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Ilves vs VPS Result & Analysis

Date: 23/04/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 3-2
Ilves
Ilves
vs
VPS
VPS
Finland: Veikkausliiga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ilves win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
VPS win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IlvesIlves

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L22DA·HAK02/04H·KUP09/04A·AC 17/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.332.001.002.001.502.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)1.332.001.002.001.502.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (VPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VPSVPS

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D50W01LH·AC 02/04A·LAH08/04H·HJK18/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.331.001.001.505.000.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (2)3.501.002.002.005.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
HJK Helsinki
2.15
KuPS
2.11
Honka
1.81
Haka
1.66
AC Oulu
1.55
VPS
1.42
Mariehamn
1.26
Ilves
1.26
SJK
1.25
Inter Turku
1.14
Lahti
0.78
HIFK Helsinki
0.33
Ilves is 0.16 points worse than VPS in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Honka
1.96
VPS
1.94
AC Oulu
1.66
KuPS
1.59
Ilves
1.59
HJK Helsinki
1.52
Mariehamn
1.52
Haka
1.52
Inter Turku
1.43
SJK
1.18
Lahti
0.96
HIFK Helsinki
0.74
Ilves is 0.34 goals worse than VPS in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
KuPS
0.78
HJK Helsinki
0.85
Honka
1.00
SJK
1.39
AC Oulu
1.41
Haka
1.45
VPS
1.48
Inter Turku
1.50
Mariehamn
1.59
Ilves
1.59
Lahti
2.04
HIFK Helsinki
2.59
Ilves is 0.11 goals worse than VPS in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.48).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
KuPS
57%
HJK Helsinki
55%
SJK
51%
Honka
51%
Haka
50%
Inter Turku
49%
Lahti
49%
VPS
49%
HIFK Helsinki
48%
Ilves
47%
Mariehamn
47%
Ilves is 1.3 percentage points worse than VPS in terms of average possession (47% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

IlvesIlves

For 1.5 · Against 5.0 · Total 6.5

🚩 Corners

80142658H·KUPA·HAK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

40132143H·KUPA·HAK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 11.0 · Total 20.5

⚠️ Fouls

22081111111922H·KUPA·HAK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

VPSVPS

For 4.5 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

11019831011H·HJKA·LAH
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

5032335H·HJKA·LAH
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 9.5 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

26013815112126H·HJKA·LAH
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

IlvesIlves

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (3)6.55.08.02.34.01.520.519.022.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (3)6.55.08.02.34.01.520.519.022.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line0%0%0%33%100%0%50%0%100%
% under line100%100%100%67%0%100%50%100%0%
This opponent (VPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VPSVPS

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (3)10.510.011.02.71.55.023.521.026.0
vs Stronger (1)10.010.0-3.03.0-21.021.0-
vs Similar (2)11.0-11.02.50.05.026.0-26.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line100%100%100%33%0%100%50%0%100%
% under line0%0%0%67%100%0%50%100%0%
This opponent (Ilves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
VPS
10.5
SJK
10.3
HIFK Helsinki
10.0
Mariehamn
10.0
HJK Helsinki
9.3
Haka
9.2
Lahti
9.0
Honka
8.3
KuPS
7.2
Ilves
6.5
Inter Turku
6.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lahti
6.0
Mariehamn
5.3
HIFK Helsinki
5.2
SJK
5.0
Inter Turku
4.5
KuPS
4.5
VPS
4.0
Ilves
3.5
HJK Helsinki
3.0
Haka
3.0
Honka
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Lahti
29.5
Mariehamn
25.7
HIFK Helsinki
24.2
VPS
23.5
HJK Helsinki
21.7
KuPS
21.0
Ilves
20.5
Inter Turku
20.5
SJK
19.7
Honka
19.7
Haka
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.6%
Under 9.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
66.0%
Under 3.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
60.3%
Under 21.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IlvesIlves

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D02LA·HAK02/04H·KUP09/04A·AC 17/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.671.001.000.502.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.671.671.001.000.502.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (VPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VPSVPS

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W00DH·AC 02/04A·LAH08/04H·HJK18/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.000.500.003.000.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (2)2.000.001.000.003.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %100% (+75pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ilves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IlvesIlves

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L20WA·HAK02/04H·KUP09/04A·AC 17/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.330.001.001.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.670.330.001.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (VPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VPSVPS

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L20W01LH·AC 02/04A·LAH08/04H·HJK18/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.000.501.502.000.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (2)1.501.001.002.002.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ilves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards82.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls75.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls71.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards70.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Ilves · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
T. Hytönen43%
J. Kanga43%
R. Riski33%
J. Veteli25%
Maksim Stjopin20%
Otto Tiitinen17%
Oliver Pettersson12%
T. Miettunen0%
A. Popovitch0%
M. Rale0%
F. Krkalić0%
K. Wallius0%
J. Kilo0%
Stanislav Baranov0%
Y. Raap0%
Oskari Multala0%
V. Kumpu0%
Abdoul Goudouss Bamba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
K. Wallius33%
Y. Raap29%
T. Miettunen25%
Maksim Stjopin20%
R. Riski17%
J. Kanga14%
A. Popovitch12%
J. Veteli0%
M. Rale0%
F. Krkalić0%
T. Hytönen0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
J. Kilo0%
Stanislav Baranov0%
Oskari Multala0%
Otto Tiitinen0%
V. Kumpu0%
Abdoul Goudouss Bamba0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Kilo50%
J. Kanga29%
R. Riski0%
T. Miettunen0%
A. Popovitch0%
J. Veteli0%
M. Rale0%
F. Krkalić0%
Maksim Stjopin0%
K. Wallius0%
T. Hytönen0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
Stanislav Baranov0%
Y. Raap0%
Oskari Multala0%
Otto Tiitinen0%
V. Kumpu0%
Abdoul Goudouss Bamba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
T. Hytönen29%
Maksim Stjopin20%
J. Kanga14%
J. Kilo12%
R. Riski0%
T. Miettunen0%
A. Popovitch0%
J. Veteli0%
M. Rale0%
F. Krkalić0%
K. Wallius0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
Stanislav Baranov0%
Y. Raap0%
Oskari Multala0%
Otto Tiitinen0%
V. Kumpu0%
Abdoul Goudouss Bamba0%
VPS · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luka Smyth62%
Olavi Keturi25%
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi20%
A. Räisänen14%
L. Mane14%
M. Haukioja10%
J. Turfkruier10%
K. Kouassivi-Benissan0%
S. Lindholm0%
M. Niemi0%
Y. Daoussi0%
Jonathan Muzinga0%
Paulo Lima0%
V. Rönnberg0%
E. Okereke0%
Mamadou Jalloh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Paulo Lima33%
J. Turfkruier30%
V. Rönnberg20%
K. Kouassivi-Benissan14%
S. Lindholm14%
A. Räisänen14%
Y. Daoussi14%
L. Mane14%
Luka Smyth12%
M. Haukioja10%
M. Niemi0%
Jonathan Muzinga0%
E. Okereke0%
Olavi Keturi0%
Mamadou Jalloh0%
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Turfkruier20%
K. Kouassivi-Benissan14%
Y. Daoussi14%
M. Haukioja10%
Jonathan Muzinga10%
S. Lindholm0%
A. Räisänen0%
M. Niemi0%
Paulo Lima0%
V. Rönnberg0%
Luka Smyth0%
E. Okereke0%
Olavi Keturi0%
Mamadou Jalloh0%
L. Mane0%
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Räisänen14%
Luka Smyth12%
K. Kouassivi-Benissan0%
M. Haukioja0%
S. Lindholm0%
M. Niemi0%
Y. Daoussi0%
Jonathan Muzinga0%
Paulo Lima0%
V. Rönnberg0%
J. Turfkruier0%
E. Okereke0%
Olavi Keturi0%
Mamadou Jalloh0%
L. Mane0%
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
LAH (22)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
HAK (21)
€1m
Ilves and VPS have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
HAK (7)
€0m
Ilves and VPS have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
LAH (3)
€1m
HAK (5)
€0m
Ilves and VPS have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
HAK (9)
€1m
Ilves and VPS have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ILV wins
0
Draws
0
VPS wins

Head-to-head

Ilves vs VPS · H/A from ILV
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

IlvesIlves

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/04/22AAC Oulu Vs ILV2-2
09/04/22HILV Vs KuPS1-2
02/04/22AHaka Vs ILV2-1

VPSVPS

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/22HVPS Vs HJK Helsinki0-1
08/04/22ALahti Vs VPS0-5
02/04/22HVPS Vs AC Oulu2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ilves
Ilves
Finland: Veikkausliiga
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLD0.33
HomeL0.00
AwayLD0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals3.333.003.50
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %100%100%100%
Over 3.5 %33%0%50%
Scored1.331.001.50
Conceded2.002.002.00
BTTS100%100%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners6.505.008.00
Cards3.504.003.00
VPS
VPS
Finland: Veikkausliiga
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWL1.33
HomeDL0.50
AwayW3.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%0%100%
AVG goals3.332.505.00
Over 1.5 %67%50%100%
Over 2.5 %67%50%100%
Over 3.5 %67%50%100%
Scored2.331.005.00
Conceded1.001.500.00
BTTS33%50%0%
Clean Sheet33%0%100%
Corners10.5010.0011.00
Cards4.003.005.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2758
67%
2.1
4123+18
2.4
63%
48%
19%
11.6
75%
3.8
56%
26.4
75%
7
2131.50.9
55%
2KuPSKuPS2757
63%
2.1
4321+22
2.4
70%
48%
19%
10.2
50%
4.0
62%
20.4
38%
7
2331.60.8
57%
3HonkaHonka2749
52%
1.8
5327+26
3.0
81%
59%
37%
10.0
53%
3.6
53%
17.8
47%
0
0002.01.0
51%
4HakaHaka2948
48%
1.7
4442+2
3.0
86%
59%
28%
9.9
44%
4.0
56%
22.1
56%
1
0011.51.4
50%
5AC OuluAC Oulu2945
45%
1.6
4841+7
3.1
79%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.71.4
-
6VPSVPS3144
42%
1.4
6046+14
3.4
84%
68%
52%
8.4
25%
3.4
56%
21.2
50%
3
1111.91.5
49%
7SJKSJK2835
36%
1.2
3339-6
2.6
68%
43%
29%
11.4
62%
3.9
75%
19.6
38%
4
1121.21.4
51%
8IlvesIlves2734
33%
1.3
4343+0
3.2
78%
63%
44%
9.9
50%
3.4
44%
21.6
44%
4
1121.61.6
47%
9MariehamnMariehamn2734
33%
1.3
4143-2
3.1
81%
52%
44%
10.8
50%
4.4
56%
26.6
81%
2
1111.51.6
47%
10Inter TurkuInter Turku2832
32%
1.1
4042-2
2.9
79%
61%
29%
8.5
24%
4.0
59%
22.8
53%
5
2121.41.5
49%
11LahtiLahti2721
19%
0.8
2655-29
3.0
78%
52%
37%
10.2
59%
5.0
88%
23.4
71%
3
1111.02.0
49%
12HIFK HelsinkiHIFK Helsinki279
4%
0.3
2070-50
3.3
85%
59%
37%
11.6
47%
4.1
53%
22.8
59%
0
0000.72.6
48%
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →

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