This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.67
0.40
1.13
0.47
2.20
vs Stronger (18)
0.33
1.78
0.33
1.11
0.33
2.44
vs Similar (12)
0.58
1.50
0.50
1.17
0.67
1.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ionikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.8%
@ 2.23+0.7%
Under 2.5
57.2%
@ 1.62-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.0%
Under 3.5
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.2%
No
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
11.5%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
Ionikos goals ↓
Apollon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
6.2%
3.0%
0.8%
0.2%
1
13%
13%
4.7%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.3%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
3
6.1%
4.9%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.4%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ionikos goals (down), columns = Apollon goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.31
PAOK
1.78
Aris Thessalonikis
1.72
Panathinaikos
1.69
AEK Athens FC
1.56
Ionikos
1.36
OFI Crete
1.33
PAS Giannina
1.28
Asteras Tripolis
1.24
Volos NFC
1.21
Panetolikos
1.12
Atromitos
1.00
Lamia
0.79
Apollon
0.67
Ionikos is 0.70 points better than Apollon in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 0.67).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.72
PAOK
1.61
AEK Athens FC
1.56
Panathinaikos
1.44
Volos NFC
1.42
Ionikos
1.33
OFI Crete
1.21
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Asteras Tripolis
1.00
Atromitos
1.00
Panetolikos
0.97
PAS Giannina
0.94
Lamia
0.73
Apollon
0.48
Ionikos is 0.85 goals better than Apollon in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 0.48).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.72
Panathinaikos
0.72
Aris Thessalonikis
0.78
PAOK
0.92
Asteras Tripolis
1.12
AEK Athens FC
1.17
PAS Giannina
1.17
Ionikos
1.27
Lamia
1.33
OFI Crete
1.36
Volos NFC
1.45
Panetolikos
1.45
Atromitos
1.58
Apollon
1.73
Ionikos is 0.45 goals better than Apollon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.73).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Ionikos
For 4.9 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.7
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.2 · Against 14.4 · Total 31.6
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
A
Apollon
For 3.1 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.3
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.6 · Against 16.7 · Total 33.3
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ionikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (30)
7.9
7.9
7.9
4.9
4.7
5.1
33.4
35.4
31.7
vs Stronger (10)
6.6
6.6
6.6
4.4
4.0
4.8
35.6
38.4
32.8
vs Similar (20)
8.5
8.6
8.5
5.2
5.1
5.3
32.3
33.7
31.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
23%
21%
25%
83%
79%
88%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
77%
79%
75%
17%
21%
12%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.3
8.3
4.9
4.7
5.2
35.7
37.9
33.2
vs Stronger (30)
8.3
8.4
8.2
5.0
4.8
5.3
35.1
38.4
31.4
vs Similar (20)
8.3
8.2
8.6
4.8
4.5
5.1
36.5
37.0
36.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
28%
26%
30%
70%
63%
78%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
72%
74%
70%
30%
37%
22%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Ionikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
9.6
PAOK
9.1
PAS Giannina
8.9
Volos NFC
8.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.7
Panathinaikos
8.5
OFI Crete
8.5
Aris Thessalonikis
8.5
Lamia
8.4
Apollon
8.3
Panetolikos
8.2
Atromitos
7.9
Ionikos
7.9
Asteras Tripolis
7.2
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panathinaikos
5.7
Aris Thessalonikis
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.2
PAOK
5.0
Volos NFC
4.9
Ionikos
4.9
Apollon
4.9
OFI Crete
4.8
Asteras Tripolis
4.5
PAS Giannina
4.5
Atromitos
4.4
Panetolikos
4.4
Lamia
4.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Panetolikos
35.8
Apollon
35.7
Lamia
35.4
OFI Crete
35.1
Aris Thessalonikis
34.3
Volos NFC
33.7
Ionikos
33.4
PAS Giannina
33.3
Panathinaikos
33.1
AEK Athens FC
32.7
Atromitos
32.3
Asteras Tripolis
31.7
PAOK
30.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
29.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
35.8%
Under 9.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
72.6%
Under 3.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
98.7%
Under 21.5
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ionikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.71
0.50
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.90
0.40
0.80
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.50
0.89
0.33
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
0.60
0.13
0.47
0.27
0.73
vs Stronger (18)
0.22
0.56
0.22
0.44
0.22
0.67
vs Similar (12)
0.17
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ionikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ionikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ionikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ionikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ionikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.43
0.64
0.69
0.75
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.80
0.40
0.60
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.65
0.44
0.67
0.91
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
1.07
0.27
0.67
0.20
1.47
vs Stronger (18)
0.11
1.22
0.11
0.67
0.11
1.78
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.83
0.50
0.67
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ionikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ionikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ionikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ionikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 2.5 cards
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 3.5
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 10.5 corners
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 3.5 cards
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 1.5
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Ionikos · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Javier Mendoza20%
Vasilios Mantzis16%
Aias Aosman15%
SebÃĄ9%
Maximiliano Lovera8%
Christos Eleftheriadis8%
ZinÃĐdine Machach4%
Georgios Valerianos4%
Dmytro Chygrynskiy4%
JosÃĐ Alberto CaÃąas4%
Bandiougou Fadiga4%
Lefteris Choutesiotis0%
Simo Roumpoulakou0%
Federico Milo0%
Fabien Antunes0%
Jerson Cabral0%
Kaiyne Woolery0%
Jacques-Alaixys Romao0%
Emanuel Å akiÄ0%
Dimitrios Manos0%
Reagy Ofosu0%
Raman Chibsah0%
Georgios Mygas0%
Nikos Ioannidis0%
Rachid Bouhenna0%
Hugo Sousa0%
Konstantinos Tsirigotis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgios Valerianos42%
Georgios Mygas34%
Jacques-Alaixys Romao32%
Aias Aosman31%
Javier Mendoza30%
Federico Milo29%
Jerson Cabral29%
Bandiougou Fadiga29%
Fabien Antunes28%
Emanuel Å akiÄ23%
Raman Chibsah22%
Simo Roumpoulakou20%
Rachid Bouhenna20%
Dmytro Chygrynskiy19%
JosÃĐ Alberto CaÃąas19%
Christos Eleftheriadis17%
Vasilios Mantzis16%
Nikos Ioannidis15%
ZinÃĐdine Machach13%
Kaiyne Woolery11%
SebÃĄ9%
Maximiliano Lovera8%
Hugo Sousa6%
Lefteris Choutesiotis3%
Dimitrios Manos0%
Reagy Ofosu0%
Konstantinos Tsirigotis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aias Aosman15%
ZinÃĐdine Machach9%
Georgios Valerianos8%
Vasilios Mantzis6%
SebÃĄ5%
Maximiliano Lovera4%
JosÃĐ Alberto CaÃąas4%
Bandiougou Fadiga4%
Georgios Mygas3%
Dmytro Chygrynskiy0%
Lefteris Choutesiotis0%
Simo Roumpoulakou0%
Javier Mendoza0%
Federico Milo0%
Fabien Antunes0%
Jerson Cabral0%
Kaiyne Woolery0%
Jacques-Alaixys Romao0%
Emanuel Å akiÄ0%
Dimitrios Manos0%
Christos Eleftheriadis0%
Reagy Ofosu0%
Raman Chibsah0%
Nikos Ioannidis0%
Rachid Bouhenna0%
Hugo Sousa0%
Konstantinos Tsirigotis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aias Aosman31%
Vasilios Mantzis22%
Javier Mendoza20%
Kaiyne Woolery11%
SebÃĄ9%
Georgios Mygas7%
ZinÃĐdine Machach4%
Dmytro Chygrynskiy0%
Lefteris Choutesiotis0%
JosÃĐ Alberto CaÃąas0%
Simo Roumpoulakou0%
Maximiliano Lovera0%
Federico Milo0%
Fabien Antunes0%
Jerson Cabral0%
Jacques-Alaixys Romao0%
Emanuel Å akiÄ0%
Dimitrios Manos0%
Christos Eleftheriadis0%
Reagy Ofosu0%
Raman Chibsah0%
Nikos Ioannidis0%
Rachid Bouhenna0%
Georgios Valerianos0%
Hugo Sousa0%
Bandiougou Fadiga0%
Konstantinos Tsirigotis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ionikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
PAS Giannina
Asteras Tripolis
Volos NFC
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Lamia