IK Brage’s recent slump of three defeats in a row sets the stage, yet the model still favours a home win. The probability of a victory for the home side sits at 58%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 20%. The expected total of goals is 3.3, with the most likely total being three goals, a 22% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10% probability.
At home, IK Brage averages 2.38 goals scored and 2.08 conceded against opponents of similar strength, while GIF Sundsvall, playing away, averages only 0.64 goals scored and 2.09 conceded.
The model’s suggested picks cover a range of outcomes: Away under 2.5 HT goals99.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals98.0%, Under 7.597.9%, Away under 3.5 goals96.7%, Under 6.594.7%, Home under 2.5 HT goals94.5%, Away under 1.5 HT goals93.1%, and Home +2 handicap92.0%. Each selection is presented with its exact probability, reflecting the model’s confidence in these outcomes.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
IK brage win
57.9%
Avg Implied 56.5% · @ 1.63
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.70
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Dafabet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Draw
22.3%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.90
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.16
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
Dafabet
4.00
GIF Sundsvall win
19.8%
Avg Implied 19.9% · @ 4.62
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
5.00
Pinnacle
4.92
1xBet
4.89
BetVictor
4.80
Betfair
4.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
IK brage
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.97
2.29
2.14
1.00
1.81
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.33
1.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.74
1.93
2.38
2.08
1.14
1.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIF Sundsvall
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
2.03
0.86
1.93
0.50
2.12
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
2.08
0.71
2.00
0.20
2.20
vs Similar (18)
0.78
2.00
1.00
1.86
0.64
2.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.4%
@ 1.18+6.6%
Under 1.5
14.6%
@ 4.38-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Under
Pinnacle
4.63
BetVictor
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64.6%
@ 1.63+7.1%
Under 2.5
35.4%
@ 2.20-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Unibet
1.63
Under
Pinnacle
2.30
Marathonbet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
42.6%
@ 2.52+5.7%
Under 3.5
57.4%
@ 1.47-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Unibet
2.55
Betano
2.52
Pinnacle
2.51
Under
Pinnacle
1.52
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.49
Superbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Both teams to score
Yes
62.4%
@ 1.64+6.2%
No
37.6%
@ 2.11-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.70
Betfair
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.64
No
BetVictor
2.15
Betfair
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%@ 7.18+3.9%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.40+3.8%
2-0
8.2%@ 8.20+2.8%
3-1
6.9%@ 11.38+3.1%
1-0
6.7%@ 7.72+1.0%
2-2
5.8%@ 12.99+2.4%
3-0
5.8%@ 12.47+2.3%
1-2
5.5%@ 13.40+2.2%
IK brage goals ↓
GIF Sundsvall goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
3.4%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
1
6.7%
10%
5.5%
2.2%
0.7%
2
8.2%
9.8%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
3
5.8%
6.9%
4.1%
1.7%
0.5%
4
3.1%
3.7%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IK brage goals (down), columns = GIF Sundsvall goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
IK brage is 0.38 points better than GIF Sundsvall in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
IK brage is 0.95 goals better than GIF Sundsvall in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 0.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
IK brage is 0.10 goals better than GIF Sundsvall in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 2.10).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
IK brage is 7.1 percentage points better than GIF Sundsvall in terms of average possession (48% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
IK brage
For 4.4 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 13.0 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
GIF Sundsvall
For 4.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IK brage
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.2
8.9
1.6
1.6
1.6
23.6
23.8
23.3
vs Stronger (7)
10.7
11.0
10.5
2.1
3.0
1.8
21.0
24.0
19.5
vs Similar (43)
8.7
9.0
8.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
24.4
23.8
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
33%
38%
30%
24%
26%
22%
75%
67%
83%
% under line
67%
62%
70%
76%
74%
78%
25%
33%
17%
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIF Sundsvall
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.7
1.0
0.7
1.2
20.9
17.8
23.1
vs Stronger (18)
11.4
11.5
11.0
0.6
0.9
0.2
16.0
16.0
16.0
vs Similar (32)
9.2
7.5
9.6
1.2
0.5
1.8
24.4
25.0
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
33%
64%
10%
4%
15%
42%
20%
57%
% under line
47%
67%
36%
90%
96%
85%
58%
80%
43%
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
10.9
Helsingborg
10.3
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.2
Ljungskile SK
10.2
United Nordic
10.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Orebro SK
9.4
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Ljungskile SK
3.9
Osters IF
3.9
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Landskrona BoIS
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Ostersunds FK
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.9
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.2
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
IK brage
24.1
Orebro SK
24.0
Helsingborg
24.0
Landskrona BoIS
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.9
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.3%
@ 1.67-8.0%
Under 9.5
52.7%
@ 2.07+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Superbet
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
Unibet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.16
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
38.9%
Under 3.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.9%
Under 21.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
IK brage or Draw
80.2%
Avg Implied 80.1% · @ 1.16
Edge
+0.1%
58%
22%
20%
covers IK brage + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
IK brage or GIF Sundsvall
77.7%
Avg Implied 77.1% · @ 1.21
Edge
+0.5%
58%
22%
20%
covers IK brage + GIF Sundsvall
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Draw or GIF Sundsvall
42.1%
Avg Implied 42.8% · @ 2.18
Edge
-0.6%
58%
22%
20%
covers Draw + GIF Sundsvall
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Betano
2.22
Bet365
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
IK brage over/under 0.5
Over
88.1%
@ 1.11+4.0%
Under
11.9%
@ 5.88-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
Under
1xBet
7.00
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
Superbet
5.70
10Bet
5.50
IK brage over/under 1.5
Over
62.9%
@ 1.60+4.7%
Under
37.1%
@ 2.22-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Unibet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathonbet
2.28
BetVictor
2.25
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.20
IK brage over/under 2.5
Over
35.9%
@ 2.83+3.2%
Under
64.1%
@ 1.38-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.95
Unibet
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Betano
2.87
Pinnacle
2.81
Under
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Betano
1.38
IK brage over/under 3.5
Over
16.7%
@ 5.77+0.5%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.12-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betano
5.60
1xBet
5.20
Under
1xBet
1.13
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
GIF Sundsvall over/under 0.5
Over
69.8%
@ 1.45+5.5%
Under
30.2%
@ 2.60-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.71
BetVictor
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.62
10Bet
2.60
GIF Sundsvall over/under 1.5
Over
33.6%
@ 3.15+4.1%
Under
66.4%
@ 1.32-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.26
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.21
1xBet
3.15
BetVictor
3.10
Under
Betano
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
GIF Sundsvall over/under 2.5
Over
12.0%
@ 8.16+0.5%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.06-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.10
Superbet
7.60
Betano
7.10
1xBet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
GIF Sundsvall over/under 3.5
Over
3.3%
@ 19.00-1.7%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.01+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to IK brage, so a minus line means IK brage give that many goals of a start and GIF Sundsvall receive them. At -1, IK brage must win by two or more to land; a one-goal IK brage win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (IK brage)
IK brage -2
18.5%
@ 4.99+0.6%
Draw -2
17.7%
@ 4.65-1.5%
GIF Sundsvall +2
63.8%
@ 1.42+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.25
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.80
Draw
Marathonbet
4.95
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Away
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Handicap -1 (IK brage)
IK brage -1
36.2%
@ 2.64+2.4%
Draw -1
21.6%
@ 3.58-3.3%
GIF Sundsvall +1
42.1%
@ 2.16+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.51
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Away
Marathonbet
2.25
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Handicap +1 (IK brage)
IK brage +1
80.2%
@ 1.17+5.4%
Draw +1
11.7%
@ 5.66-3.7%
GIF Sundsvall -1
8.1%
@ 8.94-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
4.40
Away
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
9.50
10Bet
9.00
Marathonbet
6.25
Handicap +2 (IK brage)
IK brage +2
91.9%
@ 1.05+1.5%
Draw +2
5.6%
@ 15.00-0.8%
GIF Sundsvall -2
2.5%
@ 29.00-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IK brage
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.79
1.14
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.89
0.77
1.15
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIF Sundsvall
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.17
0.80
0.21
0.71
0.12
0.88
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
0.83
0.29
0.86
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (18)
0.11
0.78
0.14
0.57
0.09
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.8%
@ 1.29+0.7%
Under 0.5
27.2%
@ 3.33-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Under
William Hil
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
1xBet
3.35
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.3%
@ 2.34-4.1%
Under 1.5
64.7%
@ 1.53+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Betfair
2.40
Pinnacle
2.39
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.36
Under
William Hil
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
10Bet
1.55
BetVictor
1.54
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.4%
@ 5.54-1.3%
Under 2.5
84.6%
@ 1.11+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Under
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IK brage over/under 0.5 HT
Over
55.4%
@ 1.60-2.3%
Under
44.6%
@ 2.19+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Under
Pinnacle
2.33
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Unibet
2.17
IK brage over/under 1.5 HT
Over
21.5%
@ 3.95-1.8%
Under
78.5%
@ 1.20+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
3.95
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
IK brage over/under 2.5 HT
Over
8.9%
@ 9.25-1.2%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.03+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
GIF Sundsvall over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.3%
@ 2.44-0.6%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.49+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.56
Marathonbet
2.49
Superbet
2.45
Betano
2.42
Unibet
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Unibet
1.48
GIF Sundsvall over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.1%
@ 8.68-3.6%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.03+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
8.90
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
GIF Sundsvall over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IK brage
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.10
1.50
1.00
0.69
1.19
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.67
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
1.19
1.04
1.62
0.92
0.79
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIF Sundsvall
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.23
0.64
1.21
0.38
1.25
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
1.25
0.43
1.14
0.00
1.40
vs Similar (18)
0.67
1.22
0.86
1.29
0.55
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.7%
@ 1.17+2.3%
Under 0.5
18.3%
@ 4.50-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
Under
1xBet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Superbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
