This opponent (Gefle IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gefle IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.14
1.14
1.50
1.25
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.33
0.83
2.00
0.67
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
29% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.7%
Under 1.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.4%
Under 2.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.1%
Under 3.5
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.4%
No
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.7%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.5%
IK brage goals ↓
Gefle IF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
10.0%
5.5%
1.8%
0.4%
1
12%
15%
6.5%
2.1%
0.5%
2
8.1%
7.9%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
3
3.2%
3.1%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.9%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IK brage goals (down), columns = Gefle IF goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vasteras SK FK
2.10
Gais
1.90
Utsikten
1.83
Osters IF
1.80
Ostersunds FK
1.40
IK brage
1.37
Landskrona BoIS
1.30
Trelleborg
1.30
Gefle IF
1.23
Orgryte IS
1.19
GIF Sundsvall
1.17
Skövde AIK
1.16
Orebro SK
1.13
Helsingborg
1.10
AFC Eskilstuna
1.03
Jonkopings Sodra
1.03
Falkenbergs FF
0.50
United Nordic
0.00
IK brage is 0.13 points better than Gefle IF in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.23).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Gais
2.03
Osters IF
1.90
Utsikten
1.67
Vasteras SK FK
1.60
Skövde AIK
1.47
Ostersunds FK
1.47
Jonkopings Sodra
1.43
Orebro SK
1.43
Landskrona BoIS
1.33
Trelleborg
1.33
IK brage
1.30
GIF Sundsvall
1.23
Gefle IF
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.09
Helsingborg
1.07
Falkenbergs FF
1.00
AFC Eskilstuna
0.93
United Nordic
0.00
IK brage is 0.10 goals better than Gefle IF in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.77
Vasteras SK FK
0.80
United Nordic
1.00
Utsikten
1.03
Osters IF
1.17
Helsingborg
1.23
Ostersunds FK
1.30
AFC Eskilstuna
1.40
IK brage
1.40
Orgryte IS
1.47
Gefle IF
1.50
Orebro SK
1.50
Landskrona BoIS
1.63
Skövde AIK
1.69
Trelleborg
1.73
GIF Sundsvall
1.77
Jonkopings Sodra
1.90
Falkenbergs FF
2.50
IK brage is 0.10 goals better than Gefle IF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Osters IF
54%
Gais
53%
Vasteras SK FK
53%
Landskrona BoIS
53%
Jonkopings Sodra
52%
Utsikten
52%
Orebro SK
49%
Orgryte IS
49%
IK brage
49%
Ostersunds FK
49%
AFC Eskilstuna
49%
Helsingborg
48%
GIF Sundsvall
48%
Gefle IF
47%
Trelleborg
47%
Skövde AIK
46%
IK brage is 2.0 percentage points better than Gefle IF in terms of average possession (49% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
IK brage
For 4.2 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 10.6 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gefle IF
For 3.3 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.0 · Against 17.6 · Total 34.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IK brage
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (37)
8.7
8.4
8.9
2.6
2.4
2.7
25.3
23.3
27.2
vs Stronger (4)
11.0
8.0
12.5
2.0
0.0
4.0
23.0
22.0
23.5
vs Similar (33)
8.4
8.4
8.3
2.7
2.8
2.6
25.6
23.5
28.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
37%
38%
36%
41%
33%
47%
79%
67%
92%
% under line
63%
62%
64%
59%
67%
53%
21%
33%
8%
This opponent (Gefle IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gefle IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (7)
8.3
7.8
9.0
5.3
6.0
4.3
34.6
34.8
34.3
vs Stronger (1)
7.0
7.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
42.0
42.0
-
vs Similar (6)
8.5
8.0
9.0
5.7
7.0
4.3
33.3
32.3
34.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
29%
25%
33%
86%
75%
100%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
71%
75%
67%
14%
25%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Skövde AIK
11.6
Landskrona BoIS
11.2
Vasteras SK FK
11.2
Gais
11.1
Orebro SK
10.9
Helsingborg
10.7
Orgryte IS
10.5
Ostersunds FK
10.4
Trelleborg
10.2
GIF Sundsvall
10.2
Utsikten
10.2
Osters IF
9.8
Jonkopings Sodra
9.7
AFC Eskilstuna
9.4
IK brage
8.7
Gefle IF
8.3
Falkenbergs FF
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
6.0
Gefle IF
5.3
Gais
5.1
Ostersunds FK
4.9
Osters IF
4.6
Trelleborg
4.5
Falkenbergs FF
4.5
Orgryte IS
4.5
Landskrona BoIS
4.3
Orebro SK
4.3
AFC Eskilstuna
4.2
Helsingborg
4.2
Skövde AIK
3.8
Jonkopings Sodra
3.8
IK brage
3.6
GIF Sundsvall
3.3
Vasteras SK FK
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gefle IF
34.6
Utsikten
31.8
Orgryte IS
28.3
Trelleborg
27.0
Landskrona BoIS
26.7
Skövde AIK
26.4
Ostersunds FK
26.0
Gais
25.6
AFC Eskilstuna
25.4
IK brage
25.3
Orebro SK
24.7
Jonkopings Sodra
24.5
Osters IF
24.4
Helsingborg
23.5
Vasteras SK FK
23.3
GIF Sundsvall
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.2%
Under 9.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.6%
Under 3.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.8%
Under 21.5
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IK brage
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.36
0.64
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.50
0.69
0.42
0.58
0.57
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Gefle IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gefle IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.71
0.50
0.75
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
29% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IK brage over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gefle IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gefle IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gefle IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IK brage
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.50
0.50
0.75
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.62
0.50
0.42
0.71
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Gefle IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gefle IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.43
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.17
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
71% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IK brage over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gefle IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gefle IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gefle IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
IK brage · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Felix Hörberg67%
Albin Sporrong33%
Gideon Granström33%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Anton Lundin0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Tobias Stagaard0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Alex Mortensen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Lundin67%
Alexander Zetterstrom33%
Tobias Stagaard33%
Gustav Berggren33%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Albin Sporrong0%
Felix Hörberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Gideon Granström0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Alex Mortensen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander Zetterstrom33%
Anton Lundin33%
Albin Sporrong33%
Gustav Berggren33%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Felix Hörberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Tobias Stagaard0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Gideon Granström0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Alex Mortensen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alex Mortensen33%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Anton Lundin0%
Albin Sporrong0%
Felix Hörberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Tobias Stagaard0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Gideon Granström0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Gefle IF · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jacob Hjelte33%
Gustav Friberg25%
Leo Englund22%
Constantino Capotondi20%
Samuel Adrian14%
Anton Lundin14%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt11%
Martin Rauschenberg Brorsen0%
Henrik Bellman0%
Adrian Edqvist0%
York Rafael0%
Kevin Persson0%
Tobias Johansson0%
Iu Ranera Grau0%
Sebastian Friman0%
Mathias Nilsson0%
Christoffer Aspgren0%
Niclas Hakansson0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Lundin43%
Mathias Nilsson33%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt33%
Samuel Adrian29%
Tobias Johansson25%
Niclas Hakansson25%
Gustav Friberg25%
Martin Rauschenberg Brorsen22%
Adrian Edqvist11%
York Rafael11%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson11%
Henrik Bellman0%
Jacob Hjelte0%
Kevin Persson0%
Iu Ranera Grau0%
Sebastian Friman0%
Christoffer Aspgren0%
Leo Englund0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Constantino Capotondi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gustav Friberg25%
Constantino Capotondi20%
Jacob Hjelte17%
Samuel Adrian14%
Anton Lundin14%
Martin Rauschenberg Brorsen0%
Henrik Bellman0%
Adrian Edqvist0%
York Rafael0%
Kevin Persson0%
Tobias Johansson0%
Iu Ranera Grau0%
Sebastian Friman0%
Mathias Nilsson0%
Christoffer Aspgren0%
Leo Englund0%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt0%
Niclas Hakansson0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jacob Hjelte33%
Anton Lundin14%
Leo Englund11%
Samuel Adrian0%
Martin Rauschenberg Brorsen0%
Henrik Bellman0%
Adrian Edqvist0%
York Rafael0%
Kevin Persson0%
Tobias Johansson0%
Iu Ranera Grau0%
Sebastian Friman0%
Mathias Nilsson0%
Christoffer Aspgren0%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt0%
Niclas Hakansson0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson0%
Gustav Friberg0%
Constantino Capotondi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Sweden: Superettan 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →