This opponent (FK Zlatibor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Zlatibor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.45
1.00
1.07
0.79
1.86
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.40
0.33
0.67
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (24)
0.92
1.46
1.17
1.17
0.67
1.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
24% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-0 ✓
9.7%
3-0
6.8%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
IMT Novi Beograd goals ↓
FK Zlatibor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
4.2%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
1
9.7%
11%
4.8%
1.5%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
3
6.8%
6.5%
3.1%
1.0%
0.2%
4
3.3%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IMT Novi Beograd goals (down), columns = FK Zlatibor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IMT Novi Beograd
2.03
Železničar Pančevo
1.84
Grafičar
1.62
Indjija
1.46
Proleter Novi SAD
1.43
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.43
Jedinstvo Ub
1.43
Sloboda Uzice
1.38
OFK Vršac
1.30
Metalac GM
1.30
Macva
1.30
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.22
Loznica
1.11
FK Trayal
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.89
RAD
0.81
IMT Novi Beograd is 1.14 points better than FK Zlatibor in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 0.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Grafičar
1.76
Železničar Pančevo
1.70
IMT Novi Beograd
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
1.43
Indjija
1.24
Jedinstvo Ub
1.22
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.16
Metalac GM
1.14
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Proleter Novi SAD
1.13
Loznica
1.08
OFK Vršac
1.05
RAD
1.00
Macva
1.00
FK Trayal
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.97
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
IMT Novi Beograd is 0.73 goals better than FK Zlatibor in terms of goals scored per game (1.70 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Železničar Pančevo
0.95
Indjija
0.95
IMT Novi Beograd
0.97
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.03
Proleter Novi SAD
1.03
Macva
1.08
Sloboda Uzice
1.11
OFK Vršac
1.14
Metalac GM
1.14
Grafičar
1.24
FK Trayal
1.24
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.35
FK Zlatibor
1.46
Loznica
1.46
RAD
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
2.86
IMT Novi Beograd is 0.49 goals better than FK Zlatibor in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.46).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IMT Novi Beograd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.76
0.24
0.93
0.36
0.60
0.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.31
0.75
0.38
0.38
0.25
vs Weaker (13)
1.00
0.15
1.17
0.33
0.86
0.00
Clean sheet %
83% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Zlatibor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Zlatibor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.45
0.59
0.67
0.53
0.21
0.64
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.80
0.00
0.67
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.54
0.83
0.50
0.17
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
52% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Zlatibor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Zlatibor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Zlatibor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IMT Novi Beograd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.76
0.69
0.93
0.57
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.50
0.88
0.25
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (13)
1.00
0.92
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.86
Clean sheet %
55% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Zlatibor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Zlatibor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.45
0.86
0.33
0.53
0.57
1.21
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
0.33
0.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.92
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
45% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Zlatibor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Zlatibor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Zlatibor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
IMT Novi Beograd · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oriyomi Lebi33%
Charly Keita29%
Dušan Zagar17%
Tadija Cojić17%
Stefan Šapić14%
Iván Martos14%
Nikola Glišić14%
Josué Tiendrebeogo14%
Vasilije Novičić14%
Luka Luković0%
Julián Delmás0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Vladimir Radočaj0%
Ismael Casas0%
Moussa Sissako0%
Đorđe Radivojević0%
Rafael Batista da Silva Junior0%
Aleksa Mitić0%
Daniel Akrofi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oriyomi Lebi67%
Iván Martos29%
Josué Tiendrebeogo29%
Vladimir Radočaj17%
Dušan Zagar17%
Luka Luković14%
Stefan Šapić14%
Charly Keita14%
Nikola Glišić14%
Vasilije Novičić14%
Julián Delmás0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Ismael Casas0%
Moussa Sissako0%
Đorđe Radivojević0%
Rafael Batista da Silva Junior0%
Aleksa Mitić0%
Daniel Akrofi0%
Tadija Cojić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tadija Cojić33%
Vasilije Novičić29%
Nikola Glišić14%
Luka Luković0%
Stefan Šapić0%
Iván Martos0%
Julián Delmás0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Vladimir Radočaj0%
Ismael Casas0%
Moussa Sissako0%
Charly Keita0%
Josué Tiendrebeogo0%
Oriyomi Lebi0%
Dušan Zagar0%
Đorđe Radivojević0%
Rafael Batista da Silva Junior0%
Aleksa Mitić0%
Daniel Akrofi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dušan Zagar50%
Vladimir Radočaj17%
Luka Luković14%
Charly Keita14%
Nikola Glišić14%
Vasilije Novičić14%
Stefan Šapić0%
Iván Martos0%
Julián Delmás0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Ismael Casas0%
Moussa Sissako0%
Josué Tiendrebeogo0%
Oriyomi Lebi0%
Đorđe Radivojević0%
Rafael Batista da Silva Junior0%
Aleksa Mitić0%
Daniel Akrofi0%
Tadija Cojić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Serbia: Prva Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →