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Institute vs Armagh City Result & Analysis

Date: 22/11/2024
Time: 19:45
Final 0-0
Institute
Institute
Vs
46%
26%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Armagh City
Armagh City
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Institute win✗ Miss
45.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Armagh City win✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

InstituteInstitute

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W40W00D13L20W21W10W00D13L24LA·BAL14/09H·NEW21/09A·ARD28/09A·BAN05/10H·NEW12/10H·BAL19/10A·NEW26/10H·ANN02/11A·H&W09/11H·ARD16/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.401.531.601.271.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.471.601.561.781.331.33
vs Weaker (15)1.331.201.501.331.221.11
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Armagh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Armagh CityArmagh City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L14L31W01L10W22D13L32W11D30WA·H&W14/09H·BAN21/09A·BAL28/09H·NEW05/10A·DUN12/10H·LIM19/10A·ARD26/10H·BAL02/11A·NEW08/11H·H&W16/11
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.611.782.111.781.111.78
vs Stronger (16)1.441.812.001.750.881.88
vs Similar (2)3.001.503.002.003.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %11% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Institute) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.5%
Under 2.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.2%
Under 3.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.9%
No
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
0-0 ✓
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
Institute goals ↓
Armagh City goals →
01234
06.6%5.7%4.3%1.8%0.6%
17.9%12%7.1%3.0%0.9%
27.5%9.4%5.9%2.5%0.8%
34.1%5.1%3.2%1.4%0.4%
41.7%2.1%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Institute goals (down), columns = Armagh City goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bangor
2.00
Annagh United
1.87
Limavady United
1.74
H&W Welders
1.74
Queen's University
1.50
Ards
1.37
Dundela
1.37
Institute
1.34
Ballinamallard United
1.16
Armagh City
1.11
Newington Youth
1.11
Ballyclare Comrades
1.07
Newry City AFC
0.82
Institute is 0.24 points better than Armagh City in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bangor
2.16
H&W Welders
2.08
Annagh United
1.84
Limavady United
1.76
Armagh City
1.63
Institute
1.63
Dundela
1.53
Queen's University
1.50
Ballinamallard United
1.45
Ards
1.45
Ballyclare Comrades
1.35
Newington Youth
1.34
Newry City AFC
1.21
Institute and Armagh City are level in goals scored per game (both 1.63).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Annagh United
0.97
Queen's University
1.00
Limavady United
1.16
Bangor
1.21
H&W Welders
1.39
Ards
1.50
Ballinamallard United
1.63
Dundela
1.63
Institute
1.66
Newington Youth
1.95
Armagh City
2.05
Newry City AFC
2.05
Ballyclare Comrades
2.20
Institute is 0.39 goals better than Armagh City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 2.05).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

InstituteInstitute

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W00D00D00D01L10W00D01L12LA·BAL14/09H·NEW21/09A·ARD28/09A·BAN05/10H·NEW12/10H·BAL19/10A·NEW26/10H·ANN02/11A·H&W09/11H·ARD16/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.730.530.400.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.730.470.890.560.500.33
vs Weaker (15)0.400.530.500.500.330.56
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Armagh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Armagh CityArmagh City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L12L10W00D00D11D02L01L01L00DA·H&W14/09H·BAN21/09A·BAL28/09H·NEW05/10A·DUN12/10H·LIM19/10A·ARD26/10H·BAL02/11A·NEW08/11H·H&W16/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.940.751.000.330.89
vs Stronger (15)0.531.000.861.000.251.00
vs Similar (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %35% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Institute) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Institute over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

InstituteInstitute

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W00D13L20W20W00D00D12L12LA·BAL14/09H·NEW21/09A·ARD28/09A·BAN05/10H·NEW12/10H·BAL19/10A·NEW26/10H·ANN02/11A·H&W09/11H·ARD16/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.900.801.070.870.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.731.130.671.220.831.00
vs Weaker (15)0.930.671.000.830.890.56
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Armagh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Armagh CityArmagh City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L02L21W01L10W11D11D31W10W30WA·H&W14/09H·BAN21/09A·BAL28/09H·NEW05/10A·DUN12/10H·LIM19/10A·ARD26/10H·BAL02/11A·NEW08/11H·H&W16/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.120.881.500.880.780.89
vs Stronger (15)0.930.871.290.860.620.88
vs Similar (2)2.501.003.001.002.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Institute) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Institute over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Armagh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (20)
€2m
LU (5)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (4)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
LU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (5)
€1m
LU (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (11)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
LU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
INS wins
1
Draws
0
AC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Institute vs Armagh City · H/A from INS
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/24AArmagh City Vs INS2-2

InstituteInstitute

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/24HINS Vs Ards2-4
09/11/24AH&W Welders Vs INS3-1
02/11/24HINS Vs Annagh United0-0
26/10/24ANewington Youth Vs INS0-1
19/10/24HINS Vs Ballinamallard United2-1
12/10/24HINS Vs Newry City AFC2-0
05/10/24ABangor Vs INS3-1
28/09/24AArds Vs INS0-0
21/09/24HINS Vs Newington Youth4-0
14/09/24ABallinamallard United Vs INS1-2

Armagh CityArmagh City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/24HAC Vs H&W Welders3-0
08/11/24ANewry City AFC Vs AC1-1
02/11/24HAC Vs Ballinamallard United3-2
26/10/24AArds Vs AC3-1
19/10/24HAC Vs Limavady United2-2
12/10/24ADundela Vs AC0-1
05/10/24HAC Vs Newington Youth0-1
28/09/24ABallinamallard United Vs AC1-3
21/09/24HAC Vs Bangor1-4
14/09/24AH&W Welders Vs AC5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Institute
Institute
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.62
HomeWWWDL1.58
AwayWDLWL1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%46%46%
AVG goals2.842.882.81
Over 1.5 %74%79%69%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %40%42%38%
Scored1.541.581.50
Conceded1.301.291.31
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet40%46%35%
Corners---
Cards---
Armagh City
Armagh City
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW1.39
HomeLLDWW1.44
AwayLWWLD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%33%33%
AVG goals3.393.892.89
Over 1.5 %89%89%89%
Over 2.5 %67%78%56%
Over 3.5 %50%67%33%
Scored1.612.111.11
Conceded1.781.781.78
BTTS72%78%67%
Clean Sheet11%11%11%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BangorBangor3876
61%
2.0
8246+36
3.4
79%
71%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.21.2
-
2Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3871
58%
1.9
7037+33
2.8
76%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
3H&W WeldersH&W Welders3866
53%
1.7
7953+26
3.5
82%
71%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.4
-
4Limavady UnitedLimavady United3866
47%
1.7
6744+23
2.9
84%
63%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
5ArdsArds3852
37%
1.4
5557-2
2.9
68%
53%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
6DundelaDundela3852
39%
1.4
5862-4
3.2
82%
61%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
7InstituteInstitute3851
34%
1.3
6263-1
3.3
84%
66%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
8Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3844
34%
1.2
5562-7
3.1
79%
68%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
9Ballyclare ComradesBallyclare Comrades4043
30%
1.1
5488-34
3.5
95%
75%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
10Armagh CityArmagh City3842
26%
1.1
6278-16
3.7
87%
71%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
11Newington YouthNewington Youth3842
29%
1.1
5174-23
3.3
82%
61%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
12Newry City AFCNewry City AFC3831
18%
0.8
4678-32
3.3
87%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
13QueenQueen's University23
50%
1.5
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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