Inter Turku’s recent unbeaten run of five games, all ending in draws or a win, sets a cautious tone, yet the model still favours a KuPS victory. The predicted outcome is an away win, with a 39% chance, followed by a 33% draw and a 28% home win. The expected total is 2.0 goals, most likely a 1-1 scoreline at 14.7%. Inter Turku, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.92 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, while KuPS on the road averages 2.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. The model’s edge lies in the low-scoring nature of the fixture; it strongly backs several under-goals selections. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.5% with a 4% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (98.6% with an 8% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%), Under 5.5 (98.2% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.2% with a 6% edge) and Away under 3.5 goals (97.2% with a 3% edge).
Results analysis
The upset came early as Inter Turku edged KuPS 1-0, a result that snapped the pre-match favourite’s run. The model had tipped an away win with a 42% probability, but the prediction was wrong. The final score of 1-0 gave the home side a win, contrary to the model’s expectation. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7%), Under 5.5 (98.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1%), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%). Inter Turku’s recent form, a win in their last match, helped them secure the victory, while KuPS, coming off a defeat, failed to convert the odds.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Inter Turku win✓ Hit
25.9%
Avg Implied 39.9% · @ 2.32
Edge
-14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.45
Pinnacle
2.44
Dafabet
2.35
Superbet
2.32
1xBet
2.32
Draw✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.23
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.35
1xBet
3.32
Marathonbet
3.32
Betano
3.30
Unibet
3.30
KuPS win✗ Miss
41.6%
Avg Implied 31.4% · @ 2.96
Edge
+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.21
Dafabet
3.05
Superbet
3.00
William Hil
3.00
1xBet
2.99
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Inter Turku
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
0.90
1.60
0.53
1.73
1.27
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (24)
1.83
0.96
1.92
0.67
1.75
1.25
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (KuPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KuPS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.97
1.53
1.13
1.47
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
1.67
1.17
1.29
1.29
2.20
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
1.47
0.82
1.75
1.00
1.22
0.67
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
62.1%
@ 1.31-8.9%
Under 1.5
37.9%
@ 3.22+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Under
Unibet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.48
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
33.8%
@ 2.01-13.0%
Under 2.5
66.2%
@ 1.76+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.10
SBO
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Betano
2.02
Under
Unibet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.78
SBO
1.77
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.3%
@ 3.48-11.4%
Under 3.5
84.7%
@ 1.27+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.54
1xBet
3.52
Betfair
3.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.7%
@ 1.75-11.1%
No
58.3%
@ 1.96+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Bet365
1.75
No
Unibet
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
2.00
BetVictor
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%@ 5.72+6.9%
0-0
14.2%@ 8.54+9.0%
0-1
13.8%@ 8.08+8.4%
1-0 ✓
9.9%@ 7.01+3.7%
0-2
8.9%@ 13.69+5.7%
1-2
7.8%@ 9.66+3.3%
2-1
5.8%@ 8.33+0.5%
2-0
4.9%@ 10.29+0.6%
Inter Turku goals ↓
KuPS goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
14%
8.9%
3.5%
1.0%
1
9.9%
15%
7.8%
3.1%
0.9%
2
4.9%
5.8%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
3
1.4%
1.7%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Inter Turku goals (down), columns = KuPS goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
KuPS
1.95
Inter Turku
1.91
HJK Helsinki
1.68
Gnistan
1.64
AC Oulu
1.55
VPS
1.50
Lahti
1.45
Turku PS
1.41
Ilves
1.14
SJK
0.86
FF Jaro
0.68
Mariehamn
0.64
Inter Turku is 0.05 points worse than KuPS in terms of average points per game (1.91 vs 1.95).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
KuPS
1.73
HJK Helsinki
1.64
Gnistan
1.64
Ilves
1.55
VPS
1.32
Inter Turku
1.32
Turku PS
1.27
Lahti
1.18
SJK
1.14
AC Oulu
1.14
FF Jaro
0.82
Mariehamn
0.77
Inter Turku is 0.41 goals worse than KuPS in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.73).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Inter Turku
0.73
Lahti
0.86
VPS
1.00
KuPS
1.05
Turku PS
1.05
AC Oulu
1.14
HJK Helsinki
1.23
Gnistan
1.32
SJK
1.50
Ilves
1.68
Mariehamn
1.95
FF Jaro
2.00
Inter Turku is 0.32 goals better than KuPS in terms of goals conceded per game (0.73 vs 1.05).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Inter Turku
58%
KuPS
57%
Lahti
56%
HJK Helsinki
55%
SJK
50%
Turku PS
50%
Ilves
49%
VPS
48%
AC Oulu
48%
FF Jaro
47%
Mariehamn
45%
Gnistan
44%
Inter Turku is 0.7 percentage points better than KuPS in terms of average possession (58% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Inter Turku
For 5.4 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 11.0 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KuPS
For 4.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 7.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Inter Turku
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.1
10.5
1.2
0.9
1.4
20.0
22.0
18.8
vs Stronger (2)
12.0
17.0
7.0
1.5
0.0
3.0
19.5
23.0
16.0
vs Similar (43)
10.5
10.4
10.5
1.2
1.1
1.3
20.8
21.9
20.0
vs Weaker (5)
13.0
-
13.0
0.6
0.0
1.5
13.5
-
13.5
% over line
64%
56%
69%
12%
12%
12%
43%
56%
36%
% under line
36%
44%
31%
88%
88%
88%
57%
44%
64%
This opponent (KuPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KuPS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.4
9.9
1.4
1.4
1.4
20.6
21.5
19.6
vs Stronger (4)
8.2
7.5
9.0
3.2
3.5
3.0
20.8
19.0
22.5
vs Similar (23)
9.0
8.6
9.5
1.3
1.7
0.8
19.4
22.0
16.3
vs Weaker (23)
9.8
8.5
10.7
1.2
0.6
1.8
22.0
22.0
22.0
% over line
37%
23%
50%
16%
16%
16%
44%
54%
36%
% under line
63%
77%
50%
84%
84%
84%
56%
46%
64%
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
11.5
Inter Turku
10.6
Mariehamn
10.3
SJK
10.1
Ilves
10.1
AC Oulu
10.1
FF Jaro
10.1
HJK Helsinki
9.9
VPS
9.8
KuPS
9.8
Lahti
9.8
Turku PS
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lahti
4.5
Turku PS
4.3
Gnistan
4.0
AC Oulu
3.9
SJK
3.9
Mariehamn
3.9
Ilves
3.8
Inter Turku
3.8
VPS
3.6
FF Jaro
3.3
KuPS
3.2
HJK Helsinki
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SJK
23.8
Ilves
23.2
Inter Turku
23.2
Lahti
23.1
AC Oulu
22.7
Gnistan
22.5
VPS
22.4
KuPS
22.0
Mariehamn
21.9
Turku PS
21.8
HJK Helsinki
20.5
FF Jaro
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.1%
@ 1.84-4.3%
Under 9.5
53.9%
@ 1.87+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.89
Unibet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
30.6%
Under 3.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
34.5%
Under 21.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Inter Turku or Draw✓ Hit
58.4%
Avg Implied 68.4% · @ 1.36
Edge
-10.0%
26%
33%
42%
covers Inter Turku + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Inter Turku or KuPS✓ Hit
67.5%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.30
Edge
-4.4%
26%
33%
42%
covers Inter Turku + KuPS
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Draw or KuPS✗ Miss
74.1%
Avg Implied 59.8% · @ 1.56
Edge
+14.4%
26%
33%
42%
covers Draw + KuPS
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.62
William Hil
1.60
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Inter Turku over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
58.3%
@ 1.26-15.4%
Under
41.7%
@ 3.52+15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.77
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Inter Turku over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.8%
@ 2.29-18.8%
Under
78.2%
@ 1.57+18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.43
Marathonbet
2.36
Superbet
2.30
Betano
2.30
BetVictor
2.30
Under
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.57
Inter Turku over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 5.15-12.1%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.13+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.30
BetVictor
5.25
Superbet
5.10
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Inter Turku over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 10.83-7.5%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.03+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
9.90
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
KuPS over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.2%
@ 1.35+0.7%
Under
30.8%
@ 2.95-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.13
Unibet
3.10
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
2.90
KuPS over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.0%
@ 2.72-1.2%
Under
67.0%
@ 1.42+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.96
Marathonbet
2.88
10Bet
2.75
Superbet
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Under
Unibet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
KuPS over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 6.74-2.2%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.08+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.30
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
KuPS over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 15.67-2.9%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Inter Turku, so a minus line means Inter Turku give that many goals of a start and KuPS receive them. At -1, Inter Turku must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Inter Turku win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Inter Turku)Actual: KuPS
Inter Turku -2
2.3%
@ 9.81-6.7%
Draw -2
6.8%
@ 6.17-7.5%
KuPS +2
90.9%
@ 1.15+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
13.00
Unibet
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
9.40
Marathonbet
6.65
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Superbet
6.30
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Handicap -1 (Inter Turku)Actual: Draw
Inter Turku -1
9.1%
@ 4.55-10.5%
Draw -1
16.8%
@ 3.87-6.3%
KuPS +1
74.1%
@ 1.56+16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.90
Superbet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.80
Away
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Betfair
1.50
Handicap +1 (Inter Turku)Actual: Inter Turku
Inter Turku +1
58.4%
@ 1.37-6.8%
Draw +1
23.1%
@ 4.44+2.9%
KuPS -1
18.5%
@ 6.09+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.40
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.50
Superbet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.10
Away
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
5.90
Unibet
5.50
Handicap +2 (Inter Turku)Actual: Inter Turku
Inter Turku +2
81.5%
@ 1.10-1.2%
Draw +2
12.4%
@ 8.25+1.4%
KuPS -2
6.1%
@ 14.50-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
7.50
Away
Bet365
17.00
Unibet
12.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Inter Turku
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.80
0.47
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.88
0.62
1.00
0.58
0.75
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (KuPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KuPS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.43
0.93
0.47
0.73
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.25
0.86
0.29
1.00
0.20
vs Weaker (17)
0.82
0.59
1.00
0.62
0.67
0.56
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.7%
@ 1.40+1.4%
Under 0.5
32.3%
@ 2.76-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.93
William Hil
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.6%
@ 2.87-0.8%
Under 1.5
68.4%
@ 1.37+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.04
Betano
3.00
1xBet
2.99
Marathonbet
2.99
Superbet
2.90
Under
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
BetVictor
1.38
Betano
1.38
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.7%
@ 7.40-2.9%
Under 2.5
90.3%
@ 1.06+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
7.50
William Hil
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Inter Turku over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.1%
@ 2.02-1.8%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.72+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.08
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.03
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Inter Turku over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.1%
@ 6.51-2.1%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.08+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
6.80
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.10
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Inter Turku over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 18.67-3.1%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
KuPS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.7%
@ 2.24-0.8%
Under
59.3%
@ 1.59+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.26
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Under
Unibet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.60
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.57
KuPS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.5%
@ 7.70-2.6%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.06+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.40
Superbet
7.50
Betano
7.10
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
KuPS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 28.00-98.7%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
28.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Inter Turku
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.37
0.80
0.07
1.07
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.33
0.92
0.08
1.00
0.58
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (KuPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KuPS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.60
0.67
0.73
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.92
0.43
1.00
1.20
0.80
vs Weaker (17)
0.65
0.24
0.75
0.38
0.56
0.11
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.4%
@ 1.25+2.0%
Under 0.5
23.6%
@ 3.62-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.70
10Bet
3.60
Superbet
3.55
William Hil
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.0%
@ 2.18-0.9%
Under 1.5
58.0%
@ 1.63+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Superbet
2.22
William Hil
2.20
Betano
2.18
Under
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Unibet
1.66
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.1%
@ 4.76-4.5%
Under 2.5
84.9%
@ 1.16+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
4.95
William Hil
4.80
Superbet
4.80
Bet365
4.50
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Inter Turku over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.3%
@ 1.73-3.2%
Under
49.7%
@ 1.99+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
Inter Turku over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 4.54-5.9%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.16+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
Superbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Inter Turku over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 12.25-4.5%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
KuPS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.4%
@ 1.90+1.7%
Under
49.6%
@ 1.80-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.92
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
10Bet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Under
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.77
KuPS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.8%
@ 5.57-1.8%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.11+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.70
Superbet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
KuPS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 16.00-3.0%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.5%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
94.2%
1.08
Pinnacle
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Unibet
1.08
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
94.1%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
+12.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
90.9%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
+14.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.5%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
88.4%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.9%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.5%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.2%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
84.7%
1.27
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
+11.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
81.5%
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
78.2%
1.57
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.57
+18.8%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.6%
1.31
Superbet
1.36
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
+7.0%
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.4%
1.25
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
74.1%
1.56
Betano
1.62
William Hil
1.60
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
+14.4%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
74.1%
1.56
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Betfair
1.50
+16.8%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Inter Turku
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Clinton Jephta40%
J. Yli-Kokko29%
Alie Conteh25%
Ilari Kangasniemi20%
J. Tuominen12%
Jussi Niska11%
Antoin Loic Essomba11%
Albin Granlund0%
J. Laine0%
Juuso Hämäläinen0%
S. Saarinen0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Prosper Ahiabu0%
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Henri Salomaa0%
V. Ulundu0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Prosper Ahiabu25%
Juuso Hämäläinen20%
Ilari Kangasniemi20%
Clinton Jephta20%
J. Yli-Kokko14%
Jussi Niska11%
Luka Kuittinen11%
Antoin Loic Essomba11%
J. Tuominen0%
Albin Granlund0%
J. Laine0%
S. Saarinen0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué0%
Henri Salomaa0%
V. Ulundu0%
Alie Conteh0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Yli-Kokko14%
J. Tuominen12%
J. Laine11%
Antoin Loic Essomba11%
Albin Granlund0%
Juuso Hämäläinen0%
S. Saarinen0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Prosper Ahiabu0%
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Henri Salomaa0%
V. Ulundu0%
Alie Conteh0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Ilari Kangasniemi0%
Clinton Jephta0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Henri Salomaa25%
Alie Conteh25%
Clinton Jephta20%
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué14%
J. Tuominen12%
Albin Granlund0%
J. Laine0%
Juuso Hämäläinen0%
S. Saarinen0%
J. Yli-Kokko0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Prosper Ahiabu0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Antoin Loic Essomba0%
V. Ulundu0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Ilari Kangasniemi0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
KuPS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jaime Moreno83%
Bob Nii Armah43%
P. Pennanen29%
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba25%
Gustav Engvall22%
Otto Ruoppi12%
V. Gasc11%
Kasim Adams0%
Johannes Kreidl0%
Clinton Antwi0%
Arttu Heinonen0%
S. Savolainen0%
S. Heiskanen0%
T. Hämäläinen0%
Arttu Lötjönen0%
Calvin Kabuye0%
N. Kujasalo0%
A. Puukko0%
Brahima Magassa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
V. Gasc33%
Arttu Lötjönen25%
A. Puukko25%
Jaime Moreno17%
S. Heiskanen17%
Kasim Adams14%
Clinton Antwi11%
Johannes Kreidl0%
Gustav Engvall0%
P. Pennanen0%
Arttu Heinonen0%
S. Savolainen0%
T. Hämäläinen0%
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba0%
Otto Ruoppi0%
Calvin Kabuye0%
N. Kujasalo0%
Bob Nii Armah0%
Brahima Magassa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
A. Puukko25%
P. Pennanen14%
S. Savolainen14%
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba12%
Otto Ruoppi12%
Gustav Engvall11%
Clinton Antwi11%
Kasim Adams0%
Johannes Kreidl0%
Jaime Moreno0%
Arttu Heinonen0%
S. Heiskanen0%
T. Hämäläinen0%
Arttu Lötjönen0%
V. Gasc0%
Calvin Kabuye0%
N. Kujasalo0%
Bob Nii Armah0%
Brahima Magassa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jaime Moreno67%
Bob Nii Armah57%
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba12%
Gustav Engvall11%
V. Gasc11%
Kasim Adams0%
Johannes Kreidl0%
Clinton Antwi0%
P. Pennanen0%
Arttu Heinonen0%
S. Savolainen0%
S. Heiskanen0%
T. Hämäläinen0%
Arttu Lötjönen0%
Otto Ruoppi0%
Calvin Kabuye0%
N. Kujasalo0%
A. Puukko0%
Brahima Magassa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (22)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
Inter Turku's squad is €2m less valuable than KuPS's (€5m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
Inter Turku and KuPS have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (3)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
Inter Turku's midfield is €2m less valuable than KuPS's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
Inter Turku and KuPS have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
AC Oulu
VPS
Lahti
Turku PS
Ilves
SJK
FF Jaro
Mariehamn