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Institute vs Ballyclare Comrades Result & Analysis

Date: 20/01/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Institute
Institute
Vs
44%
27%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ballyclare Comrades
Ballyclare Comrades
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Institute win✓ Hit
44.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ballyclare Comrades win✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

InstituteInstitute

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W22D11D13L12L32W41W00D21W00DH·BAL24/11A·DER01/12A·ANN05/12H·ANN09/12A·NEW16/12H·ARD22/12A·KNO26/12H·DER30/12A·DUN09/01A·ANN13/01
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.271.431.001.621.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.501.281.401.301.621.25
vs Weaker (12)1.581.251.500.251.621.75
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballyclare Comrades) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ballyclare ComradesBallyclare Comrades

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L31W30W23L20W01L30W21W14L31WH·INS11/11H·H&W25/11H·ARD28/11H·BAN02/12H·NEW12/12H·DUN16/12H·KNO23/12A·NEW26/12H·H&W01/01A·DER13/01
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.672.331.391.502.08
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)2.001.642.361.361.382.12
vs Weaker (8)2.001.752.251.501.752.00
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Institute) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.4%
Under 2.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.1%
Under 3.5
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.3%
No
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.0%
2-0 ✓
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
Institute goals ↓
Ballyclare Comrades goals →
01234
06.9%6.1%4.5%1.9%0.6%
18.0%13%7.3%3.0%1.0%
27.3%9.2%5.8%2.4%0.8%
33.9%4.9%3.1%1.3%0.4%
41.6%2.0%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Institute goals (down), columns = Ballyclare Comrades goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Portadown
1.87
Institute
1.82
Annagh United
1.79
Bangor
1.79
Dundela
1.76
Ballyclare Comrades
1.61
H&W Welders
1.47
Newington Youth
1.37
Ballinamallard United
1.34
Armagh City
1.00
Ards
0.97
Dergview
0.72
Knockbreda
0.47
Institute is 0.21 points better than Ballyclare Comrades in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 1.61).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bangor
2.03
Dundela
1.95
Portadown
1.95
Ballyclare Comrades
1.92
H&W Welders
1.84
Newington Youth
1.71
Annagh United
1.61
Ards
1.58
Institute
1.58
Ballinamallard United
1.34
Dergview
1.07
Armagh City
1.00
Knockbreda
0.89
Institute is 0.34 goals worse than Ballyclare Comrades in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.92).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Armagh City
1.00
Institute
1.13
Bangor
1.16
Annagh United
1.32
Ballinamallard United
1.34
Portadown
1.39
Dundela
1.58
Ballyclare Comrades
1.58
H&W Welders
1.66
Newington Youth
1.79
Ards
1.82
Dergview
2.02
Knockbreda
2.63
Institute is 0.45 goals better than Ballyclare Comrades in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.58).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

InstituteInstitute

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W01L12L10W21W00D00D00DH·BAL24/11A·DER01/12A·ANN05/12H·ANN09/12A·NEW16/12H·ARD22/12A·KNO26/12H·DER30/12A·DUN09/01A·ANN13/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.470.570.360.750.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.500.500.500.400.500.62
vs Weaker (12)0.920.420.750.251.000.50
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballyclare Comrades) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ballyclare ComradesBallyclare Comrades

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D10W01L10W00D20W11D03L10WH·INS11/11H·H&W25/11H·ARD28/11H·BAN02/12H·NEW12/12H·DUN16/12H·KNO23/12A·NEW26/12H·H&W01/01A·DER13/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.771.060.670.830.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.910.681.070.570.620.88
vs Weaker (8)1.121.001.001.001.251.00
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Institute) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Institute over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballyclare Comrades over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballyclare Comrades over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballyclare Comrades over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

InstituteInstitute

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W01L12L00D22D20W00D21W00DH·BAL24/11A·DER01/12A·ANN05/12H·ANN09/12A·NEW16/12H·ARD22/12A·KNO26/12H·DER30/12A·DUN09/01A·ANN13/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.800.860.640.880.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.000.780.900.901.120.62
vs Weaker (12)0.670.830.750.000.621.25
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballyclare Comrades) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ballyclare ComradesBallyclare Comrades

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L20W20W22D10W01L10W10W11D21WH·INS11/11H·H&W25/11H·ARD28/11H·BAN02/12H·NEW12/12H·DUN16/12H·KNO23/12A·NEW26/12H·H&W01/01A·DER13/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.901.280.720.671.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.090.951.290.790.751.25
vs Weaker (8)0.880.751.250.500.501.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Institute) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Institute over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballyclare Comrades over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballyclare Comrades over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballyclare Comrades over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
POR (6)
€1m
BAN (4)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (5)
€1m
POR (3)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (11)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
3
INS wins
0
Draws
2
BC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Institute vs Ballyclare Comrades · H/A from INS
DateH/AGameScore
11/11/23ABallyclare Comrades Vs INS1-3
26/08/23HINS Vs Ballyclare Comrades1-0
18/02/23ABallyclare Comrades Vs INS6-2
26/11/22ABallyclare Comrades Vs INS1-0
23/09/22HINS Vs Ballyclare Comrades2-0

InstituteInstitute

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/01/24AAnnagh United Vs INS0-0
09/01/24ADundela Vs INS1-2
30/12/23HINS Vs Dergview0-0
26/12/23AKnockbreda Vs INS1-4
22/12/23HINS Vs Ards3-2
16/12/23ANewington Youth Vs INS2-1
09/12/23HINS Vs Annagh United1-3
05/12/23AAnnagh United Vs INS1-1
01/12/23ADergview Vs INS2-2
24/11/23HINS Vs Ballinamallard United1-0

Ballyclare ComradesBallyclare Comrades

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/01/24ADergview Vs BC1-3
01/01/24HBC Vs H&W Welders1-4
26/12/23ANewington Youth Vs BC1-2
23/12/23HBC Vs Knockbreda3-0
16/12/23HBC Vs Dundela0-1
12/12/23HBC Vs Newington Youth2-0
02/12/23HBC Vs Bangor2-3
28/11/23HBC Vs Ards3-0
25/11/23HBC Vs H&W Welders3-1
11/11/23HBC Vs Institute1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Institute
Institute
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD1.36
HomeWWLWD1.56
AwayDLWWD1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.902.523.28
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %48%32%64%
Over 3.5 %34%24%44%
Scored1.461.441.48
Conceded1.441.081.80
BTTS60%44%76%
Clean Sheet24%36%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Ballyclare Comrades
Ballyclare Comrades
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.54
HomeLWLWL1.83
AwayLWLWW1.10
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%53%25%
AVG goals3.483.503.45
Over 1.5 %82%80%85%
Over 2.5 %70%73%65%
Over 3.5 %52%50%55%
Scored1.822.071.45
Conceded1.661.432.00
BTTS66%63%70%
Clean Sheet18%27%5%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PortadownPortadown3871
58%
1.9
7453+21
3.3
87%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.91.4
-
2InstituteInstitute3869
53%
1.8
6043+17
2.7
71%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
3BangorBangor3868
53%
1.8
7744+33
3.2
87%
76%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.01.2
-
4Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3868
53%
1.8
6150+11
2.9
74%
55%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
5DundelaDundela3867
55%
1.8
7460+14
3.5
82%
71%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
6Ballyclare ComradesBallyclare Comrades3861
47%
1.6
7360+13
3.5
89%
76%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
7H&W WeldersH&W Welders3856
45%
1.5
7063+7
3.5
89%
76%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
8Newington YouthNewington Youth3852
42%
1.4
6568-3
3.5
97%
76%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
9Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3851
39%
1.3
5151+0
2.7
71%
58%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
10ArdsArds3837
24%
1.0
6069-9
3.4
84%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
11DergviewDergview4029
15%
0.7
4381-38
3.1
85%
57%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12KnockbredaKnockbreda3818
13%
0.5
34100-66
3.5
95%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
13Armagh CityArmagh City22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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