Inhulets are tipped to win as the model’s favourite result, with a 43% chance of triumph, a 29% chance of a draw and a 29% chance of a Prykarpattia victory. The expected total is 2.6 goals, centring on the most likely total of two goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.6% probability. Inhulets, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.44 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, while Prykarpattia on the road average 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0%), Under 5.5 (95.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.1%), Away under 2.5 goals (88.9%), Home +2 handicap (87.8%) and Under 4.5 (87.7%). Recent form shows Inhulets struggling after two straight defeats, while Prykarpattia comes off a win, adding intrigue to the fixture.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Inhulets win
40.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia win
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Inhulets
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.23
1.57
1.43
0.88
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.89
1.47
1.25
1.88
0.64
1.18
vs Weaker (11)
1.73
0.82
2.00
0.83
1.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Prykarpattia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prykarpattia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.13
1.06
0.88
1.14
1.43
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (24)
1.17
1.00
1.08
0.77
1.27
1.27
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Inhulets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
49.3%
Under 2.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.4%
Under 3.5
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
Inhulets goals ↓
Prykarpattia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
7.4%
5.3%
2.2%
0.7%
1
8.9%
14%
7.5%
3.1%
0.9%
2
7.2%
8.8%
5.4%
2.2%
0.7%
3
3.4%
4.2%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.2%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Inhulets goals (down), columns = Prykarpattia goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3.00
SK Poltava
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Kulykiv
2.00
Prykarpattia
1.40
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.40
Metal Kharkiv
1.40
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Nyva Ternopil
1.20
UCSA
1.20
Chernihiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.60
Polissya II
0.40
Probiy Horodenka
0.40
Inhulets and Prykarpattia are level in average points per game (both 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kulykiv
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.80
Prykarpattia
1.60
SK Poltava
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Polissya II
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Chernihiv
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Probiy Horodenka
0.80
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Inhulets is 0.20 goals worse than Prykarpattia in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Poltava
0.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.20
Oleksandria
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Chernihiv
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.20
Kulykiv
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1.40
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.60
Yarud Mariupol'
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Polissya II
1.80
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.80
Inhulets
1.80
Probiy Horodenka
2.40
Inhulets is 0.60 goals worse than Prykarpattia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Inhulets or Draw
68.9%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
31%
covers Inhulets + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inhulets or Prykarpattia
71.6%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
31%
covers Inhulets + Prykarpattia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Prykarpattia
59.5%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
31%
covers Draw + Prykarpattia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Inhulets over/under 0.5
Over
75.9%
Under
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inhulets over/under 1.5
Over
41.6%
Under
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inhulets over/under 2.5
Over
17.2%
Under
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inhulets over/under 3.5
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 0.5
Over
70.5%
Under
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 1.5
Over
34.5%
Under
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 2.5
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 3.5
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Inhulets, so a minus line means Inhulets give that many goals of a start and Prykarpattia receive them. At -1, Inhulets must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Inhulets win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Inhulets)
Inhulets -2
7.5%
Draw -2
12.4%
Prykarpattia +2
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Inhulets)
Inhulets -1
19.9%
Draw -1
20.6%
Prykarpattia +1
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Inhulets)
Inhulets +1
68.9%
Draw +1
17.5%
Prykarpattia -1
13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Inhulets)
Inhulets +2
86.4%
Draw +2
9.1%
Prykarpattia -2
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Inhulets
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.47
0.57
0.71
0.31
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.32
0.58
0.50
0.88
0.18
0.36
vs Weaker (11)
0.64
0.27
0.67
0.50
0.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Prykarpattia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prykarpattia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.44
0.62
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.54
0.38
0.54
0.64
0.55
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Inhulets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Inhulets over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inhulets over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inhulets over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Inhulets
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
1.00
0.71
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.89
0.75
1.00
0.45
0.82
vs Weaker (11)
1.09
0.55
1.33
0.33
0.80
0.80
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Prykarpattia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prykarpattia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.62
0.25
0.64
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
0.50
0.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.46
0.69
0.23
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Inhulets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Inhulets over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inhulets over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inhulets over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prykarpattia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Inhulets · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kristian Svystun25%
Volodymyr Bilotserkovets20%
Vitaliy Faraseyenko17%
Ivan Losenko11%
Roman Volokhatyi8%
Marian Mysyk0%
Mykhailo Shershen0%
Oleksiy Palamarchuk0%
Oleksandr Kozak0%
Serhiy Kyslenko0%
Bogdan Mogilnyi0%
Oleksandr Piatov0%
Valerii Sad0%
Stanislav-Nuri Malysh0%
Maksym Melnychuk0%
Ilya Gadzhuk0%
Denis Sergeevich Rezepov0%
Oleksandr Dykhtiaruk0%
Vitalii Dubilei0%
Artem Benediuk0%
Oleh Pushkarov0%
Radion Lisnyak0%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko0%
Vitalii Katrych0%
Volodymyr Vilivald0%
Vladyslav Chaban0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oleksandr Dykhtiaruk40%
Maksym Melnychuk25%
Valerii Sad22%
Denis Sergeevich Rezepov20%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko20%
Roman Volokhatyi17%
Vitaliy Faraseyenko17%
Vitalii Katrych14%
Serhiy Kyslenko12%
Ilya Gadzhuk12%
Ivan Losenko11%
Stanislav-Nuri Malysh9%
Oleh Pushkarov8%
Marian Mysyk0%
Mykhailo Shershen0%
Oleksiy Palamarchuk0%
Oleksandr Kozak0%
Bogdan Mogilnyi0%
Oleksandr Piatov0%
Volodymyr Bilotserkovets0%
Vitalii Dubilei0%
Artem Benediuk0%
Radion Lisnyak0%
Volodymyr Vilivald0%
Kristian Svystun0%
Vladyslav Chaban0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stanislav-Nuri Malysh9%
Oleksandr Piatov8%
Marian Mysyk0%
Mykhailo Shershen0%
Oleksiy Palamarchuk0%
Oleksandr Kozak0%
Serhiy Kyslenko0%
Bogdan Mogilnyi0%
Valerii Sad0%
Maksym Melnychuk0%
Roman Volokhatyi0%
Volodymyr Bilotserkovets0%
Ilya Gadzhuk0%
Denis Sergeevich Rezepov0%
Vitaliy Faraseyenko0%
Oleksandr Dykhtiaruk0%
Vitalii Dubilei0%
Artem Benediuk0%
Ivan Losenko0%
Oleh Pushkarov0%
Radion Lisnyak0%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko0%
Vitalii Katrych0%
Volodymyr Vilivald0%
Kristian Svystun0%
Vladyslav Chaban0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oleh Pushkarov8%
Marian Mysyk0%
Mykhailo Shershen0%
Oleksiy Palamarchuk0%
Oleksandr Kozak0%
Serhiy Kyslenko0%
Bogdan Mogilnyi0%
Oleksandr Piatov0%
Valerii Sad0%
Stanislav-Nuri Malysh0%
Maksym Melnychuk0%
Roman Volokhatyi0%
Volodymyr Bilotserkovets0%
Ilya Gadzhuk0%
Denis Sergeevich Rezepov0%
Vitaliy Faraseyenko0%
Oleksandr Dykhtiaruk0%
Vitalii Dubilei0%
Artem Benediuk0%
Ivan Losenko0%
Radion Lisnyak0%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko0%
Vitalii Katrych0%
Volodymyr Vilivald0%
Kristian Svystun0%
Vladyslav Chaban0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (25)
€8m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
PH (20)
€1m
INH (15)
€1m
PI (5)
€1m
KKI (3)
€0m
LK (7)
€0m
Inhulets and Prykarpattia have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (10)
€3m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
PH (11)
€1m
PI (2)
€0m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (3)
€0m
Inhulets and Prykarpattia have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YM (7)
€1m
OLE (4)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
PI (1)
€0m
PH (3)
€0m
INH (5)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (0)
€0m
Inhulets and Prykarpattia have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (11)
€3m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
PH (6)
€0m
PI (2)
€0m
LK (4)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
Inhulets and Prykarpattia have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →
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Viktoriya Mykolaivka
SK Poltava
Oleksandria
Kulykiv
Metal Kharkiv
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
UCSA
Nyva Ternopil
Yarud Mariupol'
Chernihiv
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Kolos Kovalivka II
Polissya II
Probiy Horodenka