Ipswich are tipped to win, with a 43% chance of taking the points, a 27% chance of a draw and a 30% chance of Leicester winning. The model expects 2.8 goals on average, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.8% probability. Home form shows Ipswich scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 against similar opposition, while Leicester on the road averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.25 conceded to comparable teams. The model’s selections include an 84.5% chance of over 2.5 cards, an 80.8% chance of over 19.5 fouls, a 78.8% chance of over 1.5 goals and a 75.9% chance of over 8.5 corners. Ipswich have recently come off a defeat to Manchester United, while Leicester are riding a win over Plymouth. The predicted outcome favours an Ipswich victory, but the 1-1 scoreline and the high likelihood of over-threshold events suggest a tightly contested match.
Results analysis
Ipswich’s return to the Emirates ended in a 1-1 draw, a surprise that undercut the model’s pre-match favourite, a home win at 43 percent. The prediction was wrong, as the game finished level, a result that was not favoured. The match saw all of the model’s suggested picks hit: Over 2.5 cards at 84.5 percent, Over 19.5 fouls at 80.8 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 78.8 percent, and Over 8.5 corners at 75.9 percent. Ipswich, coming off a defeat to Manchester United, had a recent run of LWWWD, while Leicester, after a win over Plymouth, had WDLLD. The final score of 1-1 matched the model’s most likely 2-goal outcome, but the expected 2-point win for Ipswich did not materialise.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ipswich win✗ Miss
43.1%
Avg Implied 40.8% · @ 2.36
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.1%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.59
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Leicester win✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied 32.4% · @ 2.97
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ipswich
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.53
2.07
1.36
1.62
1.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
3.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (14)
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
vs Weaker (14)
2.36
1.36
2.86
1.14
1.86
1.57
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Leicester) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leicester
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.37
1.87
1.13
1.60
1.60
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
3.00
1.00
1.50
2.00
4.50
vs Similar (23)
1.74
1.26
1.82
1.27
1.67
1.25
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ipswich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.1%
@ 1.69-2.7%
Under 2.5
45.9%
@ 2.22+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
Ipswich goals ↓
Leicester goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
6.3%
4.7%
2.0%
0.6%
1
8.0%
13%
7.4%
3.1%
1.0%
2
7.2%
9.1%
5.8%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.8%
4.8%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.5%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ipswich goals (down), columns = Leicester goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Ipswich is 0.08 points worse than Leicester in terms of average points per game (0.58 vs 0.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Ipswich is 0.08 goals better than Leicester in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 0.87).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Ipswich is 0.05 goals worse than Leicester in terms of goals conceded per game (2.16 vs 2.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Ipswich is 5.1 percentage points worse than Leicester in terms of average possession (40% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ipswich
For 5.6 · Against 5.5 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 12.2 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leicester
For 3.5 · Against 7.7 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ipswich
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.2
11.1
3.7
3.9
3.5
23.0
22.9
23.1
vs Stronger (2)
11.5
12.0
11.0
4.5
4.0
5.0
23.0
27.0
19.0
vs Similar (21)
10.2
9.3
11.0
4.0
4.1
3.8
23.4
22.8
24.0
vs Weaker (27)
11.0
10.7
11.2
3.5
3.8
3.2
22.6
22.6
22.6
% over line
65%
54%
76%
60%
58%
62%
59%
58%
60%
% under line
35%
46%
24%
40%
42%
38%
41%
42%
40%
This opponent (Leicester) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leicester
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.1
9.5
4.0
3.8
4.3
21.3
19.8
22.8
vs Stronger (4)
12.3
10.0
17.0
4.2
5.5
3.0
24.7
28.5
17.0
vs Similar (40)
9.7
10.2
9.2
4.4
4.1
4.7
21.4
19.4
23.3
vs Weaker (6)
9.2
9.3
9.0
1.5
1.5
1.5
16.8
16.7
17.0
% over line
51%
58%
43%
56%
48%
64%
47%
38%
57%
% under line
49%
42%
57%
44%
52%
36%
53%
62%
43%
This opponent (Ipswich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.8
Manchester United
12.3
Bournemouth
11.8
Southampton
11.6
Manchester City
11.0
Everton
11.0
Brentford
10.9
Newcastle
10.7
Liverpool
10.7
Wolves
10.6
Ipswich
10.6
Fulham
10.5
Chelsea
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Crystal Palace
10.2
Aston Villa
10.0
Leicester
9.9
Brighton
9.6
West Ham
9.6
Arsenal
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.5
Chelsea
5.5
Brighton
5.0
Tottenham
5.0
Wolves
5.0
Newcastle
4.8
Southampton
4.8
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Bournemouth
4.6
Leicester
4.4
Manchester United
4.4
Liverpool
4.2
West Ham
4.2
Brentford
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.0
Fulham
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Arsenal
3.9
Everton
3.5
Manchester City
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
25.1
Wolves
23.6
Chelsea
23.5
Crystal Palace
23.4
Bournemouth
23.3
Newcastle
23.3
Aston Villa
23.2
Ipswich
23.1
Brighton
22.6
Southampton
22.3
Nottingham Forest
22.2
Arsenal
21.9
Liverpool
21.7
Everton
21.5
Leicester
21.4
Fulham
21.2
West Ham
21.0
Brentford
20.5
Manchester United
20.1
Manchester City
18.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.8%
Under 9.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.5%
Under 3.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
67.1%
Under 21.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ipswich
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.93
0.93
0.86
0.88
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (14)
0.86
1.14
0.83
1.50
0.88
0.88
vs Weaker (14)
1.00
0.64
1.14
0.43
0.86
0.86
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Leicester) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leicester
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.67
0.60
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.52
0.64
0.64
0.75
0.42
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ipswich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ipswich over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leicester over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leicester over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leicester over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ipswich
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.60
1.14
0.50
0.75
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.36
0.67
0.00
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (14)
1.36
0.71
1.71
0.71
1.00
0.71
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Leicester) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leicester
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.70
1.20
0.53
0.87
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (23)
1.04
0.74
1.18
0.64
0.92
0.83
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ipswich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ipswich over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leicester over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leicester over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leicester over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ipswich
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Liam Delap28%
Sammie Szmodics19%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace18%
George Hirst17%
Julio Enciso15%
Nathan Broadhead10%
Omari Hutchinson9%
Conor Chaplin9%
Ali Al-Hamadi8%
Jack Taylor6%
Jack Clarke6%
Kalvin Phillips5%
Jacob Greaves4%
Ben Johnson4%
Jens Cajuste3%
Leif Davis3%
Sam Morsy3%
Arijanet Murić0%
Massimo Luongo0%
Dara O'Shea0%
Luke Woolfenden0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Conor Townsend0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Chiedozie Ogbene0%
Christian Walton0%
Marcus Harness0%
Wes Burns0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Alex Palmer0%
Harry Clarke0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sam Morsy32%
Liam Delap30%
Harry Clarke25%
Julio Enciso23%
Ali Al-Hamadi23%
Kalvin Phillips23%
Ben Godfrey20%
Jacob Greaves19%
Axel Tuanzebe17%
Dara O'Shea16%
Omari Hutchinson16%
Leif Davis15%
Ben Johnson15%
Alex Palmer13%
Luke Woolfenden11%
Jack Taylor11%
George Hirst10%
