Inverness CT vs Heart Of Midlothian Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity will dominate this encounter, with Inverness CT having conceded just over a goal per game at home against stronger opposition, while Hearts have kept under a goal on the road against weaker teams. The model favours an away win, with a 37% chance, a draw 32%, and a home win 31%. The expected total goals sit at 2.2, with the most likely total being two goals, a 28% probability. The single most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a 14.7% chance. Hearts’ away form shows 1.56 goals scored and 0.89 conceded, whereas Inverness CT’s home form shows 1.14 scored and 1.07 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 93.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 86.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.1%, Under 3.5 goals at 81.5%, Over 23.5 fouls at 75.5%, and Over 8.5 corners at 70.1%. The model’s selections are the only outcomes with probabilities; the match result probabilities are as stated.

The pre-match favourite, Heart Of Midlothian, fell short in a 0-0 draw that surprised the pundits. Inverness CT, after a defeat, managed a clean sheet at home, while Hearts, unbeaten in five, could not convert their form into a win. The model had predicted an away win with 37% probability, but this call was wrong. Its other selections all came through: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 93.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 86.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.1%, Under 3.5 goals at 81.5%, and Over 23.5 fouls at 75.5%. Only Over 8.5 corners missed, with a 70.1% probability. The final score of 0-0 confirmed the unexpected stalemate.