PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Zlatibor Result & Analysis

Date: 15/04/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
IMT Novi Beograd
IMT Novi Beograd
Vs
60%
24%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Zlatibor
FK Zlatibor
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

IMT Novi Beograd win✓ Hit
59.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Zlatibor win✗ Miss
16.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D10W21W12L13L11D22D10W02LA·SLO25/02H·RAD01/03A·IND05/03H·MET12/03A·RAD19/03H·MAC22/03A·LOZ27/03H·RAD01/04A·OFK08/04A·ŽEL12/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.520.931.860.931.200.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.120.811.620.620.621.00
vs Weaker (13)2.001.082.171.331.860.86
Clean sheet %41% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Zlatibor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK ZlatiborFK Zlatibor

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L03L11D11D11D00D31W00D02L01LA·JED25/02A·SLO05/03H·RAD12/03H·GRA16/03A·IND19/03H·MET23/03A·RAD27/03H·MAC01/04A·LOZ08/04H·RAD12/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.451.001.070.791.86
vs Stronger (5)0.801.400.330.671.502.50
vs Similar (24)0.921.461.171.170.671.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %24% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-0 ✓
9.7%
3-0
6.8%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
IMT Novi Beograd goals ↓
FK Zlatibor goals →
01234
06.5%4.2%2.5%0.8%0.2%
19.7%11%4.8%1.5%0.4%
210%9.9%4.7%1.5%0.4%
36.8%6.5%3.1%1.0%0.2%
43.3%3.2%1.5%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IMT Novi Beograd goals (down), columns = FK Zlatibor goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IMT Novi Beograd
2.03
Železničar Pančevo
1.84
Grafičar
1.62
Indjija
1.46
Proleter Novi SAD
1.43
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.43
Jedinstvo Ub
1.43
Sloboda Uzice
1.38
OFK Vršac
1.30
Metalac GM
1.30
Macva
1.30
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.22
Loznica
1.11
FK Trayal
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.89
RAD
0.81
IMT Novi Beograd is 1.14 points better than FK Zlatibor in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 0.89).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Grafičar
1.76
Železničar Pančevo
1.70
IMT Novi Beograd
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
1.43
Indjija
1.24
Jedinstvo Ub
1.22
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.16
Metalac GM
1.14
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Proleter Novi SAD
1.13
Loznica
1.08
OFK Vršac
1.05
RAD
1.00
Macva
1.00
FK Trayal
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.97
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
IMT Novi Beograd is 0.73 goals better than FK Zlatibor in terms of goals scored per game (1.70 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Železničar Pančevo
0.95
Indjija
0.95
IMT Novi Beograd
0.97
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.03
Proleter Novi SAD
1.03
Macva
1.08
Sloboda Uzice
1.11
OFK Vršac
1.14
Metalac GM
1.14
Grafičar
1.24
FK Trayal
1.24
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.35
FK Zlatibor
1.46
Loznica
1.46
RAD
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
2.86
IMT Novi Beograd is 0.49 goals better than FK Zlatibor in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.46).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D20W10W12L11D20W00D00DA·SLO25/02H·RAD01/03A·IND05/03H·MET12/03A·RAD19/03H·MAC22/03A·LOZ27/03H·RAD01/04A·OFK08/04A·ŽEL12/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.760.240.930.360.600.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.560.310.750.380.380.25
vs Weaker (13)1.000.151.170.330.860.00
Clean sheet %83% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Zlatibor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK ZlatiborFK Zlatibor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L00D01L11D00D10W00D00D00DA·JED25/02A·SLO05/03H·RAD12/03H·GRA16/03A·IND19/03H·MET23/03A·RAD27/03H·MAC01/04A·LOZ08/04H·RAD12/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.590.670.530.210.64
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.000.670.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.500.540.830.500.170.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %52% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Zlatibor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Zlatibor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Zlatibor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L10W01L02L01L00D02L10W02LA·SLO25/02H·RAD01/03A·IND05/03H·MET12/03A·RAD19/03H·MAC22/03A·LOZ27/03H·RAD01/04A·OFK08/04A·ŽEL12/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.760.690.930.570.600.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.560.500.880.250.250.75
vs Weaker (13)1.000.921.001.001.000.86
Clean sheet %55% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Zlatibor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK ZlatiborFK Zlatibor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L11D10W00D00D21W00D02L01LA·JED25/02A·SLO05/03H·RAD12/03H·GRA16/03A·IND19/03H·MET23/03A·RAD27/03H·MAC01/04A·LOZ08/04H·RAD12/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.860.330.530.571.21
vs Stronger (5)0.600.600.330.001.001.50
vs Similar (24)0.420.920.330.670.501.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %45% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Zlatibor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Zlatibor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Zlatibor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.5%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

IMT Novi Beograd · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oriyomi Lebi33%
Charly Keita29%
Dušan Zagar17%
Tadija Cojić17%
Stefan Šapić14%
Iván Martos14%
Nikola Glišić14%
Josué Tiendrebeogo14%
Vasilije Novičić14%
Luka Luković0%
Julián Delmás0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Vladimir Radočaj0%
Ismael Casas0%
Moussa Sissako0%
Đorđe Radivojević0%
Rafael Batista da Silva Junior0%
Aleksa Mitić0%
Daniel Akrofi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oriyomi Lebi67%
Iván Martos29%
Josué Tiendrebeogo29%
Vladimir Radočaj17%
Dušan Zagar17%
Luka Luković14%
Stefan Šapić14%
Charly Keita14%
Nikola Glišić14%
Vasilije Novičić14%
Julián Delmás0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Ismael Casas0%
Moussa Sissako0%
Đorđe Radivojević0%
Rafael Batista da Silva Junior0%
Aleksa Mitić0%
Daniel Akrofi0%
Tadija Cojić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tadija Cojić33%
Vasilije Novičić29%
Nikola Glišić14%
Luka Luković0%
Stefan Šapić0%
Iván Martos0%
Julián Delmás0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Vladimir Radočaj0%
Ismael Casas0%
Moussa Sissako0%
Charly Keita0%
Josué Tiendrebeogo0%
Oriyomi Lebi0%
Dušan Zagar0%
Đorđe Radivojević0%
Rafael Batista da Silva Junior0%
Aleksa Mitić0%
Daniel Akrofi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dušan Zagar50%
Vladimir Radočaj17%
Luka Luković14%
Charly Keita14%
Nikola Glišić14%
Vasilije Novičić14%
Stefan Šapić0%
Iván Martos0%
Julián Delmás0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Ismael Casas0%
Moussa Sissako0%
Josué Tiendrebeogo0%
Oriyomi Lebi0%
Đorđe Radivojević0%
Rafael Batista da Silva Junior0%
Aleksa Mitić0%
Daniel Akrofi0%
Tadija Cojić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (9)
€7m
INB (8)
€4m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INB (3)
€4m
ŽP (4)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (11)
€6m
INB (12)
€4m
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
INB wins
1
Draws
0
FZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Zlatibor · H/A from INB
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/22AFK Zlatibor Vs INB0-0

IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/23AŽelezničar Pančevo Vs INB2-0
08/04/23AOFK Vršac Vs INB0-1
01/04/23HINB Vs RAD2-2
27/03/23ALoznica Vs INB1-1
22/03/23HINB Vs Macva1-3
19/03/23ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs INB2-1
12/03/23HINB Vs Metalac GM2-1
05/03/23AIndjija Vs INB0-1
01/03/23HINB Vs Radnički Novi Beograd1-1
25/02/23ASloboda Uzice Vs INB1-2

FK ZlatiborFK Zlatibor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/23HFZ Vs RAD0-1
08/04/23ALoznica Vs FZ2-0
01/04/23HFZ Vs Macva0-0
27/03/23ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs FZ1-3
23/03/23HFZ Vs Metalac GM0-0
19/03/23AIndjija Vs FZ1-1
16/03/23HFZ Vs Grafičar1-1
12/03/23HFZ Vs Radnički Novi Beograd1-1
05/03/23ASloboda Uzice Vs FZ3-0
25/02/23AJedinstvo Ub Vs FZ2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

IMT Novi Beograd
IMT Novi Beograd
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL2.00
HomeWDWLD2.21
AwayWLDWL1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %59%64%53%
AVG goals2.452.792.13
Over 1.5 %66%71%60%
Over 2.5 %48%57%40%
Over 3.5 %24%36%13%
Scored1.521.861.20
Conceded0.930.930.93
BTTS52%57%47%
Clean Sheet41%43%40%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Zlatibor
FK Zlatibor
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLL0.79
HomeDDDDL0.93
AwayLLDWL0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%13%14%
AVG goals2.342.072.64
Over 1.5 %69%60%79%
Over 2.5 %41%33%50%
Over 3.5 %24%20%29%
Scored0.901.000.79
Conceded1.451.071.86
BTTS55%60%50%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd3775
59%
2.0
6336+27
2.7
68%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4441.71.0
-
2Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo3768
54%
1.8
6335+28
2.6
65%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
7161.70.9
-
3GrafičarGrafičar3760
46%
1.6
6546+19
3.0
84%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.2
-
4IndjijaIndjija3754
35%
1.5
4635+11
2.2
62%
35%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
5Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3753
38%
1.4
4538+7
2.2
70%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
6Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3753
35%
1.4
4338+5
2.2
62%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
7Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3751
30%
1.4
4241+1
2.2
59%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8Metalac GMMetalac GM3748
32%
1.3
4242+0
2.3
65%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9OFK VršacOFK Vršac3748
35%
1.3
3942-3
2.2
57%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.11.1
-
10MacvaMacva3748
30%
1.3
3740-3
2.1
65%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.1
-
11Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3745
35%
1.2
3250-18
2.2
70%
41%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
12Proleter Novi SADProleter Novi SAD3043
40%
1.4
3431+3
2.2
60%
30%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
13LoznicaLoznica3741
27%
1.1
4054-14
2.5
68%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.5
-
14FK TrayalFK Trayal3740
27%
1.1
3746-9
2.2
65%
46%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
15FK ZlatiborFK Zlatibor3733
19%
0.9
3654-18
2.4
70%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16RADRAD3730
14%
0.8
3763-26
2.7
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
17RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad77
29%
1.0
1020-10
4.3
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.9
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

← all matches