Conor Townsend10%
Sammie Szmodics10%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace9%
Conor Chaplin9%
Massimo Luongo7%
Jens Cajuste6%
Jack Clarke6%
Arijanet Murić5%
Wes Burns5%
Nathan Broadhead5%
Cameron Burgess5%
Chiedozie Ogbene0%
Christian Walton0%
Marcus Harness0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julio Enciso23%
Conor Townsend20%
Jack Clarke17%
Cameron Burgess14%
Ben Johnson11%
Ali Al-Hamadi8%
George Hirst7%
Omari Hutchinson6%
Leif Davis6%
Dara O'Shea5%
Wes Burns5%
Liam Delap5%
Nathan Broadhead5%
Axel Tuanzebe4%
Conor Chaplin4%
Jens Cajuste3%
Sam Morsy3%
Arijanet Murić0%
Massimo Luongo0%
Sammie Szmodics0%
Luke Woolfenden0%
Jack Taylor0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Chiedozie Ogbene0%
Christian Walton0%
Marcus Harness0%
Alex Palmer0%
Jacob Greaves0%
Harry Clarke0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julio Enciso31%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace27%
Liam Delap20%
Sammie Szmodics14%
Conor Chaplin13%
Ali Al-Hamadi8%
Leif Davis3%
Jack Taylor3%
Arijanet Murić0%
Massimo Luongo0%
George Hirst0%
Jens Cajuste0%
Dara O'Shea0%
Luke Woolfenden0%
Ben Johnson0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Jack Clarke0%
Conor Townsend0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Chiedozie Ogbene0%
Christian Walton0%
Sam Morsy0%
Marcus Harness0%
Wes Burns0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Alex Palmer0%
Nathan Broadhead0%
Jacob Greaves0%
Harry Clarke0%
Omari Hutchinson0%
Leicester
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamie Vardy28%
Stephy Mavididi18%
Jordan Ayew17%
Facundo Buonanotte17%
Bilal El Khannouss8%
Conor Coady8%
Bobby Decordova-Reid7%
Wout Faes5%
James Justin5%
Caleb Okoli4%
Kasey McAteer4%
Harry Winks4%
Patson Daka4%
Wilfred Ndidi3%
Oliver Skipp0%
Odsonne Édouard0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Danny Ward0%
Ricardo Pereira0%
Hamza Choudhury0%
Jannik Vestergaard0%
Boubakary Soumaré0%
Woyo Coulibaly0%
Luke Thomas0%
Jakub Stolarczyk0%
Victor Kristiansen0%
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku0%
Will Alves0%
Jake Evans0%
Jeremy Monga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oliver Skipp29%
Wilfred Ndidi27%
Jannik Vestergaard26%
Caleb Okoli26%
Facundo Buonanotte26%
Boubakary Soumaré23%
Woyo Coulibaly20%
Luke Thomas17%
Harry Winks16%
James Justin15%
Jordan Ayew14%
Jamie Vardy14%
Kasey McAteer13%
Conor Coady12%
Bilal El Khannouss11%
Wout Faes11%
Jakub Stolarczyk9%
Ricardo Pereira8%
Bobby Decordova-Reid7%
Stephy Mavididi6%
Mads Hermansen4%
Victor Kristiansen3%
Patson Daka0%
Odsonne Édouard0%
Danny Ward0%
Hamza Choudhury0%
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku0%
Will Alves0%
Jake Evans0%
Jeremy Monga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hamza Choudhury17%
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku15%
Wilfred Ndidi13%
Harry Winks12%
Jamie Vardy11%
Bilal El Khannouss11%
Facundo Buonanotte9%
James Justin5%
Kasey McAteer4%
Patson Daka4%
Bobby Decordova-Reid4%
Victor Kristiansen3%
Stephy Mavididi3%
Jordan Ayew3%
Oliver Skipp0%
Odsonne Édouard0%
Wout Faes0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Danny Ward0%
Conor Coady0%
Ricardo Pereira0%
Jannik Vestergaard0%
Boubakary Soumaré0%
Caleb Okoli0%
Woyo Coulibaly0%
Luke Thomas0%
Jakub Stolarczyk0%
Will Alves0%
Jake Evans0%
Jeremy Monga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamie Vardy19%
Wilfred Ndidi13%
Facundo Buonanotte11%
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku8%
Kasey McAteer4%
Harry Winks4%
Patson Daka4%
Stephy Mavididi3%
Jordan Ayew3%
Bilal El Khannouss3%
Oliver Skipp0%
Odsonne Édouard0%
Wout Faes0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Danny Ward0%
Conor Coady0%
Ricardo Pereira0%
Hamza Choudhury0%
Jannik Vestergaard0%
Bobby Decordova-Reid0%
James Justin0%
Boubakary Soumaré0%
Caleb Okoli0%
Woyo Coulibaly0%
Luke Thomas0%
Jakub Stolarczyk0%
Victor Kristiansen0%
Will Alves0%
Jake Evans0%
Jeremy Monga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Ipswich's squad is €211m more valuable than Leicester's (€280m vs €69m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Ipswich's attack is €110m more valuable than Leicester's (€130m vs €20m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Ipswich's midfield is €53m more valuable than Leicester's (€66m vs €13m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Ipswich's defence is €49m more valuable than Leicester's (€85m vs €36m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Wolves
Tottenham
Southampton