)
8.7
6.0
10.0
1.8
1.0
2.7
24.0
-
24.0
% over line
55%
64%
44%
22%
26%
19%
71%
78%
62%
% under line
45%
36%
56%
78%
74%
81%
29%
22%
38%
This opponent (IFK Varnamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
11.0
Helsingborg
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.3
Ljungskile SK
10.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Orebro SK
9.4
United Nordic
9.1
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Landskrona BoIS
4.0
Osters IF
3.9
Ljungskile SK
3.8
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
Ostersunds FK
3.4
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.7
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.0
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.2
IK brage
24.1
Landskrona BoIS
23.9
Orebro SK
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.8
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.7%
@ 1.88-0.7%
Under 9.5
51.3%
@ 1.83+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.90
Unibet
1.88
Superbet
1.85
Under
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
44.2%
Under 3.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.1%
Under 21.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
IFK Varnamo or Draw✓ Hit
62.8%
Avg Implied 67.7% · @ 1.37
Edge
-4.9%
33%
29%
37%
covers IFK Varnamo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Unibet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
IFK Varnamo or Landskrona BoIS✗ Miss
70.7%
Avg Implied 72.9% · @ 1.28
Edge
-2.2%
33%
29%
37%
covers IFK Varnamo + Landskrona BoIS
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Draw or Landskrona BoIS✓ Hit
66.5%
Avg Implied 59.5% · @ 1.56
Edge
+7.1%
33%
29%
37%
covers Draw + Landskrona BoIS
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.62
888Sport
1.62
Betano
1.60
SBO
1.59
Betfair
1.57
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
IFK Varnamo over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.7%
@ 1.19-7.4%
Under
29.3%
@ 4.23+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
888Sport
4.40
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
BetVictor
4.20
IFK Varnamo over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.7%
@ 1.99-12.1%
Under
65.3%
@ 1.75+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathonbet
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Under
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.76
IFK Varnamo over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.6%
@ 4.07-10.2%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.20+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Unibet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.07
1xBet
4.05
Under
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
IFK Varnamo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 9.48-6.3%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.04+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
888Sport
10.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.10
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Landskrona BoIS over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.9%
@ 1.26-0.9%
Under
27.1%
@ 3.54+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.76
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Betano
3.55
Landskrona BoIS over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.5%
@ 2.28-3.3%
Under
62.5%
@ 1.57+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.40
Pinnacle
2.39
10Bet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Under
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Landskrona BoIS over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 5.13-3.7%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.14+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
888Sport
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
10Bet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Landskrona BoIS over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 12.31-3.4%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.03+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
15.00
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to IFK Varnamo, so a minus line means IFK Varnamo give that many goals of a start and Landskrona BoIS receive them. At -1, IFK Varnamo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal IFK Varnamo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (IFK Varnamo)Actual: Landskrona BoIS
IFK Varnamo -2
4.9%
@ 9.20-4.9%
Draw -2
9.9%
@ 6.64-3.7%
Landskrona BoIS +2
85.2%
@ 1.17+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
9.50
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.00
Draw
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.45
Unibet
6.25
10Bet
6.00
Away
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Handicap -1 (IFK Varnamo)Actual: Landskrona BoIS
IFK Varnamo -1
14.8%
@ 4.22-6.2%
Draw -1
18.7%
@ 4.05-3.3%
Landskrona BoIS +1
66.5%
@ 1.56+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
10Bet
4.00
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.90
10Bet
3.90
Away
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.56
Unibet
1.54
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Handicap +1 (IFK Varnamo)Actual: IFK Varnamo
IFK Varnamo +1
62.8%
@ 1.38-1.4%
Draw +1
19.9%
@ 4.55+0.5%
Landskrona BoIS -1
17.2%
@ 5.42+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.35
Away
10Bet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Unibet
5.10
Handicap +2 (IFK Varnamo)Actual: IFK Varnamo
IFK Varnamo +2
82.8%
@ 1.11+4.3%
Draw +2
11.2%
@ 6.82-1.6%
Landskrona BoIS -2
6.1%
@ 10.00-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
10.50
Marathonbet
6.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IFK Varnamo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.97
0.36
0.50
0.50
1.38
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.33
0.00
2.00
0.80
1.20
vs Similar (24)
0.38
0.88
0.38
0.38
0.36
1.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Landskrona BoIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Landskrona BoIS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.86
0.64
0.44
0.81
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.62
0.92
0.58
0.50
0.64
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Varnamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.8%
@ 1.30-3.6%
Under 0.5
32.2%
@ 3.25+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.0%
@ 2.41-7.5%
Under 1.5
69.0%
@ 1.51+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.51
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.41
Under
10Bet
1.55
William Hil
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.52
Betfair
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.7%
@ 5.78-5.3%
Under 2.5
89.3%
@ 1.10+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IFK Varnamo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
44.4%
@ 1.83-6.2%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.88+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathonbet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Unibet
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Superbet
1.87
Unibet
1.85
IFK Varnamo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.4%
@ 5.24-8.3%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.13+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
10Bet
5.00
Betano
5.00
Under
10Bet
1.14
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
IFK Varnamo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 12.50-6.2%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.02+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.00
Under
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Landskrona BoIS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.2%
@ 2.01-2.1%
Under
55.8%
@ 1.72+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.09
Marathonbet
2.02
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.73
Superbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Landskrona BoIS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 6.00-2.6%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.09+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Landskrona BoIS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 15.88-3.4%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IFK Varnamo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.23
0.79
1.14
1.00
1.31
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
2.17
0.00
3.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.92
1.00
0.85
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Landskrona BoIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Landskrona BoIS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.50
0.57
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.58
0.58
0.50
0.50
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Varnamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.8%
@ 1.17-4.0%
Under 0.5
25.2%
@ 4.36+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Under
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.35
William Hil
4.33
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.4%
@ 1.85-10.6%
Under 1.5
60.6%
@ 1.85+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Under
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Superbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.1%
@ 3.59-9.6%
Under 2.5
83.9%
@ 1.24+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.52
1xBet
3.52
Under
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IFK Varnamo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
48.8%
@ 1.58-9.7%
Under
51.2%
@ 2.23+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.20
IFK Varnamo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.8%
@ 3.73-11.0%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.23+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.82
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
IFK Varnamo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 9.20-7.2%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.03+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Landskrona BoIS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.0%
@ 1.70-5.3%
Under
51.0%
@ 2.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
1.97
Landskrona BoIS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.5%
@ 4.33-5.8%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.17+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Landskrona BoIS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 8.75-6.4%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.04+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.4%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.8%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.6%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.13
10Bet
1.14
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.7%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.4%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.1%
1.09
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.2%
1.23
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
-
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.6%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
85.2%
1.17
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.5%
1.17
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.9%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
82.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.1%
1.44
10Bet
1.48
Betfair
1.47
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.46
+10.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.8%
1.17
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.15
-4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.5%
1.31
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.24
+4.7%
-
Under 4.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
73.2%
1.20
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Betfair
1.20
-4.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
72.9%
1.26
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
70.7%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
-7.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.7%
1.28
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
-2.2%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
IFK Varnamo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Antonsson33%
Simon Thern33%
Axel Björnström33%
Douglas Bergqvist0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Carl Johansson0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Kai Meriluoto0%
Sigge Jansson0%
Fred Bozicevic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Carl Johansson33%
Marcus Antonsson0%
Douglas Bergqvist0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Simon Thern0%
Axel Björnström0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Kai Meriluoto0%
Sigge Jansson0%
Fred Bozicevic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Thern33%
Marcus Antonsson0%
Douglas Bergqvist0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Carl Johansson0%
Axel Björnström0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Kai Meriluoto0%
Sigge Jansson0%
Fred Bozicevic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Simon Thern33%
Marcus Antonsson0%
Douglas Bergqvist0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Carl Johansson0%
Axel Björnström0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Kai Meriluoto0%
Sigge Jansson0%
Fred Bozicevic0%
Landskrona BoIS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adam Egnell50%
Gustaf Weststrom33%
Constantino Capotondi25%
Amr Kaddoura0%
Andreas Murbeck0%
Kevin Jensen0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
André Álvarez Pérez0%
Gustaf Bruzelius0%
Zakaria Loukili0%
Xavier Odhiambo0%
Max'Med Omar Mohamed0%
Emmanuel Moungam0%
Enes Habibovic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Constantino Capotondi50%
Zakaria Loukili50%
Amr Kaddoura33%
Markus Björkqvist33%
Emmanuel Moungam33%
André Álvarez Pérez25%
Gustaf Bruzelius25%
Andreas Murbeck0%
Kevin Jensen0%
Adam Egnell0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Xavier Odhiambo0%
Max'Med Omar Mohamed0%
Gustaf Weststrom0%
Enes Habibovic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Constantino Capotondi50%
Amr Kaddoura0%
Andreas Murbeck0%
Kevin Jensen0%
Adam Egnell0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
André Álvarez Pérez0%
Gustaf Bruzelius0%
Zakaria Loukili0%
Xavier Odhiambo0%
Max'Med Omar Mohamed0%
Gustaf Weststrom0%
Emmanuel Moungam0%
Enes Habibovic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Egnell25%
Amr Kaddoura0%
Andreas Murbeck0%
Kevin Jensen0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Constantino Capotondi0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
André Álvarez Pérez0%
Gustaf Bruzelius0%
Zakaria Loukili0%
Xavier Odhiambo0%
Max'Med Omar Mohamed0%
Gustaf Weststrom0%
Emmanuel Moungam0%
Enes Habibovic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
IFK Varnamo's squad is €1m less valuable than Landskrona BoIS's (€5m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
IFK Varnamo and Landskrona BoIS have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
IFK Varnamo's midfield is €1m less valuable than Landskrona BoIS's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
IFK Varnamo and Landskrona BoIS have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
United Nordic
Oddevold
Sandviken
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
IK brage
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall