Inter Turku’s recent win over KuPS gives the home side a confidence boost, while HJK Helsinki’s five-game run of wins, losses, wins, losses, wins shows a solid form. The model’s strongest edge is the 47% chance of a home win, a clear favourite over the 29% draw and 24% away win probabilities. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a tight contest, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 13.6%. Inter Turku averages 1.83 goals scored and 0.67 conceded at home against similarly strong opponents, whereas HJK Helsinki, playing away, averages 2.14 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.2%), Under 5.5 (96.0% with a 4% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (93.7%), Away under 2.5 goals (92.2% with a 7% edge), Home +2 handicap (91.0% with a 19% edge) and Under 4.5 (89.5% with a 5% edge). The probabilities for a home win, draw and away win remain 47%, 29% and 24% respectively.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Inter Turku win
47.4%
Avg Implied 40.8% · @ 2.26
Edge
+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.32
Dafabet
2.31
Unibet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
1xBet
2.28
Draw
28.6%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.32
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.40
Pinnacle
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Unibet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.32
HJK Helsinki win
23.9%
Avg Implied 31.3% · @ 2.95
Edge
-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.09
1xBet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
Betano
2.95
Dafabet
2.95
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Inter Turku
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.90
1.53
0.53
1.73
1.27
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (24)
1.79
0.96
1.83
0.67
1.75
1.25
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
1.17
2.13
1.27
2.13
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.71
1.43
1.29
1.86
2.14
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
2.50
0.94
2.88
0.75
2.12
1.12
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
71.9%
@ 1.28-0.9%
Under 1.5
28.1%
@ 3.43+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Under
Unibet
3.75
Betano
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.41
Marathonbet
3.18
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
44.9%
@ 1.90-4.8%
Under 2.5
55.1%
@ 1.87+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Betfair
1.90
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.98
Unibet
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
23.6%
@ 3.18-5.7%
Under 3.5
76.4%
@ 1.32+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.40
Pinnacle
3.34
Marathonbet
3.18
1xBet
3.18
Unibet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
Both teams to score
Yes
49.8%
@ 1.68-5.3%
No
50.2%
@ 2.06+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
William Hil
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Unibet
1.63
No
Betano
2.18
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.08
1xBet
2.01
William Hil
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%@ 5.86+6.3%
1-0
11.3%@ 7.22+5.4%
0-0
9.7%@ 8.67+4.7%
2-0
9.3%@ 10.12+5.1%
2-1
9.2%@ 8.05+3.9%
0-1
7.1%@ 8.62+2.1%
1-2
6.1%@ 9.29+1.5%
3-0
4.6%@ 18.50+2.3%
Inter Turku goals ↓
HJK Helsinki goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
7.1%
4.1%
1.4%
0.3%
1
11%
14%
6.1%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.3%
9.2%
4.5%
1.5%
0.4%
3
4.6%
4.5%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.7%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Inter Turku goals (down), columns = HJK Helsinki goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Loiske
3.00
HJK Helsinki
3.00
Haka
2.60
VPS
2.50
PK-35
2.50
Union Plaani
2.40
PoPo
2.40
HIFK Helsinki
2.40
Turku PS
2.33
Leki
2.33
Valtti
2.33
OLS
2.25
NiemU
2.25
Virkiä
2.25
ÅIFK
2.25
Huima / Urho
2.25
HauPa
2.25
EBK
2.25
Gnistan
2.25
AC Oulu
2.17
SalPa
2.00
JäPS
2.00
VJS
2.00
Reipas
2.00
TuPS
2.00
Gilla
2.00
HaPK Edustus
2.00
PIF
2.00
VPV
2.00
HPS II
2.00
Lasten
2.00
TPV
2.00
Futura
2.00
SJK
2.00
Honka
2.00
JIPPO
2.00
GBK
2.00
Kiisto
2.00
Atlantis
2.00
FC Kangasala
2.00
KajHa
2.00
Inter Turku
2.00
KuPS
2.00
EIF
2.00
FF Jaro
1.83
SalPa II
1.75
Gnistan O35
1.75
Mariehamn
1.75
JäPS / Akatemia
1.75
KPV-j
1.75
MP
1.75
ToTe
1.67
Töölön Taisto
1.67
VPS II
1.50
KäPa
1.50
PPJ
1.50
SJK Akatemia
1.50
PuiU Helsinki
1.50
POHU / Hurjin
1.50
Kiffen
1.50
Ylivieska
1.50
Kiffen 08 III
1.50
ACE
1.50
Fish United
1.50
LoPa
1.50
StaPa De Royale
1.50
PK-37
1.50
Vaajakoski
1.50
JS Hercules
1.50
P-Iirot
1.33
KuPS Akatemia
1.33
HJS Akatemia
1.33
VJS II
1.33
Kooteepee
1.33
JPS
1.04
TiPS/U21
1.04
Pallo-Pojat
1.04
KaPa Kajaani
1.04
Germania Helsinki
1.04
TPS 2
1.04
Santa Claus
1.04
Kraft
1.04
Kuopion Elo
1.04
JIPPO II
1.04
JBK
1.00
LePa
1.00
VG-62
1.00
Rops
1.00
PKKU
1.00
TPV II
1.00
Jokerit
1.00
JJK
1.00
VIFK
1.00
MaPS
1.00
VaKP
1.00
NJS
0.50
Karhu-Futis
0.50
Ylöjärvi United
0.50
POHU
0.50
SUMU
0.50
RoPo
0.00
EPS
0.00
MyPa
0.00
PEPO
0.00
GrIFK
0.00
KyPa
0.00
EIF Akademi
0.00
HPS
0.00
Puimur / Mando Utd
0.00
Tampere United
0.00
KoPa
0.00
Heinäpään Hanhet 24
0.00
MPS
0.00
LappBK
0.00
Ilves
0.00
Lahti
0.00
Inter Turku is 1.00 points worse than HJK Helsinki in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 3.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Loiske
7.50
Leki
7.00
PoPo
6.60
Kiffen 08 III
6.50
Kiisto
6.00
EBK
5.75
Virkiä
5.25
JäPS
4.67
Lasten
4.67
Haka
4.40
VPS II
4.00
ÅIFK
4.00
Ylivieska
4.00
Honka
4.00
Gilla
3.80
VPV
3.67
TPV
3.67
Valtti
3.67
Huima / Urho
3.50
LoPa
3.50
JIPPO
3.50
VPS
3.50
SJK
3.33
FF Jaro
3.33
HauPa
3.25
KPV-j
3.25
Gnistan
3.25
HIFK Helsinki
3.20
SJK Akatemia
3.00
HPS II
3.00
JJK
3.00
ACE
3.00
SalPa II
2.75
PK-35
2.75
Turku PS
2.67
P-Iirot
2.67
ToTe
2.67
GBK
2.67
Atlantis
2.67
OLS
2.50
KäPa
2.50
Kiffen
2.50
PK-37
2.50
JS Hercules
2.50
SUMU
2.50
Inter Turku
2.50
KuPS Akatemia
2.33
FC Kangasala
2.33
KuPS
2.20
EIF
2.20
AC Oulu
2.17
RoPo
2.00
Union Plaani
2.00
PEPO
2.00
LePa
2.00
VG-62
2.00
Gnistan O35
2.00
Futura
2.00
Fish United
2.00
StaPa De Royale
2.00
Mariehamn
2.00
VIFK
2.00
Vaajakoski
2.00
JäPS / Akatemia
2.00
KajHa
2.00
Kooteepee
2.00
JPS
1.92
TiPS/U21
1.92
Pallo-Pojat
1.92
KaPa Kajaani
1.92
Germania Helsinki
1.92
TPS 2
1.92
Santa Claus
1.92
Kraft
1.92
Kuopion Elo
1.92
JIPPO II
1.92
HJK Helsinki
1.80
NiemU
1.75
MP
1.75
VJS
1.67
HaPK Edustus
1.67
VJS II
1.67
SalPa
1.50
PPJ
1.50
PuiU Helsinki
1.50
PIF
1.50
POHU / Hurjin
1.50
Karhu-Futis
1.50
POHU
1.50
Töölön Taisto
1.33
Reipas
1.00
TuPS
1.00
GrIFK
1.00
NJS
1.00
PKKU
1.00
HJS Akatemia
1.00
TPV II
1.00
MPS
1.00
LappBK
1.00
Lahti
1.00
MaPS
0.67
Rops
0.50
Ylöjärvi United
0.50
JBK
0.00
EPS
0.00
MyPa
0.00
KyPa
0.00
EIF Akademi
0.00
Jokerit
0.00
HPS
0.00
Puimur / Mando Utd
0.00
Tampere United
0.00
KoPa
0.00
Heinäpään Hanhet 24
0.00
VaKP
0.00
Ilves
0.00
Inter Turku is 0.70 goals better than HJK Helsinki in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JBK
0.00
Jokerit
0.00
VaKP
0.00
HJK Helsinki
0.20
PK-35
0.25
NiemU
0.50
Loiske
0.50
Reipas
0.50
PPJ
0.50
TuPS
0.50
Rops
0.50
PIF
0.50
JIPPO
0.50
Inter Turku
0.50
MP
0.50
Haka
0.60
JäPS
0.67
VJS
0.67
ToTe
0.67
TPV
0.67
HJS Akatemia
0.67
Honka
0.67
MaPS
0.67
Gnistan
0.75
KuPS
0.80
AC Oulu
0.83
SalPa
1.00
Turku PS
1.00
VPS II
1.00
KäPa
1.00
MyPa
1.00
PoPo
1.00
PKKU
1.00
Leki
1.00
TPV II
1.00
LoPa
1.00
Kiisto
1.00
Töölön Taisto
1.00
Heinäpään Hanhet 24
1.00
Valtti
1.00
VPS
1.00
EIF
1.00
OLS
1.25
EBK
1.25
SJK
1.33
FF Jaro
1.33
Kooteepee
1.33
Virkiä
1.50
Huima / Urho
1.50
PuiU Helsinki
1.50
POHU / Hurjin
1.50
Fish United
1.50
Ylöjärvi United
1.50
Union Plaani
1.60
HaPK Edustus
1.67
GBK
1.67
Atlantis
1.67
FC Kangasala
1.67
ÅIFK
1.75
SalPa II
1.75
Gnistan O35
1.75
Mariehamn
1.75
JäPS / Akatemia
1.75
Gilla
1.80
HIFK Helsinki
1.80
EPS
2.00
GrIFK
2.00
LePa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
NJS
2.00
VG-62
2.00
HPS II
2.00
Ylivieska
2.00
Kiffen 08 III
2.00
EIF Akademi
2.00
PK-37
2.00
VIFK
2.00
Vaajakoski
2.00
VJS II
2.00
MPS
2.00
KPV-j
2.00
Lahti
2.00
HauPa
2.25
Futura
2.33
KajHa
2.33
Karhu-Futis
2.50
StaPa De Royale
2.50
Lasten
2.67
JPS
2.93
TiPS/U21
2.93
Pallo-Pojat
2.93
KaPa Kajaani
2.93
Germania Helsinki
2.93
TPS 2
2.93
Santa Claus
2.93
Kraft
2.93
Kuopion Elo
2.93
JIPPO II
2.93
KuPS Akatemia
3.00
Kiffen
3.00
KyPa
3.00
JJK
3.00
ACE
3.00
JS Hercules
3.00
Tampere United
3.00
LappBK
3.00
SUMU
3.00
Ilves
3.00
P-Iirot
3.33
RoPo
4.00
PEPO
4.00
VPV
4.00
HPS
4.00
Puimur / Mando Utd
4.00
POHU
4.50
KoPa
7.00
Inter Turku is 0.30 goals worse than HJK Helsinki in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 0.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Inter Turku or Draw
76.1%
Avg Implied 68.5% · @ 1.36
Edge
+7.6%
47%
29%
24%
covers Inter Turku + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
William Hil
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Inter Turku or HJK Helsinki
71.4%
Avg Implied 72.3% · @ 1.29
Edge
-1.0%
47%
29%
24%
covers Inter Turku + HJK Helsinki
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Unibet
1.27
Draw or HJK Helsinki
52.6%
Avg Implied 59.1% · @ 1.58
Edge
-6.6%
47%
29%
24%
covers Draw + HJK Helsinki
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
William Hil
1.57
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Inter Turku over/under 0.5
Over
77.3%
@ 1.24+2.6%
Under
22.7%
@ 3.67-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.22
Under
Betano
3.80
Pinnacle
3.77
Unibet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.56
1xBet
3.56
Inter Turku over/under 1.5
Over
43.7%
@ 2.20+1.1%
Under
56.3%
@ 1.63-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
Marathonbet
2.23
1xBet
2.23
Unibet
2.12
Betano
2.10
Under
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Unibet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Inter Turku over/under 2.5
Over
18.7%
@ 4.66-1.1%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.16+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.90
Unibet
4.50
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.19
Unibet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Inter Turku over/under 3.5
Over
6.4%
@ 10.40-2.8%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.05+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
11.20
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
HJK Helsinki over/under 0.5
Over
62.8%
@ 1.33-6.9%
Under
37.2%
@ 3.05+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.30
Under
Betano
3.20
Unibet
3.15
Pinnacle
3.03
1xBet
2.93
Marathonbet
2.93
HJK Helsinki over/under 1.5
Over
26.0%
@ 2.62-9.8%
Under
74.0%
@ 1.46+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.81
Marathonbet
2.71
1xBet
2.71
Betano
2.45
Unibet
2.43
Under
Betano
1.52
Unibet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
HJK Helsinki over/under 2.5
Over
7.8%
@ 6.13-7.3%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.09+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.55
1xBet
6.55
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
HJK Helsinki over/under 3.5
Over
1.8%
@ 10.00-7.5%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.03+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Inter Turku, so a minus line means Inter Turku give that many goals of a start and HJK Helsinki receive them. At -1, Inter Turku must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Inter Turku win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Inter Turku)
Inter Turku -2
9.7%
@ 8.80-0.3%
Draw -2
14.8%
@ 6.28+0.7%
HJK Helsinki +2
75.6%
@ 1.16-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.60
Draw
Marathonbet
6.30
Unibet
6.25
Away
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap -1 (Inter Turku)
Inter Turku -1
24.4%
@ 4.22+3.5%
Draw -1
23.0%
@ 3.85+0.1%
HJK Helsinki +1
52.6%
@ 1.57-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
Marathonbet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Handicap +1 (Inter Turku)
Inter Turku +1
76.1%
@ 1.39+12.8%
Draw +1
14.9%
@ 4.38-5.2%
HJK Helsinki -1
9.0%
@ 5.32-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Unibet
4.30
Away
Marathonbet
5.95
Unibet
5.50
Betfair
4.50
Handicap +2 (Inter Turku)
Inter Turku +2
91.0%
@ 1.11+18.7%
Draw +2
6.5%
@ 5.00-9.5%
HJK Helsinki -2
2.5%
@ 6.85-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Marathonbet
5.00
Away
Marathonbet
6.85
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Inter Turku
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.67
0.47
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.62
0.83
0.58
0.75
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.40
1.13
0.40
0.93
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.57
0.57
0.71
1.00
0.43
vs Weaker (16)
1.25
0.25
1.62
0.12
0.88
0.38
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Inter Turku over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.99
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Unibet
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.78
Unibet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Inter Turku over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.10
1xBet
6.10
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Inter Turku over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
HJK Helsinki over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.23
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
Betano
2.15
Unibet
2.08
Under
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
HJK Helsinki over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
Marathonbet
7.60
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
HJK Helsinki over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Inter Turku
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.37
0.87
0.07
1.07
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (24)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.08
1.00
0.58
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.77
1.00
0.87
1.20
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.86
0.71
1.14
1.14
0.57
vs Weaker (16)
1.25
0.69
1.25
0.62
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Inter Turku over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.01
Inter Turku over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Inter Turku over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
HJK Helsinki over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
HJK Helsinki over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
HJK Helsinki over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+7.5%
Under 5.5
96.0%
1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+5.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
93.6%
1.05
Betano
1.05
-
-
-
-
+2.8%
Away under 2.5 goals
92.2%
1.09
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
+7.3%
Home +2 handicap
91.0%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
-
-
+18.7%
Under 4.5
89.5%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
+5.5%
Under 5.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
81.3%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Unibet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+1.1%
Over 19.5 fouls
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
77.3%
1.24
Pinnacle
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.22
+2.6%
Under 3.5
76.4%
1.32
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
+5.7%
Home or Draw
76.1%
1.36
Betano
1.42
William Hil
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
+7.6%
Home +1 handicap
76.1%
1.39
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
-
-
+12.8%
Away +2 handicap
75.6%
1.16
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
-
-0.4%
Away under 1.5 goals
74.0%
1.46
Betano
1.52
Unibet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
+9.8%
Over 1.5
71.9%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
-0.9%
Over 2.5 cards
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.4%
1.29
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Unibet
1.27
-1.0%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Inter Turku
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Clinton Jephta40%
J. Yli-Kokko29%
Alie Conteh25%
Ilari Kangasniemi20%
J. Tuominen12%
Jussi Niska11%
Antoin Loic Essomba11%
Albin Granlund0%
J. Laine0%
Juuso Hämäläinen0%
S. Saarinen0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Prosper Ahiabu0%
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Henri Salomaa0%
V. Ulundu0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Prosper Ahiabu25%
Juuso Hämäläinen20%
Ilari Kangasniemi20%
Clinton Jephta20%
J. Yli-Kokko14%
Jussi Niska11%
Luka Kuittinen11%
Antoin Loic Essomba11%
J. Tuominen0%
Albin Granlund0%
J. Laine0%
S. Saarinen0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué0%
Henri Salomaa0%
V. Ulundu0%
Alie Conteh0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Yli-Kokko14%
J. Tuominen12%
J. Laine11%
Antoin Loic Essomba11%
Albin Granlund0%
Juuso Hämäläinen0%
S. Saarinen0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Prosper Ahiabu0%
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Henri Salomaa0%
V. Ulundu0%
Alie Conteh0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Ilari Kangasniemi0%
Clinton Jephta0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Henri Salomaa25%
Alie Conteh25%
Clinton Jephta20%
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué14%
J. Tuominen12%
Albin Granlund0%
J. Laine0%
Juuso Hämäläinen0%
S. Saarinen0%
J. Yli-Kokko0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Prosper Ahiabu0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Antoin Loic Essomba0%
V. Ulundu0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Ilari Kangasniemi0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
HJK Helsinki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
T. Pukki33%
David Ezeh33%
M. Borchers29%
A. Ring20%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster20%
Mihailo Bogićević20%
Toivo Mero20%
V. Tikkanen17%
M. Ylitolva14%
Till Cissokho0%
L. Lappalainen0%
Lucas Lingman0%
J. Kallinen0%
L. Montano0%
Pyry Mentu0%
Alfie Cicale0%
Liam Möller0%
Matej Marković0%
Martin Kirilov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Martin Kirilov40%
Mihailo Bogićević20%
Toivo Mero20%
V. Tikkanen17%
Till Cissokho0%
T. Pukki0%
A. Ring0%
L. Lappalainen0%
Lucas Lingman0%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster0%
M. Borchers0%
J. Kallinen0%
L. Montano0%
M. Ylitolva0%
David Ezeh0%
Pyry Mentu0%
Alfie Cicale0%
Liam Möller0%
Matej Marković0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Ezeh67%
T. Pukki33%
Pyry Mentu33%
Lucas Lingman29%
Liam Möller25%
Martin Kirilov20%
Till Cissokho0%
A. Ring0%
V. Tikkanen0%
L. Lappalainen0%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster0%
M. Borchers0%
J. Kallinen0%
L. Montano0%
M. Ylitolva0%
Mihailo Bogićević0%
Toivo Mero0%
Alfie Cicale0%
Matej Marković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
T. Pukki33%
M. Borchers14%
Till Cissokho0%
A. Ring0%
V. Tikkanen0%
L. Lappalainen0%
Lucas Lingman0%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster0%
J. Kallinen0%
L. Montano0%
M. Ylitolva0%
Mihailo Bogićević0%
David Ezeh0%
Pyry Mentu0%
Toivo Mero0%
Alfie Cicale0%
Liam Möller0%
Matej Marković0%
Martin Kirilov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (22)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
MP (19)
€0m
Inter Turku's squad is €2m less valuable than HJK Helsinki's (€5m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
HAK (7)
€0m
MP (10)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
Inter Turku and HJK Helsinki have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (3)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
MP (2)
€0m
Inter Turku and HJK Helsinki have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
HAK (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
MP (7)
€0m
Inter Turku's defence is €1m less valuable than HJK Helsinki's (€2m vs €3m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
KuPS
Gnistan
AC Oulu
VPS
Lahti
Turku PS
Ilves
SJK
FF Jaro
Mariehamn