Inverness CT's defensive solidity has been a key factor in their recent unbeaten run, with only one goal conceded in their last five matches, a 0-0 draw against Arbroath. The Caley Jags have also shown impressive home form, scoring an average of 2.75 goals and conceding just 0.5 per game against similar opponents. In contrast, Partick have struggled to find the back of the net away from home, averaging just 1.21 goals per game against similar opponents, while conceding 1.07.
The model predicts a low-scoring match, with a 2-0 home win as the most likely result (28% probability). The expected total goals is 2.0, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1 (14.7% probability). Partick's away form has been inconsistent, with a recent 2-0 win against Livingston followed by a draw and a loss.
The model's selection is the Under 3.5 goals (86.2% probability). The home win percentage is 39%, the draw percentage is 34%, and the away win percentage is 28%. The model's selection, the Under 3.5 goals, is the most likely pick, with an 86.2% probability.
Results analysis
Inverness CT’s home form was a mixed bag, coming off a draw, while Partick had a slightly better run, also ending in a draw. The final score was 1-1, a draw that defied the model’s pre-match favourite, Home win, which had a 37 % chance. The model’s call was therefore wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.9 %; Under 6.5 hit at 99.6 %; Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.8 %; Under 5.5 hit at 98.6 %; Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.4 %; Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.3 %; Home under 3.5 goals hit at 97.8 %; and Under 4.5 hit at 95.4 %. The match ended in a stalemate, leaving the model’s predictions largely accurate except for the home win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Inverness CT win✗ Miss
37.3%
Avg Implied 36.8% · @ 2.48
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.58
Betfair
2.55
SBO
2.52
Superbet
2.52
10Bet
2.50
Draw✓ Hit
34.1%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.33
Edge
+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.50
Betano
3.40
10Bet
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Partick win✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 35.9% · @ 2.54
Edge
-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
2.70
Pinnacle
2.66
Unibet
2.65
Dafabet
2.65
Superbet
2.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Inverness CT
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.80
1.85
0.62
1.00
0.94
vs Stronger (25)
1.52
0.84
1.92
0.58
1.15
1.08
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Partick
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
0.83
1.77
0.62
1.47
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.56
0.81
1.75
0.50
1.40
1.07
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.6%
@ 1.23-17.0%
Under 1.5
41.4%
@ 3.80+17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.25
888Sport
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Under
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
4.02
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.85
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
30.3%
@ 1.78-22.3%
Under 2.5
69.7%
@ 1.97+22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.91
Unibet
1.86
888Sport
1.85
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Under
Bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.05
Betfair
2.05
Marathonbet
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.9%
@ 2.88-19.3%
Under 3.5
87.1%
@ 1.37+19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.10
Unibet
3.05
Pinnacle
3.02
10Bet
2.95
BetVictor
2.88
Under
Superbet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.2%
@ 1.61-18.2%
No
60.8%
@ 2.18+18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.70
Unibet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Betano
1.60
No
Betfair
2.30
1xBet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
BetVictor
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.0%@ 10.49+11.7%
1-1 ✓
14.8%@ 6.17+7.5%
1-0
13.9%@ 8.79+8.8%
0-1
11.5%@ 8.97+6.5%
2-0
8.0%@ 12.36+4.3%
2-1
7.0%@ 8.87+2.0%
1-2
5.9%@ 9.04+1.0%
0-2
5.7%@ 12.56+2.1%
Inverness CT goals ↓
Partick goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
12%
5.7%
1.7%
0.4%
1
14%
15%
5.9%
1.7%
0.4%
2
8.0%
7.0%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
3
2.8%
2.4%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Inverness CT goals (down), columns = Partick goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Partick
1.85
Livingston
1.73
Dunfermline
1.54
Arbroath
1.48
Raith Rovers
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen's Park
1.14
Ayr Utd
1.08
Morton
1.04
Inverness CT
0.99
Inverness CT is 0.86 points worse than Partick in terms of average points per game (0.99 vs 1.85).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Livingston
1.52
Partick
1.50
Dunfermline
1.44
Arbroath
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Raith Rovers
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.06
Morton
1.00
Queen's Park
0.97
Inverness CT
0.87
Inverness CT is 0.63 goals worse than Partick in terms of goals scored per game (0.87 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Livingston
0.91
Partick
0.96
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Dunfermline
1.02
Arbroath
1.15
Raith Rovers
1.17
Ayr Utd
1.31
Queen's Park
1.33
Morton
1.38
Inverness CT
1.59
Inverness CT is 0.63 goals worse than Partick in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 0.96).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Inverness CT
For 5.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Partick
For 6.0 · Against 6.3 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 9.0 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Inverness CT
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.4
8.4
2.7
2.5
2.8
22.1
21.8
22.3
vs Stronger (43)
9.1
9.9
8.4
2.4
2.1
2.8
21.4
20.8
22.1
vs Similar (3)
4.0
4.0
4.0
1.0
2.0
0.5
25.0
32.0
18.0
vs Weaker (4)
9.5
8.5
10.5
6.2
6.5
6.0
25.8
25.0
26.5
% over line
38%
40%
35%
34%
29%
38%
50%
50%
50%
% under line
62%
60%
65%
66%
71%
62%
50%
50%
50%
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Partick
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.2
11.2
0.8
0.8
0.9
18.1
18.0
18.2
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
10.8
10.2
11.2
0.9
0.9
1.0
18.1
18.0
18.2
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
67%
50%
80%
10%
9%
11%
22%
25%
20%
% under line
33%
50%
20%
90%
91%
89%
78%
75%
80%
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Morton
10.9
Partick
10.4
Ayr Utd
10.0
Livingston
9.9
Arbroath
9.6
Dunfermline
9.3
Inverness CT
9.1
Queen's Park
9.0
Stenhousemuir
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Stenhousemuir
4.8
Morton
4.5
Partick
4.4
Livingston
4.2
Ayr Utd
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Arbroath
3.6
Inverness CT
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stenhousemuir
25.4
Livingston
25.3
Ayr Utd
22.0
Morton
21.6
Inverness CT
21.6
Arbroath
20.9
Dunfermline
20.7
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.9%
@ 1.89+1.9%
Under 9.5
49.1%
@ 1.81-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Under
Unibet
1.92
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.5%
Under 3.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
51.5%
Under 21.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Inverness CT or Draw✓ Hit
71.4%
Avg Implied 64.1% · @ 1.44
Edge
+7.3%
37%
34%
29%
covers Inverness CT + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Inverness CT or Partick✗ Miss
65.9%
Avg Implied 72.8% · @ 1.27
Edge
-6.9%
37%
34%
29%
covers Inverness CT + Partick
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
Draw or Partick✓ Hit
62.7%
Avg Implied 63.1% · @ 1.47
Edge
-0.4%
37%
34%
29%
covers Draw + Partick
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.50
888Sport
1.50
10Bet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.8%
@ 1.24-9.8%
Under
35.2%
@ 3.64+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.81
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.74
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.70
Inverness CT over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.0%
@ 2.20-14.1%
Under
72.0%
@ 1.60+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
10Bet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Unibet
2.25
888Sport
2.20
Under
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.61
Inverness CT over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 4.86-10.2%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.15+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
888Sport
5.00
10Bet
5.00
1xBet
4.95
Under
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.16
888Sport
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
Inverness CT over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 10.06-7.2%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.04+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
13.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.75
Bet365
8.50
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Partick over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
58.5%
@ 1.25-15.4%
Under
41.5%
@ 3.55+15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.86
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
1xBet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Partick over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
22.0%
@ 2.28-18.6%
Under
78.0%
@ 1.56+18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.40
Unibet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.38
Bet365
2.25
Betano
2.25
Under
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Partick over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.0%
@ 5.03-12.4%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.13+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
5.75
Unibet
5.30
1xBet
5.05
Marathonbet
5.05
10Bet
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Partick over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 11.31-7.1%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.03+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
17.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Bet365
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Inverness CT, so a minus line means Inverness CT give that many goals of a start and Partick receive them. At -1, Inverness CT must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Inverness CT win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Inverness CT)Actual: Partick
Inverness CT -2
4.5%
@ 9.64-4.6%
Draw -2
10.7%
@ 6.45-2.9%
Partick +2
84.8%
@ 1.14+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
13.00
Unibet
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Inverness CT)Actual: Partick
Inverness CT -1
15.2%
@ 4.93-2.8%
Draw -1
22.1%
@ 4.17+0.7%
Partick +1
62.7%
@ 1.47+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Unibet
4.70
Bet365
4.50
Draw
Marathonbet
4.33
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Away
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Handicap +1 (Inverness CT)Actual: Inverness CT
Inverness CT +1
71.4%
@ 1.44+9.7%
Draw +1
18.4%
@ 4.26-2.4%
Partick -1
10.2%
@ 5.07-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Unibet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Away
Unibet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Handicap +2 (Inverness CT)Actual: Inverness CT
Inverness CT +2
89.8%
@ 1.11+11.3%
Draw +2
7.6%
@ 6.71-5.5%
Partick -2
2.6%
@ 10.41-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Betfair
13.00
Unibet
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.65
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Inverness CT
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.27
0.85
0.31
0.53
0.24
vs Stronger (25)
0.68
0.28
0.83
0.25
0.54
0.31
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Partick
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.40
1.23
0.38
0.65
0.41
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.85
0.33
1.25
0.25
0.53
0.40
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
65.1%
@ 1.33-4.5%
Under 0.5
34.9%
@ 3.05+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.22
William Hil
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.02
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.4%
@ 2.57-5.5%
Under 1.5
69.6%
@ 1.44+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.69
10Bet
2.65
Unibet
2.63
Betano
2.62
Betfair
2.60
Under
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
BetVictor
1.46
Betfair
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.7%
@ 6.29-5.0%
Under 2.5
90.3%
@ 1.08+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.25
1xBet
6.25
William Hil
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.8%
@ 1.99-3.8%
Under
57.2%
@ 1.73+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.00
Unibet
1.98
1xBet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Superbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 6.19-3.2%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.08+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
6.45
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 17.25-4.0%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
41.4%
@ 2.02-4.5%
Under
58.6%
@ 1.71+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
Superbet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.7%
@ 6.34-5.8%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.08+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.60
Marathonbet
6.60
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 17.50-3.8%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Inverness CT
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
1.00
0.31
0.47
0.71
vs Stronger (25)
0.84
0.56
1.08
0.33
0.62
0.77
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Partick
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.43
0.54
0.23
0.82
0.59
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.70
0.48
0.50
0.25
0.87
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
-
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
95.4%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
+12.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.0%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
+12.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.3%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
91.1%
1.15
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.16
888Sport
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.08
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.8%
1.11
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+11.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.08
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
87.1%
1.37
Superbet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
+19.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.8%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
78.0%
1.56
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
+18.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
72.6%
1.29
Superbet
1.34
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
+1.3%
-
Home under 1.5 goals
72.0%
1.60
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.61
+14.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
71.4%
1.44
Betano
1.50
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
71.4%
1.44
10Bet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
+9.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
STE (2)
€0m
Inverness CT's squad is €2m less valuable than Partick's (€1m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (9)
€2m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
Inverness CT and Partick have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
Inverness CT and Partick have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Inverness CT and Partick have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stenhousemuir
Raith Rovers
Arbroath
Livingston
Ayr Utd
Dunfermline
Morton
Queen's Park