This opponent (Mariehamn) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mariehamn
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.97
1.15
1.92
1.06
2.00
vs Stronger (16)
0.88
2.50
1.11
2.44
0.57
2.57
vs Similar (14)
1.36
1.36
1.25
0.75
1.40
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.8%
Under 1.5
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.2%
Under 2.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.6%
No
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.2%
0-0 â
4.8%
Inter Turku goals ↓
Mariehamn goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
2.6%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.7%
8.9%
3.4%
1.0%
0.2%
2
11%
9.6%
4.1%
1.1%
0.2%
3
8.9%
7.5%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
4
5.2%
4.4%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Inter Turku goals (down), columns = Mariehamn goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Turku PS
3.00
KuPS
2.09
Inter Turku
1.91
Ilves
1.88
SJK
1.84
HJK Helsinki
1.53
FF Jaro
1.26
Mariehamn
1.19
VPS
1.15
Gnistan
1.03
AC Oulu
1.00
Kooteepee
0.72
Haka
0.63
Inter Turku is 0.72 points better than Mariehamn in terms of average points per game (1.91 vs 1.19).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Turku PS
3.00
HJK Helsinki
2.31
SJK
2.19
Ilves
2.12
KuPS
1.94
Inter Turku
1.88
Gnistan
1.47
VPS
1.37
FF Jaro
1.30
AC Oulu
1.30
Mariehamn
1.26
Kooteepee
1.14
Haka
1.11
Inter Turku is 0.62 goals better than Mariehamn in terms of goals scored per game (1.88 vs 1.26).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Turku PS
1.00
Inter Turku
1.03
KuPS
1.06
Ilves
1.41
VPS
1.56
SJK
1.59
HJK Helsinki
1.62
FF Jaro
1.63
Haka
1.85
Mariehamn
1.96
AC Oulu
1.96
Gnistan
2.03
Kooteepee
2.31
Inter Turku is 0.93 goals better than Mariehamn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.96).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
HJK Helsinki
58%
Ilves
54%
KuPS
53%
VPS
50%
Kooteepee
50%
Inter Turku
50%
SJK
49%
AC Oulu
49%
FF Jaro
49%
Mariehamn
48%
Gnistan
44%
Haka
44%
Turku PS
37%
Inter Turku is 1.6 percentage points better than Mariehamn in terms of average possession (50% vs 48%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Inter Turku
For 7.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 11.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 6.0
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 15.0 · Total 24.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mariehamn
For 9.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 11.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 16.0 · Total 26.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Inter Turku
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.0
11.0
0.4
0.3
0.4
27.3
24.0
29.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
11.0
11.0
11.0
0.5
0.3
0.6
27.3
24.0
29.0
vs Weaker (11)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
67%
100%
50%
6%
4%
7%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
33%
0%
50%
94%
96%
93%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Mariehamn) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mariehamn
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.8
13.0
12.5
0.3
0.4
0.2
21.5
26.0
17.0
vs Stronger (26)
11.0
11.0
-
0.2
0.3
0.0
26.0
26.0
-
vs Similar (24)
13.3
15.0
12.5
0.5
0.8
0.3
20.0
26.0
17.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
4%
9%
0%
50%
100%
0%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
96%
91%
100%
50%
0%
100%
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AC Oulu
15.0
Gnistan
11.7
Kooteepee
11.3
SJK
10.6
Haka
10.5
Mariehamn
10.4
VPS
9.9
KuPS
9.7
Inter Turku
9.7
Ilves
9.6
HJK Helsinki
9.5
FF Jaro
9.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gnistan
6.0
FF Jaro
5.0
Kooteepee
4.9
Inter Turku
4.5
Mariehamn
4.4
Haka
4.4
KuPS
4.3
SJK
4.0
AC Oulu
4.0
Ilves
3.9
VPS
3.7
HJK Helsinki
3.3
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AC Oulu
29.0
Ilves
25.0
Inter Turku
24.6
Mariehamn
24.5
SJK
23.8
KuPS
23.7
HJK Helsinki
23.1
Kooteepee
22.9
Haka
22.5
Gnistan
22.3
VPS
22.2
FF Jaro
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
63.1%
Under 9.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.1%
Under 3.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
59.7%
Under 21.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Inter Turku
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.33
0.86
0.21
0.81
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.41
0.80
0.30
0.92
0.50
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.12
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Mariehamn) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mariehamn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.54
0.31
0.29
1.00
vs Stronger (16)
0.38
0.69
0.67
0.22
0.00
1.29
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.71
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Inter Turku over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Turku over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Turku over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Inter Turku
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.43
1.50
0.57
1.06
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.05
0.41
1.50
0.60
0.67
0.25
vs Weaker (8)
1.88
0.50
1.50
0.50
2.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Mariehamn) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mariehamn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.27
0.62
1.62
0.76
1.00
vs Stronger (16)
0.50
1.81
0.44
2.22
0.57
1.29
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.64
1.00
0.25
0.90
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Inter Turku over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Turku over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Turku over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 2.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Inter Turku
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florian Krebs25%
Christian Ouguehi Legbo23%
Antoin Loic Essomba20%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ17%
Bismark Ampofo17%
Iiro JÃĪrvinen14%
Axel Kouame14%
Johannes Yli-Kokko11%
Jasse Tuominen10%
Joonas Kekarainen10%
Bart Straalman8%
Albin Granlund0%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Momodou Sarr0%
Julius Tauriainen0%
Seth Saarinen0%
Eetu Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Florian Krebs33%
Bart Straalman23%
Luka Kuittinen18%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ17%
Bismark Ampofo17%
Iiro JÃĪrvinen14%
Axel Kouame14%
Jasse Tuominen10%
Antoin Loic Essomba10%
Momodou Sarr9%
Christian Ouguehi Legbo8%
Albin Granlund0%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Julius Tauriainen0%
Seth Saarinen0%
Johannes Yli-Kokko0%
Eetu Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Joonas Kekarainen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Axel Kouame29%
Seth Saarinen12%
Antoin Loic Essomba10%
Albin Granlund8%
Florian Krebs8%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ8%
Christian Ouguehi Legbo8%
Jasse Tuominen0%
Bart Straalman0%
Iiro JÃĪrvinen0%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Momodou Sarr0%
Julius Tauriainen0%
Johannes Yli-Kokko0%
Eetu Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Joonas Kekarainen0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Axel Kouame29%
Jean Fiacre KouamÃĐ BotuÃĐ25%
Florian Krebs17%
Antoin Loic Essomba10%
Bart Straalman8%
Christian Ouguehi Legbo8%
Jasse Tuominen0%
Albin Granlund0%
Iiro JÃĪrvinen0%
Juuso HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Momodou Sarr0%
Julius Tauriainen0%
Seth Saarinen0%
Johannes Yli-Kokko0%
Eetu Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Joonas Kekarainen0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Mariehamn
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Korede Adedoyin55%
Leo Andersson40%
Olawale Muhamed Tehe29%
Emmanuel Okereke20%
Jelle van der Heyden10%
Jiri Nissinen9%
Daniel Enqvist8%
Niilo Kujasalo8%
Noah Nurmi0%
Matias Riikonen0%
Sebastian DahlstrÃķm0%
Anttoni Huttunen0%
Hugo Alexandre Santos Cardoso0%
Admiral Muskwe0%
Pontus Lindgren0%
Jayden Reid0%
Michael Fonsell0%
Emmanuel Patut0%
Arvid Lundberg0%
Wille NuÃąez0%
Emir El Kathemi0%
Rasmus Holmberg0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Korede Adedoyin27%
Emmanuel Patut27%
Hugo Alexandre Santos Cardoso20%
Jayden Reid20%
Olawale Muhamed Tehe14%
Matias Riikonen12%
Pontus Lindgren11%
Emmanuel Okereke10%
Jiri Nissinen9%
Sebastian DahlstrÃķm9%
Daniel Enqvist8%
Noah Nurmi0%
Jelle van der Heyden0%
Anttoni Huttunen0%
Admiral Muskwe0%
Michael Fonsell0%
Niilo Kujasalo0%
Arvid Lundberg0%
Leo Andersson0%
Wille NuÃąez0%
Emir El Kathemi0%
Rasmus Holmberg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anttoni Huttunen33%
Hugo Alexandre Santos Cardoso20%
Jayden Reid20%
Jiri Nissinen9%
Korede Adedoyin9%
Emmanuel Patut9%
Daniel Enqvist8%
Niilo Kujasalo8%
Noah Nurmi0%
Jelle van der Heyden0%
Matias Riikonen0%
Sebastian DahlstrÃķm0%
Olawale Muhamed Tehe0%
Admiral Muskwe0%
Pontus Lindgren0%
Michael Fonsell0%
Arvid Lundberg0%
Leo Andersson0%
Emmanuel Okereke0%
Wille NuÃąez0%
Emir El Kathemi0%
Rasmus Holmberg0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Korede Adedoyin27%
Hugo Alexandre Santos Cardoso20%
Leo Andersson20%
Niilo Kujasalo17%
Olawale Muhamed Tehe14%
Jayden Reid10%
Noah Nurmi0%
Jelle van der Heyden0%
Matias Riikonen0%
Jiri Nissinen0%
Sebastian DahlstrÃķm0%
Anttoni Huttunen0%
Admiral Muskwe0%
Pontus Lindgren0%
Daniel Enqvist0%
Michael Fonsell0%
Emmanuel Patut0%
Arvid Lundberg0%
Emmanuel Okereke0%
Wille NuÃąez0%
Emir El Kathemi0%
Rasmus Holmberg0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
Inter Turku's squad is €2m more valuable than Mariehamn's (€5m vs €2m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
HAK (7)
€0m
Inter Turku's attack is €1m more valuable than Mariehamn's (€2m vs €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
Inter Turku and Mariehamn have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
HAK (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
Inter Turku's defence is €1m more valuable than Mariehamn's (€2m vs €1m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →