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Ilves vs Mariehamn Result & Analysis

Date: 09/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Ilves
Ilves
Vs
74%
17%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mariehamn
Mariehamn
Finland: Veikkausliiga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Ilves is the clear favourite to win at home against Mariehamn, thanks to their impressive home form against weaker opponents, averaging 2 goals scored and just 0.75 conceded. They have a 74% chance of winning, with a 17% chance of a draw and a 9% chance of an away win. The model predicts a home win as the most likely outcome.

The expected total number of goals is 3.3, with a most likely total of 3 goals. The most likely score is 2-0, with a probability of 11.4%.

Ilves have been struggling recently, having lost their last two matches, including a 0-1 defeat to HNK Rijeka. However, they have a strong home record against weaker opponents. Mariehamn, on the other hand, have been poor on the road, averaging 0.85 goals scored and 2.69 conceded against stronger opponents.

The model suggests two selections: Over 1.5 goals, with an 85.1% probability and a 2% edge, and Home win, with a 73.7% probability and a 3% edge. The home side has a 74% chance of winning, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 9% chance of an away win.

Results analysis

Ilves' win extends their run of form, having come off a win and now claiming a second consecutive victory over Mariehamn, this time by a 2-0 score. The home win was the pre-match favourite, with a 74% probability of success, and the Pythia prediction model's call was correct. The model's selection of Home win was also one of the suggested picks, alongside Over 1.5 goals, which hit with an 85.1% probability. The other suggested pick, Home win, also hit, with a 73.7% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ilves win✓ Hit
73.7%
Avg Implied 71.0% · @ 1.30
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.32
10Bet
1.31
Draw✗ Miss
17.1%
Avg Implied 17.4% · @ 5.33
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.99
Dafabet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.60
Superbet
5.45
Mariehamn win✗ Miss
9.2%
Avg Implied 11.6% · @ 7.95
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
8.90
1xBet
8.80
William Hil
8.50
888Sport
8.50
Pinnacle
8.49

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IlvesIlves

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W50W34L22D12L12L31W10W01L01LH·TUR13/06H·FF 17/06A·KUP23/06H·SJK27/06A·HJK01/07A·FF 04/07A·TUR20/07H·LAH26/07A·AC 02/08A·HNK06/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.602.001.211.501.94
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.791.612.001.211.572.00
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mariehamn) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariehamnMariehamn

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L03L12L04L02L04L24L02L11D03LA·HJK30/05H·GNI13/06A·AC 18/06H·HJK23/06H·INT27/06A·VPS04/07A·GNI11/07H·LAH20/07H·AC 25/07A·TUR01/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.871.071.331.202.40
vs Stronger (15)0.802.271.121.500.433.14
vs Similar (15)1.471.471.001.141.881.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilves) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%4%011%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.1%
@ 1.12+1.9%
Under 1.5
14.9%
@ 5.53-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Under
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Pinnacle
5.88
BetVictor
5.75
888Sport
5.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.4%
@ 1.43-0.5%
Under 2.5
35.6%
@ 2.64+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Unibet
1.46
Superbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.77
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Bet365
2.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.3%
@ 2.13-1.8%
Under 3.5
57.7%
@ 1.68+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.20
Unibet
2.15
10Bet
2.15
SBO
2.14
Marathonbet
2.14
Under
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.71
SBO
1.71
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.6%
@ 1.73-1.9%
No
48.4%
@ 1.99+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Betfair
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
No
William Hil
2.05
888Sport
2.05
BetVictor
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 ✓
11.4%@ 7.10+5.2%
3-0
9.6%@ 8.31+4.2%
2-1
9.2%@ 7.74+3.5%
1-0
8.4%@ 8.53+3.2%
1-1
8.1%@ 9.84+3.6%
3-1
7.7%@ 9.22+2.9%
4-0
6.0%@ 12.47+2.5%
4-1
4.8%@ 14.04+1.7%
Ilves goals ↓
Mariehamn goals →
01234
04.4%2.2%1.2%0.3%0.1%
18.4%8.1%3.0%0.8%0.2%
211%9.2%3.7%1.0%0.2%
39.6%7.7%3.1%0.8%0.2%
46.0%4.8%2.0%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ilves goals (down), columns = Mariehamn goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
KuPS
1.95
Inter Turku
1.91
HJK Helsinki
1.68
Gnistan
1.64
AC Oulu
1.55
VPS
1.50
Lahti
1.45
Turku PS
1.41
Ilves
1.14
SJK
0.86
FF Jaro
0.68
Mariehamn
0.64
Ilves is 0.50 points better than Mariehamn in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 0.64).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
KuPS
1.73
HJK Helsinki
1.64
Gnistan
1.64
Ilves
1.55
VPS
1.32
Inter Turku
1.32
Turku PS
1.27
Lahti
1.18
SJK
1.14
AC Oulu
1.14
FF Jaro
0.82
Mariehamn
0.77
Ilves is 0.77 goals better than Mariehamn in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 0.77).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Inter Turku
0.73
Lahti
0.86
VPS
1.00
KuPS
1.05
Turku PS
1.05
AC Oulu
1.14
HJK Helsinki
1.23
Gnistan
1.32
SJK
1.50
Ilves
1.68
Mariehamn
1.95
FF Jaro
2.00
Ilves is 0.27 goals better than Mariehamn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.95).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Inter Turku
58%
KuPS
57%
Lahti
56%
HJK Helsinki
55%
SJK
50%
Turku PS
50%
Ilves
49%
VPS
48%
AC Oulu
48%
FF Jaro
47%
Mariehamn
45%
Gnistan
44%
Ilves is 4.8 percentage points better than Mariehamn in terms of average possession (49% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

IlvesIlves

For 3.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

13019224463345443454943104897979137A·HNKA·FF A·KUPH·FF H·TURH·GNIA·HJKA·MARA·INTH·KUP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

60321111134213312215022464441A·HNKA·FF A·KUPH·FF H·TURH·GNIA·HJKA·MARA·INTH·KUP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 9.6 · Total 18.1

⚠️ Fouls

3001091214859101211191111911810651932214223022201811A·HNKA·FF A·KUPH·FF H·TURH·GNIA·HJKA·MARA·INTH·KUP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MariehamnMariehamn

For 4.4 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

16035795523571031966541081610512131012910A·TURH·AC H·LAHA·VPSA·AC H·GNIH·KUPA·LAHH·ILVH·TUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.9

🟨 Cards

50311415311113134510054244A·TURH·AC H·LAHA·VPSH·INTA·AC H·GNIH·KUPA·LAHH·ILV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 9.3 · Total 20.9

⚠️ Fouls

2901410911131166112061514141313121192420241222629272520A·TURH·AC H·LAHA·VPSH·INTA·AC H·GNIH·KUPA·LAHH·ILV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

IlvesIlves

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.810.31.71.71.718.918.819.0
vs Stronger (5)11.013.010.02.82.03.319.315.021.5
vs Similar (43)10.510.610.51.61.81.418.819.218.4
vs Weaker (2)9.0-9.02.00.04.020.0-20.0
% over line57%40%69%26%22%30%43%50%38%
% under line43%60%31%74%78%70%57%50%62%
This opponent (Mariehamn) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariehamnMariehamn

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.511.29.31.41.81.020.320.619.8
vs Stronger (27)9.510.09.00.90.90.819.920.019.8
vs Similar (23)11.011.89.62.13.21.220.520.919.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line68%77%56%24%32%16%52%50%56%
% under line32%23%44%76%68%84%48%50%44%
This opponent (Ilves) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Gnistan
11.5
Inter Turku
10.5
Mariehamn
10.3
SJK
10.1
Ilves
10.1
AC Oulu
10.1
FF Jaro
10.1
KuPS
9.9
VPS
9.8
HJK Helsinki
9.8
Lahti
9.8
Turku PS
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lahti
4.5
Turku PS
4.3
Gnistan
4.0
AC Oulu
3.9
Ilves
3.9
SJK
3.9
Mariehamn
3.9
Inter Turku
3.8
VPS
3.6
FF Jaro
3.3
KuPS
3.3
HJK Helsinki
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
SJK
23.8
Ilves
23.5
Inter Turku
23.2
Lahti
23.1
AC Oulu
22.7
Gnistan
22.5
VPS
22.4
KuPS
21.9
Mariehamn
21.9
Turku PS
21.8
HJK Helsinki
20.6
FF Jaro
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Under
Unibet
2.85
Superbet
2.82
Betano
2.80
Marathonbet
2.67
1xBet
2.57
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IlvesIlves

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D40W14L00D01L02L21W10W00D01LH·TUR13/06H·FF 17/06A·KUP23/06H·SJK27/06A·HJK01/07A·FF 04/07A·TUR20/07H·LAH26/07A·AC 02/08A·HNK06/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.931.140.570.561.25
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.860.931.140.570.571.29
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Mariehamn) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariehamnMariehamn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D01L01L02L01L01L10W02LA·HJK30/05H·GNI13/06A·AC 18/06H·HJK23/06H·INT27/06A·VPS04/07A·GNI11/07H·LAH20/07H·AC 25/07A·TUR01/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.770.470.600.400.93
vs Stronger (15)0.400.930.620.750.141.14
vs Similar (15)0.470.600.290.430.620.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilves) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ilves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IlvesIlves

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W20W22D11D10W10W00D01L00DH·TUR13/06H·FF 17/06A·KUP23/06H·SJK27/06A·HJK01/07A·FF 04/07A·TUR20/07H·LAH26/07A·AC 02/08A·HNK06/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.670.860.640.940.69
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.930.680.860.641.000.71
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mariehamn) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariehamnMariehamn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L12L03L01L02L23L01L01L01LA·HJK30/05H·GNI13/06A·AC 18/06H·HJK23/06H·INT27/06A·VPS04/07A·GNI11/07H·LAH20/07H·AC 25/07A·TUR01/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.100.600.730.801.47
vs Stronger (15)0.401.330.500.750.292.00
vs Similar (15)1.000.870.710.711.251.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilves) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ilves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.1%1.12
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.13
+1.9%✓ Hit
Home win73.7%1.30
Dafabet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.32
10Bet
1.31
+2.6%✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Ilves
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
T. Hytönen43%
J. Kanga43%
R. Riski33%
J. Veteli25%
Maksim Stjopin20%
Otto Tiitinen17%
Oliver Pettersson12%
T. Miettunen0%
A. Popovitch0%
M. Rale0%
F. Krkalić0%
K. Wallius0%
J. Kilo0%
Stanislav Baranov0%
Y. Raap0%
Oskari Multala0%
V. Kumpu0%
Abdoul Goudouss Bamba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
K. Wallius33%
Y. Raap29%
T. Miettunen25%
Maksim Stjopin20%
R. Riski17%
J. Kanga14%
A. Popovitch12%
J. Veteli0%
M. Rale0%
F. Krkalić0%
T. Hytönen0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
J. Kilo0%
Stanislav Baranov0%
Oskari Multala0%
Otto Tiitinen0%
V. Kumpu0%
Abdoul Goudouss Bamba0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Kilo50%
J. Kanga29%
R. Riski0%
T. Miettunen0%
A. Popovitch0%
J. Veteli0%
M. Rale0%
F. Krkalić0%
Maksim Stjopin0%
K. Wallius0%
T. Hytönen0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
Stanislav Baranov0%
Y. Raap0%
Oskari Multala0%
Otto Tiitinen0%
V. Kumpu0%
Abdoul Goudouss Bamba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
T. Hytönen29%
Maksim Stjopin20%
J. Kanga14%
J. Kilo12%
R. Riski0%
T. Miettunen0%
A. Popovitch0%
J. Veteli0%
M. Rale0%
F. Krkalić0%
K. Wallius0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
Stanislav Baranov0%
Y. Raap0%
Oskari Multala0%
Otto Tiitinen0%
V. Kumpu0%
Abdoul Goudouss Bamba0%
Mariehamn
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sebastian Dahlström33%
A. Larsson29%
M. Hyvönen17%
Anttoni Huttunen14%
E. Patut10%
Noah Nurmi0%
J. van der Heyden0%
M. Riikonen0%
J. Nissinen0%
Yeboah Amankwah0%
Pontus Lindgren0%
Nikolaos Dosis0%
Tuomas Koivisto0%
A. Stroud0%
Leo Andersson0%
A. Soiniemi0%
K. Lund0%
Luke Pearce0%
Samson Ngulube0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sebastian Dahlström33%
Pontus Lindgren33%
E. Patut30%
J. Nissinen29%
A. Soiniemi25%
Luke Pearce20%
Nikolaos Dosis17%
Tuomas Koivisto17%
Noah Nurmi11%
J. van der Heyden0%
M. Riikonen0%
Anttoni Huttunen0%
A. Larsson0%
Yeboah Amankwah0%
M. Hyvönen0%
A. Stroud0%
Leo Andersson0%
K. Lund0%
Samson Ngulube0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yeboah Amankwah20%
Luke Pearce20%
Tuomas Koivisto17%
A. Stroud14%
E. Patut10%
Noah Nurmi0%
J. van der Heyden0%
M. Riikonen0%
J. Nissinen0%
Sebastian Dahlström0%
Anttoni Huttunen0%
A. Larsson0%
Pontus Lindgren0%
Nikolaos Dosis0%
M. Hyvönen0%
Leo Andersson0%
A. Soiniemi0%
K. Lund0%
Samson Ngulube0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Larsson29%
E. Patut20%
Tuomas Koivisto17%
A. Stroud14%
Noah Nurmi0%
J. van der Heyden0%
M. Riikonen0%
J. Nissinen0%
Sebastian Dahlström0%
Anttoni Huttunen0%
Yeboah Amankwah0%
Pontus Lindgren0%
Nikolaos Dosis0%
M. Hyvönen0%
Leo Andersson0%
A. Soiniemi0%
K. Lund0%
Luke Pearce0%
Samson Ngulube0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (22)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
Ilves's squad is €2m more valuable than Mariehamn's (€4m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
Ilves and Mariehamn have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (3)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
Ilves and Mariehamn have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
Ilves's defence is €1m more valuable than Mariehamn's (€2m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
ILV wins
3
Draws
1
MAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ilves vs Mariehamn · H/A from ILV
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26AMariehamn Vs ILV2-2
31/08/25HILV Vs Mariehamn2-1
27/04/25AMariehamn Vs ILV3-2
11/08/24HILV Vs Mariehamn2-0
28/04/24AMariehamn Vs ILV0-1
27/09/23HILV Vs Mariehamn2-1
15/07/23HILV Vs Mariehamn0-0
05/04/23AMariehamn Vs ILV1-1

IlvesIlves

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/26AHNK Rijeka Vs ILV1-0
02/08/26AAC Oulu Vs ILV1-0
26/07/26HILV Vs Lahti1-0
20/07/26ATurku PS Vs ILV1-3
04/07/26AFF Jaro Vs ILV2-1
01/07/26AHJK Helsinki Vs ILV2-1
27/06/26HILV Vs SJK2-2
23/06/26AKuPS Vs ILV4-3
17/06/26HILV Vs FF Jaro5-0
13/06/26HILV Vs Turku PS1-0

MariehamnMariehamn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26ATurku PS Vs MAR3-0
25/07/26HMAR Vs AC Oulu1-1
20/07/26HMAR Vs Lahti0-2
11/07/26AGnistan Vs MAR4-2
04/07/26AVPS Vs MAR4-0
27/06/26HMAR Vs Inter Turku0-2
23/06/26HMAR Vs HJK Helsinki0-4
18/06/26AAC Oulu Vs MAR2-1
13/06/26HMAR Vs Gnistan0-3
30/05/26AHJK Helsinki Vs MAR1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ilves
Ilves
Finland: Veikkausliiga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLL1.58
HomeWWWDW2.04
AwayLLWLL1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%61%33%
AVG goals3.523.393.63
Over 1.5 %82%74%89%
Over 2.5 %70%65%74%
Over 3.5 %54%52%56%
Scored1.862.041.70
Conceded1.661.351.93
BTTS60%65%56%
Clean Sheet28%35%22%
Corners10.5210.8010.31
Cards3.443.553.36
Mariehamn
Mariehamn
Finland: Veikkausliiga
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.94
HomeLLLLD1.04
AwayLLLLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%24%20%
AVG goals3.122.923.32
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %56%52%60%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.161.161.16
Conceded1.961.762.16
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners10.4511.239.33
Cards3.133.292.89

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KuPSKuPS2243
55%
2.0
3823+15
2.8
82%
45%
27%
8.1
33%
1.9
11%
19.9
44%
7
2331.71.0
57%
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2242
50%
1.9
2916+13
2.0
64%
32%
18%
10.7
67%
2.3
14%
19.7
57%
5
2121.30.7
58%
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2237
50%
1.7
3627+9
2.9
73%
59%
27%
7.0
14%
3.0
43%
18.4
43%
7
2131.61.2
55%
4GnistanGnistan2236
45%
1.6
3629+7
3.0
82%
45%
32%
10.1
57%
3.6
50%
24.2
71%
3
1111.61.3
44%
5AC OuluAC Oulu2234
45%
1.5
2525+0
2.3
55%
36%
18%
9.5
38%
3.8
62%
22.6
50%
4
1111.11.1
48%
6VPSVPS2233
41%
1.5
2922+7
2.3
59%
41%
27%
7.1
30%
3.4
50%
21.8
70%
3
1111.31.0
48%
7LahtiLahti2232
41%
1.5
2619+7
2.0
64%
32%
9%
8.3
50%
3.8
60%
22.6
80%
3
1111.20.9
56%
8Turku PSTurku PS2231
36%
1.4
2823+5
2.3
68%
45%
23%
7.7
40%
3.9
60%
20.3
60%
2
1011.31.0
50%
9IlvesIlves2225
32%
1.1
3437-3
3.2
77%
64%
50%
8.1
11%
3.0
56%
18.0
44%
4
1121.51.7
49%
10SJKSJK2219
18%
0.9
2533-8
2.6
82%
55%
27%
9.0
57%
3.9
57%
20.4
57%
4
1121.11.5
50%
11FF JaroFF Jaro2215
14%
0.7
1844-26
2.8
82%
55%
27%
8.4
30%
3.1
40%
19.2
50%
2
1110.82.0
47%
12MariehamnMariehamn2214
14%
0.6
1743-26
2.7
86%
45%
23%
10.5
70%
3.0
64%
21.3
64%
2
1110.82.0
45%
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →

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