This opponent (Gnistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gnistan
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.57
1.23
1.23
1.71
1.82
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
2.25
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.62
1.38
1.50
1.00
1.73
1.73
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.2%
Under 1.5
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.8%
Under 2.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.2%
Under 3.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.4%
No
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
6.0%
1-0
5.6%
3-0 â
4.9%
Inter Turku goals ↓
Gnistan goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.9%
3.2%
2.8%
1.3%
0.4%
1
5.6%
9.7%
6.0%
2.7%
0.9%
2
6.9%
9.4%
6.4%
2.9%
1.0%
3
4.9%
6.7%
4.6%
2.1%
0.7%
4
2.6%
3.6%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Inter Turku goals (down), columns = Gnistan goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Turku PS
3.00
KuPS
2.09
Inter Turku
1.91
Ilves
1.88
SJK
1.84
HJK Helsinki
1.53
FF Jaro
1.26
Mariehamn
1.19
VPS
1.15
Gnistan
1.03
AC Oulu
1.00
Kooteepee
0.72
Haka
0.63
Inter Turku is 0.88 points better than Gnistan in terms of average points per game (1.91 vs 1.03).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Turku PS
3.00
HJK Helsinki
2.31
SJK
2.19
Ilves
2.12
KuPS
1.94
Inter Turku
1.88
Gnistan
1.47
VPS
1.37
FF Jaro
1.30
AC Oulu
1.30
Mariehamn
1.26
Kooteepee
1.14
Haka
1.11
Inter Turku is 0.41 goals better than Gnistan in terms of goals scored per game (1.88 vs 1.47).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Turku PS
1.00
Inter Turku
1.03
KuPS
1.06
Ilves
1.41
VPS
1.56
SJK
1.59
HJK Helsinki
1.62
FF Jaro
1.63
Haka
1.85
Mariehamn
1.96
AC Oulu
1.96
Gnistan
2.03
Kooteepee
2.31
Inter Turku is 1.00 goals better than Gnistan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 2.03).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
HJK Helsinki
58%
Ilves
54%
KuPS
53%
VPS
50%
Kooteepee
50%
Inter Turku
50%
SJK
49%
AC Oulu
49%
FF Jaro
49%
Mariehamn
48%
Gnistan
44%
Haka
44%
Turku PS
37%
Inter Turku is 5.3 percentage points better than Gnistan in terms of average possession (50% vs 44%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Inter Turku
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Gnistan
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Inter Turku
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.7
8.4
1.2
0.8
1.6
25.7
27.7
24.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
8.8
10.2
7.7
1.2
0.8
1.6
24.9
26.8
23.3
vs Weaker (12)
9.3
7.0
10.5
1.3
1.0
1.7
28.7
32.0
27.0
% over line
36%
50%
25%
16%
12%
20%
93%
100%
88%
% under line
64%
50%
75%
84%
88%
80%
7%
0%
12%
This opponent (Gnistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gnistan
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
12.5
10.0
15.0
0.3
0.2
0.3
21.0
16.0
26.0
vs Stronger (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
12.5
10.0
15.0
0.4
0.2
0.5
21.0
16.0
26.0
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
3%
0%
5%
50%
0%
100%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
97%
100%
95%
50%
100%
0%
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
12.5
Kooteepee
11.3
SJK
10.6
Haka
10.5
Mariehamn
10.4
VPS
9.9
KuPS
9.7
Inter Turku
9.7
Ilves
9.6
HJK Helsinki
9.3
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kooteepee
4.8
Gnistan
4.5
Mariehamn
4.5
Inter Turku
4.4
Haka
4.4
KuPS
4.4
SJK
4.0
Ilves
3.9
VPS
3.7
HJK Helsinki
3.3
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ilves
25.2
Inter Turku
24.7
Mariehamn
24.5
SJK
24.0
KuPS
23.9
HJK Helsinki
23.1
Kooteepee
22.8
Haka
22.4
VPS
22.1
Gnistan
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.6%
Under 9.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.0%
Under 3.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.1%
Under 21.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Inter Turku
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.40
0.93
0.13
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.52
0.91
0.18
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Gnistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gnistan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.54
0.62
0.65
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.71
0.70
0.50
0.73
0.91
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Inter Turku over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Turku over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Turku over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Inter Turku
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.67
1.40
0.93
0.93
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.78
1.36
1.09
0.58
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.86
0.29
1.50
0.50
2.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Gnistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gnistan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
0.69
0.62
1.06
0.88
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.75
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.67
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.82
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Inter Turku over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Turku over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Turku over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Inter Turku
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florian Krebs25%
Christian Ouguehi Legbo23%
Antoin Loic Essomba20%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ17%
Bismark Ampofo17%
Iiro JÃĪrvinen14%
Axel Kouame14%
Johannes Yli-Kokko11%
Jasse Tuominen10%
Joonas Kekarainen10%
Bart Straalman8%
Albin Granlund0%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Momodou Sarr0%
Julius Tauriainen0%
Seth Saarinen0%
Eetu Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Florian Krebs33%
Bart Straalman23%
Luka Kuittinen18%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ17%
Bismark Ampofo17%
Iiro JÃĪrvinen14%
Axel Kouame14%
Jasse Tuominen10%
Antoin Loic Essomba10%
Momodou Sarr9%
Christian Ouguehi Legbo8%
Albin Granlund0%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Julius Tauriainen0%
Seth Saarinen0%
Johannes Yli-Kokko0%
Eetu Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Joonas Kekarainen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Axel Kouame29%
Seth Saarinen12%
Antoin Loic Essomba10%
Albin Granlund8%
Florian Krebs8%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ8%
Christian Ouguehi Legbo8%
Jasse Tuominen0%
Bart Straalman0%
Iiro JÃĪrvinen0%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Momodou Sarr0%
Julius Tauriainen0%
Johannes Yli-Kokko0%
Eetu Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Joonas Kekarainen0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Axel Kouame29%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ25%
Florian Krebs17%
Antoin Loic Essomba10%
Bart Straalman8%
Christian Ouguehi Legbo8%
Jasse Tuominen0%
Albin Granlund0%
Iiro JÃĪrvinen0%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Momodou Sarr0%
Julius Tauriainen0%
Seth Saarinen0%
Johannes Yli-Kokko0%
Eetu Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Joonas Kekarainen0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Gnistan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rachide Gnanou33%
Vertti HÃĪnninen25%
Saku Heiskanen20%
Evgeny Bashkirov18%
Tim VÃĪyrynen17%
Artur Atarah17%
Joakim Latonen15%
Matias Ritari14%
Edmund Arko-Mensah11%
Gabriel Europaeus10%
Didrik Hafstad9%
Alexandro Craninx0%
Juhani Ojala0%
Jukka Raitala0%
Roman Eremenko0%
Armend Kabashi0%
Anicet Oura0%
Oskar Lyberopoulos0%
Oliver GÞnes0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
Oludare Olufunwa0%
Lucas von Hellens0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edmund Arko-Mensah56%
Lucas von Hellens50%
Rachide Gnanou50%
Roman Eremenko25%
Oludare Olufunwa25%
Gabriel Europaeus20%
Alexandro Craninx18%
Didrik Hafstad18%
Artur Atarah17%
Matias Ritari14%
Jukka Raitala11%
Armend Kabashi11%
Saku Heiskanen10%
Juhani Ojala9%
Evgeny Bashkirov9%
Tim VÃĪyrynen8%
Joakim Latonen8%
Oliver Pettersson8%
Anicet Oura0%
Oskar Lyberopoulos0%
Vertti HÃĪnninen0%
Oliver GÞnes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Saku Heiskanen50%
Roman Eremenko25%
Anicet Oura25%
Vertti HÃĪnninen25%
Oliver GÞnes17%
Matias Ritari14%
Didrik Hafstad9%
Tim VÃĪyrynen8%
Artur Atarah8%
Alexandro Craninx0%
Juhani Ojala0%
Jukka Raitala0%
Evgeny Bashkirov0%
Joakim Latonen0%
Armend Kabashi0%
Oskar Lyberopoulos0%
Edmund Arko-Mensah0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
Oludare Olufunwa0%
Lucas von Hellens0%
Gabriel Europaeus0%
Rachide Gnanou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Eremenko25%
Joakim Latonen15%
Tim VÃĪyrynen8%
Rachide Gnanou8%
Alexandro Craninx0%
Juhani Ojala0%
Jukka Raitala0%
Evgeny Bashkirov0%
Saku Heiskanen0%
Armend Kabashi0%
Anicet Oura0%
Oskar Lyberopoulos0%
Edmund Arko-Mensah0%
Vertti HÃĪnninen0%
Oliver GÞnes0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
Oludare Olufunwa0%
Lucas von Hellens0%
Matias Ritari0%
Didrik Hafstad0%
Artur Atarah0%
Gabriel Europaeus0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
Inter Turku's squad is €2m more valuable than Gnistan's (€5m vs €3m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
HAK (7)
€0m
Inter Turku and Gnistan have a similar attack value (both €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
Inter Turku and Gnistan have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
HAK (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
Inter Turku and Gnistan have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
KuPS
Ilves
SJK
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
VPS
AC Oulu
Kooteepee
Haka
Turku PS