51.0%
@ 1.83+0.5%
Under 1.5
49.0%
@ 1.87-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.85
Unibet
1.84
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.88
William Hil
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
24.3%
@ 3.58-1.5%
Under 2.5
75.7%
@ 1.25+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.52
1xBet
3.52
Under
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IK brage over/under 0.5 2H
Over
64.2%
@ 1.42-1.1%
Under
35.8%
@ 2.67+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Superbet
2.65
10Bet
2.65
IK brage over/under 1.5 2H
Over
31.1%
@ 2.89-0.8%
Under
68.9%
@ 1.35+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.89
1xBet
2.85
Betano
2.82
Under
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
IK brage over/under 2.5 2H
Over
10.4%
@ 7.20-2.5%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.06+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
7.40
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
GIF Sundsvall over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.5%
@ 2.04-0.8%
Under
55.5%
@ 1.69+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Betano
2.00
Under
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.67
GIF Sundsvall over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.2%
@ 6.45-2.2%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.08+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
GIF Sundsvall over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.1%
@ 16.75-3.7%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
Under 7.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+1.7%
Under 6.5
94.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+0.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.9%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+3.6%
Home +2 handicap
91.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+1.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
91.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+1.2%
Under 5.5 cards
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
89.6%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+2.5%
Home over 0.5 goals
88.1%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
+4.0%
Away under 2.5 goals
88.0%
1.06
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
-0.5%
Under 5.5
87.9%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
-1.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.8%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+2.2%
Over 1.5
85.4%
1.18
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Superbet
1.18
+6.6%
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.6%
1.11
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
+1.3%
Home under 3.5 goals
83.3%
1.12
1xBet
1.13
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-0.5%
Over 19.5 fouls
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
+2.3%
Home or Draw
80.2%
1.16
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
+0.1%
Home +1 handicap
80.2%
1.17
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+5.4%
Under 4.5 cards
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
78.5%
1.20
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
-
+1.8%
Home or Away
77.7%
1.21
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
+0.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.7%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
+1.5%
Under 4.5
75.7%
1.17
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
-4.0%
Under 11.5 corners
75.6%
1.44
Unibet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.35
+11.5%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.8%
1.29
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.28
+0.7%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
IK brage
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Felix Hörberg67%
Albin Sporrong33%
Gideon Granström33%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Anton Lundin0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Tobias Stagaard0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Alex Mortensen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Lundin67%
Alexander Zetterstrom33%
Tobias Stagaard33%
Gustav Berggren33%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Albin Sporrong0%
Felix Hörberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Gideon Granström0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Alex Mortensen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander Zetterstrom33%
Anton Lundin33%
Albin Sporrong33%
Gustav Berggren33%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Felix Hörberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Tobias Stagaard0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Gideon Granström0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Alex Mortensen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alex Mortensen33%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Anton Lundin0%
Albin Sporrong0%
Felix Hörberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Tobias Stagaard0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Gideon Granström0%
Anders Hellblom0%
GIF Sundsvall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hugo Aviander50%
Suwaibou Kebbeh25%
Jonas Olsson0%
Marc Manchón0%
Lucas Forsberg0%
Miguel Sandberg0%
Alexandros Pantelidis0%
Jeremiah Björnler0%
Yaqub Finey0%
Atlee Manneh0%
Malte Hallin0%
Kawa Sulaiman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marc Manchón75%
Alexandros Pantelidis25%
Hugo Aviander25%
Yaqub Finey25%
Atlee Manneh25%
Jonas Olsson0%
Lucas Forsberg0%
Miguel Sandberg0%
Jeremiah Björnler0%
Malte Hallin0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Kawa Sulaiman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel Sandberg25%
Hugo Aviander25%
Jonas Olsson0%
Marc Manchón0%
Lucas Forsberg0%
Alexandros Pantelidis0%
Jeremiah Björnler0%
Yaqub Finey0%
Atlee Manneh0%
Malte Hallin0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Kawa Sulaiman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonas Olsson0%
Marc Manchón0%
Lucas Forsberg0%
Miguel Sandberg0%
Alexandros Pantelidis0%
Hugo Aviander0%
Jeremiah Björnler0%
Yaqub Finey0%
Atlee Manneh0%
Malte Hallin0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Kawa Sulaiman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
IK brage and GIF Sundsvall have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
IK brage and GIF Sundsvall have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
IK brage and GIF Sundsvall have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
IK brage and GIF Sundsvall have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK