This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.47
1.47
1.40
1.27
1.53
vs Stronger (10)
1.50
1.60
2.00
2.00
1.17
1.33
vs Similar (20)
1.30
1.40
1.27
1.18
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Varnamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.6%
Under 2.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.3%
Under 3.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
6.7%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
5.0%
IFK Varnamo goals ↓
Orebro SK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
4.4%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
1
9.8%
11%
5.0%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.8%
1.5%
0.4%
3
6.6%
6.3%
3.0%
1.0%
0.2%
4
3.1%
3.0%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IFK Varnamo goals (down), columns = Orebro SK goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
IFK Varnamo is 0.10 points better than Orebro SK in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 0.95).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
IFK Varnamo is 0.19 goals better than Orebro SK in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.00).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
IFK Varnamo is 0.24 goals worse than Orebro SK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 1.57).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
IFK Varnamo is 3.0 percentage points better than Orebro SK in terms of average possession (53% vs 50%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
IFK Varnamo
For 3.8 · Against 6.7 · Total 10.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.7
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 12.8 · Total 22.6
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Orebro SK
For 4.4 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.7
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IFK Varnamo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
11.8
10.5
2.7
2.8
2.7
22.9
23.2
22.7
vs Stronger (23)
10.8
12.1
9.6
2.9
3.1
2.8
23.0
22.3
23.5
vs Similar (26)
11.5
11.6
11.4
2.7
2.6
2.8
22.8
24.1
21.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
68%
68%
67%
34%
42%
27%
60%
63%
57%
% under line
32%
32%
33%
66%
58%
73%
40%
37%
43%
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.1
9.5
1.7
2.0
1.5
24.0
25.0
23.2
vs Stronger (15)
8.0
10.0
6.0
0.6
0.9
0.4
32.5
37.0
28.0
vs Similar (35)
10.0
10.1
9.9
2.2
2.5
1.9
23.2
23.7
22.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
60%
45%
22%
29%
15%
57%
70%
45%
% under line
48%
40%
55%
78%
71%
85%
43%
30%
55%
This opponent (IFK Varnamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.9
IFK Norrkoping
11.6
IFK Varnamo
11.3
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.7
Helsingborg
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
GIF Sundsvall
10.2
Orebro SK
10.2
IK brage
10.1
Sandviken
10.0
Ostersunds FK
9.7
Norrby IF
9.5
Oddevold
9.4
Falkenbergs FF
9.1
Ljungskile SK
9.0
United Nordic
7.5
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ljungskile SK
4.7
United Nordic
4.5
Norrby IF
4.3
Osters IF
4.3
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Landskrona BoIS
4.1
Helsingborg
4.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.9
Orebro SK
3.9
Ostersunds FK
3.8
IK brage
3.6
Sandviken
3.4
IFK Varnamo
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
Falkenbergs FF
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.5
Ljungskile SK
28.0
IFK Norrkoping
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.7
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.1
Landskrona BoIS
24.0
Orebro SK
23.9
IK brage
23.8
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.8
Oddevold
21.1
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.1%
Under 9.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.1%
Under 3.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.8%
Under 21.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IFK Varnamo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.00
0.71
0.71
0.56
1.25
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
0.93
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.88
vs Similar (15)
0.53
1.07
0.75
0.50
0.29
1.71
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.73
0.53
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.17
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.35
0.64
0.36
0.56
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Varnamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IFK Varnamo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IFK Varnamo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IFK Varnamo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IFK Varnamo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.27
0.79
1.14
0.88
1.38
vs Stronger (14)
0.64
1.64
0.33
1.50
0.88
1.75
vs Similar (15)
1.07
1.00
1.12
0.88
1.00
1.14
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.97
0.73
0.87
0.87
1.07
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.70
1.05
0.64
0.82
0.78
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Varnamo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IFK Varnamo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IFK Varnamo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IFK Varnamo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 4.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
IFK Varnamo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Antonsson33%
Simon Thern33%
Axel BjÃķrnstrÃķm33%
Douglas Bergqvist0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Carl Johansson0%
Logi Hrafn RÃģbertsson0%
Kai Meriluoto0%
Sigge Jansson0%
Fred Bozicevic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Carl Johansson33%
Marcus Antonsson0%
Douglas Bergqvist0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Simon Thern0%
Axel BjÃķrnstrÃķm0%
Logi Hrafn RÃģbertsson0%
Kai Meriluoto0%
Sigge Jansson0%
Fred Bozicevic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Thern33%
Marcus Antonsson0%
Douglas Bergqvist0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Carl Johansson0%
Axel BjÃķrnstrÃķm0%
Logi Hrafn RÃģbertsson0%
Kai Meriluoto0%
Sigge Jansson0%
Fred Bozicevic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Simon Thern33%
Marcus Antonsson0%
Douglas Bergqvist0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Carl Johansson0%
Axel BjÃķrnstrÃķm0%
Logi Hrafn RÃģbertsson0%
Kai Meriluoto0%
Sigge Jansson0%
Fred Bozicevic0%
Orebro SK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmed Yasin33%
Karl Holmberg33%
Antonio Yakoub33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub OjrzyÅski0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus SÃķderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian WalhstrÃķm0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
John Stenberg33%
Jakub OjrzyÅski33%
Hampus SÃķderstrom33%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
Karl Holmberg0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian WalhstrÃķm0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Karl Holmberg33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub OjrzyÅski0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus SÃķderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian WalhstrÃķm0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonio Yakoub33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
Karl Holmberg0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub OjrzyÅski0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus SÃķderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian WalhstrÃķm0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
IFK Varnamo and Orebro SK have a similar squad value (both €5m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
IFK Varnamo's attack is €1m more valuable than Orebro SK's (€2m vs €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
IFK Varnamo and Orebro SK have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
IFK Varnamo and Orebro SK have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
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IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
IK brage
GIF Sundsvall