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Inverness CT vs Partick Result & Analysis

Date: 15/09/2018
Time: 00:00
Final 3-2
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Vs
65%
22%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Inverness CT win✓ Hit
65.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Partick win✗ Miss
13.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W51W10W22D10W30W10W00D22D30WH·FAL10/04H·DUM14/04A·DUM18/04H·DUN21/04A·LIV24/04A·MOR28/04A·FAL04/08H·AYR11/08H·ALL25/08A·DUN01/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.771.940.881.140.64
vs Stronger (21)1.240.811.551.000.900.60
vs Similar (6)2.330.832.670.672.001.00
vs Weaker (3)2.330.333.000.501.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W11D11D01L10W02L21W13L10WH·KIL07/04H·HAM21/04A·ST 28/04H·ROS04/05H·MOT08/05A·DUN12/05A·AYR04/08H·FAL11/08A·DUN25/08H·MOR01/09← PremiershipChampionship →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.601.001.000.622.12
vs Stronger (10)0.201.700.251.250.172.00
vs Similar (20)1.101.551.300.900.902.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.3%
Under 1.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
4-0
4.2%
Inverness CT goals ↓
Partick goals →
01234
06.5%3.7%1.9%0.5%0.1%
111%10%3.9%1.1%0.2%
212%9.8%4.1%1.1%0.2%
38.1%6.7%2.8%0.8%0.2%
44.2%3.5%1.4%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Inverness CT goals (down), columns = Partick goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ross County
1.97
Dundee Utd
1.81
Inverness CT
1.56
Ayr
1.50
Morton
1.28
Partick
1.19
Dunfermline
1.14
Alloa
1.08
Falkirk
1.06
Queen of Sth
1.06
Inverness CT is 0.36 points better than Partick in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.19).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ross County
1.75
Ayr
1.39
Dundee Utd
1.36
Inverness CT
1.33
Partick
1.19
Queen of Sth
1.14
Alloa
1.08
Falkirk
1.03
Morton
1.00
Dunfermline
0.92
Inverness CT is 0.14 goals better than Partick in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.19).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ross County
0.94
Ayr
1.06
Dunfermline
1.11
Dundee Utd
1.11
Inverness CT
1.11
Morton
1.25
Queen of Sth
1.33
Falkirk
1.36
Partick
1.44
Alloa
1.47
Inverness CT is 0.33 goals better than Partick in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.44).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Inverness CTInverness CT

For 5.6 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

170191036147325125512164610137115171013610A·DUNH·ALLH·AYRA·FALA·MORA·LIVH·DUNA·DUMH·DUMH·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

502321223112322213115344305442A·DUNH·ALLH·AYRA·FALA·MORA·LIVH·DUNA·DUMH·DUMH·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 8.5 · Total 20.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

240128168166158111081110810759121020242223211918171422A·DUNH·ALLH·AYRA·FALA·MORA·LIVH·DUNA·DUMH·DUMH·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PartickPartick

For 5.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

17010533553410757115245144156107171216668H·MORA·DUNH·FALA·AYRA·DUNH·MOTH·ROSA·ST H·HAMH·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

603222122111243323115433134652H·MORA·DUNH·FALA·AYRA·DUNH·MOTH·ROSA·ST H·HAMH·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

310129118971367751015101120814111321191619141525312224H·MORA·DUNH·FALA·AYRA·DUNH·MOTH·ROSA·ST H·HAMH·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Inverness CTInverness CT

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.710.53.63.83.423.022.623.4
vs Stronger (38)10.49.611.23.74.33.023.723.923.6
vs Similar (8)9.210.58.03.11.54.822.021.522.5
vs Weaker (4)9.09.09.04.23.55.018.012.523.5
% over line56%56%56%50%56%44%62%64%60%
% under line44%44%44%50%44%56%38%36%40%
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.89.13.02.53.620.920.021.8
vs Stronger (21)9.09.09.12.92.33.520.918.823.1
vs Similar (29)9.710.49.13.22.63.720.921.020.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line44%48%40%36%24%48%40%36%44%
% under line56%52%60%64%76%52%60%64%56%
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Morton
11.4
Dundee Utd
11.0
Ayr
10.6
Falkirk
10.3
Alloa
10.2
Ross County
10.2
Inverness CT
10.1
Dunfermline
10.0
Partick
9.4
Queen of Sth
9.2

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dundee Utd
4.2
Dunfermline
3.9
Ross County
3.8
Ayr
3.7
Falkirk
3.6
Inverness CT
3.6
Morton
3.4
Queen of Sth
3.4
Partick
3.0
Alloa
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ross County
24.0
Inverness CT
23.0
Morton
22.8
Dunfermline
22.4
Dundee Utd
22.4
Queen of Sth
22.0
Falkirk
21.9
Alloa
21.8
Ayr
21.4
Partick
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.9%
Under 9.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.8%
Under 3.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
42.2%
Under 21.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Inverness CTInverness CT

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W00D11D00D20W10W00D11D00DH·FAL10/04H·DUM14/04A·DUM18/04H·DUN21/04A·LIV24/04A·MOR28/04A·FAL04/08H·AYR11/08H·ALL25/08A·DUN01/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.331.060.310.500.36
vs Stronger (21)0.670.240.910.270.400.20
vs Similar (6)1.170.671.330.331.001.00
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.500.500.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L11D00D00D02L20W01L00DH·KIL07/04H·HAM21/04A·ST 28/04H·ROS04/05H·MOT08/05A·DUN12/05A·AYR04/08H·FAL11/08A·DUN25/08H·MOR01/09← PremiershipChampionship →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.710.290.191.06
vs Stronger (10)0.100.700.250.250.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.600.700.900.300.301.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Inverness CTInverness CT

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W10W11D10W10W00D00D11D30WH·FAL10/04H·DUM14/04A·DUM18/04H·DUN21/04A·LIV24/04A·MOR28/04A·FAL04/08H·AYR11/08H·ALL25/08A·DUN01/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.430.880.560.640.29
vs Stronger (21)0.570.570.640.730.500.40
vs Similar (6)1.170.171.330.331.000.00
vs Weaker (3)1.330.001.500.001.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W10W00D01L10W00D01L12L10WH·KIL07/04H·HAM21/04A·ST 28/04H·ROS04/05H·MOT08/05A·DUN12/05A·AYR04/08H·FAL11/08A·DUN25/08H·MOR01/09← PremiershipChampionship →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.900.290.710.441.06
vs Stronger (10)0.101.000.001.000.171.00
vs Similar (20)0.500.850.400.600.601.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls85.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners76.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls73.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards72.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (22)
€11m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Inverness CT's squad is €2m less valuable than Partick's (€1m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (7)
€4m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
Inverness CT and Partick have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (6)
€3m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Inverness CT and Partick have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Inverness CT and Partick have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
IC wins
4
Draws
2
PAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Inverness CT vs Partick · H/A from IC
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/17APartick Vs IC1-1
28/01/17HIC Vs Partick0-0
06/08/16APartick Vs IC2-0
30/04/16APartick Vs IC1-4
23/01/16HIC Vs Partick0-0
21/11/15APartick Vs IC2-1
12/08/15HIC Vs Partick0-0

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/18ADunfermline Vs IC0-3
25/08/18HIC Vs Alloa2-2
11/08/18HIC Vs Ayr0-0
04/08/18AFalkirk Vs IC0-1
28/04/18AMorton Vs IC0-3
24/04/18ALivingston Vs IC0-1
21/04/18HIC Vs Dunfermline2-2
18/04/18ADumbarton Vs IC0-1
14/04/18HIC Vs Dumbarton5-1
10/04/18HIC Vs Falkirk1-0

PartickPartick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/18HPAR Vs Morton1-0
25/08/18ADundee Utd Vs PAR3-1
11/08/18HPAR Vs Falkirk2-1
04/08/18AAyr Vs PAR2-0
12/05/18ADundee Vs PAR0-1
08/05/18HPAR Vs Motherwell0-1
04/05/18HPAR Vs Ross County1-1
28/04/18AST Johnstone Vs PAR1-1
21/04/18HPAR Vs Hamilton2-1
07/04/18HPAR Vs Kilmarnock0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.52
HomeWWDDD1.68
AwayWWWWW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals2.582.682.48
Over 1.5 %66%72%60%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored1.421.601.24
Conceded1.161.081.24
BTTS42%52%32%
Clean Sheet40%32%48%
Corners10.129.7210.52
Cards3.623.803.44
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW0.88
HomeWDLWW1.24
AwayLDWLL0.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%36%8%
AVG goals2.522.522.52
Over 1.5 %72%64%80%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored0.801.000.60
Conceded1.721.521.92
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet16%24%8%
Corners9.449.809.08
Cards3.042.483.60

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ross CountyRoss County3671
58%
2.0
6334+29
2.7
72%
50%
31%
10.3
64%
4.1
58%
24.0
67%
1
0011.80.9
-
2Dundee UtdDundee Utd3665
53%
1.8
4940+9
2.5
78%
39%
14%
10.9
58%
4.2
69%
22.8
58%
11
4341.41.1
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3656
39%
1.6
4840+8
2.4
64%
50%
28%
11.4
72%
3.8
56%
21.5
53%
1
0001.31.1
-
4
A
Ayr
3654
42%
1.5
5038+12
2.4
61%
39%
28%
9.0
39%
3.2
44%
22.0
56%
0
0001.41.1
-
5MortonMorton3646
31%
1.3
3645-9
2.2
69%
39%
14%
10.6
58%
3.5
53%
22.4
58%
1
0001.01.2
-
6PartickPartick3643
33%
1.2
4352-9
2.6
78%
53%
19%
10.8
67%
3.5
44%
21.0
36%
3
1111.21.4
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline3641
31%
1.1
3340-7
2.0
47%
36%
19%
9.8
53%
3.3
39%
22.3
61%
4
2020.91.1
-
8
A
Alloa
3639
28%
1.1
3953-14
2.6
75%
50%
22%
11.2
67%
3.0
39%
22.1
53%
0
0001.11.5
-
9
QO
Queen of Sth
3638
25%
1.1
4148-7
2.5
72%
47%
19%
10.2
56%
3.3
39%
20.4
39%
0
0001.11.3
-
10FalkirkFalkirk3638
25%
1.1
3749-12
2.4
78%
36%
17%
10.2
61%
3.6
53%
21.1
47%
6
2131.01.4
-
Scotland: Championship 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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