This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
0.70
2.31
0.69
1.36
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.67
0.50
2.57
0.71
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (18)
2.00
0.83
2.11
0.67
1.89
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
66.1%
Under 1.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
38.2%
Under 2.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
18.4%
Under 3.5
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
41.0%
No
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
15.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
12.2%
0-0
12.1%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
Iraklis 1908 goals ↓
AEK Athens FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
15%
12%
6.1%
2.3%
1
6.7%
13%
8.8%
4.4%
1.6%
2
2.8%
4.2%
3.2%
1.6%
0.6%
3
0.7%
1.0%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Iraklis 1908 goals (down), columns = AEK Athens FC goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
Iraklis 1908
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Kalamata
1.03
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Iraklis 1908 is 1.07 points worse than AEK Athens FC in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 2.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Iraklis 1908
1.17
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Kalamata
0.99
Iraklis 1908 is 0.60 goals worse than AEK Athens FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Iraklis 1908
1.48
Levadiakos
1.50
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI
1.72
Kalamata
1.75
Iraklis 1908 is 0.87 goals worse than AEK Athens FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 0.62).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Iraklis 1908
For 2.0 · Against 3.5 · Total 5.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 20.0 · Against 18.5 · Total 38.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEK Athens FC
For 5.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 13.8 · Total 30.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Iraklis 1908
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
5.5
-
5.5
0.2
0.0
0.3
38.5
-
38.5
vs Stronger (10)
7.0
-
7.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
36.0
-
36.0
vs Similar (34)
4.0
-
4.0
0.2
0.0
0.4
41.0
-
41.0
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
0%
-
0%
2%
0%
4%
100%
-
100%
% under line
100%
-
100%
98%
100%
96%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.9
8.2
1.3
1.3
1.4
29.7
30.4
29.0
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
8.4
8.5
8.2
1.9
2.4
1.5
28.4
30.0
26.8
vs Weaker (28)
8.8
9.2
8.2
1.2
0.9
1.5
31.0
30.8
31.2
% over line
25%
25%
25%
22%
20%
24%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
75%
75%
75%
78%
80%
76%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
Kifisia
9.2
Aris Thessalonikis
9.1
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
OFI
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.7
Panetolikos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.6
Levadiakos
8.6
Volos NFC
8.5
Kalamata
8.3
Iraklis 1908
4.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.6
Kalamata
6.3
Levadiakos
5.6
Volos NFC
5.6
Panetolikos
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.4
OFI
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
Iraklis 1908
4.7
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Iraklis 1908
38.0
Kalamata
37.5
Kifisia
32.3
Atromitos
30.8
Levadiakos
30.6
Volos NFC
30.5
AEK Athens FC
29.3
OFI
28.8
Aris Thessalonikis
28.7
Panathinaikos
28.2
Asteras Tripolis
27.8
Panetolikos
27.1
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.2%
Under 9.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
82.3%
Under 3.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
94.0%
Under 21.5
6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Iraklis 1908 or Draw
45.4%
Avg Implied -
17%
29%
55%
covers Iraklis 1908 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 or AEK Athens FC
71.4%
Avg Implied -
17%
29%
55%
covers Iraklis 1908 + AEK Athens FC
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or AEK Athens FC
83.2%
Avg Implied -
17%
29%
55%
covers Draw + AEK Athens FC
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 0.5
Over
51.4%
Under
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 1.5
Over
16.3%
Under
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 2.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 3.5
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5
Over
77.6%
Under
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5
Over
44.1%
Under
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5
Over
19.0%
Under
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 3.5
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Iraklis 1908, so a minus line means Iraklis 1908 give that many goals of a start and AEK Athens FC receive them. At -1, Iraklis 1908 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Iraklis 1908 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Iraklis 1908)
Iraklis 1908 -2
1.1%
Draw -2
4.0%
AEK Athens FC +2
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Iraklis 1908)
Iraklis 1908 -1
5.1%
Draw -1
11.8%
AEK Athens FC +1
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Iraklis 1908)
Iraklis 1908 +1
45.4%
Draw +1
25.6%
AEK Athens FC -1
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Iraklis 1908)
Iraklis 1908 +2
71.0%
Draw +2
17.2%
AEK Athens FC -2
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Iraklis 1908
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.79
0.43
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.40
0.78
0.56
0.55
0.27
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.12
0.80
0.20
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.37
0.88
0.38
0.57
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.17
0.71
0.29
0.20
0.00
vs Weaker (18)
0.89
0.50
1.00
0.44
0.78
0.56
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Iraklis 1908
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.47
0.86
0.14
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.35
0.56
0.11
0.64
0.55
vs Weaker (8)
1.50
0.38
1.40
0.20
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.33
1.44
0.31
0.79
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.17
0.33
1.86
0.43
0.20
0.20
vs Weaker (18)
1.11
0.33
1.11
0.22
1.11
0.44
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AEK Athens FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Barnabás Varga67%
Luka Jović33%
Răzvan Marin33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Zini0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Răzvan Marin33%
Aboubakary Koita33%
Stavros Pilios33%
Lazaros Rota33%
Zini33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Luka Jović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lovro Majer33%
Răzvan Marin33%
Lazaros Rota33%
Filipe Relvas33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Luka Jović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Zini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Răzvan Marin67%
Luka Jović33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Zini0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
Iraklis 1908's squad is €76m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€9m vs €85m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
Iraklis 1908's attack is €41m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€2m vs €44m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
Iraklis 1908's midfield is €13m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€3m vs €16m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
Iraklis 1908's defence is €22m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€4m vs €26m).
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
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PAOK
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
OFI
Kifisia
Volos NFC
Atromitos
Kalamata
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos