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Inverness CT vs Queen of Sth Result & Analysis

Date: 05/01/2019
Time: 00:00
Final 1-2
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Vs
41%
27%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
QO
Queen of Sth
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Inverness CT win✗ Miss
40.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth win✓ Hit
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D22D22D10W33D23L11D21W12LA·DUN20/10A·ALL27/10H·DUN30/10H·ROS03/11A·PAR10/11A·QUE17/11H·FAL01/12H·DUN15/12A·MOR22/12A·ROS29/12
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.901.871.201.330.60
vs Stronger (24)1.331.001.501.331.170.67
vs Similar (4)2.500.502.500.502.500.50
vs Weaker (2)3.000.505.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L02L11D33D10W11D00D02L11DH·FAL27/10H·MOR30/10A·DUN03/11A·AYR10/11H·INV17/11H·PAR01/12A·ROS08/12H·DUN15/12A·ALL22/12H·AYR29/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.371.691.501.501.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.691.381.711.361.671.42
vs Weaker (4)1.001.251.502.500.500.00
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.2%
Under 2.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.9%
Under 3.5
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-2 ✓
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
6.7%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
Inverness CT goals ↓
Queen of Sth goals →
01234
07.0%6.5%5.1%2.3%0.8%
17.6%13%7.8%3.4%1.1%
26.7%8.9%5.9%2.6%0.9%
33.4%4.5%3.0%1.3%0.4%
41.3%1.7%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Inverness CT goals (down), columns = Queen of Sth goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ross County
1.97
Dundee Utd
1.81
Inverness CT
1.56
Ayr
1.50
Morton
1.28
Partick
1.19
Dunfermline
1.14
Alloa
1.08
Falkirk
1.06
Queen of Sth
1.06
Inverness CT is 0.50 points better than Queen of Sth in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.06).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ross County
1.75
Ayr
1.39
Dundee Utd
1.36
Inverness CT
1.33
Partick
1.19
Queen of Sth
1.14
Alloa
1.08
Falkirk
1.03
Morton
1.00
Dunfermline
0.92
Inverness CT is 0.19 goals better than Queen of Sth in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ross County
0.94
Ayr
1.06
Dunfermline
1.11
Dundee Utd
1.11
Inverness CT
1.11
Morton
1.25
Queen of Sth
1.33
Falkirk
1.36
Partick
1.44
Alloa
1.47
Inverness CT is 0.22 goals better than Queen of Sth in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Inverness CTInverness CT

For 6.5 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

16086673891975784635265141311101612129711A·ROSA·MORH·DUNH·FALA·QUEA·PARH·ROSH·DUNA·ALLA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

90454211223122222114519624444356A·ROSA·MORH·DUNH·FALA·QUEA·PARH·ROSH·DUNA·ALLA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

310861511157147912817131812131012111414262221212531252225A·ROSA·MORH·DUNH·FALA·QUEA·PARH·ROSH·DUNA·ALLA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QO
Queen of Sth

For 4.6 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

16048539241107931133121724131261116146139H·AYRA·ALLH·DUNA·ROSH·PARH·INVA·AYRA·DUNH·MORH·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5032111111314345112141434H·AYRA·ALLH·DUNA·ROSH·PARH·INVA·AYRA·DUNH·MORH·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.6 · Total 21.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

30016141911911117111312987136411101730302018242115191527H·AYRA·ALLH·DUNA·ROSH·PARH·INVA·AYRA·DUNH·MORH·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Inverness CTInverness CT

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.49.811.04.03.94.122.321.722.9
vs Stronger (38)10.69.611.54.04.43.723.123.422.8
vs Similar (8)10.411.29.53.61.85.520.618.023.2
vs Weaker (4)9.09.09.04.23.55.018.012.523.5
% over line62%56%68%64%68%60%54%52%56%
% under line38%44%32%36%32%40%46%48%44%
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QO
Queen of Sth

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.110.13.33.53.021.623.719.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (41)9.58.910.23.13.62.621.524.018.6
vs Weaker (9)10.010.29.83.93.24.422.122.222.0
% over line50%38%62%40%50%29%42%58%25%
% under line50%62%38%60%50%71%58%42%75%
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Morton
10.9
Dundee Utd
10.6
Alloa
10.5
Inverness CT
10.4
Partick
10.3
Ross County
10.1
Dunfermline
10.1
Falkirk
10.0
Ayr
9.9
Queen of Sth
9.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dundee Utd
4.3
Inverness CT
4.0
Ross County
3.8
Ayr
3.8
Falkirk
3.8
Dunfermline
3.7
Queen of Sth
3.3
Morton
3.3
Alloa
3.1
Partick
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ross County
23.4
Dundee Utd
22.8
Inverness CT
22.3
Dunfermline
22.2
Alloa
22.1
Ayr
22.0
Morton
21.9
Queen of Sth
21.6
Falkirk
21.5
Partick
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.7%
Under 9.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.2%
Under 3.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
44.0%
Under 21.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Inverness CTInverness CT

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D22D22D00D01L12L10W10W11DA·DUN20/10A·ALL27/10H·DUN30/10H·ROS03/11A·PAR10/11A·QUE17/11H·FAL01/12H·DUN15/12A·MOR22/12A·ROS29/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.471.130.730.530.20
vs Stronger (24)0.710.501.000.750.420.25
vs Similar (4)1.500.251.500.501.500.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QO
Queen of Sth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L01L00D10W00D00D00D00D11DH·FAL27/10H·MOR30/10A·DUN03/11A·AYR10/11H·INV17/11H·PAR01/12A·ROS08/12H·DUN15/12A·ALL22/12H·AYR29/12
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.630.880.810.570.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.810.650.930.790.670.50
vs Weaker (4)0.250.500.501.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Inverness CTInverness CT

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D00D10W32W11D01L11D01LA·DUN20/10A·ALL27/10H·DUN30/10H·ROS03/11A·PAR10/11A·QUE17/11H·FAL01/12H·DUN15/12A·MOR22/12A·ROS29/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.430.730.470.800.40
vs Stronger (24)0.620.500.500.580.750.42
vs Similar (4)1.000.251.000.001.000.50
vs Weaker (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QO
Queen of Sth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D01L11D23L10W11D00D02L00DH·FAL27/10H·MOR30/10A·DUN03/11A·AYR10/11H·INV17/11H·PAR01/12A·ROS08/12H·DUN15/12A·ALL22/12H·AYR29/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.730.810.690.930.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.880.730.790.571.000.92
vs Weaker (4)0.750.751.001.500.500.00
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards88.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls83.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards76.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls71.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (22)
€11m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (7)
€4m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (6)
€3m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
IC wins
4
Draws
0
QOS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Inverness CT vs Queen of Sth · H/A from IC
DateH/AGameScore
17/11/18AQueen of Sth Vs IC3-3
29/09/18HIC Vs Queen of Sth0-0
07/04/18AQueen of Sth Vs IC0-2
13/01/18HIC Vs Queen of Sth3-1
02/12/17AQueen of Sth Vs IC0-0
30/09/17HIC Vs Queen of Sth0-0

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/12/18ARoss County Vs IC2-1
22/12/18AMorton Vs IC1-2
15/12/18HIC Vs Dundee Utd1-1
01/12/18HIC Vs Falkirk2-3
17/11/18AQueen of Sth Vs IC3-3
10/11/18APartick Vs IC0-1
03/11/18HIC Vs Ross County2-2
30/10/18HIC Vs Dunfermline2-2
27/10/18AAlloa Vs IC0-0
20/10/18ADundee Utd Vs IC1-1

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/12/18HQOS Vs Ayr1-1
22/12/18AAlloa Vs QOS2-0
15/12/18HQOS Vs Dunfermline0-0
08/12/18ARoss County Vs QOS1-1
01/12/18HQOS Vs Partick1-0
17/11/18HQOS Vs Inverness CT3-3
10/11/18AAyr Vs QOS1-1
03/11/18ADundee Utd Vs QOS2-0
30/10/18HQOS Vs Morton1-2
27/10/18HQOS Vs Falkirk2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWL1.58
HomeDDDLD1.64
AwayDWDWL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%40%40%
AVG goals2.442.842.04
Over 1.5 %62%72%52%
Over 2.5 %44%52%36%
Over 3.5 %34%52%16%
Scored1.441.721.16
Conceded1.001.120.88
BTTS46%56%36%
Clean Sheet44%36%52%
Corners10.429.8411.00
Cards3.983.884.08
QO
Queen of Sth
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLD1.32
HomeLDWDD1.15
AwayWLDDL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%23%42%
AVG goals2.862.852.88
Over 1.5 %72%73%71%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %40%38%42%
Scored1.481.461.50
Conceded1.381.381.38
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet36%38%33%
Corners9.589.0810.12
Cards3.263.542.96

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ross CountyRoss County3671
58%
2.0
6334+29
2.7
72%
50%
31%
10.3
64%
4.1
58%
24.0
67%
1
0011.80.9
-
2Dundee UtdDundee Utd3665
53%
1.8
4940+9
2.5
78%
39%
14%
10.9
58%
4.2
69%
22.8
58%
11
4341.41.1
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3656
39%
1.6
4840+8
2.4
64%
50%
28%
11.4
72%
3.8
56%
21.5
53%
1
0001.31.1
-
4
A
Ayr
3654
42%
1.5
5038+12
2.4
61%
39%
28%
9.0
39%
3.2
44%
22.0
56%
0
0001.41.1
-
5MortonMorton3646
31%
1.3
3645-9
2.2
69%
39%
14%
10.6
58%
3.5
53%
22.4
58%
1
0001.01.2
-
6PartickPartick3643
33%
1.2
4352-9
2.6
78%
53%
19%
10.8
67%
3.5
44%
21.0
36%
3
1111.21.4
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline3641
31%
1.1
3340-7
2.0
47%
36%
19%
9.8
53%
3.3
39%
22.3
61%
4
2020.91.1
-
8
A
Alloa
3639
28%
1.1
3953-14
2.6
75%
50%
22%
11.2
67%
3.0
39%
22.1
53%
0
0001.11.5
-
9
QO
Queen of Sth
3638
25%
1.1
4148-7
2.5
72%
47%
19%
10.2
56%
3.3
39%
20.4
39%
0
0001.11.3
-
10FalkirkFalkirk3638
25%
1.1
3749-12
2.4
78%
36%
17%
10.2
61%
3.6
53%
21.1
47%
6
2131.01.4
-
Scotland: Championship 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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