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Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs Laci Result & Analysis

Date: 22/03/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
Vs
22%
32%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Laci
Laci
Albania: 1st Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iliria Fushë-Krujë win✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Laci win✗ Miss
45.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L20W11D21W10W11D00D10W03LH·KAS17/01A·KOR24/01H·APO31/01A·BUR08/02H·LUS15/02H·BES22/02H·FK 01/03A·BUR07/03H·KAS14/03A·POG18/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.861.041.140.860.571.21
vs Stronger (7)0.291.430.331.330.251.50
vs Similar (21)1.050.901.360.730.701.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %32% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W21W10W10W21W21W51W21W10W53WH·FK 17/01A·BUR24/01H·LUF31/01A·LUS07/02H·BES14/02H·LUF21/02A·LUS28/02H·APO07/03A·KOR14/03H·BES18/03
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.700.702.000.801.400.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.310.691.880.880.750.50
vs Weaker (14)2.140.712.140.712.140.71
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Iliria Fushë-Krujë) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.9%
Under 1.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
32.5%
Under 2.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.4%
Under 3.5
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.5%
No
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
15.3%
0-0
14.7%
1-1 ✓
14.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.2%
Iliria Fushë-Krujë goals ↓
Laci goals →
01234
015%15%10%4.2%1.3%
19.1%14%7.9%3.2%1.0%
24.1%5.0%3.1%1.3%0.4%
31.0%1.3%0.8%0.3%0.1%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Iliria Fushë-Krujë goals (down), columns = Laci goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Laci
2.39
Skenderbeu Korce
2.33
Pogradeci
2.06
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.36
Kastrioti Krujë
1.18
Besa Kavajë
1.18
Burreli
1.12
Korabi Peshkopi
1.09
Luftëtari
1.03
Bylis B
1.00
FK Kukesi
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Apolonia Fier
0.85
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë is 1.03 points worse than Laci in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 2.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pogradeci
1.91
Laci
1.82
Skenderbeu Korce
1.73
Kastrioti Krujë
1.33
Besa Kavajë
1.24
Luftëtari
1.12
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
FK Kukesi
0.97
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
0.94
Apolonia Fier
0.94
Burreli
0.82
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë is 0.85 goals worse than Laci in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.82).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Laci
0.70
Skenderbeu Korce
0.76
Pogradeci
0.94
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.00
Korabi Peshkopi
1.18
Luftëtari
1.29
Besa Kavajë
1.30
Apolonia Fier
1.33
Burreli
1.36
Lushnja
1.42
FK Kukesi
1.46
Kastrioti Krujë
1.73
Butrinti Sarandë
2.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë is 0.30 goals worse than Laci in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W01L20W00D01L00D10W02LH·KAS17/01A·KOR24/01H·APO31/01A·BUR08/02H·LUS15/02H·BES22/02H·FK 01/03A·BUR07/03H·KAS14/03A·POG18/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.500.570.360.140.64
vs Stronger (7)0.140.710.330.670.000.75
vs Similar (21)0.430.430.640.270.200.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W10W10W10W20W11D00D30WH·FK 17/01A·BUR24/01H·LUF31/01A·LUS07/02H·BES14/02H·LUF21/02A·LUS28/02H·APO07/03A·KOR14/03H·BES18/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.231.000.200.530.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.750.121.120.120.380.12
vs Weaker (14)0.790.360.860.290.710.43
Clean sheet %80% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Iliria Fushë-Krujë) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Iliria Fushë-Krujë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iliria Fushë-Krujë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iliria Fushë-Krujë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L10W10W01L10W10W00D00D01LH·KAS17/01A·KOR24/01H·APO31/01A·BUR08/02H·LUS15/02H·BES22/02H·FK 01/03A·BUR07/03H·KAS14/03A·POG18/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.540.570.500.430.57
vs Stronger (7)0.140.710.000.670.250.75
vs Similar (21)0.620.480.730.450.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D00D00D11D11D31W10W10W23LH·FK 17/01A·BUR24/01H·LUF31/01A·LUS07/02H·BES14/02H·LUF21/02A·LUS28/02H·APO07/03A·KOR14/03H·BES18/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.471.000.600.870.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.560.560.750.750.380.38
vs Weaker (14)1.360.361.290.431.430.29
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Iliria Fushë-Krujë) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Iliria Fushë-Krujë over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iliria Fushë-Krujë over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iliria Fushë-Krujë over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (27)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
BB (20)
€2m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
IF (26)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
BUR (21)
€1m
FK (20)
€1m
AF (18)
€1m
LUF (18)
€1m
LUS (17)
€1m
Iliria Fushë-Krujë's squad is €2m less valuable than Laci's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
BB (8)
€1m
IF (9)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
LUF (6)
€0m
FK (6)
€0m
BUR (5)
€0m
AF (4)
€0m
LUS (3)
€0m
Iliria Fushë-Krujë and Laci have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (6)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
BB (6)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
BUR (8)
€0m
KP (4)
€0m
POG (2)
€0m
IF (6)
€0m
AF (3)
€0m
LUF (4)
€0m
FK (4)
€0m
LUS (4)
€0m
Iliria Fushë-Krujë and Laci have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
BB (6)
€1m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
IF (11)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
AF (11)
€1m
BUR (8)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
LUF (8)
€0m
LUS (10)
€0m
Iliria Fushë-Krujë and Laci have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
IF wins
1
Draws
1
LAC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs Laci · H/A from IF
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/25ALaci Vs IF1-1
23/08/25HIF Vs Laci1-2

Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/26APogradeci Vs IF3-0
14/03/26HIF Vs Kastrioti Krujë1-0
07/03/26ABurreli Vs IF0-0
01/03/26HIF Vs FK Kukesi1-1
22/02/26HIF Vs Besa Kavajë1-0
15/02/26HIF Vs Lushnja2-1
08/02/26ABurreli Vs IF1-1
31/01/26HIF Vs Apolonia Fier2-0
24/01/26AKorabi Peshkopi Vs IF2-1
17/01/26HIF Vs Kastrioti Krujë0-1

LaciLaci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/26HLAC Vs Besa Kavajë5-3
14/03/26AKorabi Peshkopi Vs LAC0-1
07/03/26HLAC Vs Apolonia Fier2-1
28/02/26ALushnja Vs LAC1-5
21/02/26HLAC Vs Luftëtari2-1
14/02/26HLAC Vs Besa Kavajë2-1
07/02/26ALushnja Vs LAC0-1
31/01/26HLAC Vs Luftëtari1-0
24/01/26ABurreli Vs LAC1-2
17/01/26HLAC Vs FK Kukesi2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Iliria Fushë-Krujë
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL1.32
HomeWWWDW1.79
AwayLLDDL0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%50%14%
AVG goals1.892.001.79
Over 1.5 %64%64%64%
Over 2.5 %32%36%29%
Over 3.5 %7%7%7%
Scored0.861.140.57
Conceded1.040.861.21
BTTS46%50%43%
Clean Sheet32%36%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Laci
Laci
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.76
HomeWWWWW2.08
AwayWWWWW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%60%40%
AVG goals2.262.522.00
Over 1.5 %64%72%56%
Over 2.5 %44%56%32%
Over 3.5 %16%20%12%
Scored1.381.641.12
Conceded0.880.880.88
BTTS46%56%36%
Clean Sheet36%36%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LaciLaci3379
73%
2.4
6023+37
2.5
73%
52%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.80.7
-
2Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3377
73%
2.3
5725+32
2.5
64%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.70.8
-
3PogradeciPogradeci3368
61%
2.1
6331+32
2.8
76%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.90.9
-
4Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë3345
33%
1.4
3233-1
2.0
67%
36%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
5Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë3339
30%
1.2
4143-2
2.5
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.3
-
6Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3339
33%
1.2
4457-13
3.1
76%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.7
-
7BurreliBurreli3337
27%
1.1
2745-18
2.2
64%
36%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.4
-
8Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi3336
24%
1.1
3139-8
2.1
64%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.2
-
9LuftëtariLuftëtari3435
21%
1.0
3844-6
2.4
76%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10FK KukesiFK Kukesi3535
26%
1.0
3451-17
2.4
74%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.5
-
11Apolonia FierApolonia Fier3328
18%
0.8
3144-13
2.3
70%
39%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.3
-
12LushnjaLushnja3326
15%
0.8
2647-21
2.2
61%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.4
-
13Bylis BBylis B11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
14Sopoti LibrazhdSopoti Librazhd11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15Butrinti SarandëButrinti Sarandë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
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Albania: 1st Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: 1st Division stats & trends →

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