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Inverness CT vs Partick Result & Analysis

Date: 11/09/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Vs
45%
29%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Inverness CT win✓ Hit
45.5%
Avg Implied 40.1% · @ 2.31
Edge
+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 29.3% · @ 3.16
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Partick win✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.03
Edge
-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W41W11D11D03L22D10W10W10W10WH·ARB27/03A·MOR06/04A·QUE10/04H·DUN20/04A·HEA24/04H·AYR30/04A·ARB31/07H·RAI07/08H·AYR21/08A·KIL28/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.931.200.871.401.00
vs Stronger (23)1.170.961.170.921.181.00
vs Similar (7)1.710.861.330.672.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W20W10W22D50W23L32W30W13L30WH·MON15/04A·DUM20/04H·AIR24/04A·COV27/04H·FAL29/04A·MON04/05H·QUE31/07A·DUN07/08A·ARB21/08H·MOR28/08← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.901.930.671.531.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.831.002.080.671.581.33
vs Weaker (6)1.330.501.330.671.330.33
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.2%
Under 1.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.3%
@ 2.12+1.1%
Under 2.5
54.7%
@ 1.68-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.0%
Under 3.5
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
Inverness CT goals ↓
Partick goals →
01234
09.6%7.4%4.4%1.5%0.4%
111%14%6.5%2.2%0.6%
28.8%9.1%4.7%1.6%0.4%
34.2%4.4%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.5%1.6%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Inverness CT goals (down), columns = Partick goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Inverness CT is 0.19 points better than Partick in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.44).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Inverness CT is 0.19 goals better than Partick in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Inverness CT is 0.17 goals better than Partick in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Inverness CTInverness CT

For 3.8 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

17025639827457441131113579179911153128A·KILH·AYRH·RAIA·ARBH·AYRA·HEAH·DUNA·QUEA·MORH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5032222222322213115444523302A·KILH·AYRH·RAIA·ARBH·AYRA·HEAH·DUNA·QUEA·MORH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 13.5 · Total 26.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

340151281391315121014131618915161213171727212227242927312534A·KILH·AYRH·RAIA·ARBH·AYRA·HEAH·DUNA·QUEA·MORH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PartickPartick

For 4.9 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

170524310741031431278823677171447315109H·MORA·ARBA·DUNH·QUEA·MONH·FALA·COVH·AIRA·DUMH·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50313121212411221124403235333H·MORA·ARBA·DUNH·QUEA·MONH·FALA·COVH·AIRA·DUMH·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.5 · Total 20.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

250101011139996101491212138691312920241815242125142221H·MORA·ARBA·DUNH·QUEA·MONH·FALA·COVH·AIRA·DUMH·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Inverness CTInverness CT

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.510.43.33.63.122.522.322.7
vs Stronger (39)10.611.49.93.63.83.422.222.222.2
vs Similar (11)9.87.212.02.52.82.223.622.824.3
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line56%54%58%42%46%38%56%54%58%
% under line44%46%42%58%54%62%44%46%42%
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.510.33.02.93.119.818.721.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (42)10.210.110.23.02.93.019.918.621.2
vs Weaker (8)11.512.210.83.13.03.219.419.219.5
% over line62%60%64%34%32%36%38%32%44%
% under line38%40%36%66%68%64%62%68%56%
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dunfermline
10.9
Raith Rvs
10.7
Hamilton
10.5
Inverness CT
10.4
Partick
10.4
Kilmarnock
10.3
Morton
10.3
Queen of Sth
10.1
Ayr
10.1
Arbroath
9.4

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.2
Kilmarnock
3.7
Ayr
3.4
Inverness CT
3.3
Queen of Sth
3.3
Arbroath
3.2
Hamilton
3.2
Dunfermline
3.0
Morton
3.0
Partick
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
25.6
Hamilton
24.5
Arbroath
22.9
Raith Rvs
22.9
Inverness CT
22.5
Ayr
21.7
Queen of Sth
20.6
Morton
20.0
Dunfermline
20.0
Partick
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.1%
Under 9.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.3%
Under 3.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.4%
Under 21.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Inverness CTInverness CT

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W00D00D03L11D00D00D00D10WH·ARB27/03A·MOR06/04A·QUE10/04H·DUN20/04A·HEA24/04H·AYR30/04A·ARB31/07H·RAI07/08H·AYR21/08A·KIL28/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.470.200.400.600.53
vs Stronger (23)0.350.480.250.420.450.55
vs Similar (7)0.570.430.000.331.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D10W11D30W12L21W20W11D10WH·MON15/04A·DUM20/04H·AIR24/04A·COV27/04H·FAL29/04A·MON04/05H·QUE31/07A·DUN07/08A·ARB21/08H·MOR28/08← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.530.800.400.530.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.790.580.920.330.670.83
vs Weaker (6)0.170.330.330.670.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Inverness CTInverness CT

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W11D11D00D11D10W10W10W00DH·ARB27/03A·MOR06/04A·QUE10/04H·DUN20/04A·HEA24/04H·AYR30/04A·ARB31/07H·RAI07/08H·AYR21/08A·KIL28/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.471.000.470.800.47
vs Stronger (23)0.830.480.920.500.730.45
vs Similar (7)1.140.431.330.331.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W00D11D20W11D11D10W02L20WH·MON15/04A·DUM20/04H·AIR24/04A·COV27/04H·FAL29/04A·MON04/05H·QUE31/07A·DUN07/08A·ARB21/08H·MOR28/08← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.371.130.271.000.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.040.421.170.330.920.50
vs Weaker (6)1.170.171.000.001.330.33
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls75.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards71.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls71.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Inverness CT's squad is €2m less valuable than Partick's (€1m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
Inverness CT and Partick have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Inverness CT and Partick have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Inverness CT and Partick have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
IC wins
2
Draws
3
PAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Inverness CT vs Partick · H/A from IC
DateH/AGameScore
14/12/19APartick Vs IC3-1
28/09/19HIC Vs Partick1-3
22/03/19APartick Vs IC1-2
02/02/19HIC Vs Partick1-2
10/11/18APartick Vs IC0-1
15/09/18HIC Vs Partick3-2
11/03/17APartick Vs IC1-1
28/01/17HIC Vs Partick0-0

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/21AKilmarnock Vs IC0-1
21/08/21HIC Vs Ayr1-0
07/08/21HIC Vs Raith Rvs1-0
31/07/21AArbroath Vs IC0-1
30/04/21HIC Vs Ayr2-2
24/04/21AHeart Of Midlothian Vs IC3-0
20/04/21HIC Vs Dundee1-1
10/04/21AQueen of Sth Vs IC1-1
06/04/21AMorton Vs IC1-4
27/03/21HIC Vs Arbroath1-0

PartickPartick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/21HPAR Vs Morton3-0
21/08/21AArbroath Vs PAR3-1
07/08/21ADunfermline Vs PAR0-3
31/07/21HPAR Vs Queen of Sth3-2
04/05/21AMontrose Vs PAR3-2
29/04/21HPAR Vs Falkirk5-0
27/04/21ACove Rangers Vs PAR2-2
24/04/21HPAR Vs Airdrie United1-0
20/04/21ADumbarton Vs PAR0-2
15/04/21HPAR Vs Montrose5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.54
HomeWDDWW1.67
AwayWDLWW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%42%42%
AVG goals2.402.292.50
Over 1.5 %74%67%81%
Over 2.5 %42%33%50%
Over 3.5 %22%29%15%
Scored1.301.331.27
Conceded1.100.961.23
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet34%33%35%
Corners10.4410.5010.38
Cards3.323.583.08
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.48
HomeWWWWW1.52
AwayWDLWL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%40%40%
AVG goals2.842.762.92
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.561.601.52
Conceded1.281.161.40
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners10.3810.4810.28
Cards2.982.883.08

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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