This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IFK Norrkoping
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.63
1.50
1.29
1.19
1.94
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.75
0.00
2.67
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.41
1.59
1.91
0.91
0.91
2.27
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.75
-
-
2.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
86.5%
Under 1.5
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
66.5%
Under 2.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.7%
Under 3.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.9%
No
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.0%
0-1
5.5%
2-3
4.4%
IK brage goals ↓
IFK Norrkoping goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.2%
5.5%
6.3%
4.2%
2.1%
1
3.8%
10%
9.2%
6.0%
3.0%
2
3.4%
6.8%
6.7%
4.4%
2.2%
3
1.7%
3.3%
3.2%
2.1%
1.1%
4
0.6%
1.2%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IK brage goals (down), columns = IFK Norrkoping goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
IK brage is 1.24 points worse than IFK Norrkoping in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.24).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
IK brage is 0.29 goals worse than IFK Norrkoping in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.95).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
IK brage is 1.38 goals worse than IFK Norrkoping in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.62).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
IK brage is 7.2 percentage points worse than IFK Norrkoping in terms of average possession (48% vs 55%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
IK brage
For 3.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.2
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 12.2 · Total 22.8
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IFK Norrkoping
For 5.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.8
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 12.8 · Total 26.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IK brage
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.7
9.6
1.9
2.0
1.8
25.0
25.3
24.5
vs Stronger (7)
10.7
11.0
10.5
2.1
2.0
2.2
21.0
24.0
19.5
vs Similar (43)
8.8
8.5
9.4
1.8
1.9
1.7
25.6
25.5
25.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
46%
40%
26%
22%
30%
77%
75%
80%
% under line
57%
54%
60%
74%
78%
70%
23%
25%
20%
This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IFK Norrkoping
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.6
13.3
9.8
3.2
3.7
2.7
27.4
28.4
26.3
vs Stronger (7)
10.9
13.7
8.8
4.6
5.3
4.0
26.4
24.7
27.8
vs Similar (38)
11.7
13.2
10.1
3.4
3.6
3.1
27.6
29.1
25.9
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
70%
89%
50%
42%
50%
35%
92%
95%
89%
% under line
30%
11%
50%
58%
50%
65%
8%
5%
11%
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.6
IFK Varnamo
11.3
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.5
Helsingborg
10.3
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
GIF Sundsvall
10.2
Orebro SK
10.1
IK brage
10.0
Sandviken
10.0
Ostersunds FK
9.6
Ljungskile SK
9.5
Oddevold
9.4
Norrby IF
9.3
Falkenbergs FF
9.0
United Nordic
8.3
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Norrby IF
4.3
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Osters IF
4.1
Helsingborg
4.1
Landskrona BoIS
4.1
Ljungskile SK
4.0
Orebro SK
3.9
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.9
Ostersunds FK
3.7
United Nordic
3.7
IK brage
3.6
Sandviken
3.4
IFK Varnamo
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
Falkenbergs FF
3.0
Oddevold
3.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
30.3
Ljungskile SK
27.0
IFK Norrkoping
26.9
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.6
Ostersunds FK
24.9
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.2
Landskrona BoIS
24.1
IK brage
23.8
Orebro SK
23.6
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.9
GIF Sundsvall
21.3
Oddevold
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.6%
Under 9.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.3%
Under 3.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.9%
Under 21.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IK brage
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.79
1.36
0.62
0.50
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.92
0.75
1.42
0.58
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IFK Norrkoping
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.79
0.29
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.55
1.00
0.09
0.55
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
-
-
1.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IK brage over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IFK Norrkoping over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IFK Norrkoping over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IFK Norrkoping over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IK brage
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.03
1.50
0.86
0.88
1.19
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.17
1.00
1.00
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (24)
1.25
1.00
1.58
0.83
0.92
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Norrkoping) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IFK Norrkoping
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.07
0.71
1.00
0.50
1.12
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.75
0.00
1.67
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
1.05
0.91
0.82
0.36
1.27
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
-
-
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IK brage over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IFK Norrkoping over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IFK Norrkoping over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IFK Norrkoping over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 5.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
IK brage
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Felix HÃķrberg67%
Albin Sporrong33%
Gideon GranstrÃķm33%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Anton Lundin0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Tobias Stagaard0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Alex Mortensen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Lundin67%
Alexander Zetterstrom33%
Tobias Stagaard33%
Gustav Berggren33%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Albin Sporrong0%
Felix HÃķrberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Gideon GranstrÃķm0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Alex Mortensen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander Zetterstrom33%
Anton Lundin33%
Albin Sporrong33%
Gustav Berggren33%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Felix HÃķrberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Tobias Stagaard0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Gideon GranstrÃķm0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Alex Mortensen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alex Mortensen33%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Anton Lundin0%
Albin Sporrong0%
Felix HÃķrberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Tobias Stagaard0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Gideon GranstrÃķm0%
Anders Hellblom0%
IFK Norrkoping
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christoffer Nyman60%
Ryan Nelson60%
Albert Aleksanjan33%
Tim Prica20%
Elias Jemal20%
Filip DagerstÃĨl0%
Anton Eriksson0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Moutaz Neffati0%
Leo Lif0%
Noel Sernelius0%
Ture Sandberg0%
Theo Krantz0%
Axel BrÃķnner0%
Viggo FÃĪlth0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tim Prica20%
Christoffer Nyman20%
Ryan Nelson20%
Elias Jemal20%
Axel BrÃķnner20%
Filip DagerstÃĨl0%
Anton Eriksson0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Moutaz Neffati0%
Leo Lif0%
Noel Sernelius0%
Ture Sandberg0%
Theo Krantz0%
Albert Aleksanjan0%
Viggo FÃĪlth0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Noel Sernelius80%
Ture Sandberg25%
Ryan Nelson20%
Anton Eriksson20%
Elias Jemal20%
Tim Prica0%
Filip DagerstÃĨl0%
Christoffer Nyman0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Moutaz Neffati0%
Leo Lif0%
Theo Krantz0%
Axel BrÃķnner0%
Albert Aleksanjan0%
Viggo FÃĪlth0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ryan Nelson40%
Moutaz Neffati33%
Albert Aleksanjan33%
Tim Prica20%
Christoffer Nyman20%
Filip DagerstÃĨl0%
Anton Eriksson0%
Aleksander Opsahl0%
Elias Jemal0%
Leo Lif0%
Noel Sernelius0%
Ture Sandberg0%
Theo Krantz0%
Axel BrÃķnner0%
Viggo FÃĪlth0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
IK brage's squad is €5m less valuable than IFK Norrkoping's (€5m vs €9m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
IK brage's attack is €2m less valuable than IFK Norrkoping's (€1m vs €3m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
IK brage's midfield is €1m less valuable than IFK Norrkoping's (€1m vs €3m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
IK brage and IFK Norrkoping have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
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Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall