This opponent (AFC Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AFC Eskilstuna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.33
1.07
1.00
0.67
1.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (28)
0.93
1.32
1.14
1.07
0.71
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.2%
Under 1.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.9%
Under 2.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.2%
Under 3.5
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
IK brage goals ↓
AFC Eskilstuna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
6.0%
3.4%
1.1%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.6%
1.8%
0.4%
2
10.0%
9.6%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
3
5.4%
5.2%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.2%
2.1%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IK brage goals (down), columns = AFC Eskilstuna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vasteras SK FK
2.10
Gais
1.90
Utsikten
1.83
Osters IF
1.80
Ostersunds FK
1.40
IK brage
1.37
Landskrona BoIS
1.30
Trelleborg
1.30
Gefle IF
1.23
Orgryte IS
1.19
GIF Sundsvall
1.17
Skövde AIK
1.16
Orebro SK
1.13
Helsingborg
1.10
AFC Eskilstuna
1.03
Jonkopings Sodra
1.03
Falkenbergs FF
0.50
United Nordic
0.00
IK brage is 0.33 points better than AFC Eskilstuna in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Gais
2.03
Osters IF
1.90
Utsikten
1.67
Vasteras SK FK
1.60
Skövde AIK
1.47
Ostersunds FK
1.47
Jonkopings Sodra
1.43
Orebro SK
1.43
Landskrona BoIS
1.33
Trelleborg
1.33
IK brage
1.30
GIF Sundsvall
1.23
Gefle IF
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.09
Helsingborg
1.07
Falkenbergs FF
1.00
AFC Eskilstuna
0.93
United Nordic
0.00
IK brage is 0.37 goals better than AFC Eskilstuna in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 0.93).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.77
Vasteras SK FK
0.80
United Nordic
1.00
Utsikten
1.03
Osters IF
1.17
Helsingborg
1.23
Ostersunds FK
1.30
AFC Eskilstuna
1.40
IK brage
1.40
Orgryte IS
1.47
Gefle IF
1.50
Orebro SK
1.50
Landskrona BoIS
1.63
Skövde AIK
1.69
Trelleborg
1.73
GIF Sundsvall
1.77
Jonkopings Sodra
1.90
Falkenbergs FF
2.50
IK brage and AFC Eskilstuna are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Osters IF
54%
Gais
53%
Vasteras SK FK
53%
Landskrona BoIS
53%
Jonkopings Sodra
52%
Utsikten
52%
Orebro SK
49%
Orgryte IS
49%
IK brage
49%
Ostersunds FK
49%
AFC Eskilstuna
49%
Helsingborg
48%
GIF Sundsvall
48%
Gefle IF
47%
Trelleborg
47%
Skövde AIK
46%
IK brage is 0.3 percentage points better than AFC Eskilstuna in terms of average possession (49% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
IK brage
For 5.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.4 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AFC Eskilstuna
For 4.6 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 11.5 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IK brage
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.6
9.2
2.7
2.5
2.9
24.5
22.5
26.3
vs Stronger (6)
10.2
8.0
11.0
1.7
0.0
3.3
19.5
22.0
18.7
vs Similar (44)
9.3
9.7
8.9
2.9
2.9
2.9
25.2
22.6
27.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
61%
38%
44%
38%
50%
69%
53%
84%
% under line
51%
39%
62%
56%
62%
50%
31%
47%
16%
This opponent (AFC Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AFC Eskilstuna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.0
10.2
3.1
3.4
2.8
23.7
23.9
23.5
vs Stronger (2)
13.5
19.0
8.0
3.5
4.0
3.0
21.0
20.0
22.0
vs Similar (48)
10.4
10.6
10.3
3.1
3.4
2.8
23.9
24.2
23.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
59%
63%
55%
44%
50%
38%
69%
68%
71%
% under line
41%
37%
45%
56%
50%
62%
31%
32%
29%
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Skövde AIK
11.9
Gais
11.7
GIF Sundsvall
11.1
Orebro SK
11.0
Helsingborg
10.9
Vasteras SK FK
10.8
Landskrona BoIS
10.8
Orgryte IS
10.7
Ostersunds FK
10.3
Trelleborg
10.3
Gefle IF
10.3
Osters IF
10.2
AFC Eskilstuna
10.2
Utsikten
9.8
Jonkopings Sodra
9.6
IK brage
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.6
Gais
4.9
Orgryte IS
4.7
Ostersunds FK
4.6
Falkenbergs FF
4.5
Landskrona BoIS
4.5
Osters IF
4.5
Helsingborg
4.4
Gefle IF
4.3
Orebro SK
4.1
Trelleborg
4.1
AFC Eskilstuna
4.0
Jonkopings Sodra
3.8
Skövde AIK
3.8
IK brage
3.6
Vasteras SK FK
3.4
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
29.7
Gefle IF
26.7
Skövde AIK
26.5
Orgryte IS
26.0
Trelleborg
25.9
Ostersunds FK
25.9
Landskrona BoIS
25.3
IK brage
25.1
Jonkopings Sodra
24.6
Orebro SK
24.4
Osters IF
24.3
AFC Eskilstuna
24.3
Helsingborg
24.3
Gais
24.0
Vasteras SK FK
22.9
GIF Sundsvall
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.4%
Under 9.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.4%
Under 3.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.4%
Under 21.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IK brage
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.77
0.67
0.53
0.20
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.52
0.72
0.83
0.33
0.23
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AFC Eskilstuna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.77
0.40
0.73
0.13
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.29
0.79
0.43
0.79
0.14
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IK brage over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IK brage
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.87
0.67
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.20
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.64
1.00
0.50
0.54
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AFC Eskilstuna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.67
0.27
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.54
0.71
0.29
0.57
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IK brage over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
IK brage · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Felix Hörberg67%
Albin Sporrong33%
Gideon Granström33%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Anton Lundin0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Tobias Stagaard0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Alex Mortensen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Lundin67%
Alexander Zetterstrom33%
Tobias Stagaard33%
Gustav Berggren33%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Albin Sporrong0%
Felix Hörberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Gideon Granström0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Alex Mortensen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander Zetterstrom33%
Anton Lundin33%
Albin Sporrong33%
Gustav Berggren33%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Felix Hörberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Tobias Stagaard0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Gideon Granström0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Alex Mortensen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alex Mortensen33%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Anton Lundin0%
Albin Sporrong0%
Felix Hörberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Tobias Stagaard0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Gideon Granström0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Sweden: Superettan 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →