IMT Novi Beograd vs OFK Beograd Result & Analysis

The contest between IMT Novi Beograd and OFK Beograd is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win at 37%. Home victory sits at 33%, a draw at 30%. The expected total of 2.4 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the single most likely score is 1-1, a 14.2% chance. IMT’s home form shows 1.45 goals scored and 1.55 conceded against similarly-matched opponents, while OFK’s away record is 0.71 for and 0.71 against. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 99.2%, Over 21.5 fouls at 97.8%, Over 23.5 fouls at 94.7%, Over 25.5 fouls at 89.1% (miss), Over 2.5 cards at 84.1%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.5%, Under 3.5 at 77.0%, and Under 10.5 corners at 73.4% (miss). All probabilities are expressed as percentages.

The pre-match favourite, OFK Beograd, failed to deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that surprised the model’s prediction. The model had given the away side a 37% chance of victory, but the result was a stalemate. The final score of 1-1 matched the model’s most likely outcome, yet the overall result contradicted its pick. The model’s selection of “Away win” was therefore incorrect. Among the suggested picks, “Over 19.5 fouls” hit at 99.2%, “Over 21.5 fouls” at 97.8%, “Over 23.5 fouls” at 94.7%, “Over 2.5 cards” at 84.1%, “Under 11.5 corners” at 82.5%, and “Under 3.5” at 77.0% all proved true, while “Over 25.5 fouls” at 89.1% and “Under 10.5 corners” at 73.4% missed. The home side, IMT Novi Beograd, had come off a win, whereas OFK Beograd had just suffered a defeat, setting the stage for an unexpected draw.