This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.57
1.60
1.40
1.07
1.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.31
1.55
1.60
1.40
1.00
1.71
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.0%
Under 1.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.3%
Under 2.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.8%
Under 3.5
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.7%
No
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-2 ✓
4.7%
IK brage goals ↓
Ostersunds FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.3%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.3%
2.1%
0.5%
2
8.8%
8.7%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
3
4.0%
3.9%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IK brage goals (down), columns = Ostersunds FK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vasteras SK FK
2.17
Kalmar FF
2.13
Norrby IF
2.00
Orgryte IS
1.87
Oddevold
1.60
Falkenbergs FF
1.53
Hammarby Talang
1.50
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.43
Sandviken
1.37
Landskrona BoIS
1.37
IK brage
1.37
Helsingborg
1.37
GIF Sundsvall
1.33
Ostersunds FK
1.20
Utsikten
0.97
Orebro SK
0.78
Trelleborg
0.73
Umeå FC
0.63
IK brage is 0.17 points better than Ostersunds FK in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vasteras SK FK
2.07
Norrby IF
2.00
Orgryte IS
1.90
Falkenbergs FF
1.77
Kalmar FF
1.73
IK brage
1.70
Utsikten
1.53
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.50
Oddevold
1.40
Helsingborg
1.40
Landskrona BoIS
1.30
Orebro SK
1.25
Sandviken
1.20
GIF Sundsvall
1.20
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Umeå FC
1.00
Trelleborg
0.77
Hammarby Talang
0.50
IK brage is 0.60 goals better than Ostersunds FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.70 vs 1.10).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hammarby Talang
0.50
Kalmar FF
0.70
Vasteras SK FK
1.00
Orgryte IS
1.10
Falkenbergs FF
1.20
Oddevold
1.20
GIF Sundsvall
1.27
Helsingborg
1.30
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.40
Norrby IF
1.50
Sandviken
1.57
Landskrona BoIS
1.57
Ostersunds FK
1.70
IK brage
1.70
Trelleborg
1.70
Orebro SK
1.72
Utsikten
1.78
Umeå FC
1.90
IK brage and Ostersunds FK are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.70).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby Talang
64%
Landskrona BoIS
63%
Sandviken
56%
Ostersunds FK
56%
Kalmar FF
53%
Vasteras SK FK
53%
Orebro SK
52%
IK brage
52%
GIF Sundsvall
48%
Trelleborg
48%
Helsingborg
48%
Utsikten
47%
Orgryte IS
47%
Varbergs BoIS FC
46%
Umeå FC
44%
Oddevold
44%
Norrby IF
42%
Falkenbergs FF
41%
IK brage is 3.4 percentage points worse than Ostersunds FK in terms of average possession (52% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
IK brage
For 5.2 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 14.6 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ostersunds FK
For 4.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IK brage
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
10.9
11.3
2.0
1.6
2.3
24.1
23.5
24.7
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
-
8.0
0.7
0.0
1.0
9.0
-
9.0
vs Similar (47)
11.2
10.9
11.5
2.1
1.7
2.5
24.6
23.5
25.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
83%
87%
80%
28%
17%
38%
63%
60%
67%
% under line
17%
13%
20%
72%
83%
62%
37%
40%
33%
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.8
9.1
2.2
1.6
2.7
25.9
25.4
26.2
vs Stronger (1)
7.0
-
7.0
7.0
-
7.0
22.0
-
22.0
vs Similar (48)
9.7
10.8
8.7
2.0
1.6
2.4
26.0
25.4
26.5
vs Weaker (1)
16.0
-
16.0
6.0
-
6.0
27.0
-
27.0
% over line
43%
62%
29%
34%
21%
46%
80%
77%
82%
% under line
57%
38%
71%
66%
79%
54%
20%
23%
18%
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Orgryte IS
11.4
Vasteras SK FK
10.9
Trelleborg
10.8
Helsingborg
10.7
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.7
IK brage
10.6
Orebro SK
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
GIF Sundsvall
10.3
Utsikten
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.1
Ostersunds FK
10.1
Norrby IF
9.9
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.4
Umeå FC
9.2
Falkenbergs FF
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.3
Umeå FC
5.0
Norrby IF
4.3
Landskrona BoIS
4.2
Ostersunds FK
4.2
Helsingborg
4.2
Falkenbergs FF
4.1
Orgryte IS
4.0
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.9
Sandviken
3.9
Oddevold
3.7
Trelleborg
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.5
Vasteras SK FK
3.4
GIF Sundsvall
3.1
Kalmar FF
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
28.6
Umeå FC
28.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
27.0
Ostersunds FK
25.5
Falkenbergs FF
25.4
Trelleborg
25.1
Norrby IF
24.6
Helsingborg
24.4
IK brage
24.3
Landskrona BoIS
24.2
Kalmar FF
24.0
Sandviken
23.7
Orebro SK
23.6
Vasteras SK FK
23.2
Orgryte IS
22.9
GIF Sundsvall
20.6
Oddevold
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.6%
Under 9.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.4%
Under 3.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.8%
Under 21.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IK brage
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.63
0.57
0.57
0.19
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.39
0.61
0.62
0.54
0.20
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.43
0.87
0.40
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.72
0.41
0.87
0.40
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IK brage over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IK brage
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.40
0.57
0.50
0.56
0.31
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.43
0.62
0.54
0.53
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.13
0.73
1.00
0.47
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.59
1.14
0.73
1.00
0.43
1.29
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IK brage over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
IK brage
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Amar Muhsin50%
Filip Trpčevski29%
Anton Lundin14%
Teodor Walemark14%
Noah Astrand John10%
Pontus Jonsson9%
Marinus Larsen9%
Gustav Nordh7%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Haris Brkic0%
Emil Tot Wikstrom0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Lorik Konjuhi0%
Noah Östberg0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Lundin43%
Jacob Stensson29%
Teodor Walemark29%
Gustav Berggren27%
Alexander Zetterstrom21%
Cesar Weilid20%
Malte Persson15%
Haris Brkic14%
Filip Trpčevski14%
Lorik Konjuhi14%
Noah Astrand John10%
Emil Tot Wikstrom8%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Marinus Larsen0%
Noah Östberg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Noah Östberg43%
Filip Trpčevski21%
Haris Brkic14%
Gustav Nordh13%
Cesar Weilid10%
Anton Lundin7%
Amar Muhsin7%
Gustav Berggren7%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Emil Tot Wikstrom0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Teodor Walemark0%
Malte Persson0%
Lorik Konjuhi0%
Noah Astrand John0%
Marinus Larsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amar Muhsin21%
Filip Trpčevski14%
Marinus Larsen9%
Emil Tot Wikstrom8%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Anton Lundin0%
Haris Brkic0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Teodor Walemark0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Lorik Konjuhi0%
Noah Astrand John0%
Noah Östberg0%
Ostersunds FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamie Hopcutt44%
Simon Marklund25%
Philip Bonde21%
Albin Sporrong14%
Ahmed Bonnah13%
James Kirby13%
Kalipha Jawla12%
Nebiyou Perry8%
Theodor Johansson7%
Christian Enemark0%
Ali Suljić0%
Adrian Edqvist0%
Arnold Origi0%
Erick Brendon0%
Frank Stople0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Ziad Ghanoum0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Gideon Granström0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Michael Aduragbemi Oluwayemi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kalipha Jawla38%
Nebiyou Perry31%
Arnold Origi20%
Erick Brendon17%
Albin Sporrong14%
James Kirby13%
Theodor Johansson13%
Simon Marklund12%
Jamie Hopcutt11%
Michael Aduragbemi Oluwayemi8%
Christian Enemark7%
Philip Bonde7%
Ahmed Bonnah7%
Ziad Ghanoum6%
Ali Suljić0%
Adrian Edqvist0%
Frank Stople0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Gideon Granström0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ali Suljić17%
Adrian Edqvist14%
Ahmed Bonnah13%
Theodor Johansson13%
Nebiyou Perry8%
Simon Marklund6%
Christian Enemark0%
Albin Sporrong0%
Jamie Hopcutt0%
Arnold Origi0%
Erick Brendon0%
Frank Stople0%
James Kirby0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Ziad Ghanoum0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Gideon Granström0%
Philip Bonde0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Kalipha Jawla0%
Michael Aduragbemi Oluwayemi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nebiyou Perry23%
Simon Marklund19%
Ahmed Bonnah13%
James Kirby7%
Theodor Johansson7%
Christian Enemark0%
Albin Sporrong0%
Ali Suljić0%
Jamie Hopcutt0%
Adrian Edqvist0%
Arnold Origi0%
Erick Brendon0%
Frank Stople0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Ziad Ghanoum0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Gideon Granström0%
Philip Bonde0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Kalipha Jawla0%
Michael Aduragbemi Oluwayemi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
OI (26)
€8m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
NI (17)
€3m
HT (2)
€0m
IK brage and Ostersunds FK have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KF (8)
€4m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
HT (1)
€0m
IK brage and Ostersunds FK have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VSF (6)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
HT (0)
€0m
IK brage and Ostersunds FK have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (12)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
HT (1)
€0m
IK brage and Ostersunds FK have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →