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Igman Konjic vs Velež Result & Analysis

Date: 03/12/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 1-1
Igman Konjic
Igman Konjic
Vs
20%
25%
54%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Igman Konjic win✗ Miss
20.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Velež win✗ Miss
54.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Igman KonjicIgman Konjic

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-720W32W04L17L03L20W03L04L02L24LA·SLO25/09H·GOŠ29/09H·BOR16/10A·ZRI21/10H·FK 27/10A·MLA30/10H·POS03/11A·BOR11/11H·ZEL22/11A·SIR30/11
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.032.170.691.691.292.53
vs Stronger (12)0.833.420.202.601.294.00
vs Similar (17)1.121.411.001.121.221.67
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W01L12L04L30W20W00D12L31W21WA·GOŠ24/09H·ZRI28/09A·BOR12/10A·FK 19/10H·POS26/10A·SVA30/10H·BOR02/11A·ZEL10/11H·SIR23/11H·RAD29/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.201.500.811.571.64
vs Stronger (9)0.442.000.500.750.403.00
vs Similar (16)1.810.811.600.602.171.17
vs Weaker (5)2.601.003.002.002.330.33
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Igman Konjic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.7%
0-2
9.7%
0-0
7.1%
1-3
5.9%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
Igman Konjic goals ↓
Velež goals →
01234
07.1%9.7%9.7%5.8%2.6%
15.0%12%9.8%5.9%2.6%
23.1%5.6%5.0%3.0%1.3%
31.1%1.9%1.7%1.0%0.5%
40.3%0.5%0.4%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Igman Konjic goals (down), columns = Velež goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zrinjski
2.48
Borac Banja Luka
2.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.97
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Sloga Doboj
1.33
Velež
1.27
Radnik Bijeljina
1.21
Posušje
1.12
Igman Konjic
0.88
GOŠK Gabela
0.48
Sloboda Tuzla
0.30
Igman Konjic is 0.39 points worse than Velež in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.18
FK Sarajevo
1.79
Borac Banja Luka
1.76
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.67
Velež
1.36
Radnik Bijeljina
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.30
Posušje
1.09
Sloga Doboj
1.06
Igman Konjic
0.91
GOŠK Gabela
0.85
Sloboda Tuzla
0.64
Igman Konjic is 0.45 goals worse than Velež in terms of goals scored per game (0.91 vs 1.36).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.39
Zrinjski
0.52
FK Sarajevo
0.73
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.15
Velež
1.18
Posušje
1.18
Sloga Doboj
1.36
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Radnik Bijeljina
1.58
Igman Konjic
2.00
Sloboda Tuzla
2.15
GOŠK Gabela
2.30
Igman Konjic is 0.82 goals worse than Velež in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Igman KonjicIgman Konjic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D22D02L11D03L10W01L02L00D13LA·SLO25/09H·GOŠ29/09H·BOR16/10A·ZRI21/10H·FK 27/10A·MLA30/10H·POS03/11A·BOR11/11H·ZEL22/11A·SIR30/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.130.460.850.531.35
vs Stronger (12)0.421.670.201.400.571.86
vs Similar (17)0.530.820.620.500.441.11
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L00D02L00D00D00D00D20W01LA·GOŠ24/09H·ZRI28/09A·BOR12/10A·FK 19/10H·POS26/10A·SVA30/10H·BOR02/11A·ZEL10/11H·SIR23/11H·RAD29/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.620.440.570.57
vs Stronger (9)0.001.000.000.750.001.20
vs Similar (16)0.750.310.800.300.670.33
vs Weaker (5)1.200.201.000.501.330.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Igman Konjic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Igman Konjic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igman Konjic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igman Konjic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Igman KonjicIgman Konjic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W10W02L06L00D10W02L02L02L11DA·SLO25/09H·GOŠ29/09H·BOR16/10A·ZRI21/10H·FK 27/10A·MLA30/10H·POS03/11A·BOR11/11H·ZEL22/11A·SIR30/11
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.030.230.850.761.18
vs Stronger (12)0.421.750.001.200.712.14
vs Similar (17)0.590.590.380.620.780.56
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D12L02L30W20W00D12L11D20WA·GOŠ24/09H·ZRI28/09A·BOR12/10A·FK 19/10H·POS26/10A·SVA30/10H·BOR02/11A·ZEL10/11H·SIR23/11H·RAD29/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.700.880.381.001.07
vs Stronger (9)0.441.000.500.000.401.80
vs Similar (16)1.060.500.800.301.500.83
vs Weaker (5)1.400.802.001.501.000.33
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Igman Konjic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Igman Konjic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igman Konjic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igman Konjic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
0
IK wins
4
Draws
3
VEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Igman Konjic vs Velež · H/A from IK
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/24AVelež Vs IK1-1
17/03/24AVelež Vs IK2-0
17/12/23AVelež Vs IK1-1
16/09/23HIK Vs Velež2-4
12/05/23AVelež Vs IK3-3
07/10/22HIK Vs Velež0-1
17/08/22AVelež Vs IK1-1

Igman KonjicIgman Konjic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/24ASiroki Brijeg Vs IK4-2
22/11/24HIK Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo0-2
11/11/24ABorac Banja Luka Vs IK4-0
03/11/24HIK Vs Posušje0-3
30/10/24AMladost Solina Vs IK0-2
27/10/24HIK Vs FK Sarajevo0-3
21/10/24AZrinjski Vs IK7-1
16/10/24HIK Vs Borac Banja Luka0-4
29/09/24HIK Vs GOŠK Gabela3-2
25/09/24ASloga Doboj Vs IK0-2

VeležVelež

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/24HVEL Vs Radnik Bijeljina2-1
23/11/24HVEL Vs Siroki Brijeg3-1
10/11/24AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs VEL2-1
02/11/24HVEL Vs Borac Banja Luka0-0
30/10/24ASvatovac Poljice Vs VEL0-2
26/10/24HVEL Vs Posušje3-0
19/10/24AFK Sarajevo Vs VEL4-0
12/10/24ABorac Banja Luka Vs VEL2-1
28/09/24HVEL Vs Zrinjski0-1
24/09/24AGOŠK Gabela Vs VEL0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Igman Konjic
Igman Konjic
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.04
HomeWLLLL1.30
AwayWLWLL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%39%22%
AVG goals3.282.523.93
Over 1.5 %82%74%89%
Over 2.5 %58%48%67%
Over 3.5 %44%22%63%
Scored1.161.001.30
Conceded2.121.522.63
BTTS50%35%63%
Clean Sheet22%35%11%
Corners---
Cards---
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.58
HomeLWDWW1.88
AwayWLLWL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals2.482.202.76
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %42%36%48%
Over 3.5 %24%16%32%
Scored1.421.481.36
Conceded1.060.721.40
BTTS44%52%36%
Clean Sheet40%44%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZrinjskiZrinjski3382
79%
2.5
7217+55
2.7
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.20.5
-
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3381
79%
2.5
5813+45
2.2
64%
30%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5141.80.4
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3365
55%
2.0
5924+35
2.5
73%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.80.7
-
4Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3365
61%
2.0
5538+17
2.8
76%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.71.2
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3346
39%
1.4
4346-3
2.7
73%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.31.4
-
6Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3344
39%
1.3
3545-10
2.4
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.11.4
-
7VeležVelež3342
30%
1.3
4539+6
2.5
70%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.41.2
-
8Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3340
36%
1.2
4452-8
2.9
82%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.6
-
9PosušjePosušje3337
30%
1.1
3639-3
2.3
73%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
10Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3329
24%
0.9
3066-36
2.9
79%
61%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela3316
12%
0.5
2876-48
3.2
88%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
12Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla3310
3%
0.3
2171-50
2.8
76%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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