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Inverness CT vs Morton Result & Analysis

Date: 05/02/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Vs
47%
31%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Inverness CT win✗ Miss
47.2%
Avg Implied 56.8% · @ 1.63
Edge
-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.3%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.66
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Morton win✓ Hit
21.5%
Avg Implied 17.9% · @ 5.18
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L21W10W61W12L00D11D22D11D01LH·DUN13/11A·QUE19/11H·KIL03/12A·MOR11/12H·HAM18/12A·ARB02/01H·RAI08/01H·QUE15/01A·DUN22/01A·KIL29/01
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.901.360.931.310.88
vs Stronger (23)1.131.041.451.090.831.00
vs Similar (7)2.000.431.000.332.750.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-631W02L12L22D16L12L11D50W20W22DA·DUN06/11H·KIL13/11A·RAI20/11H·AYR04/12H·INV11/12A·ARB18/12A·KIL29/12H·DUN08/01A·AYR15/01H·RAI28/01
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.401.401.800.671.00
vs Stronger (5)0.601.200.671.000.501.50
vs Similar (25)1.121.441.582.000.690.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
62.9%
Under 1.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.6%
@ 2.08-10.2%
Under 2.5
65.4%
@ 1.69+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.9%
Under 3.5
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.9%
No
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.8%
1-1
14.0%
0-0
13.7%
2-0
10.4%
0-1 ✓
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.5%
Inverness CT goals ↓
Morton goals →
01234
014%8.5%3.9%1.0%0.2%
115%14%5.0%1.3%0.3%
210%8.2%3.3%0.9%0.2%
34.5%3.6%1.4%0.4%0.1%
41.5%1.2%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Inverness CT goals (down), columns = Morton goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Inverness CT is 0.53 points better than Morton in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Inverness CT is 0.47 goals better than Morton in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Inverness CT is 0.36 goals better than Morton in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.31).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Inverness CTInverness CT

For 4.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1505222522356874423736474751115851010A·KILA·DUNH·QUEH·RAIA·ARBH·HAMA·MORH·KILA·QUEH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6021332214331111143645332214A·KILA·DUNH·QUEH·RAIA·ARBH·HAMA·MORH·KILA·QUEH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 9.3 · Total 21.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

2801414121211815915613510812141196828241924211818262014A·KILA·DUNH·QUEH·RAIA·ARBH·HAMA·MORH·KILA·QUEH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MortonMorton

For 5.0 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

1605446216988447451066359103151681115128H·RAIA·AYRH·DUNA·KILA·ARBH·INVH·AYRA·RAIH·KILA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60324421111132125406221503H·RAIA·AYRH·DUNA·KILA·ARBH·INVH·AYRA·RAIH·KILA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 8.7 · Total 19.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

24081381113613111248109996131110621191924161818152416H·RAIA·AYRH·DUNA·KILA·ARBH·INVH·AYRA·RAIH·KILA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Inverness CTInverness CT

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.69.43.63.83.423.322.524.0
vs Stronger (39)9.49.98.93.94.03.823.422.424.3
vs Similar (11)9.98.611.02.53.02.223.223.223.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line42%46%38%48%54%42%56%54%58%
% under line58%54%62%52%46%58%44%46%42%
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.39.810.82.92.73.220.721.420.0
vs Stronger (9)10.99.612.53.62.45.019.920.219.5
vs Similar (41)10.19.910.42.82.82.920.921.720.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line64%65%62%38%35%42%36%42%29%
% under line36%35%38%62%65%58%64%58%71%
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dunfermline
11.0
Raith Rvs
10.8
Queen of Sth
10.7
Ayr
10.3
Morton
10.3
Partick
10.2
Hamilton
10.2
Kilmarnock
10.0
Arbroath
10.0
Inverness CT
9.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.3
Inverness CT
3.6
Partick
3.5
Arbroath
3.4
Hamilton
3.4
Kilmarnock
3.4
Ayr
3.3
Queen of Sth
3.2
Morton
2.9
Dunfermline
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
24.8
Hamilton
24.4
Inverness CT
23.3
Arbroath
23.2
Raith Rvs
22.1
Dunfermline
21.6
Partick
21.5
Queen of Sth
21.1
Ayr
21.0
Morton
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.0%
Under 9.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.6%
Under 3.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
40.8%
Under 21.5
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Inverness CTInverness CT

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D31W00D00D01L01L10W01LH·DUN13/11A·QUE19/11H·KIL03/12A·MOR11/12H·HAM18/12A·ARB02/01H·RAI08/01H·QUE15/01A·DUN22/01A·KIL29/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.400.290.290.620.50
vs Stronger (23)0.350.480.270.360.420.58
vs Similar (7)0.860.140.330.001.250.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L11D10W13L00D01L30W10W12LA·DUN06/11H·KIL13/11A·RAI20/11H·AYR04/12H·INV11/12A·ARB18/12A·KIL29/12H·DUN08/01A·AYR15/01H·RAI28/01
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.600.930.270.40
vs Stronger (5)0.400.800.331.000.500.50
vs Similar (25)0.440.640.670.920.230.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Inverness CTInverness CT

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D10W30W12L00D10W21W01L00DH·DUN13/11A·QUE19/11H·KIL03/12A·MOR11/12H·HAM18/12A·ARB02/01H·RAI08/01H·QUE15/01A·DUN22/01A·KIL29/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.501.070.640.690.38
vs Stronger (23)0.780.571.180.730.420.42
vs Similar (7)1.140.290.670.331.500.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D01L12L03L12L10W20W10W10WA·DUN06/11H·KIL13/11A·RAI20/11H·AYR04/12H·INV11/12A·ARB18/12A·KIL29/12H·DUN08/01A·AYR15/01H·RAI28/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.800.870.400.60
vs Stronger (5)0.200.400.330.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.680.800.921.080.460.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls85.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.584.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls74.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards74.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Inverness CT and Morton have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
Inverness CT and Morton have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Inverness CT and Morton have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Inverness CT and Morton have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
IC wins
1
Draws
2
MOR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Inverness CT vs Morton · H/A from IC
DateH/AGameScore
11/12/21AMorton Vs IC1-6
16/10/21HIC Vs Morton2-0
06/04/21AMorton Vs IC1-4
09/03/21HIC Vs Morton0-1
27/01/21AMorton Vs IC2-2
03/03/20HIC Vs Morton3-2
26/10/19AMorton Vs IC2-1
30/08/19HIC Vs Morton5-0

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/01/22AKilmarnock Vs IC1-0
22/01/22ADunfermline Vs IC1-1
15/01/22HIC Vs Queen of Sth2-2
08/01/22HIC Vs Raith Rvs1-1
02/01/22AArbroath Vs IC0-0
18/12/21HIC Vs Hamilton1-2
11/12/21AMorton Vs IC1-6
03/12/21HIC Vs Kilmarnock1-0
19/11/21AQueen of Sth Vs IC1-2
13/11/21HIC Vs Dunfermline1-2

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/22HMOR Vs Raith Rvs2-2
15/01/22AAyr Vs MOR0-2
08/01/22HMOR Vs Dunfermline5-0
29/12/21AKilmarnock Vs MOR1-1
18/12/21AArbroath Vs MOR2-1
11/12/21HMOR Vs Inverness CT1-6
04/12/21HMOR Vs Ayr2-2
20/11/21ARaith Rvs Vs MOR2-1
13/11/21HMOR Vs Kilmarnock0-2
06/11/21ADunfermline Vs MOR1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDL1.48
HomeLWLDD1.54
AwayWWDDL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%35%
AVG goals2.322.252.38
Over 1.5 %68%67%69%
Over 2.5 %42%38%46%
Over 3.5 %22%25%19%
Scored1.321.291.35
Conceded1.000.961.04
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet32%29%35%
Corners9.509.629.38
Cards3.583.793.38
Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWD1.02
HomeLDLWD1.04
AwayWLLDW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%19%21%
AVG goals2.322.771.83
Over 1.5 %66%73%58%
Over 2.5 %38%46%29%
Over 3.5 %26%42%8%
Scored0.981.230.71
Conceded1.341.541.12
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet26%23%29%
Corners10.289.8510.75
Cards2.942.693.21

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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